Royelny Strop — OGILVIE

Royelny StropOF FCL Cardinals

Age 18 L/L 6'1" / 178 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION181 act + 17 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .176 / .125

PA17

HR0

K%29

BB%6

BABIP261

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	110	93	21	7	1	1	14	34	3	2	1	226	345	355	700	129	345	31	13	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	110	99	13	4	0	1	8	51	3	2	1	131	218	202	420	71	255	46	7	193	17	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	110	99	13	4	0	1	8	51	3	2	1	131	218	202	420	71	255	46	7	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	110	93	21	7	1	1	14	34	3	2	1	226	345	355	700	129	345	31	13	323	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	110	98	13	4	0	1	8	51	3	2	1	133	218	204	422	71	255	46	7	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	110	98	13	4	0	1	8	51	3	2	1	133	218	204	422	71	255	46	7	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	STL	—	181	158	26	4	1	1	16	60	5	11	4	165	263	222	484	57	253	33	9	222	36	-14	+1	+0	-1	+4	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	STL	—	181	149	34	6	1	2	25	42	5	11	4	228	358	322	680	94	299	23	14	316	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	STL	0%	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	125	176	125	301		261	29	6	242	50	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	18	ROK MLE	STL	—	198	174	28	4	1	1	17	65	5	12	4	161	255	213	468	52	245	33	9	224	38	-15	+1	+0	-1	+4	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	STL	34%	236	211	40	7	1	3	19	70	4	5	1	190	269	275	544	85	266	30	8	255	59	-12	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
2027	19	MLB CTX	STL	34%	81	73	13	2	0	1	7	24	1	2	1	178	259	247	506	68	265	30	9	241	59	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	81	73	13	2	0	1	7	24	1	2	1	178	259	247	506	68	250	30	9	241	46	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	104	16	0	8	56	193	8	16	8	177	258	246	504	68	249	30	9	241	46	-32	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	363	326	55	11	1	4	28	126	7	8	2	169	249	245	495	77	259	35	8	236	46	-13	+1	+0	-2	+5	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	99	20	2	7	50	226	13	14	4	170	251	247	497	77	261	35	8	236	46	-32	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	200	2	4	191	263	279	-1	+0	-0.6	-0.3
/162	664	8	13	-4.0	+0.0	-2.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Royelny Strop (OGILVIE)	18	20→25	33→38	50→55	55	180/260/257	76	261	1	4	31%	8%	50	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shalin Polanco 2022 · A	18	35→23	38→45	50	38	172/226/251	79	269	6	9	37%	6%	34	-3.5	184/243/292	108	295	11	12	39%	6%	51	-2.3	163/229/279	116	266	13	13	42%	7%	41	-1.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2023 · A	18	41	38→45	52→45	46	198/269/280	82	263	4	12	25%	8%	57	-1.8	175/267/264	89	303	6	9	39%	10%	54	-2.0	172/276/280	109	289	8	7	39%	12%	60	-0.7
✕Adonis Figuereo 2019 · A	18	37	38→30	46→45	44	182/246/261	79	250	5	8	28%	7%	45	-2.7	193/264/271	78	270	6	6	28%	8%	53	-2.1	194/266/259	66	250	6	5	24%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Lean Marrero 2016 · A	18	39	39→30	50	40	191/246/271	81	278	6	11	32%	7%	47	-2.6	208/250/289	81	273	6	10	25%	5%	51	-2.2	218/256/288	70	278	6	11	23%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Gleider Figuereo 2022 · A	18	39→36	38→45	48→45	49	190/266/272	82	250	5	6	25%	9%	55	-2.0	188/250/304	116	278	13	7	35%	7%	56	-1.9	173/233/294	120	259	16	5	38%	6%	45	-1.6
✕Luis Castillo 2022 · A	18	43→35	35→50	48→40	44	204/258/263	59	272	2	7	25%	6%	49	-2.4	199/261/295	96	290	9	5	32%	7%	57	-1.8	177/245/287	110	256	13	4	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Manolfi Jimenez 2023 · A	18	41	38→45	48→45	40	198/240/279	81	252	6	6	24%	5%	45	-2.7	198/245/285	87	258	7	9	25%	5%	49	-2.4	193/240/288	94	249	7	9	25%	4%	47	-0.7
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	39	42→40	53→45	45	194/262/300	106	257	10	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	201/266/295	94	268	8	10	26%	7%	60	-1.6	184/255/271	87	254	7	7	29%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Carlos Goris 2019 · A	18	35	35→30	51→55	43	166/241/233	66	250	2	7	32%	8%	36	-3.3	189/268/264	75	265	5	12	28%	9%	54	-2.0	169/264/229	60	224	6	21	25%	11%	42	-1.1
✕Robert Lopez 2022 · A	18	38	39→45	48→45	41	181/262/270	89	284	6	6	36%	8%	53	-2.1	189/253/272	83	291	7	4	35%	7%	50	-2.3	184/245/264	80	277	8	3	35%	7%	42	-0.9
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→36	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	54	-2.0	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	68	-1.0	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	74	-0.2
✕Olivber Moreno 2019 · A	18	40	36→40	52→50	41	192/248/253	61	272	3	13	29%	6%	43	-2.8	198/268/274	76	279	6	11	29%	7%	56	-1.9	203/284/283	80	254	7	13	21%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Sauris Mejia 2015 · A	18	42	35→40	48→50	45	193/273/252	59	282	2	13	30%	8%	53	-2.1	205/290/285	80	293	6	12	29%	9%	67	-1.1	189/292/264	75	265	7	15	28%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	41→38	37→40	49→50	44	190/267/265	75	303	4	9	36%	9%	53	-2.1	194/280/281	87	310	5	14	35%	10%	63	-1.4	189/288/270	81	300	4	18	34%	11%	62	-0.8
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2010 · A	19	34	39→45	50→45	42	170/223/263	92	223	6	6	26%	6%	36	-3.4	208/253/303	95	284	8	7	28%	5%	56	-1.9	221/269/347	125	311	14	7	32%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Amador Arias 2019 · A	18	34	39→45	48→50	45	170/242/253	83	225	7	13	27%	7%	42	-2.9	185/256/282	97	276	9	12	34%	7%	53	-2.1	119/206/220	101	222	12	11	49%	8%	20	-1.7
✕Danny Drullard 2019 · A	19	39	42→45	52→50	45	195/263/301	106	268	9	10	30%	8%	59	-1.6	198/260/301	103	293	9	9	33%	7%	59	-1.7	176/239/288	112	254	11	8	34%	7%	45	-1.2
✕Juan Pie 2019 · A	18	42	39→45	45	47	196/276/292	96	271	4	8	27%	8%	63	-1.3	197/261/286	89	275	6	9	28%	7%	55	-1.9	159/213/235	76	214	7	12	28%	5%	24	-1.0
✕Jaden Rudd 2022 · A	19	44→36	40→30	51→50	45	207/290/299	92	294	6	11	30%	8%	70	-0.8	180/288/254	74	275	4	13	32%	10%	61	-1.5	154/279/213	59	249	3	16	34%	11%	47	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps