Sheng-Ping Chen — OGILVIE

Sheng-Ping ChenSS Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 25 L/R 5'9" / 165 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .270 / .310

PA136

HR2

K%27

BB%7

ISO104

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	339	309	42	8	1	5	22	164	4	11	1	136	203	217	420	81	261	48	6	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	339	298	56	13	1	6	33	118	4	11	1	188	278	299	576	111	284	35	10	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	367	341	68	18	1	3	20	131	4	8	4	199	252	284	537	85	314	36	5	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	367	331	78	21	1	4	30	98	4	8	4	236	307	341	648	106	323	27	8	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	313	283	47	7	1	4	25	113	1	5	2	166	236	240	477	74	254	36	8	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	313	269	61	9	2	6	39	80	1	5	2	227	327	342	669	115	296	26	12	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	90	84	15	2	0	1	3	27	1	2	0	179	216	238	454	60	246	30	3	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	90	82	15	2	0	1	5	22	1	2	0	183	239	244	483	61	233	24	6	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	ARI	—	136	124	26	5	1	2	10	37	1	2	1	210	274	315	589	105	276	27	7	265	61	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ARI	31%	231	210	45	8	1	5	17	62	2	4	1	214	279	333	613	119	278	27	7	274	68	-8	+0	+0	+2	+7	0.1
2028	27	MLB	ARI	42%	291	264	57	11	1	6	22	78	3	5	1	216	284	333	617	117	280	27	8	278	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2029	28	MLB	ARI	48%	332	301	66	12	2	7	25	88	3	5	1	219	286	342	628	123	280	27	8	280	72	-10	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.2
2030	29	MLB	ARI	49%	350	317	69	13	2	7	27	93	3	5	1	218	285	338	623	120	280	27	8	279	72	-11	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.2
2031	30	MLB	ARI	50%	362	328	70	13	2	7	28	98	3	5	1	213	281	329	611	116	279	27	8	276	70	-12	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.0
2027	26	MLB	ARI	31%	72	66	14	3	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	212	278	303	581	91	281	26	7	270	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	27	MLB	ARI	42%	122	111	25	5	1	3	9	33	1	2	1	225	289	369	659	144	282	27	7	274	68	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	28	MLB	ARI	48%	159	145	31	6	1	3	12	42	1	3	1	214	278	331	610	117	282	26	8	275	69	-6	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	29	MLB	ARI	49%	173	156	34	6	1	4	13	46	2	3	1	218	287	346	633	128	282	27	8	275	69	-6	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.0
2031	30	MLB	ARI	50%	182	164	36	7	1	4	14	49	2	3	1	220	289	348	636	128	281	27	8	272	67	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	708	642	140	27	4	15	53	189	7	12	4	218	285	343	628	125	283	27	7	274	68	-26	+1	-2	+8	+20	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	129	25	4	14	49	174	6	11	4	219	286	346	632	127	284	27	8	274	68	-24	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	2811	2561	505	97	12	47	199	891	25	52	13	197	262	299	561	102	280	32	7	251	50	-157	+5	-4	+30	+80	-4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	117	22	3	11	46	206	6	12	3	198	262	301	563	103	280	32	7	251	50	-36	+1	-1	+7	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	339	298	56	13	1	6	33	118	4	11	1	188	278	299	576	111	284	35	10	264	60	-15	+2	—	—	+10	-0.4
2022	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	39	33	12	2	0	1	5	4	1	3	0	364	462	515	977	152	393	10	13	436	192	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	328	298	66	19	1	3	25	94	3	5	4	221	288	322	610	101	313	29	8	277	70	-11	-1	—	—	+9	-0.2
2023	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	50	43	10	1	1	2	7	12	0	0	0	233	340	442	782	209	276	24	14	347	124	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	227	198	41	6	0	4	25	59	1	4	2	207	299	298	597	91	270	26	11	274	68	-8	+0	—	—	+6	-0.2
2023	22	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	36	28	10	2	1	0	7	9	0	1	0	357	486	500	986	143	500	25	19	428	186	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	90	82	15	2	0	1	5	22	1	2	0	183	239	244	483	61	233	24	6	219	26	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	710	14	11	217	281	335	+8	+6	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	14	10	217	281	335	+7.1	+5.6	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sheng-Ping Chen (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	207/270/310	103	276	2	2	27%	7%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕LJ Talley 2022 · AA	25	41→48	44→45	48→50	45	208/267/323	115	265	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.9	224/286/345	121	283	13	11	24%	8%	76	+0.0	221/287/339	118	276	13	13	24%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	46→45	41	207/269/325	118	287	12	7	31%	7%	64	-0.8	206/275/323	117	358	13	8	42%	8%	66	-0.6	146/233/242	95	291	15	0	51%	8%	30	-0.7
✕Jacob Rhinesmith 2021 · A	25	41→44	42→45	49→50	45	202/264/307	105	253	9	11	24%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/319	108	281	9	9	27%	7%	66	-0.6	214/284/342	128	275	11	8	25%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	44	212/291/330	118	301	10	10	31%	8%	75	-0.0	206/288/340	134	295	14	14	32%	9%	76	+0.1	187/277/329	142	264	15	17	33%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕César Salazar 2021 · A	25	44→40	41→45	46→45	42	214/266/308	94	265	8	8	22%	5%	58	-1.2	208/275/342	134	258	16	8	26%	6%	72	-0.2	202/308/314	111	241	11	6	20%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Preston Beck 2016 · AA	25	41→44	42→45	48→45	48	204/272/313	109	254	9	8	23%	8%	62	-0.9	215/268/319	104	272	9	6	23%	6%	61	-1.0	214/263/314	100	274	9	3	24%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	43→40	40→45	45	45	209/273/307	97	268	7	7	24%	7%	60	-1.0	221/281/340	119	280	10	6	24%	7%	72	-0.2	221/283/352	131	272	12	3	22%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Anderson Miller 2019 · AA	25	42→45	45	48→50	39	214/254/333	119	278	13	11	28%	5%	59	-1.1	197/242/312	115	272	13	13	32%	5%	49	-1.8	169/220/275	106	237	15	16	35%	5%	27	-1.6
✕Orlando Martinez 2023 · AAA	25	44→45	44→50	45→50	39	217/260/333	116	296	11	9	30%	5%	61	-1.0	226/279/345	119	286	11	8	24%	7%	72	-0.2	231/297/326	95	291	7	9	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→29	40→45	49→60	37	191/259/277	86	288	7	12	34%	6%	48	-1.9	177/254/283	106	281	10	16	38%	8%	47	-1.9	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Nathan Panther 2006 · AA	25	44→43	45	47→45	48	220/287/338	118	273	13	9	24%	8%	75	-0.0	219/285/338	119	275	11	7	23%	8%	74	-0.1	217/286/341	124	268	11	5	23%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Dom Nuñez 2019 · AA	24	38→44	43→45	46→45	46	192/260/294	102	242	12	9	26%	8%	52	-1.6	187/269/327	140	259	16	7	33%	9%	66	-0.6	151/250/285	133	213	15	2	34%	11%	43	-1.1
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	42→43	43→45	50	42	207/270/323	116	273	10	12	27%	6%	63	-0.8	226/283/329	103	310	8	9	28%	6%	70	-0.3	228/286/321	93	317	7	7	29%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	42→39	42→55	51→45	40	203/257/318	115	292	9	7	32%	6%	56	-1.3	198/263/346	148	305	18	6	39%	8%	67	-0.5	190/258/353	163	284	21	5	39%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Aaron Antonini 2023 · AA	25	36	43→40	46→45	45	186/272/287	101	243	12	5	28%	8%	57	-1.2	209/287/330	121	292	13	9	31%	7%	74	-0.1	179/269/313	134	276	15	8	38%	7%	60	-0.2
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	43→48	44→45	48→40	41	210/276/328	118	297	12	6	32%	7%	68	-0.5	231/286/350	119	313	12	5	29%	6%	77	+0.1	234/292/346	112	318	10	2	28%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Chantz Mack 2016 · AA	25	43→45	42→45	45	44	209/271/314	105	285	9	6	29%	7%	61	-1.0	215/288/326	111	295	11	5	29%	9%	72	-0.2	212/292/321	109	285	12	3	28%	10%	70	-0.2