Fredderick Ovalle

2B Bradenton Marauders

Age 20 L/R 5'10" / 150 lbs A HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Pirates G…	188	.285/.422/.411	1	27	57	—	.179/.289/.241
2026	19	APIT	153	.175/.316/.222	1	3	35	—	.165/.270/.211
2026	19	ROKPIT	70	.345/.433/.414	0	10	92	—	.295/.358/.361
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBPIT	333	.217/.297/.297	3	8	71	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBPIT	99	.222/.302/.313	1	2	77	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBPIT	190	.226/.306/.325	2	5	81	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%90

Whiff%80

BB%78

Z-Con%78

Speed41

Chase%40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 87%

CompsLuis Durango (age 20) · Yoyner Fajardo (age 20) · Marcus Lemon (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 209 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .294 / .295

PA209

HR2

SB5

K%23

BB%9

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	188	151	43	14	1	1	35	25	1	27	5	285	422	411	833	126	336	13	19	379	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	153	126	22	3	0	1	25	21	1	3	1	175	316	222	538	48	202	14	16	264	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	70	58	20	2	1	0	7	6	2	10	2	345	433	414	847	69	364	9	10	370	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	188	162	29	8	1	0	24	31	1	27	5	179	289	241	530	62	223	16	13	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	153	133	22	3	0	1	18	29	1	3	1	165	270	211	480	45	196	19	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	70	61	18	2	1	0	4	9	2	10	2	295	358	361	719	66	295	13	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	188	162	29	8	1	0	24	31	1	27	5	179	289	241	530	62	221	16	13	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	188	151	43	14	1	1	35	25	1	27	5	285	422	411	833	126	336	13	19	379	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	223	194	39	4	1	1	22	37	3	13	3	201	292	247	540	46	239	17	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	223	184	42	5	1	1	32	27	3	13	3	228	352	283	634	54	258	12	14	297	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	188	161	29	8	1	0	24	31	1	27	5	180	289	242	531	62	223	16	13	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	223	196	39	4	1	1	22	37	3	13	3	199	292	245	537	46	227	17	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	188	161	29	8	1	0	24	31	1	27	5	180	289	242	531	62	223	16	13	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	223	196	39	4	1	1	22	37	3	13	3	199	292	245	537	46	227	17	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	333	296	65	12	2	3	31	78	3	8	2	217	297	297	594	80	282	23	9	273	71	-12	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	288	256	57	10	2	3	27	66	3	7	1	222	302	314	616	92	284	23	9	282	77	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	393	350	78	14	2	5	36	89	4	10	2	226	306	327	633	101	285	23	9	288	81	-9	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	460	410	94	17	3	7	43	104	4	11	2	229	309	337	646	109	286	23	9	293	84	-8	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.5
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	505	448	104	19	3	9	47	114	5	13	3	231	311	345	656	114	288	23	9	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	529	470	110	20	3	10	49	119	5	13	3	232	312	350	662	118	288	22	9	299	89	-7	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.8
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	543	483	112	20	3	10	50	122	5	13	3	232	312	350	662	118	288	22	9	299	89	-7	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	546	485	112	20	3	10	51	124	5	13	3	231	311	348	658	117	287	23	9	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.7
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	544	484	111	20	3	10	50	124	5	12	3	229	309	343	651	114	286	23	9	295	86	-9	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	536	476	108	19	3	9	50	124	5	11	3	227	306	336	642	110	284	23	9	291	83	-11	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	526	469	105	19	3	8	48	123	4	10	3	224	302	328	630	105	283	23	9	286	80	-13	+1	-2	+2	+11	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	99	89	20	4	1	1	9	23	1	2	1	222	302	313	615	91	285	23	9	281	77	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	190	168	37	7	1	2	18	43	2	5	1	226	306	325	631	100	286	23	9	287	81	-4	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	249	222	51	10	1	4	23	56	2	6	1	229	308	335	643	106	287	22	9	292	84	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	280	249	57	11	2	4	26	63	3	7	1	231	310	342	652	111	288	22	9	296	87	-4	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	296	264	62	12	2	5	27	67	3	7	2	232	311	347	658	115	289	23	9	298	89	-4	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	305	271	63	12	2	5	28	69	3	7	2	232	311	347	658	115	288	23	9	298	89	-4	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	302	268	62	12	2	5	28	68	3	7	2	231	310	344	654	114	288	23	9	296	88	-4	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	298	265	61	11	2	5	28	68	3	7	2	229	308	340	648	111	287	23	9	294	86	-5	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	286	255	58	11	2	4	26	66	3	6	1	226	305	334	639	107	285	23	9	290	83	-6	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	300	267	60	11	2	4	27	70	3	6	2	223	302	326	627	103	283	23	9	285	80	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2605	2318	531	101	17	39	240	593	26	60	15	229	308	338	646	109	290	23	9	293	82	-46	+6	-2	+9	+56	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	132	25	4	10	60	148	6	15	4	228	307	337	644	109	288	23	9	293	82	-12	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5490	4873	1099	197	31	84	516	1226	51	158	35	226	306	330	637	105	282	22	9	289	82	-95	+13	-4	+18	+110	4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	130	23	4	10	61	145	6	19	4	225	306	331	637	106	282	22	9	289	82	-12	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.2	2,816	46	65	229	305	339	+10	+6	4.3	4.0
/162	664	11	15	+2.4	+1.4	1.0	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Jimmy Burke'01-'05 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,093 PA	3.2	2,093	1	86	236*	296*	348*	+7	+4	2.7	2.7
/162	664	0	27	+2.3	+1.4	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fredderick Ovalle (OGILVIE)	20	50	25	60	60	215/294/295	79	282	2	5	23%	9%	71	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Durango 2023 · A	20	45	35→30	53→70	48	209/290/266	57	271	3	24	22%	8%	63	-1.4	216/288/274	58	294	2	32	25%	6%	63	-1.3	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	46→56	37→40	57→60	51	211/279/293	82	248	2	14	16%	8%	63	-1.3	227/286/295	68	281	2	19	19%	6%	67	-1.1	260/318/350	90	329	5	34	21%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/299/321	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	77	-0.3	225/271/288	63	293	2	11	23%	4%	59	-1.7	271/323/338	67	341	3	10	20%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	46	36→30	55→60	54	207/312/275	67	298	3	21	28%	12%	74	-0.6	231/313/303	72	312	3	22	24%	10%	79	-0.2	242/324/311	68	323	3	29	23%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	42→52	40→45	53→55	45	203/259/306	103	252	5	11	21%	6%	59	-1.7	244/293/351	107	321	5	15	24%	6%	82	-0.0	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	46→44	39→40	55→50	52	216/312/311	95	298	6	15	27%	11%	81	-0.1	202/278/301	99	278	7	11	27%	9%	65	-1.2	203/291/297	94	273	5	13	25%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Cole Miles 2007 · A	20	49→52	37→30	57→55	51	228/307/306	77	293	4	19	22%	9%	78	-0.3	236/285/296	60	294	3	15	19%	6%	65	-1.2	238/283/292	53	295	3	15	19%	5%	60	-1.1
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	48→58	38→30	56→70	48	226/293/312	85	299	4	17	24%	8%	73	-0.6	267/311/317	50	307	1	59	12%	6%	80	-0.2	302/334/348	46	335	0	63	9%	5%	94	+0.8
✕Brent Keys 2011 · A	21	48→58	35→30	49→50	51	225/292/282	57	274	2	12	18%	8%	66	-1.1	256/314/322	66	306	3	13	16%	7%	83	+0.1	282/343/338	56	313	2	12	10%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	46	37→40	52→50	48	213/291/294	80	278	3	12	23%	8%	69	-0.9	206/275/275	69	326	3	10	34%	7%	59	-1.7	169/246/196	27	334	0	12	45%	7%	28	-0.7
✕Emmanuel Garcia 2006 · A	20	52→51	37→30	54→55	44	242/296/310	68	323	5	16	26%	6%	74	-0.6	231/288/291	60	314	4	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	231/289/284	53	313	3	21	25%	7%	62	-1.0
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	54→59	36→40	54→55	45	251/301/319	68	321	2	17	22%	6%	77	-0.3	254/308/346	92	329	4	24	22%	7%	86	+0.3	240/297/328	88	314	4	25	23%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Jorge Ruiz 2024 · A	20	54→52	38→40	51→50	45	252/308/336	85	308	4	12	19%	6%	84	+0.2	226/274/301	75	294	4	13	23%	5%	63	-1.3	220/267/292	72	284	3	13	23%	5%	56	-1.5
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	48→55	42→45	58→70	46	229/285/342	114	291	8	18	24%	7%	77	-0.3	223/277/319	96	299	8	18	26%	6%	69	-0.9	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3

Fredderick Ovalle

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps