Luis Ravelo — OGILVIE

Luis RaveloSS Portland Sea Dogs

Age 23 S/R 6'1" / 187 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .259 / .294

PA5

HR0

K%40

BB%7

BABIP287

ISO90

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	168	144	35	4	2	1	19	22	2	0	1	243	339	319	659	76	274	13	11	301	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	Salem Red Sox	—	28	25	6	1	0	1	2	8	1	0	0	240	321	400	721	160	312	29	7	326	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	125	107	20	1	2	0	17	31	0	6	3	187	298	234	532	47	263	25	14	254	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	444	383	83	15	0	6	51	126	4	6	6	217	315	303	618	86	300	28	11	285	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	52	44	9	0	0	0	7	9	1	0	0	205	327	205	531		257	17	13	265	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	347	307	69	14	2	4	32	81	5	1	1	225	308	322	631	98	289	23	9	288	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	108	99	16	3	0	1	8	40	0	0	0	162	224	222	447	61	254	37	7	207	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	168	150	24	2	1	0	13	27	2	0	1	160	236	187	423	27	190	16	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	28	26	5	1	0	1	1	12	1	0	0	192	250	346	596	154	290	43	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	125	114	16	1	2	0	10	45	0	6	3	140	210	184	394	44	217	36	8	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	444	399	67	12	0	4	35	174	4	6	6	168	242	228	470	60	270	39	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	52	46	9	0	0	0	5	11	1	0	0	196	288	196	484		261	21	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	347	317	56	10	2	3	22	111	5	1	1	177	241	249	490	73	252	32	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	108	101	14	2	0	1	6	50	0	0	0	139	187	188	375	50	254	46	6	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	168	150	24	2	1	0	13	27	2	0	1	160	236	187	423	27	190	16	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Red	—	168	144	35	4	2	1	19	22	2	0	1	243	339	319	659	76	274	13	11	301	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	153	140	20	1	2	1	11	56	1	6	3	143	211	200	411	57	229	37	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	153	132	26	2	2	1	19	39	1	6	3	197	303	265	568	68	272	25	12	267	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	444	399	67	12	0	4	35	174	4	6	6	168	242	228	470	60	278	39	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	444	383	83	15	0	6	51	126	4	6	6	217	315	303	618	86	300	28	11	285	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	399	363	65	10	2	3	27	121	6	1	1	179	247	242	490	63	256	30	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	399	351	78	14	2	4	39	90	6	1	1	222	311	308	618	85	285	23	10	285	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	108	101	14	2	0	1	6	50	0	0	0	139	187	188	375	50	255	46	6	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	108	99	16	3	0	1	8	40	0	0	0	162	224	222	447	61	254	37	7	207	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	168	151	24	2	1	0	13	27	2	0	1	159	236	185	422	26	190	16	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	153	140	20	1	2	1	11	56	1	6	3	143	211	200	411	57	230	37	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	444	402	67	12	0	4	35	174	4	6	6	167	242	226	468	60	270	39	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	399	363	65	10	2	3	27	121	6	1	1	179	247	242	490	63	253	30	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	108	101	14	2	0	1	6	50	0	0	0	139	187	188	375	50	254	46	6	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	399	363	65	10	2	3	27	121	6	1	1	179	247	242	490	63	253	30	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	108	101	14	2	0	1	6	50	0	0	0	139	187	188	375	50	254	46	6	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BOS	2%	339	310	58	11	1	5	23	112	3	2	1	191	254	286	540	95	277	33	7	245	52	-19	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	BOS	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	197	259	294	553	97	287	40	0	251	52	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BOS	31%	288	263	51	10	1	5	20	93	3	1	0	197	261	306	567	108	279	32	7	257	60	-14	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	BOS	45%	355	324	66	12	2	8	25	113	3	0	0	202	267	319	586	117	280	32	7	264	65	-15	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	BOS	51%	399	363	75	14	2	9	29	125	4	0	0	205	270	328	599	123	281	31	7	269	68	-15	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	419	381	79	15	2	10	31	130	4	0	0	206	272	330	602	124	281	31	7	271	69	-15	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	428	389	81	15	2	10	32	132	4	0	0	206	272	329	602	123	281	31	7	271	69	-16	+0	-1	+5	+9	-0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	427	389	79	15	2	9	31	133	4	0	0	204	270	324	593	119	280	31	7	267	67	-17	+0	-1	+5	+9	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	BOS	31%	89	82	16	3	0	2	6	29	1	0	0	203	267	313	580	110	289	33	7	262	60	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	BOS	45%	158	145	30	6	1	3	11	50	1	0	0	207	272	327	599	120	290	32	7	270	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	BOS	51%	203	184	40	8	1	5	15	64	2	0	0	211	276	336	612	125	291	32	7	275	68	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	220	200	43	9	1	5	16	68	2	0	0	212	277	338	615	126	291	31	7	276	69	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	228	207	44	9	1	5	17	70	2	0	0	212	278	337	615	125	291	31	7	276	69	-8	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	224	204	43	9	1	5	16	70	2	0	0	210	275	331	607	122	289	31	7	273	67	-9	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1122	1022	216	44	5	25	81	351	10	0	0	211	276	338	613	126	293	31	7	273	53	-44	+0	-1	+12	+24	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	124	25	3	14	47	203	6	0	0	209	274	333	607	123	291	31	7	273	53	-25	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3819	3473	661	116	17	63	276	1231	37	15	11	190	257	288	545	98	271	32	7	247	53	-104	+0	-2	+27	+55	-2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	113	20	3	11	47	210	6	3	2	191	257	291	548	100	273	32	7	247	53	-27	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,128	25	1	205	268	326	+12	+9	-0.0	0.1
/162	664	15	1	+7.1	+5.3	-0.0	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Ravelo (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	189/252/283	94	277	3	1	33%	7%	52	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	36	43→50	49→40	39	181/242/290	109	276	11	4	37%	7%	50	-2.3	203/259/322	119	277	12	4	30%	6%	63	-1.3	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Alex Lavisky 2014 · AA	23	38	43→45	46→30	37	194/243/298	104	274	11	3	33%	5%	52	-2.2	213/259/305	92	270	9	4	24%	5%	59	-1.7	211/254/287	76	257	9	1	21%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Hutton Moyer 2016 · A	23	39→42	42→50	50	36	192/249/301	109	268	9	7	31%	4%	55	-1.9	204/253/332	128	301	13	13	35%	5%	63	-1.3	195/243/329	133	287	15	15	36%	4%	56	-0.8
✕Taylor Gushue 2017 · A	23	39	41→45	44→30	39	194/237/289	96	255	8	3	27%	5%	47	-2.5	194/246/312	118	263	14	2	31%	6%	56	-1.9	199/260/326	127	276	15	0	32%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Trevor Coleman 2011 · A	23	39	41→40	42→40	40	194/248/286	93	255	9	5	27%	5%	51	-2.2	209/285/309	100	269	9	6	24%	9%	70	-0.8	205/292/296	91	259	9	3	23%	11%	68	-0.6
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A	23	37	41→45	47→45	41	184/247/274	90	275	9	6	35%	7%	48	-2.5	197/245/283	86	259	8	6	26%	6%	49	-2.4	182/223/254	73	228	7	4	23%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	35	41→50	42→40	42	178/243/275	96	257	9	4	33%	7%	47	-2.6	210/262/308	98	279	8	3	26%	6%	61	-1.5	225/285/350	124	287	13	0	25%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	180/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	214/267/316	102	297	9	3	29%	6%	65	-1.2	220/280/330	110	294	10	0	27%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	36	38→50	49→40	35	175/227/252	77	276	5	7	37%	5%	35	-3.4	188/273/334	146	262	18	6	34%	9%	73	-0.6	166/253/301	135	232	18	4	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Edwin Díaz 2019 · AA	23	34→33	43→50	49→40	39	177/238/284	107	268	12	4	37%	7%	47	-2.5	183/245/313	130	286	13	4	39%	7%	57	-1.8	156/227/293	137	222	18	5	38%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Will Banfield 2023 · AA	23	35→37	43→50	45→30	35	183/223/291	109	253	11	3	32%	4%	42	-2.9	201/240/323	122	276	13	3	32%	4%	56	-1.9	196/236/312	116	270	13	1	32%	4%	50	-1.4
✕Jacob Berry 2024 · AA	23	40→44	43→45	53→55	39	200/248/313	113	255	10	8	26%	4%	57	-1.8	212/270/321	109	266	10	17	23%	6%	67	-1.1	213/278/320	107	261	10	21	22%	7%	69	-0.8
✕Jose Sermo 2014 · A	23	41→34	41→55	48→50	35	200/241/297	97	294	8	11	34%	5%	50	-2.3	206/252/316	110	324	11	10	38%	6%	59	-1.7	185/226/321	136	316	15	10	45%	5%	50	-1.0
✕Frank Rodriguez 2024 · A	22	35	42→45	47→30	38	180/236/279	99	250	10	4	32%	5%	45	-2.7	188/246/274	86	257	8	4	29%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Jobduan Morales 2014 · A	23	37	37→40	49→40	42	180/245/252	72	276	5	4	35%	8%	42	-2.9	199/258/286	87	302	7	5	34%	7%	54	-2.0	194/253/287	94	299	7	3	35%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Austin Bernard 2019 · A	23	36	42→40	44→45	39	182/248/284	101	274	10	5	36%	7%	51	-2.3	175/265/275	100	288	9	8	38%	10%	56	-1.9	137/251/237	101	222	9	7	39%	12%	40	-1.6
✕Kyle McCann 2022 · AA	24	34	43→50	48→40	38	168/245/274	106	297	12	4	44%	8%	49	-2.4	205/277/355	150	324	19	4	40%	8%	78	-0.3	209/282/367	158	320	22	2	39%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Kole Enright 2021 · A	23	41	44→50	46→45	37	203/257/317	115	301	12	6	36%	6%	61	-1.5	196/255/288	92	317	8	6	38%	6%	54	-2.0	143/207/195	52	247	5	0	41%	6%	13	-1.5
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A	23	35	42→50	43→30	38	176/239/284	109	279	9	6	39%	7%	47	-2.5	199/271/332	133	321	12	4	38%	8%	70	-0.8	194/272/338	144	313	14	1	39%	9%	70	-0.4
✕Marcus Littlewood 2015 · A	23	41	42→45	49→45	47	203/270/309	106	266	9	5	26%	8%	64	-1.3	212/271/323	111	277	10	5	26%	8%	68	-1.0	208/262/316	108	270	11	3	26%	7%	61	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps