Adrian Valerio

PosSS

B/TS/R

Born1997-03-13

Age (2027)30

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

A+LAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	20	AWest Virginia…	352	.273/.305/.442	11	8	62	—	.230/.255/.367
2018	21	A+PIT	500	.242/.268/.341	6	11	38	—	.215/.234/.300
2019	22	AA/A+PIT	358	.231/.272/.297	2	13	24	—	.191/.228/.244

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2014	17	ROK	DSL Pirates	—	281	250	60	14	2	1	16	36	1	6	6	240	288	324	612	84	272	13	6	264	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK	GCL Pirates	—	214	188	41	12	2	1	13	36	1	7	0	218	272	319	591	101	261	17	6	253	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK	Bristol Pirates	—	268	251	62	11	1	2	7	46	3	7	4	247	276	323	599	76	293	17	3	263	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A	West Virginia Power	—	352	326	89	18	2	11	11	63	4	8	7	273	305	442	747	169	305	18	3	319	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	500	466	113	26	1	6	15	101	1	11	4	242	268	341	609	99	296	20	3	262	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	113	106	21	2	2	0	6	29	1	1	0	198	248	255	503	57	273	26	5	231	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	245	231	57	8	1	2	9	54	3	12	4	247	284	316	600	69	312	22	4	270	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2014	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates	—	281	254	42	9	1	1	12	44	1	6	6	165	206	220	426	55	182	16	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	214	193	32	9	1	1	8	52	1	7	0	166	203	238	441	73	205	24	4	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	—	268	253	49	8	1	2	5	65	3	7	4	194	218	257	475	63	239	24	2	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	352	330	76	14	2	9	7	87	4	8	7	230	255	367	622	136	266	25	2	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	500	470	101	23	1	5	11	146	1	11	4	215	234	300	534	85	282	29	2	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	113	107	19	2	2	0	5	37	1	1	0	178	221	234	455	56	253	33	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	245	233	46	7	1	1	7	76	3	12	4	197	230	249	479	52	279	31	3	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates	—	281	254	42	9	1	1	12	44	1	6	6	165	206	220	426	55	192	16	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates	—	281	250	60	14	2	1	16	36	1	6	6	240	288	324	612	84	272	13	6	264	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	214	193	32	9	1	1	8	52	1	7	0	166	203	238	441	73	218	24	4	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	—	214	188	41	12	2	1	13	36	1	7	0	218	272	319	591	101	261	17	6	253	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	—	268	253	49	8	1	2	5	65	3	7	4	194	218	257	475	63	250	24	2	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	—	268	251	62	11	1	2	7	46	3	7	4	247	276	323	599	76	293	17	3	263	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	352	330	76	14	2	9	7	87	4	8	7	230	255	367	622	136	282	25	2	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A RAW	West Virginia Power	—	352	326	89	18	2	11	11	63	4	8	7	273	305	442	747	169	305	18	3	319	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	500	470	101	23	1	5	11	146	1	11	4	215	234	300	534	85	299	29	2	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	500	466	113	26	1	6	15	101	1	11	4	242	268	341	609	99	296	20	3	262	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	358	341	63	8	2	1	11	113	4	13	4	185	219	229	448	44	272	32	3	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	358	337	78	10	3	2	15	83	4	13	4	231	272	297	569	65	300	23	4	258	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates	—	281	266	42	9	1	1	12	44	1	6	6	158	206	211	417	53	182	16	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	214	203	32	9	1	1	8	52	1	7	0	158	203	227	430	69	205	24	4	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	—	268	258	49	8	1	2	5	65	3	7	4	190	218	252	470	62	239	24	2	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	352	338	76	14	2	9	7	87	4	8	7	225	255	358	613	133	266	25	2	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	500	484	101	23	1	5	11	146	1	11	4	209	234	291	526	83	282	29	2	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	358	340	63	8	2	1	11	113	4	13	4	185	219	229	449	44	271	32	3	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	1973	1841	363	71	8	19	54	507	14	52	25	197	226	275	501	78	259	26	3	213	30	-164	+0	+0	+21	+43	-10.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	607	119	23	3	6	18	167	5	17	8	196	226	273	499	77	257	26	3	213	30	-54	+0	+0	+7	+14	-3.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 A+Bradenton Marauders · 245 PAwOBA .264 → .211 (−53)K% 22.0% → 31.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.04%	÷1.005	×1.420	—	—	31.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.67%	÷0.999	×0.750	—	×1.012	2.79%
HBP% /PA	1.22%	—	×0.930	—	×1.012	1.15%
Singles /BIP	25.99%	÷0.993	×0.920	×0.950	×1.012	23.15%
Doubles /BIP	4.52%	÷1.005	×0.960	×0.950	×1.012	4.15%
Triples /BIP	0.56%	÷0.915	×0.810	×0.950	×1.012	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	1.13%	÷1.069	×0.880	—	×1.012	0.94%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 99, 2B 101, 3B 83, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .264 → .211; ISO .069 → .055; BABIP .312 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAltoona Curve · 113 PAwOBA .225 → .187 (−39)K% 25.7% → 32.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.66%	÷0.959	×1.220	—	—	32.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.31%	÷0.958	×0.700	—	×1.042	4.04%
HBP% /PA	0.88%	—	×0.850	—	×1.042	0.78%
Singles /BIP	22.08%	÷1.009	×0.970	×0.950	×1.042	21.02%
Doubles /BIP	2.60%	÷1.038	×0.860	×0.950	×1.042	2.13%
Triples /BIP	2.60%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.950	×1.042	2.12%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.783	×0.780	—	×1.042	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 92, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .225 → .187; ISO .057 → .043; BABIP .273 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Bradenton Marauders · 500 PAwOBA .255 → .224 (−31)K% 20.2% → 29.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.20%	÷0.986	×1.420	—	—	29.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.80%	÷0.971	×0.750	—	×1.027	2.22%
HBP% /PA	0.20%	—	×0.930	—	×1.027	0.19%
Singles /BIP	21.92%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.013	×1.027	20.97%
Doubles /BIP	7.12%	÷1.058	×0.960	×1.013	×1.027	6.73%
Triples /BIP	0.27%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.013	×1.027	0.26%
Home runs /BIP	1.64%	÷1.066	×0.880	—	×1.027	1.39%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 100, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .255 → .224; ISO .099 → .084; BABIP .296 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AWest Virginia Power · 352 PAwOBA .314 → .260 (−54)K% 17.9% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.90%	÷0.975	×1.340	—	—	24.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.12%	÷1.040	×0.660	—	×1.030	2.04%
HBP% /PA	1.14%	—	×0.770	—	×1.030	0.90%
Singles /BIP	22.05%	÷1.014	×0.920	×0.963	×1.030	19.84%
Doubles /BIP	6.84%	÷0.995	×0.820	×0.963	×1.030	5.59%
Triples /BIP	0.76%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.963	×1.030	0.62%
Home runs /BIP	4.18%	÷0.979	×0.820	—	×1.030	3.61%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .314 → .260; ISO .169 → .138; BABIP .305 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 ROKBristol Pirates · 268 PAwOBA .258 → .197 (−60)K% 17.2% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.16%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	24.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.61%	÷1.000	×0.640	—	×1.008	1.68%
HBP% /PA	1.12%	—	×0.740	—	×1.008	0.83%
Singles /BIP	23.41%	÷1.000	×0.840	×0.990	×1.008	19.62%
Doubles /BIP	5.37%	÷1.000	×0.740	×0.990	×1.008	3.96%
Triples /BIP	0.49%	÷1.000	×0.740	×0.990	×1.008	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	0.98%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.008	0.79%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .258 → .197; ISO .076 → .055; BABIP .293 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 ROKGCL Pirates · 214 PAwOBA .248 → .188 (−60)K% 16.8% → 24.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.82%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	24.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.07%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	3.85%
HBP% /PA	0.47%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.34%
Singles /BIP	17.11%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.978	×1.022	14.02%
Doubles /BIP	7.89%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.978	×1.022	5.68%
Triples /BIP	1.32%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.978	×1.022	0.95%
Home runs /BIP	0.66%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	0.52%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .248 → .188; ISO .101 → .075; BABIP .261 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 DSLDSL Pirates · 281 PAwOBA .261 → .181 (−79)K% 12.8% → 15.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.81%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	15.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.69%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.022	4.08%
HBP% /PA	0.36%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.25%
Singles /BIP	20.09%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.998	×1.022	13.95%
Doubles /BIP	6.54%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.998	×1.022	4.01%
Triples /BIP	0.93%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.998	×1.022	0.57%
Home runs /BIP	0.47%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.22%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .261 → .181; ISO .084 → .052; BABIP .272 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).