Elian Reyes — OGILVIE

Elian ReyesOF DSL Blue Jays Red

Age 19 L/R 6'4" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 119 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .257 / .246

PA119

HR1

K%32

BB%9

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	81	64	14	3	0	0	15	24	1	1	0	219	375	266	641	47	341	30	19	309	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	143	117	17	2	0	3	21	45	3	9	1	145	291	239	530	94	197	31	15	255	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	81	68	9	2	0	0	11	30	1	1	0	132	263	162	424	29	216	37	14	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	143	123	10	1	0	1	15	55	3	9	1	81	199	114	312	33	125	38	10	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	81	68	9	2	0	0	11	30	1	1	0	132	263	162	424	29	231	37	14	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	81	64	14	3	0	0	15	24	1	1	0	219	375	266	641	47	341	30	19	309	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	143	123	10	1	0	1	15	55	3	9	1	81	199	114	312	33	130	38	10	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	143	117	17	2	0	3	21	45	3	9	1	145	291	239	530	94	197	31	15	255	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	81	69	9	2	0	0	11	30	1	1	0	130	263	159	422	29	216	37	14	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	143	124	10	1	0	1	15	55	3	9	1	81	199	113	311	32	125	38	10	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	81	69	9	2	0	0	11	30	1	1	0	130	263	159	422	29	216	37	14	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	143	124	10	1	0	1	15	55	3	9	1	81	199	113	311	32	125	38	10	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	253	226	40	7	1	2	22	80	3	5	1	179	259	248	508	69	262	32	9	237	46	-16	+1	+0	-2	+5	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	206	184	34	6	1	2	18	64	2	4	1	185	266	263	529	78	266	31	9	245	52	-12	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.8
2028	20	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	71	64	12	2	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	185	266	264	531	79	267	31	8	246	52	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	71	64	12	2	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	188	268	266	533	78	268	31	8	246	32	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	109	18	0	9	55	201	9	9	0	186	266	263	529	77	266	31	8	246	32	-37	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	549	482	72	12	2	4	54	187	7	16	3	149	245	207	452	58	230	34	10	215	32	-19	+0	+0	-2	+7	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	85	14	2	5	64	221	8	19	4	149	244	207	451	58	228	34	10	215	32	-39	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elian Reyes (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	32→37	50→55	66	177/257/246	69	262	1	2	32%	9%	46	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Vladi Gomez 2024 · A	18	34	38→30	55→65	49	165/258/243	77	232	5	14	29%	10%	47	-2.6	177/267/241	64	248	3	28	27%	10%	49	-2.4	170/262/223	53	238	2	43	27%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Sandy Acevedo 2012 · A	19	37	36→40	50	41	179/245/245	67	256	3	12	30%	6%	40	-3.0	179/255/273	94	247	6	10	28%	8%	51	-2.2	147/236/256	109	194	8	10	27%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2016 · A	19	34	36→30	51→50	44	167/239/232	64	246	4	10	32%	8%	35	-3.4	178/236/251	73	240	5	9	26%	6%	38	-3.2	162/218/231	69	210	4	8	24%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	187/279/277	90	259	6	12	28%	9%	61	-1.5	182/288/248	66	288	3	14	34%	10%	59	-1.6	160/281/212	51	264	2	16	35%	11%	47	-1.3
✕Darlyn De Leon 2024 · A	19	37	34→40	55	47	172/261/228	56	244	1	17	28%	8%	44	-2.8	196/273/280	84	271	6	21	28%	8%	59	-1.6	188/263/280	92	256	8	27	28%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Narciso Polanco 2024 · A	19	38→42	36→40	47→55	46	182/256/247	65	259	3	8	29%	8%	45	-2.7	193/266/277	84	267	6	17	27%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/281	89	260	6	21	27%	8%	54	-1.6
✕Hector Hernandez 2015 · A	19	34	34→30	50→45	42	166/230/220	54	234	2	8	28%	6%	29	-3.8	176/252/233	57	250	2	8	28%	8%	40	-3.0	156/242/202	46	220	1	8	27%	9%	29	-1.4
✕Gabriel Terrero 2023 · A	19	35	36→45	51→45	45	170/255/232	62	249	4	12	31%	8%	42	-2.9	181/255/274	93	289	7	9	37%	8%	51	-2.2	144/225/255	111	233	9	7	39%	8%	34	-1.3
✕Jefry Puente 2011 · A	19	33	34→40	49→50	45	160/239/209	49	237	2	9	31%	8%	31	-3.7	168/259/236	68	224	2	13	24%	9%	45	-2.7	138/245/209	70	178	2	18	21%	10%	33	-1.1
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→24	39→45	47→50	39	177/234/257	80	265	6	10	34%	6%	38	-3.2	185/244/305	120	287	13	12	38%	7%	54	-2.0	169/229/296	127	253	15	12	38%	7%	45	-1.6
✕German Ortiz 2024 · A	19	39	34→30	51→45	50	182/271/231	49	265	1	6	29%	10%	48	-2.5	198/266/260	62	292	3	5	30%	8%	51	-2.2	191/252/252	60	284	3	3	31%	7%	41	-1.0
✕Victor Nova 2019 · A	19	38	37→40	50	55	180/281/251	71	242	4	10	25%	12%	57	-1.8	199/278/269	70	293	4	11	30%	9%	59	-1.7	171/252/236	65	268	4	11	34%	9%	39	-1.2
✕Guillermo Williamson 2023 · A	19	36	40→45	46→30	44	176/254/269	93	267	7	5	35%	9%	50	-2.3	190/273/308	118	316	13	3	40%	9%	66	-1.1	177/264/302	125	302	16	1	43%	9%	59	-0.8
✕Elis Cuevas 2024 · A	19	41	37→40	51→65	45	195/270/275	80	270	3	14	27%	8%	57	-1.8	199/275/294	95	266	9	32	27%	7%	63	-1.3	188/268/283	95	252	12	43	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Junior Garcia 2024 · A	19	40	37→40	51→50	49	191/274/270	79	259	4	6	26%	9%	58	-1.7	176/257/244	68	302	5	8	39%	9%	45	-2.7	151/238/211	60	276	6	8	43%	9%	29	-1.6
✕Franyerber Montilla 2024 · A	19	36	39→40	49→55	49	177/264/261	84	248	6	14	29%	10%	52	-2.2	194/278/289	95	284	8	22	31%	10%	64	-1.3	184/275/279	96	271	9	29	32%	10%	58	-0.9
✕Roni Cabrera 2024 · A	19	39	38→45	54→55	47	186/265/271	85	255	5	11	27%	8%	55	-2.0	182/254/288	106	286	10	14	37%	7%	54	-2.0	162/238/271	109	264	12	18	41%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Jonathan Mejía 2024 · A	19	35	39→45	52→50	47	168/269/256	88	264	6	9	35%	10%	53	-2.1	183/267/281	98	305	9	15	39%	9%	58	-1.7	169/262/280	111	278	11	16	40%	10%	54	-0.9