Royelny Strop — OGILVIE

Royelny StropOF FCL Cardinals

Age 18 L/L 6'1" / 178 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION158 act + 105 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .249 / .254

PA105

HR1

K%32

BB%8

BABIP249

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	110	99	12	4	0	1	8	53	3	2	1	121	209	192	401	71	244	48	7	184	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	110	93	21	7	1	1	14	34	3	2	1	226	345	355	700	129	345	31	13	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	STL	—	158	139	18	3	1	1	14	59	4	8	3	129	229	187	416	58	212	37	9	200	11	-16	+0	+0	-1	+4	-1.2
YTD	18	ROK	STL	—	158	130	25	5	1	2	23	41	4	8	3	192	331	292	624	100	261	26	15	295	84	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
ROS	18	ROK	STL	0%	105	94	16	3	1	1	8	34	2	3	1	170	249	254	504	85	251	32	8	233	36	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
ROS	18	MLB	STL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		251	—	—	221	27	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	STL	—	158	140	18	3	1	1	14	59	4	8	3	129	229	186	415	57	210	37	9	200	11	-16	+0	+0	-1	+4	-1.2
TOT	18	ROK	STL	—	263	233	34	6	2	2	22	93	6	11	4	146	237	214	452	69	228	35	8	213	21	-23	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	STL	34%	275	246	45	8	2	4	23	86	4	6	2	183	264	280	544	98	259	31	8	248	48	-16	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.0
2027	19	MLB	STL	34%	94	85	16	3	1	1	8	30	1	2	1	188	266	282	548	94	259	32	9	236	39	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	94	86	16	3	1	1	8	30	1	2	1	186	266	279	545	93	273	32	9	236	39	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	111	21	7	7	55	207	7	14	7	187	266	281	547	94	273	32	8	236	39	-45	+0	+0	-4	+18	-3.1
Career	—			—	490	439	73	15	3	6	39	173	9	11	4	166	248	255	503	89	255	35	8	230	34	-36	+1	+0	-3	+14	-2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	97	20	4	8	52	229	12	15	5	167	249	256	505	89	256	35	8	230	34	-48	+1	+0	-4	+18	-3.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	110	93	21	7	1	1	14	34	3	2	1	226	345	355	700	129	345	31	13	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	233	3	4	185	258	275	-1	+0	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	8	12	185	258	275	-4.0	+0.0	-2.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Royelny Strop (OGILVIE)	18	20→25	33→38	49→54	56	146/237/214	69	228	2	11	35%	8%	21	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shalin Polanco 2022 · A	18	34→21	37→45	50	37	167/220/240	73	270	5	9	38%	6%	20	-3.8	186/245/294	108	295	11	12	38%	6%	46	-2.0	166/231/282	116	269	13	13	41%	7%	35	-1.3
✕Adonis Figuereo 2019 · A	18	37	38→30	46→45	44	182/246/261	79	250	5	8	28%	7%	37	-2.6	193/263/271	78	270	6	6	28%	8%	47	-1.9	194/266/259	66	250	6	5	24%	8%	43	-0.8
✕Lean Marrero 2016 · A	18	39	39→30	50	40	191/246/271	81	278	6	11	32%	7%	40	-2.4	207/250/288	81	272	6	10	25%	5%	44	-2.1	218/256/288	70	278	6	11	23%	4%	43	-0.6
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Luis Castillo 2022 · A	18	43→25	35→45	48→40	43	204/258/262	58	276	2	7	26%	6%	42	-2.3	195/258/287	92	287	8	5	33%	7%	49	-1.8	171/240/276	105	249	12	4	35%	8%	38	-1.3
✕Robert Lopez 2022 · A	18	38	39→45	48→45	42	181/262/270	89	284	6	6	36%	8%	48	-1.9	190/252/274	84	293	7	4	35%	7%	43	-2.2	183/243/267	84	277	9	3	35%	7%	34	-0.9
✕Carlos Goris 2019 · A	18	35	35→30	51→55	43	166/241/233	66	250	2	7	32%	8%	28	-3.2	189/268/264	75	265	5	12	28%	9%	48	-1.9	169/264/229	60	224	6	21	25%	11%	35	-1.1
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2023 · A	18	42	38→40	52→50	46	198/269/280	82	262	4	12	25%	8%	52	-1.6	177/266/265	88	302	5	9	39%	10%	47	-1.9	167/271/264	96	291	6	7	40%	12%	48	-0.7
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/245/263	80	272	5	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	188/242/284	96	295	9	9	37%	6%	41	-2.3	186/239/293	108	289	12	10	38%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Anderdson Rojas 2022 · A	18	39→44	37→40	50→55	39	188/247/257	69	265	4	12	29%	5%	37	-2.7	205/248/284	79	264	3	13	23%	4%	43	-2.2	206/248/289	83	259	4	17	21%	4%	42	-1.3
✕Danny Drullard 2019 · A	19	39	42→45	52→50	45	195/263/301	106	268	9	10	30%	8%	54	-1.4	198/260/301	103	293	9	9	33%	7%	53	-1.5	176/239/288	112	254	11	8	34%	7%	38	-1.1
✕Adalfi Almonte 2014 · A	18	39	41→40	51→50	47	187/275/288	101	276	7	11	32%	10%	57	-1.2	191/286/274	83	275	6	12	30%	9%	59	-1.1	175/285/243	68	254	5	14	29%	10%	49	-0.6
✕Amador Arias 2019 · A	18	34	39→45	48→50	45	170/242/253	83	225	7	13	27%	7%	34	-2.8	186/256/285	99	277	9	12	34%	7%	48	-1.9	118/203/228	110	217	14	11	50%	8%	10	-1.7
✕Luis Paz 2014 · A	18	36→33	36→45	47→40	43	176/243/239	63	244	4	6	28%	7%	30	-3.1	178/231/250	72	257	4	6	30%	6%	27	-3.3	184/225/314	130	265	14	3	36%	5%	39	-1.1
✕Francisco Del Valle 2018 · A	19	39→27	39→45	51→40	41	192/240/271	80	253	6	6	26%	6%	37	-2.7	173/244/267	94	265	7	5	35%	7%	39	-2.5	156/230/268	112	219	11	3	33%	7%	31	-1.6
✕Gabriel Terrero 2023 · A	19	38	37→50	51→45	42	180/260/249	69	278	5	12	34%	8%	41	-2.3	190/262/297	107	326	9	9	41%	8%	53	-1.5	160/235/297	137	288	11	7	45%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2016 · A	19	34	36→30	51→50	43	168/238/234	66	250	4	10	33%	8%	27	-3.3	179/237/253	74	242	5	9	27%	6%	31	-3.0	164/220/234	70	213	4	8	24%	5%	17	-1.4
✕Seamus Curran 2016 · A	18	41→30	37→50	45→30	42	197/249/277	80	271	4	4	28%	6%	42	-2.3	207/260/324	117	296	12	3	32%	6%	59	-1.1	183/236/318	135	257	19	0	36%	6%	45	-1.1
✕Miguel Aparicio 2017 · A	18	43→35	39→50	50	42	207/255/294	86	259	6	13	22%	5%	49	-1.8	189/233/281	92	252	6	8	27%	4%	36	-2.7	181/233/326	145	235	16	7	30%	5%	46	-0.9
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1