Juan Rojas — OGILVIE

Juan RojasSS FCL Astros

Age 18 L/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION162 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.154 / .267 / .154

PA15

HR0

K%27

BB%13

BABIP290

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$36M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	147	42	5	1	2	44	37	5	11	5	286	464	374	838	88	360	19	22	389	149	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	165	34	3	1	1	26	53	5	11	5	206	332	255	586	48	279	27	13	276	73	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	165	34	3	1	1	26	53	5	11	5	206	332	255	586	48	289	27	13	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	147	42	5	1	2	44	37	5	11	5	286	464	374	838	88	360	19	22	389	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	166	34	3	1	1	26	53	5	11	5	205	332	253	585	48	279	27	13	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	166	34	3	1	1	26	53	5	11	5	205	332	253	585	48	279	27	13	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	HOU	—	162	128	26	6	1	1	21	52	5	7	4	203	338	289	627	86	321	32	13	269	68	-6	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	HOU	—	162	115	29	7	1	1	34	36	5	7	4	252	442	357	798	104	346	22	21	359	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	HOU	0%	15	13	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	154	267	154	421		288	27	13	274	72	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	HOU	—	177	141	28	6	1	1	23	56	5	7	4	199	331	277	608	78	310	32	13	269	68	-7	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	252	219	45	8	1	3	27	69	4	5	2	205	304	292	596	87	288	27	11	282	77	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	378	328	71	13	2	6	40	101	7	8	3	216	315	323	638	107	290	27	11	291	83	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2029	21	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	473	412	90	16	3	8	50	124	8	10	4	218	315	330	645	112	291	26	11	297	87	-7	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2030	22	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	539	467	104	19	3	10	57	140	10	12	4	223	320	340	661	118	292	26	11	301	90	-7	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	584	507	113	21	3	11	62	151	10	13	5	223	320	341	661	118	293	26	11	303	91	-6	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	614	533	121	22	4	12	65	158	11	13	5	227	323	351	674	124	293	26	11	304	92	-6	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	626	544	122	22	4	12	66	161	11	14	5	224	320	346	666	121	293	26	11	305	93	-5	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	634	551	124	22	4	13	67	163	11	14	5	225	321	350	671	125	293	26	11	306	93	-5	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	634	550	124	22	4	13	68	163	11	14	5	225	323	351	674	125	293	26	11	306	93	-5	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	629	545	122	22	4	12	68	163	11	13	5	224	322	345	667	121	293	26	11	305	92	-6	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	619	536	118	21	3	12	67	161	11	13	5	220	319	338	657	118	292	26	11	303	91	-6	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	609	527	116	21	3	11	66	160	11	12	4	220	320	334	654	114	291	26	11	301	90	-8	+1	-2	+7	+13	1.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	594	514	112	20	3	11	65	158	10	11	4	218	317	333	650	115	289	27	11	297	87	-9	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.8
2040	32	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	576	498	107	19	3	10	63	156	10	11	4	215	315	325	641	110	286	27	11	291	83	-11	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.4
2041	33	MLB MLE	HOU	60%	546	473	99	17	3	9	59	150	9	9	3	209	309	315	624	106	282	27	11	285	79	-14	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.1
2042	34	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	499	434	86	14	2	7	54	141	8	8	3	198	298	288	586	90	277	28	11	277	74	-16	+0	-5	+5	+11	-0.4
2027	19	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	87	77	16	3	1	1	9	24	1	2	1	208	299	312	611	104	290	28	10	271	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	183	159	34	6	1	3	19	49	3	4	1	214	309	321	630	107	292	27	10	279	83	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2029	21	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	257	223	48	9	1	4	27	67	5	5	2	215	314	318	632	103	293	26	11	284	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2030	22	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	305	265	59	11	2	5	32	79	5	7	2	223	318	336	654	113	294	26	10	288	90	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2031	23	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	336	292	65	12	2	6	35	87	6	7	3	223	318	339	657	116	295	26	10	290	91	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2032	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	350	304	69	13	2	7	37	90	6	8	3	227	323	352	675	125	296	26	11	292	92	-3	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	355	308	70	13	2	7	38	91	6	8	3	227	324	351	675	123	296	26	11	293	93	-3	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	359	312	71	13	2	7	38	92	6	8	3	228	323	349	672	122	295	26	11	293	93	-3	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	352	305	69	13	2	7	38	91	6	8	3	226	324	351	675	125	295	26	11	293	93	-3	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2036	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	345	299	67	12	2	7	37	89	6	7	3	224	322	348	669	124	295	26	11	292	92	-3	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.8
2037	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	331	286	64	12	2	6	36	86	6	7	2	224	323	343	666	119	294	26	11	290	91	-3	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.7
2038	30	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	348	301	66	12	2	6	38	92	6	7	2	219	319	332	651	113	293	26	11	288	90	-4	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.6
2039	31	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	325	281	62	11	2	6	35	87	6	6	2	221	320	338	658	117	291	27	11	284	87	-5	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.4
2040	32	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	334	289	62	11	2	5	36	90	6	6	2	215	314	318	633	104	288	27	11	279	83	-7	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.3
2041	33	MLB CTX	HOU	60%	329	284	60	10	2	5	36	91	6	6	2	211	313	313	626	102	284	28	11	273	79	-8	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.0
2042	34	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	278	241	48	8	1	4	30	78	5	5	2	199	301	290	591	91	279	28	11	265	74	-9	+0	-3	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4874	4226	930	169	28	86	521	1283	85	101	36	220	318	334	652	114	293	26	11	286	88	-69	+6	-11	+52	+106	8.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	124	23	4	11	69	171	11	13	5	220	317	333	650	113	293	26	11	286	88	-9	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	9020	7816	1710	302	50	161	972	2376	158	191	71	219	317	332	649	113	291	26	11	298	88	-126	+10	-20	+95	+191	15.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	124	22	4	12	70	171	11	14	5	220	318	337	655	117	292	26	11	298	88	-9	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	8.5	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
/162	664	18	5	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.6	5,042	90	103	220	315	335	+52	+30	12.1	9.9
/162	664	12	14	+6.9	+4.0	1.6	pk7: 8
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Rojas (OGILVIE)	18	45	25	55	60	202/301/282	80	288	1	4	28%	11%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	76	-0.4	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	65	-1.2	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	71	-0.4
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	47	38→40	50→60	51	221/294/308	87	285	4	13	23%	9%	73	-0.6	208/298/278	70	288	3	18	26%	11%	68	-1.0	213/291/276	63	314	3	36	30%	10%	62	-0.7
✕Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	53	-2.1	230/299/329	99	282	6	10	20%	6%	80	-0.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	71	-0.8	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	47	-2.5	278/317/371	94	319	8	6	15%	4%	95	+0.7
✕Jeffer Patino 2007 · A	18	45	37→45	49→45	47	211/274/288	78	271	3	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	220/284/302	82	271	5	5	19%	7%	68	-1.0	213/266/288	75	257	5	3	18%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Roynier Hernandez 2023 · A	18	44→51	34→30	46→50	52	204/278/258	54	261	2	8	21%	9%	56	-1.9	234/302/288	54	298	1	9	20%	9%	71	-0.8	250/313/298	48	318	0	9	20%	8%	75	-0.2
✕Jose Reyes 2017 · A	18	50	36→45	51→55	44	235/281/303	67	296	3	10	21%	5%	66	-1.1	221/269/309	88	263	5	15	17%	6%	63	-1.4	219/269/317	97	252	6	20	15%	6%	62	-0.6
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Nolan Beltran 2023 · A	18	44→49	35→40	45	54	202/283/260	58	244	2	7	17%	9%	59	-1.7	199/268/277	78	256	5	6	23%	8%	57	-1.8	204/291/293	90	251	7	4	20%	10%	67	-0.4
✕Michael De La Cruz 2014 · A	18	48	35→40	45→50	54	220/310/282	62	304	1	11	25%	11%	74	-0.6	191/263/253	62	284	3	10	31%	8%	49	-2.4	160/229/211	51	248	3	10	34%	8%	24	-1.2
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	74	-0.6	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	63	-1.4	183/236/245	62	242	4	19	25%	4%	36	-1.1
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	51	37→40	46→50	53	240/305/319	80	282	3	10	16%	8%	79	-0.2	208/265/274	66	271	2	6	22%	7%	53	-2.1	181/234/228	47	241	0	2	23%	6%	30	-0.9
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→54	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	72	-0.7	243/298/367	124	326	10	10	27%	7%	87	+0.4	246/302/387	142	310	12	11	24%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→40	54→50	43	225/276/311	86	292	5	14	24%	6%	66	-1.1	253/298/346	93	309	6	11	19%	6%	82	+0.0	272/321/361	89	314	4	8	14%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Jorge Ruiz 2022 · A	18	46→51	37→40	52→50	47	216/289/292	77	265	4	17	19%	6%	68	-1.0	232/284/306	74	288	3	12	20%	5%	68	-1.0	225/273/295	70	286	4	13	21%	5%	59	-0.9
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2012 · A	18	48	37→40	50	53	224/302/310	86	274	3	10	18%	9%	76	-0.4	188/245/267	79	274	5	6	31%	6%	45	-2.7	150/201/214	65	228	4	3	35%	5%	14	-1.3
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→45	55→45	57	230/329/297	67	301	2	9	22%	12%	84	+0.2	231/325/325	94	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.5	229/319/329	99	290	10	8	22%	11%	86	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps