Deinis Chourio — OGILVIE

Deinis ChourioSS DSL Reds

Age 18 R/R 5'9" / 157 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 33 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.161 / .212 / .194

PA33

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP250

ISO32

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.1M
Totals		$8M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	84	76	9	1	1	1	8	48	0	4	4	118	202	197	400	79	296	57	10	164	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	84	71	13	2	1	1	13	33	0	4	4	183	310	282	591	99	324	39	15	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	CIN	—	43	40	7	1	0	1	2	12	1	0	0	175	233	275	508	100	222	28	5	224	30	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
YTD	18	ROK	CIN	—	43	39	10	2	0	1	3	8	1	0	0	256	326	385	710	128	300	19	7	321	104	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
ROS	18	ROK	CIN	0%	33	31	5	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	161	212	194	406	32	283	33	6	243	44	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	238	41	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	CIN	—	43	41	7	1	0	1	2	12	1	0	0	171	233	268	501	98	214	28	5	224	30	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
TOT	18	ROK	CIN	—	76	71	12	2	0	1	4	23	1	0	0	169	224	239	463	70	234	30	5	232	36	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	CIN	34%	169	153	30	5	1	2	12	53	2	2	1	196	263	281	545	85	287	31	7	256	54	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	CIN	48%	312	282	58	10	2	5	23	96	4	4	1	206	275	309	584	103	289	31	7	266	61	-14	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	CIN	54%	422	383	81	14	3	8	31	128	5	5	1	211	279	326	606	115	291	30	7	272	66	-16	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.1
2030	22	MLB	CIN	57%	501	452	96	16	3	10	38	150	6	6	2	212	282	327	610	115	292	30	8	276	69	-17	+0	+0	+5	+14	0.3
2031	23	MLB	CIN	58%	554	500	107	18	4	11	42	165	7	7	2	214	284	332	616	118	292	30	8	278	71	-18	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.4
2032	24	MLB	CIN	57%	588	530	114	19	4	12	45	175	8	7	2	215	286	334	620	119	293	30	8	280	72	-18	+1	+0	+6	+17	0.5
2033	25	MLB	CIN	57%	609	550	119	20	4	13	46	181	8	7	2	216	286	338	625	122	293	30	8	281	73	-18	+1	+0	+7	+17	0.6
2034	26	MLB	CIN	57%	619	559	120	20	4	13	47	184	8	8	2	215	285	335	620	120	293	30	8	282	74	-18	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2035	27	MLB	CIN	55%	621	560	120	20	4	13	48	185	8	8	2	214	286	334	620	120	293	30	8	282	74	-18	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2036	28	MLB	CIN	59%	617	556	119	20	4	13	48	185	8	7	2	214	286	335	620	121	293	30	8	281	73	-19	+1	-1	+7	+17	0.5
2037	29	MLB	CIN	61%	608	547	118	20	4	13	48	183	8	7	2	216	289	338	627	122	292	30	8	279	72	-19	+1	-1	+7	+17	0.4
2027	19	MLB	CIN	34%	58	53	11	2	0	1	4	18	1	1	0	208	276	302	578	94	290	31	7	251	50	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	CIN	48%	151	137	29	5	1	3	11	47	2	2	0	212	280	328	608	117	292	31	7	259	56	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	CIN	54%	229	207	44	8	1	4	17	69	3	3	1	213	282	319	601	106	293	30	7	265	61	-10	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
2030	22	MLB	CIN	57%	284	257	56	10	2	6	21	85	4	3	1	218	287	342	630	125	294	30	7	269	64	-12	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.0
2031	23	MLB	CIN	58%	319	288	63	11	2	7	24	95	4	4	1	219	288	344	632	125	295	30	8	271	66	-12	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.0
2032	24	MLB	CIN	57%	335	303	65	11	2	7	25	100	4	4	1	215	283	333	616	119	296	30	7	273	67	-12	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2033	25	MLB	CIN	57%	345	312	68	12	2	7	26	103	4	4	1	218	287	337	623	119	296	30	8	274	68	-13	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2034	26	MLB	CIN	57%	350	315	69	12	2	8	27	104	5	4	1	219	291	346	637	127	296	30	8	275	68	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2035	27	MLB	CIN	55%	345	310	68	12	2	8	27	103	5	4	1	219	292	348	641	129	296	30	8	275	69	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2036	28	MLB	CIN	59%	365	328	71	12	2	8	29	109	5	4	1	216	290	338	628	122	295	30	8	274	68	-13	+0	-0	+4	+10	0.1
2037	29	MLB	CIN	61%	371	334	72	12	2	8	29	112	5	4	1	216	288	335	623	120	295	30	8	272	67	-14	+0	-1	+4	+11	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3152	2845	616	107	18	67	240	945	42	37	9	217	287	337	625	121	297	30	8	271	66	-122	+4	-1	+34	+89	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	127	22	4	14	49	195	9	8	2	216	287	339	626	123	296	30	8	271	66	-25	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	5737	5179	1096	184	38	114	438	1744	72	72	23	212	282	328	610	116	293	30	8	276	69	-199	+5	-2	+61	+163	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	124	21	4	13	50	198	8	8	3	211	282	327	609	116	293	30	8	276	69	-23	+0	-0	+7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	84	71	13	2	1	1	13	33	0	4	4	183	310	282	591	99	324	39	15	280	72	-3	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,228	65	39	214	282	332	+35	+21	2.1	2.2
	/162	664	13	8	214	282	332	+7.1	+4.3	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Deinis Chourio (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	169/224/239	70	234	1	0	30%	5%	36	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	37	37→55	47→40	38	176/239/249	73	297	5	6	40%	8%	30	-3.1	195/259/306	111	313	11	5	38%	8%	55	-1.4	199/259/329	129	331	13	2	41%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	41	-2.3	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	50	-1.8	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	44	38→45	51→50	41	207/269/289	82	311	6	11	33%	7%	53	-1.5	209/275/309	100	307	7	11	32%	7%	62	-0.9	189/260/299	110	270	7	17	30%	8%	52	-0.5
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	48	-1.9	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Douglas Glod 2023 · A	18	41	41→45	45	44	191/273/288	97	305	8	7	37%	9%	56	-1.3	173/273/269	96	330	8	5	44%	11%	53	-1.5	137/247/219	82	283	7	3	48%	11%	28	-1.3
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	39	36→55	45→40	37	189/231/257	68	267	3	6	30%	5%	29	-3.2	211/250/329	118	282	13	5	29%	5%	56	-1.3	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Marcus Wilson 2015 · A	18	39→49	36→50	48→50	38	183/242/249	66	297	4	8	38%	7%	32	-3.0	203/268/284	81	314	5	10	34%	8%	52	-1.6	215/282/315	100	313	8	11	31%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	36	-2.7	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Emilio King 2008 · A	18	40	39→45	44→40	38	192/250/280	89	281	6	5	33%	5%	44	-2.1	184/255/258	74	259	4	7	29%	6%	41	-2.3	206/259/300	94	298	6	4	31%	4%	49	-0.8
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	37	-2.6	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	49	-1.8	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	63	-0.9	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	42	202/274/283	81	295	6	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	204/293/283	79	316	6	6	34%	9%	64	-0.8	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7