Junior GarciaOF Augusta GreenJackets
Age 21 L/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION210 act + 140 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†23
AVG/OBP/SLG.152 / .237 / .216
PA140
HR1
K%46
BB%9
BABIP295
ISO64
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -32.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-32BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +9.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: -2.50-2.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-1.4-1.7-1.72628
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202318 ROKDSL Braves 137122 21611 12413 20 172263262525 90250 309 239 41
202318 ROKDSL Braves 137112 26721 22263 20 232372357729 125294 1916 338 117
202419 ROK2 teams 331291 49411 311378 158 168267199466 31312 419 219 26
202419 ROK2 teams 331275 69623 471008 158 251376320696 69382 3014 327 109
202520 ROKFCL Braves 161151 21513 9591 21 139193245438 106202 376 187 1
202520 ROKFCL Braves 161145 29813 15391 21 200280331611 131252 249 278 71
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 AATL 210186 27512 201142 32 145236215451 70347 5410 207 17 -20 -0 +0 -1 +6 -1.6
YTD21 AATL 210174 37713 32802 32 213341316657 103366 3815 306 92 -2 -0 +0 -1 +6 0.3
ROS21 AATL 0% 140125 19311 12642 21 152237216453 64290 469 215 23 -12 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.9
ROS21 MLBATL 0% 01 0000 000 00 290 207 17 +0 -0
FULL21 AATL 210187 27512 201142 32 144236214449 70342 5410 207 17 -20 -0 +0 -1 +6 -1.6
TOT21 AATL 350311 46823 321784 53 148236215452 68323 519 210 19 -32 -0 +0 -2 +10 -2.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBATL 34% 331295 49915 291424 42 166250254504 88289 439 232 36 -24 +0 +0 -2 +9 -1.7
202823 MLBATL 48% 410367 641127 361684 53 174256272528 98290 419 244 45 -26 -0 +0 -2 +12 -1.7
202722 MLBATL 34% 114102 17302 10491 11 167248255503 88289 439 224 30 -9 -0 +0 -1 +3 -0.7
202823 MLBATL 48% 199178 32614 17822 31 180259292551 112290 419 236 39 -14 +0 +0 -1 +6 -0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career 313281 49916 271313 42 174255278532 103295 429 232 36 -23 +0 +0 -2 +9 -1.6
/ 162G 650584 10219212 562726 84 175255276530 101296 429 232 36 -47 +0 +0 -4 +18 -3.3
Career 15101351 22338718 12961122 3015 165249244493 78282 409 227 32 -116 +0 +0 -9 +43 -8.4
/ 162G 650582 961638 562639 136 165249244493 79280 409 227 32 -50 +0 +0 -4 +18 -3.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202318 ROKDSL Braves 137112 26721 22263 20 232372357729 125294 1916 338 117 +3 +0 +4 0.7
202419 AAugusta GreenJackets 162136 25100 25591 34 184315191506 7325 3615 254 53 -9 -1 +5 -0.5
202419 ROKFCL Braves 169139 44523 22417 124 317435446881 129427 2413 397 162 +12 +1 +5 1.8
202520 ROKFCL Braves 161145 29813 15391 21 200280331611 131252 249 278 71 -5 +0 +5 -0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
252877166243251-3+0-2.8-1.4
/16266499-4.0+0.0-3.5pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Junior Garcia (OGILVIE) 21 25 30 40 35 148/236/215 68323 35 51% 9% 19 -2.5
Chad McClanahan
2018 · A
20 37→30 37→40 41→45 38 176/239/245 69295 55 40% 7% 30 -3.1 178/249/255 77291 65 38% 8% 37 -2.6 150/230/221712607442%8%20-2.2
David Denson
2016 · A
21 39→33 41→40 43→40 42 187/257/282 95302 95 39% 9% 47 -1.9 188/255/279 91300 85 37% 8% 46 -2.0 164/237/245802607237%9%27-2.5
Kendall Coleman
2016 · A
21 37 40 44→40 41 181/250/271 91287 84 37% 8% 42 -2.3 196/260/284 88323 85 38% 8% 49 -1.8 163/232/229662798242%8%20-0.9
Jacob Pearson
2019 · A
21 38→39 39→40 45→50 40 188/239/268 81267 68 31% 6% 36 -2.7 192/246/285 93267 811 29% 7% 43 -2.2 173/239/278105242101932%7%37-1.0
David Berres
2008 · A
21 37 34→30 47→45 36 176/234/223 47286 210 37% 6% 22 -3.7 208/278/264 56288 37 26% 8% 51 -1.7 214/295/252382923625%10%52-0.9
Jonas Lantigua
2015 · A
20 38 38→30 42→45 36 185/231/265 80280 53 34% 5% 31 -3.0 200/247/287 87316 76 36% 6% 43 -2.2 179/213/248692887539%4%14-0.8
Jake Skole
2013 · A
21 39→43 38→40 45→50 39 186/249/261 75298 59 37% 7% 39 -2.5 181/247/261 80271 69 33% 8% 38 -2.6 174/231/2578426881336%6%26-1.9
Johampher Arrendoll
2019 · A
20 33 36→30 41→45 40 159/234/227 68269 37 39% 8% 24 -3.5 179/256/258 79310 68 40% 8% 41 -2.3 121/215/178572127942%8%3-1.5
Marlin Made
2022 · A
21 41 40→30 46→40 34 197/241/290 93310 76 38% 5% 42 -2.3 194/248/290 96295 105 36% 6% 45 -2.1 140/193/2218119913237%6%2-1.4
Braxton Davidson
2017 · A
21 41→38 39→40 38→40 39 178/263/261 83335 63 44% 9% 46 -2.0 147/231/231 84374 93 57% 9% 25 -3.5 108/198/1847630810262%9%-3-4.1
Francisco Garcia
2023 · A
20 36 38→40 43→50 34 174/235/250 76289 66 40% 5% 30 -3.1 177/236/262 85295 75 40% 5% 33 -2.9 142/195/214722317440%4%3-1.5
Deivis Nadal
2023 · A
21 37 36→40 48→55 37 175/244/240 65289 314 38% 6% 31 -3.0 173/255/277 104332 919 46% 9% 46 -2.0 140/234/249109282112549%10%28-1.4
Luis Montano
2021 · A
21 40 37→40 43→40 34 172/237/250 79336 34 46% 7% 30 -3.1 204/256/311 107337 86 39% 6% 54 -1.4 182/228/32113929212440%6%40-0.5
Marcos Brito
2021 · A
21 38 38→30 44→50 39 184/241/262 78291 67 37% 7% 35 -2.8 183/258/258 75411 611 51% 9% 42 -2.3 146/236/1944837741356%10%14-1.1
Juan Ortiz
2015 · A
20 36 39→40 41→55 35 178/227/259 80272 77 36% 5% 28 -3.2 193/246/280 87315 78 38% 6% 42 -2.3 175/230/257822907940%6%27-0.9
Angel De Leon
2016 · A
20 36 39→40 43→45 40 176/247/263 87285 75 38% 8% 39 -2.5 188/266/278 90287 67 33% 9% 50 -1.7 149/246/241922244732%10%32-1.0
Eduardo Lopez
2023 · A
21 39 40 46→50 39 184/254/269 85302 79 39% 8% 43 -2.2 185/254/289 104285 1011 36% 8% 48 -1.9 164/237/270106244111135%8%34-1.1
Francis Martinez
2017 · A
20 37 39→40 44→30 32 175/227/258 83304 73 43% 5% 28 -3.2 198/248/290 92337 84 41% 6% 45 -2.1 183/234/2789530810042%5%33-1.1
Anthony Rodriguez
2017 · A
21 32 38→40 38→45 37 162/223/241 78240 64 34% 6% 23 -3.6 184/278/257 73287 56 34% 10% 51 -1.7 159/289/213542494532%12%43-0.9
Gabriel Garcia
2019 · A
21 37 40 45 40 177/257/272 95296 86 40% 8% 46 -2.0 172/257/278 106283 116 40% 8% 48 -1.9 144/233/25210923013441%8%30-1.5