Juan Rojas — OGILVIE

Juan RojasSS FCL Astros

Age 18 L/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION153 act + 102 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .297 / .261

PA102

HR1

K%28

BB%11

BABIP271

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.8	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.7	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.5	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$20M		$44M	+$37M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	165	34	3	1	1	26	52	5	11	5	206	332	255	586	48	287	26	13	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	147	42	5	1	2	44	37	5	11	5	286	464	374	838	88	360	19	22	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	HOU	—	153	121	22	5	0	1	21	50	4	7	4	182	322	248	570	66	288	33	14	258	56	-8	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
YTD	18	ROK	HOU	—	153	109	26	7	0	1	33	35	4	7	4	239	432	330	762	92	329	23	22	349	125	+4	-0	+0	+2	+4	1.0
ROS	18	ROK	HOU	0%	102	88	17	3	0	1	11	29	2	3	1	193	297	261	558	68	281	28	11	266	62	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
ROS	18	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	256	54	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	HOU	—	153	122	22	5	0	1	21	50	4	7	4	180	322	246	568	66	284	33	14	258	56	-8	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
TOT	18	ROK	HOU	—	255	209	39	8	0	2	32	79	6	10	5	187	312	254	565	67	280	31	13	261	58	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	HOU	34%	286	250	51	10	1	3	30	79	4	6	2	204	299	288	587	84	285	28	10	278	71	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2028	20	MLB	HOU	48%	404	351	75	14	2	6	43	109	7	8	3	214	312	316	628	103	287	27	11	287	78	-10	+0	+0	+4	+11	0.6
2029	21	MLB	HOU	54%	491	428	92	17	2	8	52	131	8	10	4	215	311	320	632	105	289	27	11	293	82	-10	+0	+0	+5	+14	1.0
2030	22	MLB	HOU	57%	552	480	105	19	3	10	58	145	9	12	4	219	314	333	648	115	290	26	11	297	85	-9	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.3
2031	23	MLB	HOU	58%	593	515	114	21	3	11	63	155	10	13	5	221	318	338	656	117	290	26	11	299	87	-9	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.5
2032	24	MLB	HOU	61%	619	537	120	22	3	12	66	162	11	13	5	223	321	343	663	119	291	26	11	301	88	-8	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.7
2033	25	MLB	HOU	63%	629	546	121	22	3	12	67	164	11	14	5	222	319	339	658	117	291	26	11	302	89	-8	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.8
2034	26	MLB	HOU	64%	636	552	123	22	3	13	68	166	11	14	5	223	320	344	664	121	291	26	11	302	89	-8	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.8
2035	27	MLB	HOU	65%	635	550	122	22	3	13	69	166	11	14	5	222	321	344	664	122	291	26	11	302	89	-8	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.8
2036	28	MLB	HOU	65%	630	545	121	22	3	12	69	166	11	13	5	222	322	339	661	117	291	26	11	301	89	-8	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.7
2037	29	MLB	HOU	65%	620	536	119	22	3	12	68	164	11	13	5	222	322	341	663	119	290	26	11	299	87	-9	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.5
2038	30	MLB	HOU	65%	609	527	115	21	3	11	67	163	10	12	4	218	318	332	650	114	289	27	11	297	85	-10	+1	-2	+7	+17	1.3
2039	31	MLB	HOU	65%	595	515	110	20	2	10	65	161	10	11	4	214	314	318	632	105	287	27	11	293	82	-12	+1	-3	+6	+17	0.9
2040	32	MLB	HOU	65%	576	499	105	19	2	10	63	158	9	11	4	210	310	317	627	106	284	27	11	288	78	-14	+1	-4	+6	+16	0.6
2027	19	MLB	HOU	34%	98	86	17	3	0	1	10	27	2	2	1	198	296	267	563	70	288	28	10	269	64	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	HOU	48%	196	170	37	7	1	3	21	53	3	4	1	218	314	324	638	106	290	27	11	277	70	-7	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2029	21	MLB	HOU	54%	266	232	50	9	1	5	28	71	4	6	2	216	311	328	638	112	291	27	11	283	75	-8	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2030	22	MLB	HOU	57%	312	271	60	11	1	6	33	82	5	7	2	221	317	336	653	114	292	26	11	287	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2031	23	MLB	HOU	58%	341	296	67	12	2	7	36	89	6	7	3	226	322	351	674	125	293	26	11	289	80	-8	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2032	24	MLB	HOU	61%	377	328	74	14	2	7	40	98	6	8	3	226	321	345	665	119	294	26	11	291	81	-8	+0	+0	+4	+11	0.7
2033	25	MLB	HOU	63%	395	343	77	14	2	8	42	103	7	9	3	224	321	347	668	122	294	26	11	292	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.8
2034	26	MLB	HOU	64%	406	353	79	15	2	8	43	106	7	9	3	224	320	346	666	122	294	26	11	292	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.8
2035	27	MLB	HOU	65%	413	358	80	15	2	8	45	108	7	9	3	223	322	344	666	120	294	26	11	292	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.8
