Roy Rivero

SS DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	168	.246/.370/.319	0	8	36	—	.170/.261/.211
2026	18	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	176	.338/.424/.399	0	14	66	—	.237/.308/.276
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBKC	286	.220/.287/.290	2	5	65	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBKC	79	.223/.292/.303	1	2	71	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBKC	173	.226/.296/.315	2	3	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%98

K%95

Z-Con%94

wOBA71

wRC+68

Chase%46

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsAlain Camou (age 19) · Livan Soto (age 19) · Ayendy Perez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 147 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .285 / .288

PA147

HR1

K%21

BB%8

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	138	34	6	2	0	27	15	0	8	8	246	370	319	689	72	272	9	16	317	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	176	148	50	9	0	0	22	18	1	14	9	338	424	399	823	61	379	10	12	368	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	147	25	4	1	0	18	19	0	8	8	170	261	211	471	41	188	11	11	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	176	156	37	6	0	0	15	22	1	14	9	237	308	276	584	38	267	12	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	147	25	4	1	0	18	19	0	8	8	170	261	211	471	41	192	11	11	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	138	34	6	2	0	27	15	0	8	8	246	370	319	689	72	272	9	16	317	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	176	156	37	6	0	0	15	22	1	14	9	237	308	276	584	38	272	12	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	176	148	50	9	0	0	22	18	1	14	9	338	424	399	823	61	379	10	12	368	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	148	25	4	1	0	18	19	0	8	8	169	261	209	470	41	188	11	11	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	176	158	37	6	0	0	15	22	1	14	9	234	308	272	580	38	267	12	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	168	148	25	4	1	0	18	19	0	8	8	169	261	209	470	41	188	11	11	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	176	158	37	6	0	0	15	22	1	14	9	234	308	272	580	38	267	12	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	0%	286	259	57	9	2	2	23	61	2	5	1	220	287	290	578	70	279	21	8	265	65	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	34%	231	209	48	8	2	2	18	49	2	4	1	225	293	306	599	81	281	21	8	273	71	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	KC	48%	357	322	73	12	2	4	29	75	3	7	2	228	298	319	617	91	283	21	8	280	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	KC	54%	447	404	94	16	3	6	36	94	4	9	2	231	301	330	631	98	284	21	8	286	80	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	KC	57%	506	455	107	18	3	8	41	106	5	10	3	234	304	338	642	105	285	21	8	290	82	-11	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	KC	57%	545	490	116	19	4	9	45	115	5	10	3	235	306	345	651	110	287	21	8	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	KC	57%	568	511	121	20	4	10	47	119	5	11	3	236	306	347	653	111	287	21	8	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	580	522	124	21	4	10	48	122	5	11	3	236	306	348	654	112	287	21	8	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	583	525	124	21	4	10	48	123	5	11	3	235	305	345	651	110	286	21	8	293	85	-11	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	580	522	122	20	4	10	48	124	5	10	3	233	303	341	644	108	285	21	8	291	83	-12	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	KC	58%	571	514	120	20	4	9	47	124	5	9	3	231	301	335	636	104	284	22	8	287	81	-13	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	KC	60%	561	507	115	19	3	8	45	123	4	8	4	228	297	328	625	100	283	22	8	283	78	-15	+0	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	KC	62%	548	495	110	18	3	7	44	123	4	7	5	224	292	318	611	94	280	22	8	277	74	-17	-1	-3	+6	+12	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	34%	79	72	17	3	1	1	6	17	1	2	0	223	292	303	595	80	280	22	8	271	71	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	KC	48%	173	155	35	6	1	2	14	36	2	3	1	226	296	315	611	89	281	21	8	278	76	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	KC	54%	242	218	50	8	2	3	20	51	2	5	1	229	299	325	624	96	283	21	8	283	80	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	KC	57%	286	258	60	10	2	4	23	60	3	6	2	231	302	333	635	102	284	21	8	287	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	KC	57%	308	277	65	11	2	5	25	65	3	6	2	233	303	339	643	106	285	21	8	290	85	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	KC	57%	321	289	67	11	2	5	26	67	3	6	2	234	304	341	645	108	285	21	8	291	85	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	328	295	69	12	2	5	27	69	3	6	2	234	304	342	646	108	285	21	8	292	86	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	323	290	67	11	2	5	27	68	3	6	2	233	303	340	643	107	284	21	8	290	85	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	318	286	66	11	2	5	26	68	3	5	2	231	301	335	636	104	284	21	8	288	83	-6	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	KC	58%	332	299	69	12	2	5	27	72	3	5	2	229	299	330	628	101	283	22	8	284	81	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	KC	60%	338	305	70	12	2	5	27	74	3	5	2	226	295	323	618	97	281	22	8	280	78	-9	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	KC	62%	338	306	67	11	2	4	27	76	2	4	3	222	291	314	604	91	279	22	8	275	74	-11	-0	-2	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3386	3050	702	118	22	49	275	723	31	59	21	230	300	331	632	101	284	21	8	285	79	-76	+3	-4	+36	+73	3.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	134	23	4	9	53	139	6	11	4	229	300	328	628	99	283	21	8	285	79	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6568	5912	1366	227	42	94	541	1369	54	132	53	231	301	331	633	100	284	21	8	285	79	-143	+8	-7	+67	+135	6.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	134	22	4	9	54	135	5	13	5	229	300	326	626	97	281	21	8	285	79	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.3	3,535	53	61	232	299	335	+38	+24	5.9	5.3
/162	664	10	12	+7.1	+4.5	1.1	pk7: 5
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roy Rivero (OGILVIE)	19	45	20	50	60	218/285/288	69	279	1	3	21%	8%	65	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	47	36→30	46→50	55	217/290/288	71	251	2	10	14%	9%	67	-1.1	202/260/265	63	263	2	6	22%	7%	50	-2.3	182/236/232	49	243	0	2	23%	6%	32	-0.9
✕Livan Soto 2019 · A	19	46→56	34→40	47→50	50	211/277/260	49	262	1	10	19%	8%	55	-1.9	195/255/257	62	255	4	9	23%	7%	47	-2.6	246/319/331	85	322	6	8	24%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Ayendy Perez 2013 · A	19	42	34→30	48→60	51	196/282/251	55	252	1	12	21%	9%	57	-1.8	214/281/270	56	267	1	24	18%	8%	59	-1.7	224/286/275	51	279	0	33	18%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Carlos Sepulveda 2016 · A	19	47→45	34→30	49→45	44	221/271/268	47	283	2	8	22%	6%	54	-2.0	242/289/296	54	301	2	5	19%	6%	67	-1.1	234/289/273	39	298	0	7	20%	6%	59	-0.9
✕James Beresford 2008 · A	19	48→58	34→30	49→45	43	224/270/272	48	290	2	10	23%	6%	54	-2.0	240/287/281	41	306	1	7	20%	6%	63	-1.4	286/319/337	51	336	1	6	15%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Victor Rodrigues 2024 · A	19	42	37→30	47→50	51	198/275/273	75	246	5	10	21%	9%	58	-1.7	215/298/280	65	272	5	7	21%	10%	69	-0.9	213/306/263	50	270	4	5	20%	11%	66	-0.5
✕Roynier Hernandez 2024 · A	19	45→55	34→40	46→50	57	207/291/258	51	247	1	8	16%	10%	61	-1.5	237/303/297	60	304	2	8	21%	9%	74	-0.6	252/319/319	67	324	3	6	21%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Rochest Cruz 2018 · A	19	44	36→30	43→65	54	206/286/272	66	251	3	10	18%	9%	62	-1.4	197/277/255	58	251	2	30	20%	9%	55	-1.9	180/268/222	43	228	1	47	20%	9%	42	-1.0
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	44→46	37→40	50→60	55	207/289/284	77	258	3	13	20%	10%	66	-1.1	207/297/275	68	283	3	18	25%	11%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Nolan Beltran 2024 · A	19	41→49	35→40	43→45	53	192/268/251	60	234	2	7	18%	9%	51	-2.3	199/272/282	83	250	6	6	21%	8%	59	-1.6	203/286/287	84	248	7	4	20%	9%	63	-0.5
✕Sergio Burruel 2010 · A	19	45	37→30	45→30	43	214/266/287	73	286	3	6	25%	6%	57	-1.8	206/274/267	61	301	3	4	30%	8%	56	-1.9	247/310/316	70	302	6	1	19%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Jorge Ruiz 2023 · A	19	50→52	35→40	51→50	47	231/286/295	64	270	2	13	15%	5%	66	-1.1	234/287/309	75	301	3	12	22%	5%	70	-0.9	231/285/303	72	304	3	13	23%	6%	66	-0.9
✕Juan Ramirez 2018 · A	19	49	35→30	47→45	54	223/292/284	61	253	1	10	12%	8%	66	-1.1	209/264/280	71	264	2	8	20%	6%	55	-2.0	179/225/249	70	228	0	5	20%	5%	30	-0.9
✕Walter Rasquin 2015 · A	19	45	36→30	50	52	209/290/278	69	251	3	13	17%	8%	65	-1.2	221/277/290	69	283	4	10	22%	6%	62	-1.4	184/229/243	59	244	5	10	26%	4%	31	-1.2
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	44	34→30	50	57	200/297/258	58	260	1	14	21%	12%	63	-1.3	214/284/278	64	299	2	9	27%	9%	62	-1.4	225/293/261	35	317	0	4	26%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	46	37→45	47→55	56	216/300/287	72	267	3	12	19%	11%	71	-0.8	208/277/303	95	322	9	15	35%	8%	65	-1.2	191/260/285	94	305	11	18	38%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Wilfredo Flores 2019 · A	19	46	34→30	47→50	44	215/273/272	57	285	1	14	24%	6%	56	-1.9	221/264/293	72	285	4	13	23%	5%	57	-1.8	233/255/284	51	295	2	10	21%	2%	48	-0.9
✕Yoffry Solano 2024 · A	19	44	36→30	49→40	46	208/274/279	71	266	3	8	22%	7%	59	-1.7	211/267/279	68	269	2	11	21%	6%	56	-1.9	212/269/271	58	271	2	11	21%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Samuel Gil 2024 · A	19	44→46	38→30	49→50	49	209/281/286	77	274	5	9	24%	9%	63	-1.3	207/282/262	55	276	2	9	23%	9%	58	-1.7	203/281/245	42	265	1	9	22%	9%	51	-1.5
✕Manuel Palencia 2022 · A	19	45	35→40	48→40	47	210/268/274	64	254	2	9	18%	6%	55	-1.9	216/272/269	53	248	1	6	13%	7%	55	-1.9	224/277/259	35	251	0	4	10%	6%	51	-0.5

Roy Rivero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps