Oliver Guerrero — OGILVIE

Oliver GuerreroOF DSL Rangers Blue

Age 18 L/R 6'3" / 200 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION130 act + 86 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .288 / .313

PA86

HR2

K%30

BB%10

BABIP267

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.6M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
Totals		$11M		$18M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	195	172	29	1	2	3	17	61	5	4	0	169	263	250	513	81	239	31	9	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	195	159	39	1	2	7	30	43	5	4	0	245	381	409	790	164	291	22	15	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TEX	—	130	105	18	4	0	6	18	45	3	1	0	171	310	381	690	210	207	35	14	309	95	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
YTD	18	ROK	TEX	—	130	94	23	5	0	8	29	31	3	1	0	245	437	553	990	309	254	24	22	420	179	+12	+0	+0	-1	+4	1.5
ROS	18	ROK	TEX	0%	86	76	15	3	0	2	9	26	1	1	0	196	288	313	602	117	259	30	10	278	71	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		261	—	—	269	64	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TEX	—	130	106	18	4	0	6	18	45	3	1	0	170	310	377	687	208	203	35	14	309	95	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
TOT	18	ROK	TEX	—	216	181	33	7	0	8	27	71	4	2	0	182	301	352	653	171	234	33	12	297	85	-4	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TEX	34%	262	230	47	8	1	7	26	75	4	3	1	204	296	339	635	135	266	29	10	288	79	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	TEX	48%	385	338	71	12	2	11	38	107	6	6	2	210	301	355	656	145	269	28	10	295	84	-7	+0	+0	-2	+11	0.2
2029	21	MLB	TEX	54%	477	419	90	15	3	14	47	130	8	7	2	215	306	365	671	150	272	27	10	299	87	-7	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.5
2030	22	MLB	TEX	57%	541	474	102	17	3	16	53	146	9	8	2	215	306	365	671	150	273	27	10	303	90	-6	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.7
2031	23	MLB	TEX	58%	585	512	111	19	3	17	58	157	10	9	3	217	309	365	674	148	274	27	10	304	91	-6	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.8
2032	24	MLB	TEX	57%	614	538	118	20	3	19	61	165	10	10	3	219	310	374	684	154	275	27	10	306	92	-5	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.9
2033	25	MLB	TEX	57%	627	550	119	20	3	19	62	168	10	10	3	216	307	367	674	151	275	27	10	307	93	-5	+1	+0	-4	+18	1.0
2034	26	MLB	TEX	57%	634	556	120	20	3	19	63	170	10	10	3	216	307	365	672	149	274	27	10	307	93	-5	+1	+0	-4	+18	1.0
2035	27	MLB	TEX	55%	634	555	120	20	3	19	64	170	10	10	3	216	308	366	674	150	274	27	10	307	93	-5	+1	+0	-4	+18	1.0
2036	28	MLB	TEX	55%	629	550	119	20	3	19	64	170	10	10	3	216	309	367	677	151	273	27	10	306	92	-6	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.9
2037	29	MLB	TEX	58%	619	541	115	19	3	18	63	168	10	9	3	213	306	359	665	146	273	27	10	304	91	-7	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.7
2038	30	MLB	TEX	60%	609	532	114	19	3	18	62	167	10	9	2	214	308	363	671	148	271	27	10	301	89	-8	+1	-2	-4	+17	0.5
2039	31	MLB	TEX	62%	595	519	109	18	3	17	61	165	10	8	2	210	305	355	660	145	269	28	10	297	85	-10	+1	-3	-4	+17	0.2
2040	32	MLB	TEX	63%	576	503	104	17	3	16	59	162	9	8	2	207	301	348	649	141	265	28	10	292	81	-12	+1	-4	-3	+16	-0.2
2027	19	MLB	TEX	34%	90	80	16	3	0	2	9	26	1	1	0	200	289	312	601	112	267	29	10	279	72	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	TEX	48%	187	164	35	6	1	5	18	52	3	3	1	213	303	354	656	140	271	28	10	285	76	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	TEX	54%	259	228	49	8	1	8	25	71	4	4	1	215	304	364	668	149	273	27	10	289	79	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2030	22	MLB	TEX	57%	306	268	59	10	2	9	30	83	5	5	1	220	310	373	683	153	275	27	10	292	82	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.1
2031	23	MLB	TEX	58%	337	296	65	11	2	10	33	91	5	5	1	220	308	372	680	152	275	27	10	294	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2032	24	MLB	TEX	57%	350	306	67	11	2	11	35	94	6	6	2	219	311	376	687	157	276	27	10	295	84	-6	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2033	25	MLB	TEX	57%	356	312	69	12	2	11	35	95	6	6	2	221	312	378	690	157	276	27	10	296	85	-6	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2034	26	MLB	TEX	57%	359	314	69	12	2	11	36	96	6	6	2	220	312	376	688	156	276	27	10	296	85	-6	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2035	27	MLB	TEX	55%	352	308	67	11	2	11	35	94	6	6	2	218	309	373	683	156	276	27	10	296	85	-6	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2036	28	MLB	TEX	55%	345	301	66	11	2	11	35	93	6	5	2	219	313	379	692	159	275	27	10	295	84	-6	+0	-0	-2	+10	0.1
2037	29	MLB	TEX	58%	360	314	68	11	2	11	37	98	6	5	2	217	311	369	680	153	274	27	10	293	83	-7	+0	-1	-2	+10	0.0
2038	30	MLB	TEX	60%	367	320	69	11	2	11	38	101	6	5	2	216	310	366	676	150	273	28	10	291	81	-8	+0	-1	-2	+10	-0.1
2039	31	MLB	TEX	62%	367	320	68	11	2	11	38	102	6	5	1	212	308	362	670	150	270	28	10	287	78	-9	+1	-2	-2	+10	-0.2
2040	32	MLB	TEX	63%	362	316	66	11	2	10	37	102	6	5	1	209	304	351	655	142	267	28	10	281	74	-11	+1	-2	-2	+10	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4397	3848	833	139	24	132	441	1198	72	67	20	216	309	368	677	152	276	27	10	292	81	-92	+5	-6	-26	+125	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	125	21	4	20	65	177	11	10	3	220	312	376	688	156	279	27	10	292	81	-14	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	8068	7065	1503	248	41	234	807	2207	132	122	34	213	305	359	664	146	272	27	10	300	88	-111	+11	-10	-48	+229	7.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	121	20	3	19	65	178	11	10	3	213	305	359	664	146	272	27	10	300	88	-9	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	195	159	39	1	2	7	30	43	5	4	0	245	381	409	790	164	291	22	15	359	133	+7	+1	—	—	+6	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,570	133	70	215	303	363	-27	+0	4.3	3.9
	/162	664	19	10	215	303	363	-4.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Oliver Guerrero (OGILVIE)	18	35	40	45	55	182/301/352	171	234	8	2	33%	12%	85	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Randel Alcantara 2015 · A	18	40	43→45	41→45	42	200/268/307	107	273	11	4	30%	7%	59	-1.1	200/265/309	109	265	8	6	26%	6%	58	-1.2	186/252/305	119	241	8	6	25%	5%	48	-0.6
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	44→45	43→50	46	200/288/314	114	285	12	6	32%	9%	70	-0.3	198/309/305	107	277	9	9	29%	11%	78	+0.2	174/315/284	109	237	10	11	27%	13%	75	+0.0
✕Jose Quero 2018 · A	19	42	40	43→30	44	208/266/294	86	269	9	3	26%	6%	54	-1.4	194/253/293	99	250	9	5	25%	7%	48	-1.9	196/247/344	148	225	15	4	21%	6%	63	-0.2
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→44	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	59	-1.1	188/250/298	110	251	9	7	28%	7%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	41	41→50	46→45	44	205/260/295	90	268	9	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	207/258/303	96	281	7	7	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/277/353	132	285	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Luis Barrera 2014 · A	18	37→47	43→45	47→50	47	186/254/303	117	227	10	7	23%	7%	52	-1.6	193/246/273	80	269	5	7	28%	6%	40	-2.4	237/281/345	108	308	5	17	24%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	63	-0.9	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	40→45	46→45	47	181/281/275	94	294	7	6	37%	11%	57	-1.2	183/259/259	76	293	5	6	36%	9%	43	-2.2	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Jesus Vasquez 2010 · A	18	41	43→55	45→55	40	203/255/316	114	272	9	8	29%	5%	55	-1.4	209/267/336	127	280	13	13	29%	6%	66	-0.6	206/270/350	143	270	16	18	29%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Héctor Rodríguez 2022 · A	18	46→50	43→50	43→50	44	224/277/336	112	272	10	9	22%	6%	69	-0.4	228/267/352	124	277	10	13	21%	4%	69	-0.4	238/278/383	145	274	17	10	20%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	43→45	38→45	46→50	44	201/275/277	76	311	6	9	35%	9%	54	-1.4	211/298/310	99	331	7	14	35%	9%	72	-0.2	226/292/355	129	316	11	14	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	190/267/305	115	300	11	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	154/245/264	110	254	11	8	41%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Michaelangel Trinidad 2007 · A	18	42	41→60	41→40	48	203/286/299	96	288	8	5	30%	10%	65	-0.7	206/287/329	123	278	13	4	29%	8%	73	-0.1	198/278/357	160	241	21	1	27%	7%	80	+0.1