Angel Carmona — OGILVIE

Angel CarmonaSS DSL Braves

Age 18 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .278 / .320

PA6

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$7M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	91	75	19	5	2	2	13	19	2	4	1	253	378	453	831	200	309	21	14	367	135	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	91	79	15	4	1	2	9	27	2	4	1	190	289	342	631	152	234	30	10	261	63	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	91	79	15	4	1	2	9	27	2	4	1	190	289	342	631	152	255	30	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	91	75	19	5	2	2	13	19	2	4	1	253	378	453	831	200	309	21	14	367	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	91	80	15	4	1	2	9	27	2	4	1	188	289	338	626	150	234	30	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	91	80	15	4	1	2	9	27	2	4	1	188	289	338	626	150	234	30	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	18	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		280	33	0	272	71	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	173	155	34	7	2	3	14	47	2	3	1	219	292	348	641	129	283	27	8	282	77	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.0
2028	20	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	316	282	62	12	3	6	26	84	5	6	1	220	297	348	645	128	285	27	8	289	81	-7	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	426	382	84	16	4	9	35	111	6	8	2	220	296	353	649	134	286	26	8	293	85	-8	+1	-3	+5	+9	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	504	450	102	20	5	11	41	131	8	10	2	227	303	367	669	140	287	26	8	296	87	-8	+1	-4	+5	+11	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	ATL	58%	556	497	112	22	5	12	46	144	8	11	2	225	301	362	663	137	288	26	8	298	88	-8	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	591	528	119	23	6	13	49	152	9	11	2	225	302	366	668	140	289	26	8	300	89	-8	+1	-4	+6	+13	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	611	547	124	24	6	14	50	157	9	12	2	227	302	369	671	143	289	26	8	300	89	-8	+2	-4	+7	+13	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	621	556	125	24	6	14	51	160	9	12	2	225	300	365	665	140	289	26	8	301	90	-8	+2	-4	+7	+13	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	ATL	60%	623	557	125	24	6	14	52	161	9	12	3	224	301	364	665	140	289	26	8	301	90	-8	+1	-4	+7	+13	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	ATL	62%	619	553	125	24	6	14	52	161	9	11	2	226	303	367	670	141	289	26	8	300	89	-8	+1	-5	+7	+13	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	ATL	63%	610	544	122	23	6	14	52	160	9	11	2	224	302	366	668	142	288	26	9	298	88	-9	+1	-6	+7	+13	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	ATL	63%	600	535	119	23	6	13	51	159	9	11	2	222	301	361	662	138	287	26	8	296	86	-10	+1	-6	+6	+13	0.5
2039	31	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	586	522	114	22	5	12	50	157	9	10	2	218	298	349	646	130	285	27	9	292	84	-11	+1	-7	+6	+13	0.2
2040	32	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	568	507	108	20	5	11	48	154	8	9	2	213	291	337	629	124	282	27	8	287	80	-13	+1	-8	+6	+12	-0.2
2041	33	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	538	480	100	18	5	10	45	149	8	8	2	208	287	329	616	121	278	28	8	280	76	-16	+1	-8	+6	+12	-0.5
2027	19	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	59	53	12	2	1	1	5	16	1	1	0	226	305	358	664	132	283	27	8	272	77	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	153	138	31	6	2	3	12	41	2	3	1	225	296	362	658	138	285	27	8	278	81	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	231	207	46	9	2	5	19	60	3	4	1	222	297	357	654	135	286	26	8	282	85	-4	+0	-2	+2	+5	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	285	256	57	11	3	6	23	74	4	5	1	223	297	359	656	137	287	26	8	285	87	-5	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	ATL	58%	320	286	64	12	3	7	26	83	5	6	1	224	300	360	660	136	288	26	8	287	88	-5	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	337	301	68	13	3	8	28	87	5	6	1	226	302	369	671	143	289	26	8	289	89	-4	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	347	310	70	14	3	8	29	89	5	7	1	226	302	368	670	142	289	26	8	289	89	-4	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	351	314	71	14	3	8	29	90	5	7	1	226	302	366	668	140	289	26	8	290	90	-4	+1	-3	+4	+8	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	ATL	60%	373	333	76	14	4	9	31	96	6	7	1	228	305	375	681	147	289	26	8	290	90	-5	+1	-3	+4	+8	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	ATL	62%	383	342	78	15	4	9	32	99	6	7	1	228	305	374	680	146	289	26	8	289	89	-5	+1	-3	+4	+8	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	ATL	63%	383	341	78	15	4	9	33	100	6	7	1	229	308	375	683	147	288	26	9	287	88	-5	+1	-4	+4	+8	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	ATL	63%	381	339	75	14	4	8	33	101	6	7	1	221	302	357	659	136	287	27	9	285	86	-6	+1	-4	+4	+8	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	381	340	74	14	3	8	32	102	6	6	1	218	296	347	643	129	285	27	8	281	84	-7	+1	-5	+4	+8	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	369	330	70	13	3	7	31	100	5	6	1	212	290	333	623	121	282	27	8	276	80	-9	+1	-5	+4	+8	-0.1
2041	33	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	350	312	66	12	3	7	30	97	5	6	1	212	291	337	628	125	278	28	9	270	76	-10	+1	-5	+4	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4703	4202	936	178	45	103	393	1235	70	85	14	223	300	360	660	137	288	26	8	284	86	-79	+11	-43	+50	+102	4.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	129	25	6	14	54	171	10	12	2	222	299	358	657	136	288	26	8	284	86	-11	+2	-6	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	8039	7180	1591	306	77	172	671	2116	119	149	30	222	299	358	656	136	288	26	8	295	86	-133	+17	-71	+85	+172	7.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	129	25	6	14	54	171	10	12	2	222	299	358	657	136	288	26	8	295	86	-11	+1	-6	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.2	4,784	102	87	223	297	359	+51	+0	10.9	9.0
/162	664	14	12	+7.1	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 7
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Carmona (OGILVIE)	18	20→40	25→50	50	40	206/278/320	114	280	1	1	28%	8%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→50	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	196/245/302	106	303	10	7	37%	5%	53	-2.1	225/276/346	121	319	13	2	32%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	66	-1.1	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	67	-1.1	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→41	40→45	49→55	42	206/266/301	95	275	7	13	27%	6%	61	-1.5	209/266/312	103	295	9	17	31%	6%	63	-1.3	203/255/293	90	297	8	23	33%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	44	-2.8	221/272/301	80	288	7	19	24%	6%	63	-1.4	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→43	41→50	51→50	44	205/270/309	104	282	7	12	28%	7%	64	-1.3	200/251/288	88	282	6	11	30%	6%	52	-2.2	208/265/349	141	264	16	14	28%	6%	69	-0.6
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	63	-1.3	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	101	+1.4	221/281/376	155	266	19	2	24%	5%	85	+0.1
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2022 · A	18	42→43	45→55	48→30	39	205/275/323	119	306	12	7	35%	7%	70	-0.8	194/272/316	122	299	13	5	37%	8%	68	-1.0	202/297/392	190	283	25	2	36%	10%	92	+0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→41	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	58	-1.7	196/241/316	120	278	11	5	32%	5%	55	-2.0	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→46	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	52	-2.2	209/270/337	128	287	13	8	30%	7%	71	-0.8	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	44→45	43→50	47	201/290/315	114	282	12	6	31%	9%	74	-0.5	200/313/311	111	277	10	9	29%	11%	83	+0.1	178/321/293	116	239	11	11	27%	14%	82	+0.0
✕Jesus Vasquez 2010 · A	18	41	43→55	45→55	40	203/255/316	114	272	9	8	29%	5%	60	-1.6	209/267/336	127	280	13	13	29%	6%	70	-0.9	206/270/350	143	270	16	18	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→50	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	58	-1.7	242/287/359	117	276	12	5	17%	5%	82	-0.0	243/286/377	134	275	16	5	18%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	43→41	41→50	47→50	51	206/290/306	101	284	7	8	28%	10%	72	-0.7	190/261/308	118	286	11	9	35%	8%	61	-1.5	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps