Gabriel Sosa — OGILVIE

Gabriel Sosa P Everett AquaSox

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 182 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 130

ERA5.98

FIP5.98

K%18.2%

BB%18.9%

K-BB%-0.7%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL2525

CMD4040

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	6	2	18	78	12	4	1	33%	2.9	10.5%	6.4%	4.1%	1.8%	4.58	4.01	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	6	2	18	78	12	4	1	33%	2.9	15.4%	5.1%	10.3%	1.3%	4.58	3.16	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	16	5	41	183	48	16	3	31%	2.5	17.8%	10.9%	6.9%	2.3%	5.98	4.23	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	16	5	41	183	48	16	3	31%	2.5	26.2%	8.7%	17.5%	1.6%	5.98	2.88	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	0	23	100	27	8	2	0%	1.3	19.7%	8.2%	11.5%	3.6%	3.91	4.44	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	0	23	100	27	8	2	0%	1.3	27.0%	8.0%	19.0%	2.0%	3.91	2.93	—
2023	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	32	0	39	188	40	25	4	0%	1.2	15.7%	15.7%	0.1%	3.1%	5.77	5.48	—
2023	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	32	0	39	188	40	25	4	0%	1.2	21.3%	13.3%	8.0%	2.1%	5.77	4.31	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	38	190	58	22	4	0%	1.1	22.6%	13.9%	8.7%	2.0%	5.63	4.06	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	38	190	58	22	4	0%	1.1	22.6%	13.9%	8.7%	2.0%	5.63	4.06	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	38	190	58	22	4	0%	1.1	30.5%	11.6%	18.9%	2.1%	5.63	3.15	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	42	0	40	172	50	27	4	0%	1.0	22.4%	18.1%	4.3%	2.8%	2.90	5.04	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	42	0	40	172	50	27	4	0%	1.0	22.4%	18.1%	4.3%	2.8%	2.90	5.04	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	42	0	40	172	50	27	4	0%	1.0	29.1%	15.7%	13.4%	2.3%	2.90	3.92	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	21	0	19	115	19	19	3	0%	0.9	12.7%	19.0%	-6.3%	3.3%	12.57	6.22	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	21	0	19	115	19	19	3	0%	0.9	12.7%	19.0%	-6.3%	3.3%	12.57	6.22	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	21	0	19	115	19	19	3	0%	0.9	16.5%	16.5%	0.0%	2.6%	12.57	6.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	SEA	57	0	60	253	46	48	8	0%	1.1	18.2%	18.9%	-0.7%	3.0%	5.98	5.98	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	56	0	59	247	46	45	8	0%	1.0	18.7%	18.0%	0.7%	3.0%	5.84	5.85	-0.8
2029	28	MLB MLE	SEA	54	0	57	240	45	42	8	0%	1.1	18.9%	17.5%	1.5%	3.1%	5.78	5.82	-0.8
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	20	0	21	89	17	16	3	0%	1.1	18.7%	18.0%	0.7%	3.0%	5.84	5.85	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	SEA	31	0	33	139	26	24	4	0%	1.1	18.9%	17.5%	1.5%	3.1%	5.78	5.82	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	0	55	232	44	41	7	0%	1.1	18.9%	17.7%	1.2%	3.1%	5.80	5.45	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	149	25	0%	1.1	18.9%	17.7%	1.2%	3.1%	5.80	5.45	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		170	7	218	1026	186	142	27	4%	1.3	18.1%	13.8%	4.3%	2.7%	5.56	4.79	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	6	200	940	171	130	25	4%	1.3	18.1%	13.8%	4.3%	2.7%	5.56	4.79	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabriel Sosa (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.98	18.2%	18.9%	3.0%	—	5.84	18.8%	1.1%	115	-0.14	—	—	—
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	86
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	84
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	83
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	82
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	82
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	81
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	81
Jake Gozzo R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	26	SU	5.04	16.2%	17.6%	2.0%	.227	4.32	15.6%	-1.3%	32	-0.72	4.32	162	80
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	80
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	80
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	80
Manuel Alvarez R 2022 · 5.02 FIP	26	SU	5.02	20.3%	17.1%	2.7%	.330	6.63	11.8%	-14.8%	12	+1.61	4.58	154	80
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	80
Andrew Schultz R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	26	SU	4.87	18.9%	18.1%	1.9%	.311	3.86	23.3%	7.7%	84	-1.01	3.56	176	80
Livan Reinoso R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	15.1%	17.7%	1.5%	.229	5.67	16.1%	-2.1%	99	+0.77	4.36	219	79
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	79
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	79
Dusty Isaacs R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	26	SU	5.26	19.3%	14.1%	3.7%	.287	3.16	26.8%	20.6%	26	-2.10	3.16	253	79
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	79
Eli Villalobos R 2023 · 5.67 FIP	26	SU	5.67	17.7%	16.4%	3.6%	.316	5.72	19.5%	8.4%	36	+0.05	3.75	214	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	18.6%	18.2%	1.19	5.87
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68