Elian ReyesOF
DSL Blue Jays Blue
Age 18
L/R
6'4" / 185 lbs
ROK
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 3.2 · 2035
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .265 / .289
PA74
HR1
K%32
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.2peak
2034
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.7 | $26M | +$25M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.0 | $30M | +$29M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.1 | $31M | +$30M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +3.2 | $33M | +$27M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +3.0 | $32M | +$22M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $14M | +2.8 | $31M | +$17M |
| Totals | $33M | $183M | +$150M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays Blue | 81 | 70 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .129 | .237 | .157 | .395 | .029 | .257 | 44 | 11 | .191 | 4 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | MLB | TOR | 74 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .206 | .270 | .309 | .579 | .103 | .290 | 31 | 7 | .255 | 53 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB 11% | TOR | 167 | 149 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .221 | .297 | .336 | .633 | .114 | .305 | 29 | 8 | .289 | 80 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB 28% | TOR | 311 | 275 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 88 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .236 | .318 | .378 | .696 | .142 | .312 | 28 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB 48% | TOR | 421 | 371 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 115 | 6 | 11 | 3 | .243 | .328 | .396 | .724 | .154 | .312 | 27 | 10 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB 65% | TOR | 500 | 438 | 107 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 133 | 7 | 14 | 3 | .244 | .333 | .402 | .734 | .158 | .312 | 27 | 10 | .329 | 110 | +6 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.9 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB 86% | TOR | 553 | 482 | 120 | 20 | 4 | 18 | 58 | 144 | 8 | 16 | 3 | .249 | .339 | .419 | .759 | .170 | .312 | 26 | 10 | .335 | 114 | +9 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.4 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB | TOR | 588 | 512 | 128 | 21 | 4 | 20 | 63 | 151 | 8 | 17 | 4 | .250 | .341 | .424 | .765 | .174 | .313 | 26 | 11 | .339 | 118 | +12 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 2.7 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 609 | 528 | 133 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 67 | 156 | 9 | 18 | 4 | .252 | .346 | .428 | .774 | .176 | .313 | 26 | 11 | .342 | 120 | +14 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 3.0 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 619 | 536 | 134 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 69 | 158 | 9 | 18 | 4 | .250 | .345 | .424 | .769 | .174 | .314 | 26 | 11 | .344 | 121 | +15 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 3.1 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 621 | 537 | 134 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 70 | 159 | 9 | 18 | 3 | .250 | .346 | .423 | .768 | .173 | .314 | 26 | 11 | .344 | 121 | +15 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 3.2 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 617 | 533 | 134 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 70 | 159 | 9 | 17 | 3 | .251 | .348 | .426 | .774 | .174 | .314 | 26 | 11 | .343 | 121 | +14 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 3.0 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 608 | 526 | 130 | 21 | 4 | 20 | 69 | 159 | 8 | 15 | 2 | .247 | .343 | .416 | .760 | .169 | .313 | 26 | 11 | .341 | 119 | +13 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 2.8 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 598 | 517 | 128 | 21 | 4 | 20 | 68 | 158 | 8 | 14 | 2 | .248 | .344 | .420 | .764 | .172 | .312 | 26 | 11 | .338 | 117 | +11 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +17 | 2.5 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 584 | 505 | 123 | 20 | 4 | 19 | 66 | 157 | 8 | 11 | 1 | .244 | .340 | .412 | .752 | .168 | .310 | 27 | 11 | .334 | 114 | +9 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +17 | 2.1 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 566 | 489 | 117 | 19 | 3 | 18 | 64 | 155 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .239 | .337 | .401 | .738 | .162 | .309 | 27 | 11 | .329 | 110 | +6 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +16 | 1.8 |
| 2041 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 536 | 464 | 108 | 17 | 3 | 16 | 60 | 150 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .233 | .330 | .386 | .715 | .153 | .307 | 28 | 11 | .324 | 106 | +3 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +15 | 1.3 |
| 2042 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 489 | 425 | 97 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 141 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .228 | .325 | .376 | .702 | .148 | .306 | 29 | 11 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +14 | 0.7 |
| 2043 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 433 | 377 | 85 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 48 | 130 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .225 | .321 | .371 | .692 | .146 | .303 | 30 | 11 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +0 | -6 | -3 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2044 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 372 | 323 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 115 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .217 | .314 | .347 | .661 | .130 | .301 | 31 | 11 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -6 | -2 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2045 | 37 | MLB | TOR | 307 | 267 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 98 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .210 | .306 | .333 | .639 | .124 | .297 | 32 | 11 | .290 | 80 | -7 | +0 | -7 | -2 | +9 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9654 | 8392 | 2015 | 328 | 62 | 296 | 1050 | 2634 | 132 | 204 | 35 | .240 | .334 | .400 | .734 | .160 | .312 | 27 | 11 | .328 | 109 | +97 | +27 | -38 | -58 | +274 | 30.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 565 | 135 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 71 | 177 | 9 | 14 | 2 | .239 | .333 | .398 | .732 | .159 | .310 | 27 | 11 | .328 | 109 | +7 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +18 | 2.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays Blue | 81 | 64 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .219 | .375 | .266 | .641 | .047 | .341 | 30 | 19 | .309 | 94 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Elian Reyes (OGILVIE) | 18 | — | — | — | — | .199/.265/.289 | .090 | .290 | 1 | 1 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
★Jason Heyward 2008 · A |
18 | 46→56 | 41→55 | 47→50 | 41 | .220/.274/.320 | .100 | .304 | 7 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .259/.317/.406 | .147 | .307 | 14 | 9 | 20% | 7% | 105 | +2.1 | .255/.348/.438 | .183 | .301 | 21 | 14 | 22% | 12% | 121 | +3.1 |
|
●Franmil Reyes 2013 · A |
18 | 42→52 | 40→65 | 50→45 | 42 | .204/.266/.299 | .095 | .285 | 6 | 10 | 29% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .208/.259/.302 | .094 | .287 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .256/.325/.480 | .224 | .314 | 34 | 0 | 29% | 9% | 126 | +2.6 |
|
●Gregory Polanco 2010 · A |
18 | 43→53 | 35→60 | 52→55 | 44 | .202/.266/.269 | .067 | .286 | 2 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .199/.250/.288 | .089 | .261 | 7 | 18 | 25% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .250/.322/.455 | .204 | .278 | 24 | 14 | 19% | 9% | 113 | +2.3 |
|
★Austin Meadows 2014 · A |
19 | 45→55 | 43→65 | 49→55 | 43 | .214/.282/.336 | .122 | .308 | 10 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .242/.292/.362 | .120 | .310 | 9 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .255/.336/.495 | .240 | .289 | 30 | 8 | 23% | 10% | 129 | +2.7 |
|
●Mike Moustakas 2008 · A |
19 | 46→54 | 38→65 | 50→45 | 42 | .216/.278/.302 | .086 | .300 | 4 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .223/.263/.373 | .150 | .258 | 18 | 6 | 21% | 4% | 74 | -0.1 | .258/.320/.491 | .233 | .260 | 33 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 121 | +3.2 |
|
●Max Kepler 2011 · A |
18 | 46→56 | 35→60 | 51→50 | 42 | .215/.262/.278 | .063 | .294 | 2 | 9 | 27% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .212/.269/.313 | .101 | .284 | 8 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .234/.319/.433 | .200 | .248 | 24 | 4 | 17% | 10% | 108 | +2.2 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2017 · A |
18 | 39→49 | 39→55 | 53→55 | 40 | .186/.255/.266 | .081 | .304 | 6 | 11 | 38% | 8% | 43 | -2.2 | .208/.284/.324 | .116 | .290 | 8 | 12 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
●Eloy Jiménez 2016 · A |
19 | 40→50 | 40→65 | 49→40 | 39 | .197/.240/.291 | .094 | .269 | 7 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 41 | -2.3 | .251/.286/.404 | .153 | .321 | 16 | 4 | 26% | 4% | 91 | +1.1 | .273/.314/.492 | .219 | .314 | 30 | 0 | 23% | 5% | 125 | +2.3 |
|
●Anthony Santander 2013 · A |
18 | 45→49 | 42→65 | 47→45 | 39 | .217/.275/.326 | .110 | .305 | 9 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .201/.254/.302 | .101 | .269 | 9 | 7 | 27% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | .242/.317/.473 | .231 | .257 | 31 | 2 | 20% | 9% | 120 | +3.4 |
|
●Oscar Taveras 2011 · A |
19 | 44→54 | 42→55 | 49→45 | 42 | .216/.260/.323 | .108 | .269 | 8 | 9 | 23% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .270/.309/.419 | .149 | .313 | 13 | 7 | 18% | 5% | 104 | +2.0 | .293/.330/.463 | .170 | .326 | 16 | 7 | 15% | 4% | 124 | +2.0 |
|
●Rowdy Tellez 2014 · A |
19 | 41→50 | 39→60 | 51→45 | 43 | .199/.255/.290 | .091 | .270 | 6 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .229/.281/.344 | .115 | .286 | 12 | 4 | 23% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .249/.317/.464 | .215 | .286 | 29 | 1 | 24% | 8% | 114 | +1.6 |
|
●Jackson Merrill 2022 · A |
19 | 45→55 | 36→55 | 52→50 | 39 | .211/.260/.286 | .076 | .314 | 3 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .251/.293/.383 | .132 | .306 | 13 | 12 | 22% | 5% | 88 | +0.9 | .266/.310/.441 | .174 | .301 | 19 | 10 | 18% | 6% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
●Jonathan Aranda 2017 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 37→55 | 48→45 | 43 | .204/.265/.282 | .078 | .268 | 4 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .215/.268/.288 | .073 | .280 | 3 | 9 | 23% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .269/.345/.441 | .173 | .339 | 20 | 4 | 25% | 8% | 122 | +2.7 |
|
●Dylan Carlson 2017 · A |
18 | 41→51 | 40→55 | 48→50 | 36 | .196/.244/.290 | .094 | .305 | 6 | 7 | 36% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .207/.277/.319 | .112 | .286 | 10 | 7 | 29% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .242/.327/.396 | .154 | .296 | 14 | 4 | 22% | 9% | 105 | +1.6 |
|
●Oneil Cruz 2017 · A |
18 | 46→51 | 37→60 | 51→55 | 42 | .214/.266/.301 | .088 | .311 | 2 | 11 | 30% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .208/.249/.316 | .108 | .314 | 10 | 9 | 35% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .241/.304/.442 | .201 | .317 | 25 | 22 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.7 |
|
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 39→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .212/.263/.298 | .086 | .291 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .258/.304/.406 | .148 | .329 | 14 | 21 | 25% | 5% | 99 | +1.7 | .278/.321/.456 | .177 | .328 | 21 | 21 | 21% | 5% | 116 | +2.7 |
|
●Steven Souza Jr. 2008 · A |
19 | 37→47 | 41→60 | 49→55 | 38 | .182/.248/.279 | .096 | .291 | 8 | 7 | 38% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .191/.250/.282 | .091 | .285 | 8 | 14 | 34% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .258/.336/.452 | .194 | .336 | 23 | 25 | 29% | 10% | 124 | +2.2 |
|
★Carlos Correa 2013 · A |
18 | 42→52 | 40→60 | 51→55 | 37 | .205/.244/.299 | .094 | .289 | 6 | 8 | 31% | 5% | 45 | -2.1 | .257/.317/.390 | .133 | .320 | 11 | 13 | 22% | 7% | 100 | +1.7 | .284/.360/.488 | .204 | .328 | 24 | 14 | 20% | 10% | 137 | +4.4 |
|
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A |
18 | 44→46 | 38→45 | 46→50 | 44 | .204/.277/.282 | .078 | .314 | 6 | 9 | 34% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .209/.295/.306 | .097 | .329 | 7 | 14 | 35% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.297/.335 | .116 | .314 | 10 | 18 | 31% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
●Josh Lowe 2017 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 42→55 | 46→60 | 44 | .201/.278/.303 | .102 | .324 | 9 | 5 | 38% | 10% | 62 | -0.9 | .202/.260/.303 | .101 | .318 | 9 | 14 | 37% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .255/.314/.435 | .180 | .350 | 20 | 31 | 31% | 8% | 108 | +1.9 |