Claudio Estelie

P FCL Pirates

Age 23 RHP 6'5" / 197 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	ROKDSL Pirates G…	5	1	15	3.60	2.50	20.0%	8.3%	—	K 13.6% · BB 10.4% · FIP 3.27
2026	22	MIX3 levels	24	2	39	3.89	3.79	25.6%	12.2%	—	K 16.1% · BB 16.5% · FIP 4.90
2027PROJ	23	MLBPIT	15	0	16	5.17	5.17	20.2%	14.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBPIT	15	0	16	4.96	4.87	21.2%	12.5%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJunior Rincon (age 23) · Kasey Ford (age 23) · Easton Sikorski (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.17

FIP5.17

K%20.2%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%6.1%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	5	1	15	60	12	5	0	20%	3.0	13.6%	10.4%	3.2%	0.0%	3.60	3.27	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	5	1	15	60	12	5	0	20%	3.0	13.6%	10.4%	3.2%	0.0%	3.60	3.27	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	5	1	15	60	12	5	0	20%	3.0	20.0%	8.3%	11.7%	0.0%	3.60	2.50	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	2	39	172	44	21	4	8%	1.6	16.1%	16.5%	-0.4%	1.9%	3.89	4.90	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	2	39	172	44	21	4	8%	1.6	16.1%	16.5%	-0.4%	1.9%	3.89	4.90	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	2	39	172	44	21	4	8%	1.6	25.6%	12.2%	13.4%	2.3%	3.89	3.79	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	PIT	15	0	16	68	14	10	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	14.1%	6.1%	2.9%	5.17	5.17	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	35	0	36	153	32	19	4	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.5%	8.7%	2.9%	4.96	4.87	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	15	0	16	68	14	8	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.5%	8.7%	2.9%	4.96	4.87	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	66	14	8	2	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.5%	8.7%	2.9%	4.96	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	103	26	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.5%	8.7%	2.9%	4.96	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		29	3	54	232	36	35	3	10%	1.9	15.4%	14.9%	0.5%	1.4%	3.81	4.48	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	11	200	854	132	127	12	10%	1.9	15.4%	14.9%	0.5%	1.4%	3.81	4.48	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Claudio Estelie (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.17	20.2%	14.1%	2.9%	—	4.87	21.2%	8.7%	36	-0.30	—	—	—
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	91
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	91
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	90
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	89
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	89
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	87
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	87
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	87
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	87
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	86
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	86
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	85
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	85
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	85
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	85
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	85
David Ellingson R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	23	SU	4.15	20.5%	14.6%	1.7%	.362	3.52	18.0%	10.2%	105	-0.63	3.43	150	85
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	20.9%	13.0%	1.13	5.02
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12