2036	28	MLB	HOU	65%	410	355	80	15	2	8	45	108	7	9	3	225	324	346	671	121	293	26	11	291	81	-9	+1	-0	+4	+12	0.8
2037	29	MLB	HOU	65%	403	349	78	14	2	8	44	107	7	8	3	223	323	344	666	120	293	27	11	290	80	-9	+0	-1	+4	+11	0.6
2038	30	MLB	HOU	65%	396	343	75	14	2	7	43	106	7	8	3	219	318	332	650	114	292	27	11	287	78	-10	+0	-1	+4	+11	0.5
2039	31	MLB	HOU	65%	387	336	73	13	2	7	42	105	6	7	3	217	315	330	645	113	290	27	11	283	75	-11	+0	-2	+4	+11	0.3
2040	32	MLB	HOU	65%	374	324	68	12	1	6	41	103	6	7	2	210	310	309	619	99	287	28	11	278	71	-12	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4774	4145	915	168	22	89	513	1266	80	100	35	221	318	336	655	116	294	27	11	287	78	-118	+6	-7	+51	+135	6.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	125	23	3	12	70	172	11	14	5	222	319	337	656	115	295	26	11	287	78	-16	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	8176	7084	1544	279	37	145	885	2170	140	178	66	218	317	329	646	111	291	27	11	296	84	-143	+9	-10	+88	+232	17.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	123	22	3	12	70	173	11	14	5	218	316	332	648	114	291	27	11	296	84	-11	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	147	42	5	1	2	44	37	5	11	5	286	464	374	838	88	360	19	22	389	156	+12	+0	—	—	+6	1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,966	89	103	219	313	332	+53	+27	10.9	9.2
	/162	664	12	14	219	313	332	+7.1	+3.6	1.5	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Rojas (OGILVIE)	18	45	25	55	60	187/312/254	67	280	2	10	31%	13%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	72	-0.2	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	61	-1.0	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	47→46	38→40	50→55	52	219/294/304	85	285	4	13	23%	10%	68	-0.5	206/296/277	71	288	3	18	26%	11%	63	-0.8	200/290/257	57	280	2	27	26%	11%	54	-0.7
✕Roynier Hernandez 2023 · A	18	44	34→30	46→50	53	203/279/257	54	256	2	8	20%	10%	50	-1.7	230/299/285	55	293	1	9	20%	9%	65	-0.7	244/304/306	62	315	3	7	22%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Dubal Baez 2011 · A	18	46	36→30	50→60	46	214/289/282	68	300	4	7	28%	8%	61	-1.0	214/302/264	50	297	2	18	26%	8%	63	-0.8	217/309/247	30	304	0	28	25%	8%	58	-0.3
✕Jeffer Patino 2007 · A	18	45	37→45	49→45	47	211/274/288	78	271	3	8	22%	7%	56	-1.3	220/284/302	82	271	5	5	19%	7%	63	-0.8	213/278/290	77	257	5	4	18%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Luis Barahona 2012 · A	18	46	36→30	53→50	48	216/284/286	70	285	3	14	24%	8%	59	-1.1	206/260/268	62	282	2	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	200/252/254	54	273	0	16	25%	6%	33	-1.0
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→30	52→50	46	204/257/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	46	-2.0	230/283/304	74	270	3	15	15%	6%	63	-0.9	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Ayendy Perez 2013 · A	19	46	35→30	49→60	48	211/290/270	59	283	1	12	24%	8%	58	-1.2	228/291/287	59	290	1	24	20%	8%	62	-0.9	236/296/289	54	295	0	33	19%	7%	61	-0.4
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	63	-0.9	216/285/281	65	304	2	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	227/294/263	36	322	0	4	27%	9%	53	-0.3
✕Julio Izturis 2007 · A	17	43	35→30	48→60	46	200/278/258	58	271	2	14	25%	7%	50	-1.7	214/300/262	48	265	2	24	18%	8%	61	-1.0	217/310/253	36	266	2	31	17%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Jose Reyes 2017 · A	18	50	36→45	51→55	44	235/281/303	67	296	3	10	21%	5%	62	-0.9	221/269/309	88	263	5	15	17%	6%	58	-1.2	219/269/317	97	252	6	20	15%	6%	56	-0.5
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	70	-0.3	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	58	-1.2	184/235/249	65	243	5	19	25%	4%	28	-1.1
✕Nicandro Aybar 2023 · A	18	46	36→30	50	51	212/292/286	74	285	3	10	25%	10%	63	-0.8	209/274/282	73	270	4	12	22%	8%	53	-1.5	204/265/266	62	256	3	14	20%	7%	43	-0.7
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	67	-0.5	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	40	-2.4	268/309/352	83	293	9	4	12%	4%	85	+0.5
●Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	46	-2.0	231/300/330	99	282	6	10	19%	6%	79	+0.3	245/326/365	120	273	11	9	14%	7%	96	+1.4
✕Yeison Santana 2019 · A	18	45	35→30	47→55	52	206/294/273	67	286	2	8	26%	10%	61	-1.0	214/282/293	79	315	5	8	31%	8%	60	-1.0	210/282/268	57	310	3	15	31%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Michael De La Cruz 2014 · A	18	48	35→40	45→50	54	220/310/282	62	304	1	11	25%	11%	70	-0.3	191/263/253	62	284	3	10	31%	8%	43	-2.2	160/229/211	51	248	3	10	34%	8%	14	-1.2