Yulian Barreto

SS ACL Giants

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 201 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1133ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Giants Or…	227	.322/.455/.394	1	9	72	—	.216/.335/.263
2026	18	ROKSF	173	.242/.335/.329	2	5	33	—	.174/.247/.226
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBSF	283	.210/.280/.291	3	5	63	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBSF	48	.211/.283/.299	1	1	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBSF	118	.215/.288/.311	2	2	74	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed59

Z-Con%38

ISO34

Whiff%34

K%32

wRC+18

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsKevin Alcántara (age 19) · Yunior Garcia (age 18) · Dustin Peterson (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 90 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .277 / .288

PA90

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	227	180	58	6	2	1	36	33	8	9	4	322	455	394	850	72	383	15	16	389	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	ACL Giants	—	173	149	36	5	1	2	14	44	7	5	1	242	335	329	664	87	324	25	8	303	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	227	190	41	4	1	1	26	41	8	9	4	216	335	263	598	47	261	18	11	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	173	155	27	3	1	1	8	63	7	5	1	174	247	226	473	52	269	36	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	227	190	41	4	1	1	26	41	8	9	4	216	335	263	598	47	265	18	11	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	227	180	58	6	2	1	36	33	8	9	4	322	455	394	850	72	383	15	16	389	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	173	155	27	3	1	1	8	63	7	5	1	174	247	226	473	52	280	36	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	—	173	149	36	5	1	2	14	44	7	5	1	242	335	329	664	87	324	25	8	303	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	227	191	41	4	1	1	26	41	8	9	4	215	335	262	597	47	261	18	11	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	173	156	27	3	1	1	8	63	7	5	1	173	247	224	471	51	269	36	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	227	191	41	4	1	1	26	41	8	9	4	215	335	262	597	47	261	18	11	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	173	156	27	3	1	1	8	63	7	5	1	173	247	224	471	51	269	36	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	SF	0%	283	257	54	8	2	3	20	79	4	5	1	210	280	291	570	81	288	28	7	261	63	-12	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	SF	34%	141	128	27	4	1	2	10	38	2	3	1	215	286	306	592	91	290	27	7	270	69	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	SF	48%	243	219	48	7	2	4	18	65	4	5	1	219	291	318	609	100	291	27	7	277	74	-8	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	SF	54%	355	319	70	11	2	6	27	94	6	7	2	222	294	328	623	106	292	26	8	282	77	-10	+1	+1	+4	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	SF	57%	428	385	87	14	3	8	33	112	7	8	3	225	297	336	633	111	293	26	8	287	80	-10	+0	+1	+5	+9	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	SF	57%	474	426	97	16	3	9	37	122	8	9	3	227	299	342	642	115	293	26	8	290	82	-10	+1	+1	+5	+10	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	SF	57%	501	449	102	16	3	10	39	129	8	9	3	227	300	343	643	116	293	26	8	290	83	-10	+1	+2	+5	+11	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	SF	56%	516	463	105	17	3	10	40	133	8	10	3	227	300	343	643	116	293	26	8	290	83	-11	+1	+2	+6	+11	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	SF	55%	520	467	105	17	3	10	40	135	8	9	3	226	299	340	639	115	293	26	8	289	82	-11	+1	+2	+6	+11	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	SF	55%	516	463	105	17	3	10	40	135	8	9	3	224	297	336	633	112	292	26	8	286	80	-12	+1	+1	+6	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	SF	53%	505	453	101	16	3	9	39	134	8	8	3	222	294	330	624	108	291	27	8	283	78	-13	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	SF	34%	48	43	9	1	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	211	283	299	582	88	286	27	8	266	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	SF	48%	118	106	24	4	1	2	9	32	2	2	1	215	288	311	599	96	287	27	8	273	74	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	SF	54%	193	173	37	6	1	3	15	51	3	4	1	218	291	320	611	102	288	26	8	278	77	-5	+0	+1	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	SF	57%	242	217	49	8	2	4	19	63	4	5	2	221	294	328	621	107	289	26	8	282	80	-6	+0	+1	+3	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	SF	57%	268	241	54	9	2	5	21	69	4	5	2	223	296	333	629	111	289	26	8	285	82	-6	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	SF	57%	283	255	56	9	2	5	22	73	4	5	2	223	296	334	630	111	289	26	8	285	83	-6	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	SF	56%	291	261	59	10	2	5	23	75	5	5	2	223	296	334	630	111	289	26	8	285	83	-6	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	SF	55%	288	260	57	9	2	5	22	75	4	5	2	222	295	332	627	110	289	26	8	284	82	-6	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	SF	55%	283	255	56	9	2	5	22	74	4	5	2	220	293	327	621	107	288	26	8	281	80	-7	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	SF	53%	270	243	53	9	2	4	21	71	4	4	2	218	291	322	612	104	287	26	8	278	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2284	2054	454	74	16	39	178	596	35	41	16	221	294	330	624	109	291	26	8	282	77	-54	+2	+6	+24	+49	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	129	21	5	11	51	170	10	12	5	221	295	330	624	109	290	26	8	282	77	-15	+1	+2	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4689	4200	933	145	29	81	363	1226	83	92	30	222	297	328	625	106	292	26	8	283	77	-105	+6	+11	+46	+93	5.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	129	20	4	11	50	170	12	13	4	222	297	326	623	105	291	26	8	283	77	-16	+1	+2	+7	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Giants · 173 PAwOBA .297 → .217 (−80)K% 25.4% → 36.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.43%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	36.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.51%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	4.69%
HBP% /PA	4.05%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.94%
Singles /BIP	26.67%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.033	×1.008	22.76%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.033	×1.008	3.57%
Triples /BIP	0.95%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.033	×1.008	0.71%
Home runs /BIP	1.90%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	1.50%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .297 → .217; ISO .087 → .061; BABIP .324 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Giants Orange · 227 PAwOBA .385 → .274 (−111)K% 14.5% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.54%	÷0.972	×1.220	—	—	18.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.86%	÷0.974	×0.700	—	×1.008	11.48%
HBP% /PA	3.52%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.49%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷0.995	×0.680	×1.000	×1.008	22.94%
Doubles /BIP	4.08%	÷0.933	×0.600	×1.000	×1.008	2.64%
Triples /BIP	1.36%	÷0.900	×0.600	×1.000	×1.008	0.91%
Home runs /BIP	0.68%	÷0.963	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.33%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .385 → .274; ISO .072 → .047; BABIP .383 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.6	2,375	43	43	225	294	336	+25	+6	3.7	3.5
/162	664	12	12	+7.1	+1.6	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#5Luis Rivera'86-'98 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,453 PA	3.7	2,453	28	20	232*	291*	357*	+24	+5	1.2	2.3
/162	664	8	5	+6.4	+1.4	0.3	pk7: 3
#6Frank Duffy'70-'79 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,924 PA	4.4	2,924	26	49	234*	283*	348*	+30	-2	0.9	2.1
/162	664	6	11	+6.7	-0.5	0.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yulian Barreto (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	208/277/288	80	288	1	1	28%	7%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Alcántara 2021 · A	19	42→52	37→50	48→50	37	201/248/278	78	286	4	8	30%	5%	48	-2.5	227/283/353	126	340	12	10	34%	7%	79	-0.2	232/296/372	139	341	17	12	35%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	35→45	40→45	52→30	43	176/241/269	92	235	7	10	27%	7%	45	-2.7	192/242/291	99	291	9	7	36%	5%	49	-2.4	228/278/346	118	323	12	2	32%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Dustin Peterson 2014 · A	19	46→51	35→45	50→45	38	215/258/272	57	301	2	6	28%	4%	50	-2.3	207/247/294	87	286	7	3	29%	5%	51	-2.2	240/285/359	119	300	14	2	24%	5%	78	-0.2
●Juan Lagares 2008 · A	19	40→50	38→45	52→50	40	194/241/285	91	263	4	12	27%	5%	47	-2.5	222/252/306	84	290	5	12	24%	3%	55	-1.9	276/309/387	111	347	6	13	22%	4%	93	+0.7
✕Junior Lake 2009 · A	19	42→52	38→50	54→55	38	200/247/280	81	281	4	12	30%	5%	48	-2.5	217/255/315	98	324	8	13	34%	4%	59	-1.6	246/294/373	127	337	13	19	30%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2017 · A	19	40→45	38→50	50→45	38	195/232/275	80	260	5	6	27%	4%	41	-3.0	188/231/283	95	306	9	5	40%	5%	43	-2.8	223/288/380	158	332	23	6	38%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	37→43	37→45	49→50	41	177/245/254	77	258	4	10	31%	7%	42	-2.9	196/268/297	101	275	9	13	30%	8%	61	-1.5	186/266/282	96	258	8	18	29%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Willy García 2012 · A	19	39→49	40→50	46→45	38	192/246/283	92	261	7	9	29%	5%	49	-2.4	203/239/331	128	307	15	8	37%	4%	57	-1.8	240/282/369	129	333	12	4	30%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Michael Almanzar 2011 · A	20	40→50	38→45	46→45	36	196/235/277	81	273	6	4	30%	4%	43	-2.8	211/249/309	98	279	9	6	27%	4%	56	-1.9	243/289/370	127	299	13	8	23%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Marcus Wilson 2016 · A	19	40→50	35→50	46→50	41	186/250/246	60	297	3	8	36%	8%	42	-2.9	213/277/309	96	321	7	11	33%	8%	67	-1.1	191/276/341	150	316	16	16	41%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	36→46	37→45	50→55	46	176/242/253	76	228	4	12	24%	7%	41	-3.0	231/280/336	105	295	5	13	22%	6%	74	-0.6	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Jose Peroza 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	45	36	191/234/262	72	300	3	7	36%	5%	39	-3.1	210/269/340	130	308	13	6	34%	6%	72	-0.7	207/280/327	120	310	12	4	35%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Raylin Heredia 2023 · A	19	38→48	38→50	53→50	37	183/232/269	87	270	4	9	33%	5%	40	-3.0	200/252/309	109	324	9	11	39%	5%	57	-1.8	219/257/356	137	317	16	15	35%	4%	67	-0.6
✕Nick Longhi 2015 · A	19	43→53	40→45	50→30	39	205/260/301	97	303	7	7	33%	6%	59	-1.7	239/283/333	94	321	6	3	26%	5%	74	-0.6	243/286/337	94	323	6	1	25%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Efrain Contreras 2006 · A	19	40	36→40	49→55	44	192/255/259	67	259	3	9	26%	7%	47	-2.5	200/270/286	86	236	7	13	18%	6%	59	-1.6	204/271/288	85	250	7	15	21%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Daryl Jones 2006 · A	19	40→50	37→45	48→50	40	192/264/264	72	267	5	11	28%	5%	53	-2.1	212/278/306	94	284	8	13	27%	6%	67	-1.1	242/312/349	107	314	9	14	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Matthew Lugo 2021 · A	20	43→50	37→55	51→50	40	203/263/276	72	304	4	7	33%	6%	54	-2.0	227/274/337	110	307	9	11	28%	5%	72	-0.7	225/275/389	163	290	17	17	28%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Diego Infante 2018 · A	18	40→50	35→45	53→50	43	189/237/252	63	250	2	12	24%	6%	38	-3.2	194/238/262	68	291	3	10	32%	5%	40	-3.0	233/284/360	127	349	14	14	35%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2014 · A	19	40→50	35→45	50	47	187/245/247	60	235	1	9	20%	7%	40	-3.0	222/271/288	66	282	2	9	21%	6%	59	-1.7	244/288/321	77	324	3	10	24%	5%	70	-0.5

Yulian Barreto

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps