Oliver Guerrero

OF DSL Rangers Blue
Age 19 L/R 6'3" / 200 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKDSL Rangers R…195.245/.381/.4097438—.155/.268/.226
202618ROKDSL Rangers B…195.217/.411/.4629155—.129/.289/.258
2027PROJMLE19MLBTEX305.197/.281/.2914464-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBTEX53.203/.287/.3071169-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO92
BB%85
Chase%82
wOBA69
wRC+64
K%29
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsLuis Castillo (age 19) · Iverson Leonardo (age 19) · Edwin Sanchez (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 102 proj PA
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .279 / .288
PA102
HR1
K%28
BB%9
ISO93
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Rangers Red — 195159 39127 30435 40 245381409790 164291 2215 359 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROKDSL Rangers Blue — 195143 31809 41516 11 217411462872 245250 2621 383 55 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 195168 26113 21525 40 155268226494 71195 2711 224 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 195155 20505 29626 11 129289258548 129149 3215 249 55 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 195168 26113 21525 40 155268226494 71202 2711 224 38 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Rangers Red — 195159 39127 30435 40 245381409790 164291 2215 359 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 195155 20505 29626 11 129289258548 129161 3215 249 55 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWDSL Rangers Blue — 195143 31809 41516 11 217411462872 245250 2621 383 55 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 195167 26113 21525 40 156268228496 72195 2711 224 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 195158 20505 29626 11 127289253543 127149 3215 249 55 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 195167 26113 21525 40 156268228496 72195 2711 224 38 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 195158 20505 29626 11 127289253543 127149 3215 249 55 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLETEX 0% 305270 53824 28874 41 197281291572 93269 299 263 64 -13 +0 +0 -2 +7 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLETEX 34% 153136 27412 14432 21 202286303590 101272 289 270 69 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.3
202820 MLB CTXTEX 34% 5347 9101 5151 10 203287307594 104272 289 272 69 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5347 9101 5151 10 191283277560 85258 289 272 54 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650576 11012012 6118412 120 191282274556 83258 289 272 54 -24 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 645550 9113311 7318614 82 165279260539 95222 2911 249 54 -10 +0 +0 -2 +6 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650554 9113311 7418714 82 164279258537 94220 2911 249 54 -25 +1 +0 -4 +14 -1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Rangers Blue · 195 PAwOBA .384 → .249 (−135)K% 26.2% → 31.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.15%÷1.000×1.220——31.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.03%÷1.000×0.700—×1.00814.83%
HBP% /PA3.08%—×0.700—×1.0082.17%
Singles /BIP15.22%÷1.000×0.680×0.957×1.0089.98%
Doubles /BIP8.70%÷1.000×0.600×0.957×1.0085.03%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600×0.957×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP9.78%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0084.63%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .384 → .249; ISO .245 → .132; BABIP .250 → .149. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 195 PAwOBA .352 → .224 (−127)K% 22.1% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.05%÷1.004×1.220——26.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.38%÷1.034×0.700—×1.02210.65%
HBP% /PA2.56%—×0.700—×1.0221.84%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.993×0.680×1.002×1.02217.54%
Doubles /BIP0.86%÷1.108×0.600×1.002×1.0220.48%
Triples /BIP1.72%÷0.900×0.600×1.002×1.0221.18%
Home runs /BIP6.03%÷1.259×0.470—×1.0222.30%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 99, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .352 → .224; ISO .164 → .073; BABIP .291 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).