Alejandro Guerrero

OF DSL Royals Ventura

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 156 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	162	.186/.344/.256	1	10	16	—	.125/.256/.184
2026	18	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	165	.228/.414/.390	2	8	51	—	.143/.296/.233
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBKC	275	.185/.270/.262	2	5	54	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBKC	76	.190/.275/.275	1	2	60	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%92

Speed76

K%75

Whiff%71

ISO70

BB%69

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRichard Rodriguez (age 19) · Ricardo Rosario (age 19) · Dennys Riera (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 138 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .268 / .260

PA138

HR1

K%27

BB%9

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	162	129	24	4	1	1	24	52	7	10	2	186	344	256	600	70	299	32	15	290	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	165	123	28	8	3	2	30	27	9	8	5	228	414	390	804	163	274	16	18	366	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	162	136	17	3	1	1	17	62	7	10	2	125	256	184	440	59	189	38	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	165	133	19	5	2	1	20	33	9	8	5	143	296	233	529	90	172	20	12	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	162	136	17	3	1	1	17	62	7	10	2	125	256	184	440	59	216	38	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	162	129	24	4	1	1	24	52	7	10	2	186	344	256	600	70	299	32	15	290	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	165	133	19	5	2	1	20	33	9	8	5	143	296	233	529	90	180	20	12	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	165	123	28	8	3	2	30	27	9	8	5	228	414	390	804	163	274	16	18	366	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	162	137	17	3	1	1	17	62	7	10	2	124	256	182	439	58	189	38	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	165	135	19	5	2	1	20	33	9	8	5	141	296	230	526	89	172	20	12	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	162	137	17	3	1	1	17	62	7	10	2	124	256	182	439	58	189	38	10	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	165	135	19	5	2	1	20	33	9	8	5	141	296	230	526	89	172	20	12	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	0%	275	245	45	8	2	2	23	76	5	5	1	185	270	262	532	77	256	28	8	247	54	-15	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	34%	222	197	38	7	2	2	19	60	4	5	1	191	277	278	555	87	260	27	9	257	60	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	34%	76	68	13	2	1	1	7	21	1	2	0	190	275	275	551	86	259	28	9	255	60	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	76	68	13	2	1	1	7	21	1	2	0	191	276	294	570	103	261	28	9	255	46	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	112	17	9	9	60	180	9	17	0	192	278	299	577	107	262	28	9	255	46	-31	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	687	589	96	19	6	5	68	193	22	26	9	163	274	241	515	78	230	28	10	237	46	-18	+1	+0	-2	+8	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	557	91	18	6	5	64	183	21	25	9	163	274	244	518	81	231	28	10	237	46	-33	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
#6Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	214	2	4	188	270	269	-1	+0	-0.6	-0.3
/162	664	5	13	-4.0	+0.0	-1.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alejandro Guerrero (OGILVIE)	19	20	20	55	55	184/268/260	76	256	1	3	27%	9%	54	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	39	36→40	52→55	45	184/248/252	68	235	3	13	22%	6%	43	-2.8	196/262/276	80	267	6	17	27%	7%	54	-2.0	194/268/275	82	258	8	24	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Dennys Riera 2024 · A	19	31	36→40	48→50	42	157/222/222	65	212	4	6	27%	6%	27	-4.0	171/249/237	66	229	3	7	25%	6%	41	-3.0	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	33	38→40	47→60	44	164/228/238	74	214	6	13	26%	7%	33	-3.6	203/257/270	67	260	5	19	22%	6%	50	-2.3	211/263/264	53	270	3	24	22%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Mishael Deson 2021 · A	19	39	35→30	49→55	46	186/244/248	62	238	2	15	22%	7%	40	-3.1	220/275/285	65	332	5	13	33%	7%	60	-1.6	226/285/273	48	355	5	15	35%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Adalfi Almonte 2015 · A	19	37	38→30	48→50	50	176/270/257	81	235	5	12	26%	9%	54	-2.0	183/292/249	66	255	3	12	26%	11%	61	-1.5	149/289/192	42	212	2	14	26%	13%	47	-0.7
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	39	37→40	54→50	46	185/258/260	75	249	3	18	26%	8%	49	-2.4	204/270/286	82	298	5	9	31%	7%	59	-1.7	199/271/269	69	303	4	7	33%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2018 · A	19	41→30	35→45	51→50	46	190/266/254	63	262	2	14	26%	8%	51	-2.3	188/258/264	76	289	5	16	34%	8%	50	-2.3	199/264/331	132	310	13	17	38%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Roni Cabrera 2024 · A	19	39	38→45	54→55	47	186/265/271	85	255	5	11	27%	8%	55	-2.0	182/254/288	106	286	10	14	37%	7%	54	-2.0	162/238/271	109	264	12	18	41%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	40	36→30	53→50	41	189/245/254	65	270	3	9	30%	6%	42	-2.9	201/270/270	69	272	3	10	25%	8%	55	-1.9	192/273/252	60	253	1	12	22%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Demetrio Nadal 2023 · A	19	40	35→30	55	49	187/276/246	60	239	2	17	21%	8%	53	-2.1	198/294/272	74	252	4	25	21%	9%	66	-1.1	181/288/252	71	236	5	32	23%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	37	38→40	53→45	42	178/244/257	79	264	5	8	33%	7%	43	-2.8	187/256/268	81	287	4	8	33%	8%	49	-2.4	189/276/283	93	254	3	8	24%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	40	36→30	53→45	47	188/257/252	64	241	3	12	22%	7%	47	-2.6	205/271/253	48	244	2	7	16%	7%	52	-2.2	203/270/235	32	236	1	5	13%	6%	46	-1.2
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	40→43	34→30	51→50	45	189/256/237	48	251	2	16	24%	7%	42	-2.9	211/305/254	43	285	1	19	23%	10%	66	-1.1	200/318/229	29	278	1	24	24%	13%	64	-0.5
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2009 · A	19	40	37→30	48→55	50	191/288/255	65	246	5	17	23%	9%	61	-1.5	193/262/264	71	311	6	12	37%	7%	51	-2.2	173/233/233	60	311	6	11	43%	7%	31	-1.0
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	37	37→40	52→55	39	182/236/252	70	264	4	14	31%	6%	38	-3.2	194/241/254	60	283	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.1	183/218/203	20	254	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.3
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Miguel Alfonzo 2007 · A	19	35	35→40	46→50	44	169/241/227	58	243	3	9	30%	8%	35	-3.4	198/272/274	76	309	6	10	35%	7%	58	-1.7	196/275/270	74	322	7	9	38%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7

Alejandro Guerrero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps