Angel Carmona — OGILVIE

Angel CarmonaSS DSL Braves

Age 18 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .280 / .326

PA81

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO119

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$7M	+$5M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$7M	+$4M
2035	Arb-3	$7M	+1.4	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$38M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	91	79	15	4	1	2	9	27	2	4	1	190	289	342	631	152	255	30	10	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	91	75	19	5	2	2	13	19	2	4	1	253	378	453	831	200	309	21	14	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	ATL	—	81	74	15	3	1	1	6	22	1	1	0	203	272	311	582	108	280	27	7	276	69	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	ATL	34%	173	155	34	7	2	3	14	46	2	3	1	219	292	348	641	129	283	27	8	285	76	-5	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2028	20	MLB	ATL	48%	316	282	62	12	3	6	26	83	5	6	1	220	297	348	645	128	285	26	8	291	81	-7	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.4
2029	21	MLB	ATL	54%	426	382	85	17	4	9	35	111	6	8	2	223	298	359	657	136	287	26	8	296	84	-8	+1	-3	+5	+12	0.7
2030	22	MLB	ATL	57%	504	449	102	20	5	11	42	130	8	10	2	227	305	367	672	140	288	26	8	298	87	-8	+1	-4	+5	+14	1.0
2031	23	MLB	ATL	58%	556	497	113	22	5	13	46	143	8	11	2	227	303	370	673	143	289	26	8	300	88	-8	+1	-4	+6	+16	1.2
2032	24	MLB	ATL	57%	591	528	120	23	6	14	49	152	9	11	2	227	304	373	677	146	289	26	8	302	89	-7	+1	-4	+6	+17	1.3
2033	25	MLB	ATL	57%	611	546	124	24	6	14	51	157	9	12	2	227	304	370	674	143	290	26	8	303	90	-7	+2	-4	+7	+17	1.4
2034	26	MLB	ATL	57%	621	555	127	25	6	15	52	159	9	12	2	229	305	377	682	148	289	26	8	303	90	-7	+2	-4	+7	+18	1.5
2035	27	MLB	ATL	55%	623	556	127	25	6	15	53	160	9	12	3	228	306	376	682	147	289	26	9	303	90	-7	+1	-4	+7	+18	1.4
2036	28	MLB	ATL	59%	619	552	124	24	6	14	53	160	9	11	2	225	303	366	669	141	289	26	9	302	89	-7	+1	-5	+7	+18	1.3
2037	29	MLB	ATL	61%	610	543	123	24	6	14	53	159	9	11	2	227	306	370	676	144	288	26	9	300	88	-8	+1	-6	+7	+17	1.1
2038	30	MLB	ATL	62%	600	534	118	23	5	13	52	158	9	11	2	221	301	356	657	135	287	26	9	298	86	-9	+1	-6	+6	+17	0.9
2039	31	MLB	ATL	63%	586	522	115	22	5	13	50	156	9	10	2	220	299	356	656	136	285	27	9	294	83	-11	+1	-7	+6	+17	0.6
2040	32	MLB	ATL	64%	568	506	110	21	5	12	49	153	8	9	2	217	297	350	646	132	282	27	9	289	79	-13	+1	-8	+6	+16	0.2
2027	19	MLB	ATL	34%	59	53	11	2	1	1	5	16	1	1	0	208	288	340	628	132	283	27	8	275	69	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	ATL	48%	153	138	30	6	1	3	12	40	2	3	1	217	289	341	630	123	285	26	8	281	73	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.0
2029	21	MLB	ATL	54%	231	207	46	9	2	5	19	60	3	4	1	222	297	357	654	135	287	26	8	285	76	-6	+0	-2	+2	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB	ATL	57%	285	255	57	11	3	6	24	74	4	5	1	224	300	361	661	137	288	26	8	287	78	-7	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB	ATL	58%	320	285	65	13	3	7	27	82	5	6	1	228	306	368	674	140	289	26	8	289	79	-7	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB	ATL	57%	337	301	68	13	3	8	28	87	5	6	1	226	302	369	671	143	289	26	8	291	81	-7	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.4
2033	25	MLB	ATL	57%	347	310	70	14	3	8	29	89	5	7	1	226	302	368	670	142	290	26	8	291	81	-7	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.5
2034	26	MLB	ATL	57%	351	314	71	14	3	8	29	90	5	7	1	226	302	366	668	140	289	26	8	292	81	-7	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.5
2035	27	MLB	ATL	55%	346	309	70	14	3	8	29	89	5	7	1	227	303	369	672	142	289	26	8	292	82	-7	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.5
2036	28	MLB	ATL	59%	366	326	74	14	3	9	31	95	6	7	1	227	306	371	677	144	289	26	8	291	81	-8	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.4
2037	29	MLB	ATL	61%	372	331	73	14	3	8	32	97	6	7	1	221	301	353	654	133	288	26	9	289	80	-9	+1	-4	+4	+11	0.4
2038	30	MLB	ATL	62%	373	332	73	14	3	8	32	98	6	7	1	220	300	352	652	133	287	26	9	287	78	-9	+1	-4	+4	+11	0.2
2039	31	MLB	ATL	63%	370	330	72	14	3	8	32	98	5	6	1	218	297	352	649	133	285	26	9	283	75	-10	+1	-4	+4	+10	0.0
2040	32	MLB	ATL	64%	362	323	69	13	3	7	31	98	5	6	1	214	292	337	630	124	282	27	9	278	71	-12	+1	-5	+4	+10	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4272	3814	849	165	37	94	360	1113	63	79	13	223	300	359	659	137	287	26	8	288	78	-105	+11	-37	+46	+121	3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	129	25	6	14	55	169	10	12	2	222	301	359	659	136	287	26	8	288	78	-16	+2	-6	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	7576	6760	1514	296	72	169	640	1976	112	142	28	224	302	364	666	140	289	26	8	298	86	-118	+17	-64	+81	+215	13.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	129	25	6	14	55	170	10	12	2	222	301	359	659	136	288	26	8	298	86	-10	+2	-5	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	91	75	19	5	2	2	13	19	2	4	1	253	378	453	831	200	309	21	14	367	139	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,354	97	80	225	299	365	+47	+0	10.8	9.0
	/162	664	15	12	225	299	365	+7.1	+0.0	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Carmona (OGILVIE)	18	20→40	25→50	50	40	208/280/326	118	280	1	1	27%	8%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	102	+1.8	224/283/382	158	270	19	2	24%	5%	86	+0.4
✕Jeral Perez 2023 · A	18	42→41	47→50	49→45	47	214/282/352	138	263	14	7	24%	8%	76	+0.1	208/286/358	150	281	18	7	31%	9%	80	+0.4	201/277/358	157	269	20	6	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	42	41→45	48→40	42	201/285/303	102	283	9	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	214/290/334	120	285	13	5	28%	8%	76	+0.0	213/279/330	117	277	14	2	27%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Yohan Matos 2015 · A	18	44	43→45	51→45	42	216/276/330	114	300	10	8	30%	7%	68	-0.5	192/252/275	83	305	6	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→46	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	63	-0.9	210/268/306	96	286	7	34	27%	7%	58	-1.2	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2022 · A	18	43	46→55	48→40	40	211/281/338	127	310	14	7	35%	7%	73	-0.1	195/273/317	122	300	13	5	37%	8%	64	-0.8	202/290/390	188	286	26	2	37%	9%	87	+0.6