Rayner Herrera

OF DSL Orioles Orange

Age 19 L/R 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Orioles O…	156	.184/.338/.336	4	12	19	—	.106/.234/.182
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLB—	266	.182/.264/.265	3	6	52	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	43	.187/.270/.277	1	1	57	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%84

Speed83

ISO78

BB%67

wOBA39

wRC+35

CompsVladi Gomez (age 18) · Yohairo Cuevas (age 20) · Marcos Torres (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 74 proj PA

wRC+52

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .262 / .263

PA74

HR1

K%30

BB%9

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	156	125	23	3	2	4	25	45	4	12	4	184	338	336	674	152	247	29	16	311	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	156	132	14	2	1	2	18	54	4	12	4	106	234	182	416	76	151	35	12	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	156	132	14	2	1	2	18	54	4	12	4	106	234	182	416	76	156	35	12	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	156	125	23	3	2	4	25	45	4	12	4	184	338	336	674	152	247	29	16	311	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	156	133	14	2	1	2	18	54	4	12	4	105	234	180	414	75	151	35	12	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	156	133	14	2	1	2	18	54	4	12	4	105	234	180	414	75	151	35	12	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	266	238	43	7	2	3	23	81	3	6	1	182	264	265	529	84	258	30	9	245	52	-15	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	124	110	21	3	1	2	11	37	2	3	1	187	270	277	547	91	262	30	9	252	57	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	43	38	7	1	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	187	270	277	547	91	262	30	9	252	57	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	43	38	7	1	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	184	279	289	569	105	250	30	9	252	39	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	106	15	0	15	60	197	15	15	0	185	278	289	568	105	251	30	9	252	39	-33	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	354	309	48	7	3	5	35	114	7	17	5	155	256	246	502	91	224	32	10	226	39	-11	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	89	13	6	9	64	209	13	31	9	157	258	249	506	92	227	32	10	226	39	-35	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rayner Herrera (OGILVIE)	19	20	35	60	60	180/262/263	83	258	1	2	30%	9%	52	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Vladi Gomez 2024 · A	18	34	38→30	55→65	49	165/258/243	77	232	5	14	29%	10%	47	-2.6	177/267/241	64	248	3	28	27%	10%	49	-2.4	170/262/223	53	238	2	43	27%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Marcos Torres 2024 · A	19	36→39	42→45	54→55	42	177/262/280	103	265	9	18	34%	8%	56	-1.9	180/252/283	103	293	9	19	39%	8%	52	-2.2	177/246/289	112	279	10	24	38%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Darlyn De Leon 2024 · A	19	37	34→40	55	47	172/261/228	56	244	1	17	28%	8%	44	-2.8	196/273/280	84	271	6	21	28%	8%	59	-1.6	188/263/280	92	256	8	27	28%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Elis Cuevas 2024 · A	19	41	37→40	51→65	45	195/270/275	80	270	3	14	27%	8%	57	-1.8	199/275/294	95	266	9	32	27%	7%	63	-1.3	188/268/283	95	252	12	43	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	187/279/277	90	259	6	12	28%	9%	61	-1.5	182/288/248	66	288	3	14	34%	10%	59	-1.6	160/281/212	51	264	2	16	35%	11%	47	-1.3
✕Sandy Acevedo 2012 · A	19	37	36→40	50	41	179/245/245	67	256	3	12	30%	6%	40	-3.0	179/255/273	94	247	6	10	28%	8%	51	-2.2	147/236/256	109	194	8	10	27%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Roni Cabrera 2024 · A	19	39	38→45	54→55	47	186/265/271	85	255	5	11	27%	8%	55	-2.0	182/254/288	106	286	10	14	37%	7%	54	-2.0	162/238/271	109	264	12	18	41%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2016 · A	19	34	36→30	51→50	44	167/239/232	64	246	4	10	32%	8%	35	-3.4	178/236/251	73	240	5	9	26%	6%	38	-3.2	162/218/231	69	210	4	8	24%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	38	39→40	56→55	44	185/255/267	82	238	6	20	24%	6%	50	-2.3	204/263/292	88	285	6	19	29%	6%	57	-1.8	204/262/297	93	286	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Jonathan Mejía 2024 · A	19	35	39→45	52→50	47	168/269/256	88	264	6	9	35%	10%	53	-2.1	183/267/281	98	305	9	15	39%	9%	58	-1.7	169/262/280	111	278	11	16	40%	10%	54	-0.9
✕Cole Roederer 2019 · A	19	42→33	43→45	53→50	41	206/262/319	113	294	11	15	33%	7%	63	-1.3	193/263/293	100	293	9	12	34%	8%	59	-1.7	190/258/306	116	276	13	12	34%	8%	59	-1.0
✕Jose Pirela 2024 · A	18	39→35	38→45	48→50	47	185/272/266	81	257	4	10	28%	8%	57	-1.8	168/242/269	101	276	9	9	40%	6%	46	-2.6	157/231/267	110	255	11	11	41%	6%	39	-1.7
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	37	39→40	53→45	48	183/256/271	88	235	7	14	24%	8%	51	-2.3	189/256/271	82	249	6	10	25%	7%	51	-2.3	153/243/231	78	239	5	5	35%	9%	36	-1.0
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Gabriel Terrero 2023 · A	19	35	36→45	51→45	45	170/255/232	62	249	4	12	31%	8%	42	-2.9	181/255/274	93	289	7	9	37%	8%	51	-2.2	144/225/255	111	233	9	7	39%	8%	34	-1.3
✕Franyerber Montilla 2024 · A	19	36	39→40	49→55	49	177/264/261	84	248	6	14	29%	10%	52	-2.2	194/278/289	95	284	8	22	31%	10%	64	-1.3	184/275/279	96	271	9	29	32%	10%	58	-0.9
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	33	36→40	54→50	51	159/256/227	68	220	2	11	26%	10%	42	-2.9	182/263/253	71	238	3	14	23%	8%	49	-2.4	139/229/187	48	171	0	27	17%	8%	19	-1.2
✕Danny Drullard 2019 · A	19	37	39→40	51→50	49	180/256/266	86	237	6	10	26%	9%	49	-2.4	185/253/271	86	259	6	9	29%	8%	49	-2.4	152/225/238	86	207	7	8	29%	8%	29	-1.7