Luis Ravelo — OGILVIE

Luis RaveloSS Portland Sea Dogs

Age 22 S/R 6'1" / 187 lbs AA H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 247 proj PA

wRC+†16

AVG/OBP/SLG.158 / .221 / .218

PA247

HR2

K%39

BB%7

ISO60

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT27

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	168	151	30	3	2	0	12	31	2	0	1	199	267	245	512	46	244	18	7	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	168	144	35	4	2	1	19	22	2	0	1	243	339	319	659	76	274	13	11	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	—	153	141	20	1	2	1	10	58	1	6	3	142	204	199	403	57	232	38	7	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	—	153	132	26	2	2	1	19	39	1	6	3	197	303	265	568	68	272	25	12	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	444	405	65	12	0	5	29	186	4	6	6	160	224	227	451	67	273	42	7	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	444	383	83	15	0	6	51	126	4	6	6	217	315	303	618	86	300	28	11	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	2 teams	—	399	360	63	10	2	3	30	129	6	1	1	175	250	239	489	64	260	32	8	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	2 teams	—	399	351	78	14	2	4	39	90	6	1	1	222	311	308	618	85	285	23	10	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	108	102	13	2	0	1	5	54	0	0	0	127	168	176	345	49	250	50	5	148	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	108	99	16	3	0	1	8	40	0	0	0	162	224	222	447	61	254	37	7	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	BOS	—	247	227	36	6	1	2	16	97	2	2	1	159	220	220	441	62	264	39	6	206	16	-24	+0	+0	+3	+7	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	BOS	35%	314	286	49	9	1	4	22	117	3	3	1	171	238	252	490	80	268	37	7	226	32	-24	+0	+0	+3	+9	-1.2
2028	24	MLB	BOS	47%	391	356	64	11	1	7	28	140	4	5	2	180	247	275	523	96	271	36	7	240	42	-26	+0	+0	+4	+11	-1.1
2029	25	MLB	BOS	52%	432	393	73	13	2	8	32	151	4	6	2	186	254	290	544	104	273	35	7	247	47	-26	+0	+0	+5	+12	-0.9
2030	26	MLB	BOS	54%	457	416	78	14	2	9	34	158	4	6	3	188	256	296	551	108	273	35	7	250	50	-26	+0	+0	+5	+13	-0.8
2031	27	MLB	BOS	54%	465	423	79	14	2	9	35	161	4	7	3	187	255	293	549	106	273	35	8	251	50	-26	+0	+0	+5	+13	-0.8
2027	23	MLB	BOS	35%	110	100	17	3	0	1	8	41	1	1	0	170	239	230	469	60	274	37	7	223	29	-9	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
2028	24	MLB	BOS	47%	182	165	31	6	1	3	13	65	2	2	1	188	256	291	546	103	277	36	7	236	39	-13	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
2029	25	MLB	BOS	52%	224	203	38	7	1	4	17	78	2	3	1	187	257	291	547	103	279	35	8	244	45	-14	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.5
2030	26	MLB	BOS	54%	248	225	43	8	1	5	19	86	2	3	1	191	260	302	562	111	279	35	8	247	47	-15	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.5
2031	27	MLB	BOS	54%	252	229	44	8	1	5	19	87	2	4	2	192	260	301	561	109	279	35	8	247	48	-15	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1016	922	173	32	4	18	76	357	9	13	5	188	256	290	546	102	281	35	7	242	43	-65	+1	+0	+11	+29	-2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	111	20	3	12	49	228	6	8	3	188	258	293	551	105	280	35	8	242	43	-42	+0	+0	+7	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	3578	3260	570	95	15	49	253	1282	34	42	23	175	242	258	500	83	267	36	7	227	32	-274	-1	+0	+38	+101	-13.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	104	17	3	9	46	233	6	8	4	176	242	260	502	84	268	36	7	227	32	-50	+0	+0	+7	+18	-2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	168	144	35	4	2	1	19	22	2	0	1	243	339	319	659	76	274	13	11	301	88	-2	-0	—	—	+5	0.2
2022	18	A	Salem Red Sox	—	28	25	6	1	0	1	2	8	1	0	0	240	321	400	721	160	312	29	7	326	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	125	107	20	1	2	0	17	31	0	6	3	187	298	234	532	47	263	25	14	254	53	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2023	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	444	383	83	15	0	6	51	126	4	6	6	217	315	303	618	86	300	28	11	285	76	-12	-1	—	—	+13	-0.1
2024	20	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	52	44	9	0	0	0	7	9	1	0	0	205	327	205	531		257	17	13	265	61	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	347	307	69	14	2	4	32	81	5	1	1	225	308	322	631	98	289	23	9	288	78	-8	-0	—	—	+10	0.1
2025	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	108	99	16	3	0	1	8	40	0	0	0	162	224	222	447	61	254	37	7	207	17	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,022	19	13	185	250	286	+11	+6	-2.3	-1.1
	/162	664	12	9	185	250	286	+7.1	+3.9	-1.5	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Ravelo (OGILVIE)	22	22→27	32→37	43→48	50	158/221/218	60	264	2	2	39%	7%	16	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Urbanus 2014 · A	22	36	34→40	48→50	38	175/224/226	51	261	2	8	32%	6%	17	-4.0	199/240/273	74	297	3	9	32%	5%	37	-2.7	204/233/274	70	302	0	8	31%	3%	30	-1.0
✕Julio Garcia 2019 · A	22	39→34	37→40	40	31	188/219/262	74	291	5	4	36%	3%	24	-3.5	176/214/244	68	313	5	5	43%	4%	18	-3.9	88/122/101	14	196	0	0	53%	2%	-61	-2.6
✕Jobduan Morales 2014 · A	23	38	37→40	49→40	43	181/247/254	73	273	5	4	34%	8%	36	-2.7	197/257/282	85	305	6	5	35%	7%	46	-2.0	190/250/277	88	302	6	3	37%	7%	43	-1.0
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	35→31	36→45	46→50	30	172/213/238	66	275	4	7	38%	3%	16	-4.1	211/251/299	88	302	6	10	31%	4%	48	-1.9	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕Dreily Guerrero 2013 · A	22	39	35→30	52→55	36	184/234/249	65	297	2	10	37%	6%	28	-3.2	180/223/252	72	322	5	10	43%	5%	24	-3.5	150/190/213	63	273	5	12	45%	5%	-2	-1.6
✕Carlos Ozuna 2015 · A	22	40	36→30	45→50	35	191/237/260	69	291	3	6	34%	5%	32	-3.0	196/242/275	79	305	5	5	35%	5%	38	-2.6	161/195/230	69	250	3	2	36%	3%	5	-1.1
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Yeison Coca 2021 · A	22	37→29	38→40	50	36	181/232/259	77	290	6	14	38%	6%	30	-3.1	179/238/246	67	306	4	12	40%	7%	30	-3.1	157/219/208	51	273	2	13	40%	7%	9	-2.1
✕Alvaro Gonzalez 2023 · A	22	37	38→30	41→40	40	173/260/251	78	294	6	4	39%	8%	42	-2.3	177/259/258	81	293	7	6	38%	8%	43	-2.2	117/207/167	50	185	3	5	35%	8%	-5	-1.2
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	173/222/254	81	276	7	4	39%	5%	24	-3.5	183/241/264	81	308	8	5	40%	6%	36	-2.7	115/169/126	12	224	0	0	46%	5%	-33	-1.4
✕Alex Hall 2021 · A	22	41	38→45	49→40	36	198/238/277	79	290	5	7	32%	5%	37	-2.7	175/236/264	89	309	7	4	42%	7%	33	-2.9	149/218/245	95	250	10	1	42%	7%	20	-1.5
✕Chuck Moorman 2016 · A	22	36	39→40	44→30	32	176/227/256	80	293	7	5	40%	4%	27	-3.3	191/228/270	79	271	5	3	30%	4%	30	-3.1	181/219/257	76	259	5	0	31%	4%	21	-1.8
✕Frank Veliz 2022 · A	22	39	38→30	47→55	37	188/240/264	76	290	5	7	36%	6%	35	-2.8	192/252/277	85	327	6	6	40%	7%	43	-2.2	129/202/202	72	244	6	0	46%	7%	1	-0.9
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Julio Carrion 2021 · A	22	39	38→40	50→45	38	186/255/265	79	301	6	6	38%	7%	43	-2.2	180/259/263	83	314	7	5	41%	7%	44	-2.1	156/236/234	78	290	8	3	45%	7%	25	-1.3
✕Ricardo Balogh 2023 · A	21	40	35→40	47→40	31	187/223/244	56	320	3	5	41%	4%	20	-3.8	205/257/286	81	326	6	5	36%	6%	47	-1.9	199/252/287	88	313	9	3	37%	6%	44	-1.2
✕Will Banfield 2022 · A	22	31→35	40→50	48→30	34	163/215/254	91	259	8	4	39%	5%	22	-3.7	193/230/321	128	266	15	3	33%	4%	46	-2.0	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Mikell Granberry 2018 · A	22	39	39→45	47→45	38	186/242/277	91	282	4	6	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/284/323	108	302	8	7	29%	8%	69	-0.4	225/307/355	130	299	13	7	27%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Nolan Perez 2019 · A	20	36	38→40	45→40	36	178/228/253	74	267	5	4	34%	5%	27	-3.3	191/230/273	82	324	6	5	41%	4%	33	-2.9	174/195/256	81	303	6	1	44%	2%	11	-1.4
✕Raymel Flores 2017 · A	22	42	37→45	46→50	38	200/251/273	73	301	5	10	34%	6%	41	-2.3	190/241/254	64	290	3	11	33%	5%	33	-2.9	160/211/201	41	247	0	13	33%	5%	2	-1.3