Junior Garcia — OGILVIE

Junior GarciaOF Augusta GreenJackets

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 240 proj PA

wRC+†31

AVG/OBP/SLG.148 / .232 / .218

PA240

HR3

K%43

BB%9

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	137	112	26	7	2	1	22	26	3	2	0	232	372	357	729	125	294	19	16	338	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	162	136	25	1	0	0	25	59	1	3	4	184	315	191	506	7	325	36	15	254	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	169	139	44	5	2	3	22	41	7	12	4	317	435	446	881	129	427	24	13	397	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	161	145	29	8	1	3	15	39	1	2	1	200	280	331	611	131	252	24	9	278	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	253	210	41	8	1	4	38	94	2	3	2	195	324	300	624	105	322	37	15	291	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	137	119	18	5	1	1	15	33	3	2	0	151	263	235	498	84	198	24	11	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	162	143	20	1	0	0	18	80	1	3	4	140	241	147	388	7	313	49	11	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	169	147	30	3	1	2	14	57	7	12	4	204	304	279	582	75	311	34	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	161	151	20	5	1	2	9	57	1	2	1	132	186	219	405	86	193	35	6	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	253	221	32	6	1	3	27	128	2	3	2	145	244	222	466	77	288	51	11	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	137	119	18	5	1	1	15	33	3	2	0	151	263	235	498	84	200	24	11	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	137	112	26	7	2	1	22	26	3	2	0	232	372	357	729	125	294	19	16	338	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	331	290	50	4	1	2	32	136	8	15	8	172	273	214	487	41	314	41	10	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	331	275	69	6	2	3	47	100	8	15	8	251	376	320	696	69	382	30	14	327	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	161	151	20	5	1	2	9	57	1	2	1	132	186	219	405	86	196	35	6	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	161	145	29	8	1	3	15	39	1	2	1	200	280	331	611	131	252	24	9	278	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	253	221	32	6	1	3	27	128	2	3	2	145	244	222	466	77	312	51	11	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	253	210	41	8	1	4	38	94	2	3	2	195	324	300	624	105	322	37	15	291	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	137	118	18	5	1	1	15	33	3	2	0	153	263	237	500	85	198	24	11	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	331	288	50	4	1	2	32	136	8	15	8	174	273	215	488	42	312	41	10	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	161	150	20	5	1	2	9	57	1	2	1	133	186	220	406	87	193	35	6	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	253	222	32	6	1	3	27	128	2	3	2	144	244	221	465	77	288	51	11	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	331	288	50	4	1	2	32	136	8	15	8	174	273	215	488	42	312	41	10	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	161	150	20	5	1	2	9	57	1	2	1	133	186	220	406	87	193	35	6	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	253	222	32	6	1	3	27	128	2	3	2	144	244	221	465	77	288	51	11	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	363	324	48	9	1	4	33	157	3	5	2	149	234	219	453	70	268	43	9	214	31	-30	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	293	261	41	7	1	4	27	123	3	4	2	157	242	240	482	83	271	42	9	225	39	-21	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.7
2028	23	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	101	90	14	3	0	1	9	42	1	1	1	157	242	240	482	83	271	42	9	225	39	-7	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	101	90	14	3	0	1	9	42	1	1	1	156	240	222	462	67	271	42	9	225	32	-7	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	89	19	0	6	58	270	6	6	6	154	238	218	455	64	269	42	9	225	32	-48	-1	+0	-4	+14	-3.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1415	1256	194	33	6	15	132	581	19	29	14	154	245	226	471	72	269	41	9	216	32	-41	+0	+0	-3	+12	-3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	89	15	3	7	61	267	9	13	6	154	246	227	473	73	268	41	9	216	32	-50	+0	+0	-4	+14	-4.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	341	4	4	152	234	227	-2	+0	-2.0	-1.0
/162	664	8	8	-4.0	+0.0	-3.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Garcia (OGILVIE)	22	25	30	40	35	148/232/218	70	268	3	3	43%	9%	31	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alvaro Gonzalez 2023 · A	22	37	38→30	41→40	40	175/258/253	78	287	6	4	38%	8%	49	-2.4	178/257/262	84	287	7	6	37%	8%	50	-2.3	120/207/172	52	190	3	5	35%	8%	9	-1.1
✕Stephen Paolini 2023 · A	22	36→37	38→40	48→50	38	168/243/244	76	305	6	12	43%	8%	40	-3.1	175/243/260	85	316	8	17	43%	7%	43	-2.8	156/223/237	80	283	8	23	45%	7%	29	-1.8
✕Gregory Duran 2024 · A	21	37	39→40	42→40	41	172/258/259	87	307	7	5	42%	9%	49	-2.4	182/249/274	92	333	8	6	44%	7%	49	-2.4	115/177/187	72	229	8	0	51%	6%	2	-1.5
✕Andry Arias 2022 · A	22	38	42→40	44→40	39	189/255/293	104	286	10	7	36%	7%	55	-1.9	195/261/291	96	302	7	6	35%	7%	57	-1.8	163/238/257	94	255	6	3	36%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Chad McClanahan 2021 · A	23	37→30	38→40	45	42	179/253/253	74	277	6	7	35%	8%	46	-2.6	178/250/271	93	355	9	6	48%	8%	49	-2.4	126/207/206	81	274	9	1	53%	9%	17	-2.3
✕Robby Martin Jr. 2023 · A	23	38	40	42→50	33	183/231/278	95	303	7	7	40%	5%	42	-2.9	204/247/297	93	293	8	11	32%	5%	52	-2.2	205/245/291	86	281	9	13	30%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Francisco Del Valle 2021 · A	22	36→29	41→45	46→40	42	178/256/281	103	266	8	5	34%	8%	54	-2.0	190/254/301	111	273	12	5	33%	7%	57	-1.8	167/234/273	106	234	13	3	33%	7%	41	-1.2
✕Kendall Coleman 2016 · A	21	37	40	44→40	41	181/250/271	90	286	8	4	37%	8%	49	-2.4	195/260/281	86	324	7	5	39%	8%	54	-2.0	161/232/221	60	282	7	2	42%	8%	27	-0.9
✕Yuber Rodriguez 2006 · A	22	36→30	37→30	45→50	40	175/240/244	69	271	5	10	36%	7%	38	-3.2	183/238/255	72	290	5	13	36%	6%	39	-3.1	174/226/240	66	277	4	14	37%	6%	29	-1.8
✕Luis Montano 2021 · A	21	38	36→40	43→40	36	169/238/244	75	316	3	4	44%	7%	38	-3.2	202/253/307	105	334	8	6	39%	6%	57	-1.8	176/222/310	134	281	12	4	40%	6%	42	-0.6
✕Francisco Garcia 2024 · A	21	36	39→40	43→50	33	175/237/259	84	291	7	5	40%	5%	41	-3.0	177/232/258	81	289	6	5	39%	5%	38	-3.2	143/196/212	69	231	6	4	39%	4%	15	-1.4
✕Jimmy Pickens 2015 · A	23	36	39→40	48→45	35	178/223/263	85	276	6	7	36%	5%	36	-3.4	194/239/278	84	304	5	9	36%	5%	45	-2.7	190/227/277	87	288	6	8	35%	4%	37	-2.0
✕Taylor Grote 2011 · A	22	44→40	39→30	44→45	39	204/263/287	83	331	6	6	38%	7%	56	-1.9	185/252/267	82	330	6	6	42%	8%	48	-2.5	146/221/210	64	274	3	4	44%	8%	22	-2.9
✕Luis Mendez 2024 · A	21	38	38→40	47→50	43	182/254/259	77	275	6	10	34%	8%	47	-2.5	193/255/274	81	270	5	12	28%	7%	50	-2.3	187/247/263	77	253	5	13	27%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Sheng-Ping Chen 2023 · A	22	39	39→40	48→45	35	186/241/272	86	310	7	9	40%	6%	45	-2.7	194/252/279	85	295	7	8	34%	7%	51	-2.3	172/245/251	79	260	8	6	35%	8%	40	-1.6
✕Garrett Spain 2023 · A	22	39→35	40→45	49→50	41	190/258/278	89	293	8	10	36%	8%	53	-2.1	174/237/283	109	258	11	10	35%	7%	47	-2.6	162/228/283	121	225	15	14	34%	7%	41	-2.3
✕Reynaldo Rivera 2019 · A	22	38→35	43→45	46→30	37	191/239/303	111	290	9	4	36%	6%	51	-2.3	181/237/305	124	306	14	4	43%	6%	51	-2.2	149/212/289	140	257	19	1	48%	6%	38	-1.9
✕Richard D Oleo 2008 · A	22	39	39→40	49→45	41	188/246/275	87	281	6	6	34%	7%	47	-2.5	193/253/279	86	269	7	8	29%	7%	51	-2.3	153/221/228	75	198	7	10	26%	8%	26	-1.3
✕Yoander Rivero 2024 · A	22	40	37→30	46→50	42	185/259/255	70	301	4	10	37%	8%	48	-2.5	177/255/253	76	264	5	7	32%	9%	47	-2.6	134/228/195	61	191	4	4	30%	10%	24	-1.1
✕Max Walla 2013 · A	22	43→40	39→40	42→45	39	200/263/285	85	316	7	8	37%	7%	56	-1.9	208/259/288	80	326	4	8	35%	6%	55	-2.0	203/243/269	66	323	0	7	35%	4%	41	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps