Manolfi Jimenez
OF Clearwater Threshers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROKPHI | 101 | .261/.320/.380 | 3 | 3 | 32 | — | .170/.220/.245 |
| 2025 | 20 | A/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 307 | .282/.337/.444 | 6 | 5 | 68 | — | .218/.266/.328 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+/A/ROKPHI | 248 | .205/.268/.327 | 6 | 2 | 19 | — | .156/.206/.243 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBPHI | 358 | .182/.222/.279 | 6 | 6 | 38 | -0.8 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 23 | MLBPHI | 62 | .189/.231/.298 | 1 | 1 | 45 | -0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | — | 186 | 167 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 246 | 302 | 347 | 650 | 102 | 277 | 15 | 6 | 287 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | — | 170 | 150 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 240 | 317 | 340 | 657 | 100 | 276 | 15 | 9 | 295 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 101 | 92 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 261 | 320 | 380 | 700 | 120 | 309 | 22 | 6 | 313 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 94 | 81 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 235 | 326 | 272 | 598 | 37 | 306 | 21 | 9 | 278 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 171 | 157 | 48 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 306 | 347 | 529 | 876 | 223 | 336 | 15 | 4 | 373 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 42 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 317 | 462 | 779 | 179 | 281 | 14 | 5 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 47 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 152 | 156 | 308 | 22 | 207 | 36 | 0 | 139 | -44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 117 | 105 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 219 | 281 | 314 | 595 | 95 | 284 | 27 | 8 | 265 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 84 | 70 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 316 | 457 | 774 | 229 | 231 | 21 | 7 | 322 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | — | 186 | 173 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 156 | 198 | 214 | 412 | 58 | 179 | 19 | 4 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | — | 170 | 154 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 156 | 222 | 227 | 449 | 71 | 176 | 19 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 101 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 170 | 220 | 245 | 465 | 74 | 226 | 30 | 4 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 94 | 84 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 214 | 283 | 250 | 533 | 36 | 290 | 28 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 171 | 159 | 35 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 220 | 257 | 371 | 629 | 151 | 252 | 22 | 2 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 47 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 130 | 133 | 264 | 22 | 178 | 47 | 0 | 103 | -44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 117 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 167 | 211 | 222 | 433 | 56 | 247 | 38 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 84 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 241 | 333 | 574 | 167 | 167 | 31 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | — | 186 | 173 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 156 | 198 | 214 | 412 | 58 | 186 | 19 | 4 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Phillies White | — | 186 | 167 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 246 | 302 | 347 | 650 | 102 | 277 | 15 | 6 | 287 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | — | 170 | 154 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 156 | 222 | 227 | 449 | 71 | 185 | 19 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Phillies White | — | 170 | 150 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 240 | 317 | 340 | 657 | 100 | 276 | 15 | 9 | 295 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 101 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 170 | 220 | 245 | 465 | 74 | 222 | 30 | 4 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Phillies | — | 101 | 92 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 261 | 320 | 380 | 700 | 120 | 309 | 22 | 6 | 313 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 307 | 283 | 61 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 73 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 216 | 260 | 325 | 585 | 110 | 269 | 24 | 3 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK RAW | 3 teams | — | 307 | 277 | 78 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 52 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 282 | 337 | 444 | 781 | 162 | 320 | 17 | 5 | 339 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 248 | 225 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 92 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 160 | 209 | 258 | 467 | 98 | 228 | 37 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 248 | 220 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 67 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 205 | 268 | 327 | 595 | 123 | 252 | 27 | 6 | 260 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | — | 186 | 175 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 154 | 198 | 211 | 409 | 57 | 179 | 19 | 4 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | — | 170 | 155 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 155 | 222 | 226 | 447 | 71 | 176 | 19 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 101 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 170 | 220 | 245 | 465 | 74 | 226 | 30 | 4 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 307 | 287 | 61 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 73 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 213 | 260 | 321 | 581 | 108 | 265 | 24 | 3 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 248 | 232 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 92 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 155 | 209 | 250 | 459 | 95 | 207 | 37 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 101 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 170 | 220 | 245 | 465 | 74 | 226 | 30 | 4 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 307 | 287 | 61 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 73 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 213 | 260 | 321 | 581 | 108 | 265 | 24 | 3 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 248 | 232 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 92 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 155 | 209 | 250 | 459 | 95 | 207 | 37 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | PHI | 0% | 358 | 338 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 105 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 182 | 222 | 279 | 500 | 96 | 242 | 29 | 4 | 224 | 38 | -26 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | PHI | 34% | 181 | 170 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 52 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 188 | 230 | 293 | 523 | 105 | 246 | 29 | 4 | 234 | 45 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | PHI | 34% | 62 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 231 | 298 | 529 | 109 | 246 | 29 | 3 | 236 | 45 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 62 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 169 | 210 | 254 | 464 | 85 | 225 | 29 | 3 | 236 | 34 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 619 | 104 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 21 | 189 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 168 | 208 | 250 | 458 | 82 | 224 | 29 | 3 | 236 | 34 | -43 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -3.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1339 | 1237 | 221 | 41 | 8 | 18 | 54 | 358 | 21 | 27 | 20 | 179 | 226 | 268 | 494 | 90 | 229 | 27 | 4 | 218 | 34 | -23 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 108 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 174 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 180 | 226 | 272 | 498 | 92 | 231 | 27 | 4 | 218 | 34 | -45 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -3.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AClearwater Threshers · 117 PAwOBA .265 → .204 (−60)K% 27.4% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.35% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | — | 20.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | — | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.19% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .265 → .204; ISO .095 → .070; BABIP .284 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Phillies · 84 PAwOBA .329 → .237 (−92)K% 21.4% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 4.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.975 | 13.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.975 | 2.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.975 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 5.85% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .329 → .237; ISO .229 → .170; BABIP .231 → .167. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 47 PAwOBA .138 → .103 (−36)K% 36.2% → 47.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.17% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 47.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 15.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .138 → .103; ISO .022 → .015; BABIP .207 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Phillies · 171 PAwOBA .371 → .268 (−103)K% 15.2% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.20% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.51% | ÷0.928 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 2.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.34% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.85% | ÷1.004 | ×0.820 | ×1.003 | ×0.985 | 16.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.92% | ÷1.015 | ×0.720 | ×1.003 | ×0.985 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.82% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.003 | ×0.985 | 2.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.05% | ÷0.917 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 2.56% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 100, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .371 → .268; ISO .223 → .156; BABIP .336 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AClearwater Threshers · 94 PAwOBA .270 → .239 (−31)K% 21.3% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.28% | ÷1.065 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.45% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.19% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.23% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 24.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.92% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 4.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 113, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .270 → .239; ISO .037 → .034; BABIP .306 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Phillies · 101 PAwOBA .308 → .216 (−93)K% 21.8% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.78% | ÷1.042 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.94% | ÷0.982 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 3.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.98% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.14% | ÷1.073 | ×0.820 | ×0.976 | ×0.995 | 20.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.015 | ×0.720 | ×0.976 | ×0.995 | 1.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.994 | ×0.720 | ×0.976 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.29% | ÷0.924 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 3.60% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 115, 2B 103, 3B 99, K 108, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .308 → .216; ISO .120 → .091; BABIP .309 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Phillies White · 170 PAwOBA .293 → .193 (−100)K% 14.7% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.71% | ÷0.960 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷0.964 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 6.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.20% | ÷0.986 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 12.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.915 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷1.016 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.794 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.47% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 97, 2B 83, 3B 103, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .293 → .193; ISO .100 → .061; BABIP .276 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Phillies White · 186 PAwOBA .284 → .185 (−98)K% 15.1% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.05% | ÷0.961 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.91% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 4.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.86% | ÷0.991 | ×0.680 | ×0.977 | ×1.008 | 14.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.47% | ÷1.018 | ×0.600 | ×0.977 | ×1.008 | 3.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.090 | ×0.600 | ×0.977 | ×1.008 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.44% | ÷0.849 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.80% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 98, 2B 104, 3B 118, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .284 → .185; ISO .102 → .059; BABIP .277 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .