Rainer Espinoza

OF DSL Giants Black

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 183 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	16	ROKDSL Giants Or…	132	.198/.417/.344	3	5	51	—	.125/.311/.221
2026	17	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	29	.192/.250/.346	1	0	-10	—	.111/.143/.148
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBSF	139	.204/.295/.292	1	4	70	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBSF	46	.205/.297/.299	1	1	75	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBSF	139	.209/.302/.310	2	4	79	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%96

Chase%93

Speed82

ISO76

wOBA75

wRC+72

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsEddys Leonard (age 18) · Yunior Garcia (age 18) · Gilberto Celestino (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .293 / .289

PA44

HR0

K%29

BB%10

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	16	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	96	19	3	1	3	31	31	5	5	0	198	417	344	760	146	258	23	23	363	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	29	26	5	1	0	1	2	11	0	0	0	192	250	346	596	154	267	38	7	258	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	104	13	2	1	2	23	39	5	5	0	125	311	221	532	96	165	30	17	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	29	27	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	111	143	148	291	37	171	45	3	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	104	13	2	1	2	23	39	5	5	0	125	311	221	532	96	175	30	17	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	96	19	3	1	3	31	31	5	5	0	198	417	344	760	146	258	23	23	363	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	29	27	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	111	143	148	291	37	200	45	3	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	29	26	5	1	0	1	2	11	0	0	0	192	250	346	596	154	267	38	7	258	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	103	13	2	1	2	23	39	5	5	0	126	311	223	534	97	165	30	17	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	29	28	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	107	143	143	286	36	171	45	3	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	103	13	2	1	2	23	39	5	5	0	126	311	223	534	97	165	30	17	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	29	28	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	107	143	143	286	36	171	45	3	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	SF	0%	139	122	24	4	1	1	14	40	2	4	1	204	295	292	587	88	287	29	10	271	70	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	SF	34%	135	119	25	4	1	2	13	38	2	4	1	209	300	305	606	97	290	28	10	279	75	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	SF	48%	286	251	53	9	2	4	28	80	5	9	3	213	305	317	622	104	291	28	10	285	79	-7	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2030	21	MLB MLE	SF	54%	403	353	77	13	3	7	40	111	7	13	4	217	308	328	636	111	292	28	10	290	83	-8	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	SF	57%	487	428	94	16	4	9	48	133	8	16	5	220	310	337	647	117	293	27	10	295	86	-8	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	SF	58%	544	477	106	18	4	11	53	147	9	18	6	222	312	345	657	122	294	27	10	298	88	-8	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	SF	57%	581	510	114	19	4	12	57	156	9	19	6	224	313	348	661	124	295	27	10	300	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	SF	57%	603	529	119	20	4	13	59	162	10	19	7	224	314	350	664	126	295	27	10	301	90	-7	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	SF	57%	615	539	121	20	5	13	61	165	10	20	7	224	314	352	666	127	295	27	10	301	90	-7	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.4
2036	27	MLB MLE	SF	55%	617	541	120	20	4	13	61	167	10	20	7	223	313	349	662	126	294	27	10	300	89	-8	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	SF	55%	614	539	119	20	4	13	60	167	10	19	7	221	311	344	655	123	293	27	10	297	87	-9	+1	-1	-4	+13	0.1
2038	29	MLB MLE	SF	53%	605	532	116	19	4	12	59	167	9	18	7	219	308	338	645	119	292	28	10	294	85	-11	+1	-1	-4	+13	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	SF	34%	46	40	8	1	0	1	5	13	1	1	0	205	297	299	596	93	286	28	11	275	75	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	SF	48%	139	122	25	4	1	2	14	39	2	4	1	209	302	310	612	101	288	28	10	281	79	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	SF	54%	219	191	41	7	2	3	22	60	4	7	2	213	305	320	625	107	289	27	10	286	83	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2031	22	MLB CTX	SF	57%	276	242	53	9	2	5	27	75	5	9	3	216	307	328	635	112	289	27	10	290	86	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2032	23	MLB CTX	SF	58%	313	274	60	10	2	6	31	84	5	10	3	219	309	336	644	117	290	27	10	293	88	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2033	24	MLB CTX	SF	57%	331	290	63	11	2	6	33	89	5	11	4	220	310	339	649	119	291	27	10	295	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2034	25	MLB CTX	SF	57%	342	299	67	11	3	7	34	92	6	11	4	220	310	341	651	121	291	27	10	296	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2035	26	MLB CTX	SF	57%	348	305	68	12	3	7	34	94	6	11	4	220	310	342	652	122	291	27	10	296	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2036	27	MLB CTX	SF	55%	342	300	65	11	2	7	34	92	5	11	4	219	309	339	649	120	290	27	10	295	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2037	28	MLB CTX	SF	55%	337	296	64	11	2	6	33	92	5	10	4	217	307	335	642	118	289	27	10	292	87	-5	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.0
2038	29	MLB CTX	SF	53%	324	284	61	10	2	6	32	89	5	10	4	215	304	329	633	114	288	27	10	289	85	-6	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3017	2643	575	97	21	56	299	819	49	95	33	218	309	334	642	116	291	27	10	292	85	-46	+6	-1	-18	+65	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	124	21	5	12	64	176	11	20	7	218	309	336	645	118	291	27	10	292	85	-10	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5695	4988	1087	182	40	111	567	1558	95	181	60	218	310	337	647	119	292	27	10	294	85	-87	+11	-2	-33	+120	0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	125	21	5	13	65	178	11	21	7	220	312	343	654	123	294	27	10	294	85	-10	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Jack Rothrock'25-'37 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,719 PA	5.6	3,719	28	75	248*	313*	376*	-15	-14	2.5	4.0
/162	664	5	13	-2.7	-2.5	0.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.6	3,061	60	97	222	308	343	-18	+0	2.6	2.6
/162	664	13	21	-4.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#5Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rainer Espinoza (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	202/293/289	87	287	0	1	29%	10%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	35→45	40→45	52→30	43	176/241/269	92	235	7	10	27%	7%	45	-2.7	192/242/291	99	291	9	7	36%	5%	49	-2.4	228/278/346	118	323	12	2	32%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Arnaldo Lantigua 2024 · A	18	37→43	42→50	47→40	47	184/259/284	100	247	10	8	28%	9%	55	-1.9	194/272/317	123	257	13	6	28%	9%	68	-1.0	193/275/323	131	258	14	4	29%	9%	68	-0.6
●Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	40→50	38→45	53→50	45	192/255/278	86	256	4	11	26%	7%	51	-2.2	206/244/285	79	280	4	10	26%	4%	48	-2.5	276/309/387	111	347	6	13	22%	4%	93	+0.7
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2022 · A	18	40→44	41→60	48→30	43	194/269/292	98	274	9	7	31%	7%	61	-1.5	193/270/310	117	291	12	5	35%	8%	65	-1.2	207/300/402	195	286	26	2	35%	10%	96	+0.8
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	37→41	41→55	44→45	47	183/257/274	91	240	9	9	26%	8%	52	-2.2	199/262/315	116	251	12	9	25%	7%	63	-1.3	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	39→36	41→60	47→50	46	193/265/292	98	258	9	12	28%	8%	59	-1.7	209/266/356	147	291	17	11	33%	7%	74	-0.5	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
●Jahmai Jones 2016 · A	18	43→51	38→50	50	42	204/262/285	80	276	5	16	27%	6%	55	-1.9	230/286/334	104	297	8	16	24%	6%	76	-0.4	250/346/426	175	326	16	18	26%	11%	116	+1.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	41→51	40→45	50→65	42	201/260/289	88	279	8	16	30%	6%	56	-1.9	234/302/339	105	318	8	38	27%	8%	83	+0.1	239/313/347	108	322	9	47	26%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	41→51	41→50	49→55	45	201/256/299	98	254	8	12	24%	7%	56	-1.9	233/299/372	139	304	15	16	27%	8%	90	+0.6	241/309/383	142	307	16	19	26%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	39→49	37→50	52→50	44	188/256/263	75	240	4	13	23%	6%	49	-2.4	204/253/296	92	279	8	9	29%	4%	55	-2.0	252/302/391	139	320	16	11	25%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	42→52	40→55	48→55	39	205/259/302	97	291	7	13	31%	6%	59	-1.7	227/277/345	118	314	10	16	29%	6%	74	-0.5	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Robert Calaz 2024 · A	18	44→42	42→50	53→50	46	210/288/317	107	285	8	8	28%	8%	74	-0.6	218/284/351	133	327	13	10	35%	7%	80	-0.2	207/271/338	131	322	14	10	38%	7%	69	-0.6

Rainer Espinoza

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps