Deivid CoronilSS DSL Padres Gold
Age 18 S/R 6'3" / 162 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 145 proj PA
wRC+45
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .261 / .262
PA145
HR1
K%31
BB%7
ISO73
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -9.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.81.60.30.60.70.91.01.1+$34M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 47
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER47
scouting grade only
SPEED57
scouting grade only
DEFENSE52
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.0$5M+$4M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.1$5M+$4M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $12M +$10M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Padres Gold 174149 17110 12729 80 114224134358 20218 417 163 -17
202517 ROKDSL Padres Gold 174140 26210 21479 80 186329214544 29277 2712 266 62
▸ 2026 Season
202618 MLB 145131 25411 10453 31 191264260523 69278 317 244 45 -9 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLB 34% 232208 42623 17705 51 202278293572 91282 307 257 55 -12 +1 +1 +2 +7 -0.2
202820 MLB 48% 363326 671026 271077 82 206281304584 98284 297 267 62 -15 +1 +1 +4 +10 0.0
202921 MLB 54% 460414 861338 341339 102 208282312594 104286 297 273 67 -17 +1 +1 +5 +13 0.3
203022 MLB 57% 529473 10116310 4015111 123 214290323614 110287 298 278 71 -18 +1 +1 +6 +15 0.6
203123 MLB 58% 576515 11117411 4416412 133 216292328621 113288 288 280 72 -18 +1 +1 +6 +16 0.7
203224 MLB 57% 607544 11718412 4617212 143 215291329620 114289 288 282 74 -18 +2 +1 +7 +17 0.9
203325 MLB 57% 624559 12018413 4717713 153 215291331622 116289 288 283 75 -18 +2 +2 +7 +18 1.0
203426 MLB 57% 632566 12219413 4817913 153 216292332624 117289 288 284 75 -18 +2 +2 +7 +18 1.1
202719 MLB 34% 8072 15211 6242 20 208287306593 97282 308 257 55 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202820 MLB 48% 176157 33513 13524 41 210287312599 102284 307 267 62 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.0
202921 MLB 54% 249223 47724 19725 61 211287314601 103286 298 273 67 -9 +1 +1 +3 +7 0.2
203022 MLB 57% 299269 58926 22856 71 216290331620 115287 287 278 71 -10 +1 +1 +3 +8 0.4
203123 MLB 58% 332297 631026 25947 82 212289320609 108288 288 280 72 -10 +1 +1 +4 +9 0.4
203224 MLB 57% 346310 661027 26987 82 213289326614 113289 288 282 74 -10 +1 +1 +4 +10 0.5
203325 MLB 57% 354317 671027 271007 82 211288322610 110289 288 283 75 -10 +1 +1 +4 +10 0.5
203426 MLB 57% 358321 691127 271017 82 215290327617 112289 288 284 75 -10 +1 +1 +4 +10 0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career 21941966 418641441 16562645 5111 213289322611 109288 298 278 71 -71 +6 +5 +24 +62 2.6
/ 162G 650582 12419412 4918513 153 213288321610 108289 288 278 71 -21 +2 +2 +7 +18 0.8
Career 43423885 8081222877 325127094 10321 208285313598 105286 297 272 66 -165 +12 +10 +47 +123 2.7
/ 162G 650582 12118412 4919014 153 208285314600 107285 298 272 66 -25 +2 +2 +7 +18 0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Padres Gold 174140 26210 21479 80 186329214544 29277 2712 266 62 -8 +2 +5 -0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA
92,4203578239286365+13-03.74.5
/1626641021+3.6-0.11.0pk7: 5
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
52,3394353213285321+25+51.82.0
/1626641215+7.1+1.40.5pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Deivid Coronil (OGILVIE) 18 40 47 57 190/261/262 72278 13 31% 7% 45 -0.5
Yordalin Peña
2023 · A
18 41→39 40→55 55 37 198/247/291 93283 610 31% 5% 45 -2.1 188/247/280 92276 612 32% 6% 42 -2.3 189/253/317128293111737%7%53-0.7
Juan Villavicencio
2023 · A
18 43 40→50 55 41 205/263/297 92301 714 33% 7% 53 -1.5 187/262/281 94277 712 32% 8% 50 -1.8 192/266/303111286101834%8%55-0.5
Alejandro Flores
2014 · A
18 41 37→50 48→40 43 196/253/264 68270 47 28% 7% 40 -2.4 190/255/273 83275 76 31% 7% 44 -2.1 199/256/33813926414329%6%57-0.5
Riley Unroe
2014 · A
18 42→48 37→50 51→55 47 196/275/269 72289 39 31% 9% 52 -1.6 193/254/254 61272 49 28% 7% 38 -2.6 227/311/367139295152627%10%89+0.5
Jhoan Urena
2013 · A
18 44→47 39→45 51→45 41 212/252/300 89270 610 24% 5% 49 -1.8 210/250/284 74285 48 26% 5% 43 -2.2 212/271/33512329713532%7%63-0.7
Jeremy Arocho
2018 · A
19 43→46 38→30 53→60 41 203/260/286 83285 412 29% 6% 49 -1.8 223/283/291 68291 211 22% 7% 59 -1.1 217/330/2614529713424%14%71-0.2
Argenis Aldazoro
2011 · A
18 39 37→55 56→50 40 184/248/267 83281 28 33% 7% 40 -2.4 181/235/271 90247 68 28% 5% 34 -2.8 194/220/31612225212828%3%36-0.8
Arismendy Alcántara
2011 · A
19 44→48 39→60 57→55 44 210/262/301 91273 514 24% 6% 53 -1.5 233/267/329 96309 715 26% 4% 63 -0.9 233/273/379146307152528%5%77+0.1
Jose Acosta
2019 · A
19 39 37→45 53→55 47 185/259/257 72250 414 26% 8% 42 -2.3 225/287/323 98318 619 29% 7% 70 -0.3 201/262/323122304122136%6%57-0.6
Jorge Alcantara
2010 · A
18 44 38→45 51→50 41 207/269/289 82311 611 33% 7% 53 -1.5 209/275/309 100307 711 32% 7% 62 -0.9 189/260/29911027071730%8%52-0.5
Emmanuel Morel
2015 · A
18 42 36→30 51→55 41 199/261/262 63278 39 28% 6% 43 -2.2 192/267/250 58298 216 33% 9% 43 -2.2 173/256/2194628002234%9%29-0.9
Yeremy Cabrera
2023 · A
18 37→41 38→45 53→55 48 181/263/262 81241 513 26% 8% 46 -2.0 206/287/315 109272 1017 26% 9% 69 -0.4 200/284/304104268112428%8%63-0.5
Steward Berroa
2018 · A
19 43→47 37→45 52→65 41 200/262/273 74297 317 32% 7% 46 -2.0 207/271/277 70311 317 31% 8% 51 -1.7 223/304/3229931394829%10%75+0.0
Jean Selmo
2018 · A
18 39 39→45 53→45 38 185/246/275 89296 68 38% 7% 41 -2.3 197/260/287 90318 58 36% 7% 50 -1.8 215/289/3251103044828%9%69-0.2
Henry Ramos
2023 · A
18 37 34→45 55 45 175/253/225 50259 217 31% 8% 31 -3.0 179/240/248 69278 416 35% 7% 30 -3.1 199/257/2697029452032%6%41-1.0
Carlos Sanchez
2023 · A
18 41 41→40 51→30 43 201/256/296 95262 99 26% 7% 50 -1.7 189/256/262 73263 55 28% 8% 42 -2.3 168/252/27510624112234%9%42-0.6
Jim Caceres
2019 · A
18 43 40→45 55 48 207/277/305 97255 614 21% 7% 61 -1.0 196/263/271 75271 410 27% 7% 47 -1.9 124/200/1391518701030%7%-14-1.1
Allan Castro
2022 · A
19 38→43 38→45 51→55 41 184/252/273 90271 46 32% 7% 43 -2.2 192/261/299 107277 811 31% 8% 54 -1.4 198/272/30510827391429%9%57-1.0
Thayron Liranzo
2022 · A
19 45→43 39→50 49→30 44 211/285/298 86311 68 32% 8% 63 -0.8 210/293/378 168310 193 36% 10% 89 +0.9 201/295/38318329122136%11%86+0.4
Dalton Pompey
2012 · A
19 39→49 41→45 56→55 45 193/266/287 94270 917 30% 8% 53 -1.5 217/281/315 98303 721 28% 8% 66 -0.6 259/316/35910033172922%7%87+0.7