Raymer Medina — OGILVIE

Raymer MedinaSS DSL Tampa Bay

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 177 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION152 act + 101 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .269 / .235

PA101

HR0

K%29

BB%10

BABIP261

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	164	148	19	5	1	0	14	64	2	6	1	128	213	176	389	47	226	39	9	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	164	139	27	8	2	0	23	45	2	6	1	194	317	281	598	86	287	27	14	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	152	130	22	4	1	0	21	45	0	10	5	169	285	215	500	46	256	30	14	238	40	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	152	117	29	6	1	0	34	31	0	10	5	248	417	316	733	68	333	20	22	348	125	+4	+0	+0	+2	+4	1.0
ROS	18	ROK	TB	0%	101	89	16	3	1	0	10	29	1	3	1	179	269	235	504	56	258	29	10	240	42	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
ROS	18	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		262	—	—	238	40	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TB	—	152	131	22	4	1	0	21	45	0	10	5	168	285	214	499	46	253	30	14	238	40	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
TOT	18	ROK	TB	—	253	219	38	7	2	0	31	74	1	13	6	173	279	223	502	50	258	29	12	239	41	-17	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	278	246	47	9	2	2	28	76	2	5	2	191	279	268	547	77	265	27	10	256	54	-14	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.4
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	398	352	70	13	2	5	39	107	4	7	2	199	286	290	576	91	269	27	10	267	62	-17	+1	+0	+4	+11	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	485	429	87	16	3	7	48	128	5	8	3	203	290	303	593	100	271	26	10	274	68	-18	+0	+0	+5	+14	0.2
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	546	481	100	19	3	9	54	143	6	9	3	208	296	316	612	108	272	26	10	278	71	-18	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.4
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	587	518	108	20	3	10	58	153	6	10	3	208	296	317	612	108	273	26	10	281	73	-18	+1	+0	+6	+17	0.6
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	614	541	114	21	4	11	61	159	7	10	3	211	299	325	624	115	274	26	10	283	75	-17	+1	+0	+7	+17	0.7
2033	25	MLB	TB	61%	628	553	116	21	4	11	63	163	7	10	4	210	299	322	620	112	274	26	10	284	76	-17	+0	+0	+7	+18	0.8
2034	26	MLB	TB	63%	635	559	119	22	4	12	64	164	7	10	4	213	302	331	633	118	274	26	10	285	76	-17	+0	+0	+7	+18	0.8
2035	27	MLB	TB	64%	634	558	119	22	4	12	64	164	7	10	4	213	302	332	634	118	274	26	10	285	76	-17	+0	+0	+7	+18	0.8
2036	28	MLB	TB	65%	629	553	116	21	4	11	64	164	7	10	3	210	300	322	622	112	274	26	10	284	76	-17	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.7
2037	29	MLB	TB	65%	619	543	113	21	3	11	64	163	7	9	3	208	300	319	618	110	273	26	10	282	74	-18	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.5
2038	30	MLB	TB	65%	608	534	109	20	3	10	63	161	6	9	3	204	295	309	604	105	272	26	10	280	72	-19	+1	-2	+7	+17	0.3
2039	31	MLB	TB	65%	594	522	106	19	3	10	61	159	6	8	3	203	294	308	602	105	270	27	10	276	69	-21	+0	-3	+6	+17	0.0
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	96	86	17	3	1	1	9	26	1	2	1	198	281	291	572	93	268	27	9	251	51	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	193	170	34	6	1	2	19	52	2	3	1	200	288	282	570	82	272	27	10	261	58	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	263	232	49	9	2	4	26	69	3	4	2	211	299	319	618	108	275	26	10	268	63	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	309	272	57	10	2	5	31	81	3	5	2	210	297	316	614	107	276	26	10	272	66	-12	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.0
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	338	297	63	11	2	6	34	88	4	6	2	212	301	323	625	111	277	26	10	274	68	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	350	308	66	12	2	6	35	91	4	6	2	214	303	325	627	110	278	26	10	276	70	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2033	25	MLB	TB	61%	381	336	72	13	2	7	38	99	4	6	2	214	302	327	629	113	278	26	10	277	71	-13	+0	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2034	26	MLB	TB	63%	397	350	75	13	3	7	40	103	4	6	2	214	302	329	631	114	278	26	10	278	71	-13	+0	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2035	27	MLB	TB	64%	403	355	75	13	3	7	41	105	4	7	2	211	300	324	624	113	277	26	10	278	71	-13	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2036	28	MLB	TB	65%	409	360	77	14	3	7	42	107	4	6	2	214	303	328	631	114	277	26	10	277	70	-14	+0	-0	+4	+12	0.2
2037	29	MLB	TB	65%	402	354	74	13	2	7	41	106	4	6	2	209	298	316	615	107	276	26	10	276	69	-14	+0	-1	+4	+11	0.1
2038	30	MLB	TB	65%	395	347	72	13	2	6	41	105	4	6	2	207	298	308	607	101	275	27	10	273	67	-15	+0	-1	+4	+11	-0.0
2039	31	MLB	TB	65%	386	339	69	12	2	6	40	104	4	5	2	204	295	304	599	100	273	27	10	270	64	-16	+0	-2	+4	+11	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4322	3807	800	142	27	71	437	1136	45	68	24	210	299	318	617	107	278	26	10	274	68	-158	+4	-5	+46	+122	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	120	21	4	11	66	171	7	10	4	209	299	318	617	108	277	26	10	274	68	-24	+0	-1	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	7520	6626	1359	252	44	121	755	1997	80	124	42	205	294	311	605	106	272	27	10	277	70	-253	+8	-7	+81	+213	4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	117	22	4	10	65	173	7	11	4	204	293	309	602	105	272	27	10	277	70	-22	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	164	139	27	8	2	0	23	45	2	6	1	194	317	281	598	86	287	27	14	283	75	-5	+1	—	—	+5	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,490	73	72	208	293	315	+48	+27	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	11	11	208	293	315	+7.1	+4.0	0.5	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Raymer Medina (OGILVIE)	18	20	20	45	50	173/279/223	50	258	0	13	29%	12%	41	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Deivi Estrada 2019 · A	18	40	36→30	45→50	43	190/259/260	71	280	2	10	31%	7%	43	-2.2	210/287/274	64	290	3	9	26%	9%	58	-1.2	195/270/241	46	289	2	8	30%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Francis Grullon 2019 · A	18	39	35→45	47→55	45	184/247/246	62	246	2	9	25%	7%	33	-2.9	202/273/292	90	249	7	13	20%	8%	57	-1.2	192/274/289	97	228	9	18	19%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Carlos Ramirez 2007 · A	18	39	36→40	44→45	46	187/255/250	63	262	3	6	28%	8%	38	-2.6	221/282/291	70	277	2	5	20%	6%	59	-1.1	241/302/311	71	291	2	4	17%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Pedro Flores 2014 · A	18	38	34→30	43→50	46	177/233/226	49	224	2	5	21%	6%	22	-3.7	199/262/248	49	246	2	9	18%	7%	40	-2.4	206/276/243	36	245	1	12	15%	8%	42	-0.9
✕Emmanuel Morel 2015 · A	18	42	36→30	51→55	41	199/261/262	63	278	3	9	28%	6%	43	-2.2	192/267/250	58	298	2	16	33%	9%	43	-2.2	173/256/219	46	280	0	22	34%	9%	29	-0.9
✕Luis Rodriguez 2017 · A	18	38	35→30	46→50	45	180/251/238	58	270	2	8	32%	9%	33	-2.9	178/250/234	56	273	3	10	33%	8%	32	-3.0	180/271/220	40	237	2	16	23%	10%	37	-0.9
✕Jesus Henriquez 2016 · A	18	40	34→30	40→50	44	187/233/235	48	226	1	5	18%	5%	24	-3.6	230/278/274	44	265	1	7	13%	6%	53	-1.5	261/308/282	21	288	0	9	9%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2011 · A	18	43	35→40	47→65	48	203/275/262	59	265	2	16	23%	8%	50	-1.8	204/271/273	69	256	3	20	20%	7%	50	-1.7	210/296/279	69	262	2	36	19%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Julio Garcia 2015 · A	18	39→34	36→40	45→40	39	187/240/248	61	285	3	7	34%	6%	30	-3.1	184/222/241	57	279	2	11	33%	4%	20	-3.8	180/208/241	62	277	3	6	35%	3%	12	-2.3
✕Nicoll Parra 2012 · A	18	39	36→30	44→55	45	183/264/252	70	275	4	8	32%	8%	43	-2.2	197/307/251	54	268	1	18	24%	12%	63	-0.9	186/321/224	38	254	0	27	22%	14%	60	-0.3
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	40	38→30	51→45	43	188/262/268	80	284	4	11	33%	8%	46	-2.0	199/267/280	81	262	6	10	25%	7%	51	-1.7	199/277/263	64	267	6	7	25%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Darlyn Mota 2015 · A	18	38	34→30	46→45	43	177/256/229	52	279	1	8	34%	8%	33	-2.9	190/259/251	61	279	2	8	30%	7%	40	-2.4	198/259/257	60	283	0	7	28%	6%	37	-0.9
✕Enderson Delgado 2023 · A	18	42	35→45	45→30	41	196/262/252	56	273	2	6	28%	6%	42	-2.3	176/258/267	91	261	8	4	34%	7%	46	-2.0	172/264/273	101	236	12	1	30%	7%	48	-0.5
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→32	37→40	43→50	40	199/260/273	73	295	4	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	184/285/263	79	357	5	9	44%	10%	56	-1.3	152/269/228	75	334	5	7	49%	11%	40	-1.1