Raymer Medina

SS DSL Tampa Bay

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 177 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2315ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKTB	164	.194/.317/.281	0	6	11	—	.123/.220/.171
2026	18	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	241	.266/.420/.340	2	14	45	—	.167/.290/.212
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTB	351	.187/.266/.254	2	6	50	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTB	61	.195/.276/.274	1	1	57	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBTB	143	.201/.281/.289	2	2	62	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%79

Chase%71

K%66

wRC+60

wOBA59

Whiff%45

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJuan Mosquera (age 19) · Terry Serrano (age 19) · Enderson Delgado (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 131 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .264 / .252

PA131

HR1

K%27

BB%9

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	164	139	27	8	2	0	23	45	2	6	1	194	317	281	598	86	287	27	14	283	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	188	50	6	1	2	48	44	2	14	10	266	420	340	761	74	331	18	20	355	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	164	146	18	5	1	0	16	55	2	6	1	123	220	171	391	48	195	34	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	203	34	4	1	1	33	54	2	14	10	167	290	212	502	44	208	22	14	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	164	146	18	5	1	0	16	55	2	6	1	123	220	171	391	48	198	34	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	164	139	27	8	2	0	23	45	2	6	1	194	317	281	598	86	287	27	14	283	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	203	34	4	1	1	33	54	2	14	10	167	290	212	502	44	219	22	14	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	188	50	6	1	2	48	44	2	14	10	266	420	340	761	74	331	18	20	355	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	164	145	18	5	1	0	16	55	2	6	1	124	220	172	392	48	195	34	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	204	34	4	1	1	33	54	2	14	10	167	290	211	501	44	208	22	14	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	164	145	18	5	1	0	16	55	2	6	1	124	220	172	392	48	195	34	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	204	34	4	1	1	33	54	2	14	10	167	290	211	501	44	208	22	14	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TB	0%	351	314	58	10	2	2	31	94	3	6	2	187	266	254	520	67	256	27	9	242	50	-21	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	34%	178	158	31	5	1	2	16	47	2	3	1	193	273	272	546	79	259	26	9	252	57	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	TB	48%	295	264	53	9	2	4	26	76	3	5	2	198	279	288	567	89	262	26	9	261	62	-13	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	TB	54%	394	352	72	12	3	6	35	101	4	7	2	203	283	300	583	97	265	26	9	267	67	-16	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	TB	57%	459	410	84	14	3	7	41	116	5	8	3	207	287	310	597	104	267	25	9	272	70	-16	+0	+0	+5	+10	-0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	TB	57%	499	446	94	16	3	9	45	126	5	8	3	210	290	319	608	109	269	25	9	277	73	-16	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	TB	60%	523	466	98	17	3	9	47	132	5	8	3	210	290	320	610	110	269	25	9	278	74	-16	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	TB	62%	536	477	100	17	3	10	48	135	6	8	3	210	290	321	611	111	269	25	9	278	74	-16	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	TB	63%	537	479	100	17	3	10	48	136	5	8	3	209	289	319	608	109	268	25	9	276	73	-17	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	TB	65%	532	474	98	17	3	9	48	136	5	7	3	208	287	314	601	106	268	26	9	274	72	-18	+0	-1	+6	+12	-0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	TB	65%	521	464	96	16	3	9	47	134	5	7	3	205	284	308	593	103	266	26	9	270	69	-19	+0	-1	+6	+11	-0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	TB	65%	509	454	93	16	3	8	45	133	5	6	4	203	281	301	582	98	265	26	9	266	66	-20	-0	-2	+5	+11	-0.7
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	34%	61	55	11	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	195	276	274	549	78	263	26	8	254	57	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	TB	48%	143	128	26	4	1	2	13	37	1	2	1	201	281	289	570	88	266	26	9	262	62	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	TB	54%	214	191	38	6	1	3	19	55	2	4	1	205	285	301	586	96	268	26	9	268	67	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	TB	57%	260	232	49	8	2	4	23	66	3	4	1	209	288	311	599	102	270	25	9	273	70	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	TB	57%	282	252	54	9	2	5	25	71	3	5	2	212	291	319	610	107	272	25	9	278	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	TB	60%	316	282	59	10	2	5	28	79	3	5	2	212	292	321	612	108	273	25	9	279	74	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	TB	62%	335	299	64	11	2	6	30	84	3	5	2	212	292	321	613	109	272	25	9	279	74	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	TB	63%	341	304	65	11	2	6	31	86	3	5	2	211	291	319	610	108	272	25	9	277	73	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	TB	65%	346	309	65	11	2	6	31	88	3	5	2	210	289	314	603	105	271	25	9	275	72	-12	+0	-0	+4	+7	-0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	TB	65%	339	303	62	10	2	5	30	87	3	4	2	207	286	309	595	101	270	26	9	271	69	-12	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	TB	65%	331	296	61	10	2	5	29	86	3	4	2	205	283	301	584	97	268	26	9	267	66	-13	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2968	2651	554	92	18	48	264	755	28	44	17	209	287	312	599	103	271	25	9	273	67	-104	+2	-3	+32	+64	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	122	20	4	11	58	165	6	10	4	210	289	315	604	105	271	25	9	273	67	-23	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5519	4910	994	169	33	85	507	1416	55	97	42	202	284	302	587	100	264	26	9	267	67	-185	+3	-4	+55	+111	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	117	20	4	10	60	167	6	11	5	202	284	303	587	100	264	26	9	267	67	-24	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 241 PAwOBA .352 → .235 (−116)K% 18.3% → 22.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.26%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	22.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.92%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	13.87%
HBP% /PA	0.83%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.58%
Singles /BIP	28.47%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	18.30%
Doubles /BIP	4.17%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	2.36%
Triples /BIP	0.69%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.39%
Home runs /BIP	1.39%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.65%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .352 → .235; ISO .074 → .041; BABIP .331 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rays · 164 PAwOBA .277 → .185 (−92)K% 27.4% → 33.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.44%	÷1.003	×1.220	—	—	33.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.02%	÷1.020	×0.700	—	×1.008	9.69%
HBP% /PA	1.22%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.86%
Singles /BIP	18.09%	÷0.985	×0.680	×1.033	×1.008	13.00%
Doubles /BIP	8.51%	÷0.989	×0.600	×1.033	×1.008	5.37%
Triples /BIP	2.13%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.033	×1.008	1.16%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.022	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .277 → .185; ISO .086 → .051; BABIP .287 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ed Brinkman'61-'75 * career totals — 14 seasons, 6,640 PA	10.0	6,640	60	30	229*	284*	330*	+70	+51	6.5	9.2
/162	664	6	3	+7.0	+5.1	0.7	pk7: 12
#2Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Dal Maxvill'62-'75 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,898 PA	5.9	3,898	6	7	216*	295*	283*	+38	+40	1.2	3.2
/162	664	1	1	+6.4	+6.8	0.2	pk7: 5
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.7	3,097	50	47	207	283	310	+33	+21	0.9	1.1
/162	664	11	10	+7.1	+4.5	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Raymer Medina (OGILVIE)	19	20	20	45	50	185/264/252	66	256	1	2	27%	9%	50	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	37	35→30	49→55	47	176/246/232	56	244	2	15	27%	8%	38	-3.2	191/286/234	43	258	1	14	23%	11%	55	-2.0	192/299/217	25	248	0	17	20%	12%	55	-0.6
✕Terry Serrano 2006 · A	19	39	34→30	42→55	46	182/253/237	55	265	2	9	30%	9%	42	-2.9	176/253/229	53	236	2	15	24%	9%	40	-3.1	181/264/235	54	253	2	17	26%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Enderson Delgado 2024 · A	19	32	38→45	44→30	42	160/240/231	71	233	6	5	32%	7%	36	-3.3	187/268/277	90	268	8	4	31%	7%	57	-1.8	177/262/262	85	246	8	2	29%	7%	51	-0.7
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	54	182/271/240	59	231	2	8	21%	10%	50	-2.3	194/308/276	82	256	4	6	23%	13%	73	-0.6	178/308/258	80	234	4	5	22%	14%	67	-0.4
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Milkar Perez 2021 · A	19	40	37→40	45→40	48	193/268/266	72	257	5	8	25%	8%	54	-2.0	202/294/259	57	308	2	4	31%	11%	63	-1.4	211/289/291	80	310	4	2	30%	9%	66	-0.7
✕Fidel Mejia 2018 · A	19	42	34→30	45→40	43	199/251/253	54	264	1	9	24%	6%	44	-2.8	213/260/281	68	296	4	4	28%	6%	53	-2.1	216/260/277	61	299	4	2	28%	5%	49	-0.9
✕Kleiver Chauran 2024 · A	18	41	35→40	46→60	49	191/269/253	61	261	3	9	26%	9%	52	-2.2	186/297/254	68	260	3	17	26%	12%	63	-1.3	172/307/237	65	243	3	26	26%	14%	63	-0.5
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	36	35→30	46→40	49	169/250/226	57	225	2	5	24%	9%	38	-3.2	202/267/264	62	254	2	5	20%	8%	53	-2.1	201/268/250	49	231	1	4	13%	8%	49	-1.1
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2012 · A	19	41	35→30	46→65	50	190/262/249	59	232	3	16	19%	8%	48	-2.5	191/270/255	64	234	2	24	18%	9%	52	-2.2	195/284/251	56	248	1	34	20%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Luis Ravelo 2023 · A	19	37→34	36→30	47→45	44	179/244/240	60	251	3	7	28%	7%	38	-3.2	180/244/248	68	284	5	4	36%	7%	40	-3.0	168/233/229	61	266	5	2	36%	7%	31	-2.0
✕Pedro Ruiz 2011 · A	19	38	34→30	48→50	57	174/286/230	56	237	1	9	24%	12%	55	-2.0	206/287/262	56	304	2	11	29%	10%	60	-1.6	206/281/258	52	313	1	11	32%	9%	54	-1.0
✕Yamal Encarnacion 2023 · A	19	42	36→40	46→60	47	199/264/263	64	259	3	12	23%	7%	51	-2.2	207/270/268	61	275	3	22	24%	7%	55	-2.0	225/284/305	80	290	5	45	23%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Kendy Moya 2018 · A	19	37	34→30	47→50	55	171/281/228	57	242	2	11	27%	12%	52	-2.2	186/290/249	63	255	2	10	24%	12%	59	-1.6	153/294/218	65	208	0	11	22%	15%	55	-0.7
✕Maick Collado 2022 · A	19	40	36→40	47→45	54	188/283/257	69	239	3	6	21%	10%	59	-1.7	215/294/288	73	274	5	7	21%	9%	69	-0.9	214/298/282	68	268	5	6	20%	10%	69	-0.4
✕Deivi Estrada 2019 · A	18	39	36→30	45→50	46	184/259/252	68	257	2	10	27%	8%	47	-2.5	197/281/256	59	262	2	9	23%	9%	57	-1.8	175/259/216	41	252	2	8	28%	9%	38	-1.0
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	37	34→30	50→55	47	174/257/225	52	263	1	15	32%	10%	41	-3.0	194/259/259	65	313	2	13	36%	7%	49	-2.4	182/247/231	49	295	0	21	35%	6%	35	-0.9
✕Oliver Dominguez 2008 · A	19	37	35→40	47→45	45	176/250/233	57	248	2	9	28%	8%	40	-3.0	193/264/278	85	252	6	12	24%	8%	55	-2.0	184/260/270	86	233	7	16	23%	9%	51	-0.8
✕Franyerber Montilla 2024 · A	19	36	39→40	49→55	49	177/264/261	84	248	6	14	29%	10%	52	-2.2	194/278/289	95	284	8	22	31%	10%	64	-1.3	184/275/279	96	271	9	29	32%	10%	58	-0.9
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1

Raymer Medina

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps