Kevin Martinez
P
DSL Colorado
Age 18
RHP
6'1" / 183 lbs
ROK
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 110
ERA4.86
FIP4.86
K%15.7%
BB%7.9%
K-BB%7.9%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 10 | 10 | 46 | 182 | 40 | 7 | 5 | 100% | 4.6 | 14.9% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.15 | 5.35 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 10 | 10 | 46 | 182 | 40 | 7 | 5 | 100% | 4.6 | 22.0% | 3.8% | 18.1% | 2.7% | 2.15 | 3.23 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 8 | 1 | 24 | 105 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 12% | 3.0 | 14.9% | 13.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.07 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | COL | 26 | 0 | 27 | 116 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 4.86 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 4.86 | 4.86 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | COL | — | — | 52 | 221 | 41 | 20 | 6 | — | — | 18.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 4.49 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | COL | 4 | 4 | 29 | 122 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 100% | 7.2 | 17.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | COL | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 7.0 | 17.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 7.1 | 17.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.31 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 28 | 28 | 200 | 844 | 141 | 71 | 28 | 100% | 7.1 | 17.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.31 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 18 | 11 | 70 | 287 | 43 | 22 | 12 | 61% | 3.9 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.82 | 5.21 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 31 | 200 | 816 | 122 | 64 | 35 | 61% | 3.9 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.82 | 5.21 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kevin Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.86 | 15.7% | 7.9% | 3.1% | — | 4.69 | 17.2% | 9.4% | 29 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Jose Cedeno R 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.66 | 15.3% | 9.7% | 3.0% | .271 | 3.54 | 21.5% | 12.9% | 88 | -1.12 | 2.95 | 123 | 86 |
| Wellington Caceres R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .306 | 5.82 | 13.1% | 2.1% | 68 | +1.66 | 4.16 | 121 | 86 |
| Yeison Santana R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.65 | 14.3% | 9.0% | 2.9% | .352 | 2.50 | 19.8% | 14.5% | 78 | -2.15 | 1.61 | 129 | 86 |
| Sean Paul Liñan R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.04 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .324 | 4.14 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 181 | +0.10 | 3.29 | 243 | 85 |
| Jose Espada R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.42 | 15.5% | 7.4% | 3.1% | .234 | 5.09 | 9.6% | 3.5% | 53 | +0.67 | 4.39 | 339 | 85 |
| Anthony Escobar R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.44 | 15.1% | 9.7% | 2.5% | .263 | 5.33 | 14.2% | -3.5% | 23 | +0.89 | 3.07 | 122 | 84 |
| Miguel Rondon R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.47 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .361 | 8.04 | 18.1% | 2.1% | 88 | +3.57 | 2.62 | 179 | 84 |
| Anderson Reynoso R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.06 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .308 | 4.43 | 13.0% | 5.2% | 68 | +0.37 | 3.56 | 122 | 84 |
| Luis Ojeda R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.45 | 12.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .344 | 5.39 | 12.1% | 3.7% | 92 | +0.94 | 4.45 | 131 | 84 |
| Gabriel Aguilera R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.94 | 12.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.14 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 46 | -0.80 | 3.14 | 244 | 84 |
| Charlie Neuweiler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.50 | 14.4% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .223 | 4.90 | 16.9% | 5.3% | 199 | +0.40 | 4.01 | 418 | 83 |
| Mike Garcia R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.11 | 17.7% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 125 | 83 |
| Williander Moreno R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.21 | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .302 | 5.34 | 20.2% | 10.1% | 57 | +1.13 | 3.05 | 246 | 83 |
| Anderson Vera R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.41 | 11.9% | 8.6% | 2.2% | .314 | 3.35 | 13.2% | 2.4% | 32 | -1.06 | 3.35 | 112 | 82 |
| Geno Encina R 2029 · 4.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.22 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .325 | 7.60 | 12.0% | 2.3% | 76 | +3.38 | 4.22 | 200 | 82 |
| Luis Florentino R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.74 | 14.5% | 8.7% | 1.4% | .254 | 6.15 | 16.4% | 3.8% | 60 | +2.41 | 3.74 | 110 | 82 |
| Kyle Weatherly R 2029 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.78 | 14.2% | 7.1% | 1.8% | .307 | 4.39 | 13.3% | 1.6% | 169 | +0.61 | 3.78 | 207 | 82 |
| Carlos Montilla R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 18 | SW | 5.52 | 15.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | .301 | 3.06 | 13.4% | 10.5% | 53 | -2.46 | 3.06 | 101 | 82 |
| Steven Fuentes R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.60 | 12.1% | 10.1% | 2.3% | .319 | 3.98 | 16.7% | 10.2% | 131 | -0.62 | 2.36 | 359 | 82 |
| Samuel Mejia R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.90 | 13.9% | 8.7% | 1.6% | .265 | 4.73 | 20.0% | 11.7% | 97 | +0.83 | 2.81 | 216 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 28 | 16.5% | 7.8% | 1.19 | 4.79 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |