Elian Reyes — OGILVIE

Elian ReyesOF DSL Blue Jays Red

Age 18 L/R 6'4" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION91 act + 60 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.165 / .247 / .238

PA60

HR1

K%35

BB%8

BABIP245

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	81	69	9	2	0	0	10	37	1	1	0	130	250	159	409	29	273	46	12	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	81	64	14	3	0	0	15	24	1	1	0	219	375	266	641	47	341	30	19	309	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TOR	—	91	79	7	0	0	2	9	40	1	5	0	89	191	165	356	76	128	44	10	169	-12	-12	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.9
YTD	18	ROK	TOR	—	91	74	10	0	0	3	14	28	1	5	0	135	281	257	538	122	156	31	15	254	52	-5	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
ROS	18	ROK	TOR	0%	60	54	9	1	0	1	5	21	1	2	0	165	247	238	485	73	265	35	8	237	39	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		266	—	—	231	35	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TOR	—	91	80	7	0	0	2	9	40	1	5	0	87	191	163	354	75	125	44	10	169	-12	-12	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.9
TOT	18	ROK	TOR	—	151	133	16	1	0	3	14	61	2	7	0	120	214	195	408	75	181	40	9	196	8	-16	+1	+0	-1	+4	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TOR	34%	167	149	28	4	1	3	14	56	2	4	1	188	267	289	555	101	272	34	8	251	51	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
2027	19	MLB	TOR	34%	57	51	9	1	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	176	263	255	518	78	273	33	9	244	45	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	57	52	9	1	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	173	263	250	513	77	250	33	9	244	45	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	102	11	0	11	57	217	11	11	0	172	262	246	508	74	249	33	9	244	45	-40	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.4
Career	—			—	308	272	46	7	1	4	29	114	4	7	1	169	258	246	504	77	268	37	9	232	35	-23	+1	+0	-2	+9	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	97	15	2	8	61	240	8	15	2	169	258	244	502	75	270	37	9	232	35	-47	+2	+0	-4	+18	-3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	81	64	14	3	0	0	15	24	1	1	0	219	375	266	641	47	341	30	19	309	94	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elian Reyes (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	120/214/195	75	181	3	7	40%	9%	8	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Roederer 2019 · A	19	41→31	43→45	53→50	41	205/260/318	113	293	11	15	33%	7%	57	-1.2	189/259/288	99	290	9	12	35%	8%	50	-1.7	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→21	39→45	47→50	37	178/232/259	81	273	7	10	36%	6%	30	-3.1	186/247/307	121	297	13	12	40%	7%	50	-1.7	168/233/292	124	263	15	12	40%	7%	38	-1.5
✕Robert Lopez 2022 · A	18	38	39→45	48→45	42	181/262/270	89	284	6	6	36%	8%	48	-1.9	190/252/274	84	293	7	4	35%	7%	43	-2.2	183/243/267	84	277	9	3	35%	7%	34	-0.9
✕Luis Castillo 2023 · A	19	43→25	39→45	48→40	42	207/266/291	84	290	6	7	30%	7%	53	-1.5	181/248/280	99	275	10	4	36%	8%	43	-2.2	149/230/273	124	212	16	2	36%	9%	33	-1.4
✕Lean Marrero 2016 · A	18	39	39→30	50	40	191/246/271	81	278	6	11	32%	7%	40	-2.4	207/250/288	81	272	6	10	25%	5%	44	-2.1	218/256/288	70	278	6	11	23%	4%	43	-0.6
✕Roni Cabrera 2023 · A	18	39	38→45	51→55	38	186/249/260	74	297	5	10	37%	6%	39	-2.5	189/259/297	108	290	10	12	36%	7%	53	-1.5	159/234/278	120	248	12	17	39%	7%	35	-0.8
✕Gabriel Terrero 2023 · A	19	38	37→50	51→45	42	180/260/249	69	278	5	12	34%	8%	41	-2.3	190/262/297	107	326	9	9	41%	8%	53	-1.5	160/235/297	137	288	11	7	45%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1
●Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	41→43	40→50	50	41	202/257/292	90	282	8	15	30%	7%	50	-1.8	197/245/281	84	297	6	9	33%	6%	41	-2.3	216/250/345	129	289	16	6	31%	4%	58	-0.9
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/245/263	80	272	5	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	188/242/284	96	295	9	9	37%	6%	41	-2.3	186/239/293	108	289	12	10	38%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Adalfi Almonte 2014 · A	18	39	41→40	51→50	47	187/275/288	101	276	7	11	32%	10%	57	-1.2	191/286/274	83	275	6	12	30%	9%	59	-1.1	175/285/243	68	254	5	14	29%	10%	49	-0.6
✕Narciso Polanco 2023 · A	18	43→42	38→40	51→55	42	199/273/281	82	314	4	11	35%	8%	54	-1.4	186/255/265	79	268	5	14	30%	8%	42	-2.3	187/259/279	92	254	7	21	27%	8%	45	-1.4
✕Danny Drullard 2019 · A	19	39	42→45	52→50	45	195/263/301	106	268	9	10	30%	8%	54	-1.4	198/260/301	103	293	9	9	33%	7%	53	-1.5	176/239/288	112	254	11	8	34%	7%	38	-1.1
✕Albert Fabian 2021 · A	19	43→34	39→50	47→40	44	203/274/294	91	290	6	7	30%	8%	58	-1.2	194/254/317	123	294	14	5	37%	7%	56	-1.3	212/269/333	121	257	14	6	23%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Neyfy Castillo 2019 · A	18	37→29	36→50	54→55	39	177/242/241	64	278	4	16	36%	6%	30	-3.1	181/246/275	94	298	8	13	39%	7%	41	-2.3	170/240/302	132	292	17	16	45%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Rayne Doncon 2022 · A	18	43→35	40→50	53→40	40	203/267/295	92	313	7	11	35%	7%	54	-1.4	195/247/327	132	256	15	6	29%	6%	55	-1.4	181/237/310	129	235	15	4	30%	6%	44	-1.4
✕Angel Basabe 2019 · A	18	41	40→45	49→50	40	196/253/291	95	284	6	9	32%	6%	47	-1.9	187/244/263	76	276	3	9	31%	6%	37	-2.7	164/225/238	74	238	1	11	29%	5%	20	-0.8
✕Adonis Figuereo 2019 · A	18	37	38→30	46→45	44	182/246/261	79	250	5	8	28%	7%	37	-2.6	193/263/271	78	270	6	6	28%	8%	47	-1.9	194/266/259	66	250	6	5	24%	8%	43	-0.8
✕Victor Mascai 2019 · A	18	41	41→45	49→45	41	202/256/295	93	278	9	9	30%	6%	50	-1.8	193/263/294	101	307	10	7	37%	8%	53	-1.5	138/230/265	127	249	16	2	48%	10%	32	-1.1