Gabriel Sosa
P
Everett AquaSox
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 182 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140131vR 122
ERA5.40
FIP5.40
K%22.1%
BB%17.1%
K-BB%5.0%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 75 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 6 | 2 | 18 | 78 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33% | 2.9 | 10.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 4.58 | 4.01 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 6 | 2 | 18 | 78 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33% | 2.9 | 15.4% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 1.3% | 4.58 | 3.16 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 16 | 5 | 41 | 183 | 48 | 16 | 3 | 31% | 2.5 | 17.8% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 5.98 | 4.23 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 16 | 5 | 41 | 183 | 48 | 16 | 3 | 31% | 2.5 | 26.2% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 1.6% | 5.98 | 2.88 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 0 | 23 | 100 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 3.91 | 4.38 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 0 | 23 | 100 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.0% | 8.0% | 19.0% | 2.0% | 3.91 | 2.93 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 32 | 0 | 39 | 188 | 40 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.7% | 15.7% | 0.1% | 3.6% | 5.77 | 5.74 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 32 | 0 | 39 | 188 | 40 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.3% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 5.77 | 4.31 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 38 | 190 | 58 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 5.63 | 4.20 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 38 | 190 | 58 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.5% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 2.1% | 5.63 | 3.15 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 42 | 0 | 40 | 172 | 50 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 18.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.90 | 4.98 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 42 | 0 | 40 | 172 | 50 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.1% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 2.3% | 2.90 | 3.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 17 | 0 | 16 | 91 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 11.8% | 17.7% | -5.8% | 4.1% | 13.21 | 6.60 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SEA | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 55 | 43 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 17.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.40 | 5.40 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.1% | 17.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.40 | 5.40 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 75 | 342 | 69 | 57 | 10 | — | — | 20.3% | 16.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 7.03 | 5.65 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.1% | 17.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.40 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 56 | 41 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 16.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 5.28 | 5.27 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 56 | 39 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 5.23 | 5.24 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 54 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 5.24 | 5.27 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 25 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 16.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 5.28 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 35 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 5.23 | 5.24 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 41 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 5.24 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 100 | 0 | 105 | 445 | 100 | 71 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 15.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 5.25 | 4.88 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 135 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 15.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 5.25 | 4.88 | +1.2 | ||
| Career | — | 166 | 7 | 215 | 1002 | 182 | 136 | 29 | 4% | 1.3 | 18.2% | 13.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.49 | 4.85 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 7 | 200 | 934 | 170 | 127 | 27 | 4% | 1.3 | 18.2% | 13.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.49 | 4.85 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gabriel Sosa (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.40 | 22.1% | 17.1% | 2.9% | — | 5.26 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 175 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 91 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.37 | 3.28 | 197 | 91 |
| Zane Morehouse R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.86 | 19.3% | 15.8% | 2.5% | .321 | 6.20 | 18.6% | -0.4% | 17 | +1.34 | 2.62 | 116 | 89 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 88 |
| Carlos Contreras R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.30 | 22.2% | 15.6% | 2.0% | .271 | 4.65 | 11.9% | 2.4% | 40 | +0.35 | 4.30 | 107 | 88 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.04 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .270 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 42 | -1.57 | 3.47 | 146 | 87 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 87 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.39 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 2.3% | .326 | 4.55 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 79 | +0.16 | 3.96 | 242 | 85 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.50 | 20.5% | 16.2% | 2.0% | .351 | 3.67 | 14.2% | 4.6% | 18 | -0.83 | 3.67 | 108 | 85 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 85 |
| Christopher Troye R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.42 | 24.2% | 17.0% | 4.0% | .282 | 5.50 | 19.1% | -3.8% | 30 | +0.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 85 |
| Dakota Mekkes R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 1.8% | 70 | +0.30 | 2.99 | 246 | 85 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.37 | 19.6% | 14.7% | 3.8% | .256 | 3.94 | 15.0% | 5.6% | 61 | -1.43 | 3.94 | 189 | 84 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.46 | 19.0% | 15.0% | 1.9% | .326 | 4.33 | 22.0% | 5.9% | 87 | -0.13 | 4.13 | 217 | 84 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.0% | 16.1% | 2.6% | .229 | 4.27 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 142 | -0.79 | 3.89 | 272 | 84 |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 84 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 21.2% | 18.6% | 1.9% | .329 | 4.35 | 25.0% | 5.4% | 107 | -0.34 | 4.20 | 311 | 84 |
| Carter Loewen R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 23.1% | 15.0% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 11.9% | 23 | -0.07 | 2.67 | 145 | 83 |
| Kyle Wilcox R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.80 | 25.1% | 21.2% | 3.9% | .310 | 5.67 | 25.1% | -1.5% | 13 | -0.13 | 2.77 | 310 | 83 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.60 | 19.9% | 17.5% | 3.6% | .214 | 4.77 | 19.0% | 3.2% | 53 | -0.83 | 3.73 | 203 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 59 | 22.3% | 16.2% | 1.16 | 5.29 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |