Breyson Guedez

OF Stockton Ports

Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

APROSPECTFG #255MiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP47ETA2029FG ETA2031MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKOAK	210	.359/.403/.490	2	5	66	—	.240/.277/.311
2026	18	A+OAK	134	.268/.311/.341	2	0	67	—	.264/.303/.336
2026	18	AOAK	414	.309/.354/.460	6	1	88	—	.267/.301/.389
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBOAK	635	.225/.261/.321	7	6	62	-0.9
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBOAK	196	.238/.277/.352	3	3	70	-0.5
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBOAK	289	.243/.285/.368	5	5	77	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$1M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%94

Z-Con%92

K%75

wOBA21

wRC+13

ISO13

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 5, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 71%

CompsCal Mitchell (age 19) · Daryl Jones (age 19) · Danry Vasquez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .258 / .318

PA320

HR4

K%26

BB%4

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	210	192	69	15	2	2	14	20	0	5	1	359	403	490	892	130	385	10	7	389	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	134	123	33	3	0	2	4	26	4	0	0	268	311	341	652	73	320	19	3	292	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A	Stockton Ports	—	414	385	119	26	7	6	24	106	3	1	1	309	354	460	814	151	411	26	6	359	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	38	34	6	2	0	0	2	13	1	0	0	176	237	235	472	59	286	34	5	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	210	196	47	9	1	1	10	24	0	5	1	240	277	311	588	71	263	11	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	134	125	33	3	0	2	3	33	4	0	0	264	303	336	639	72	318	25	2	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	414	393	105	21	6	5	16	144	3	1	1	267	301	389	690	122	403	35	4	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	210	196	47	9	1	1	10	24	0	5	1	240	277	311	588	71	263	11	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	210	192	69	15	2	2	14	20	0	5	1	359	403	490	892	130	385	10	7	389	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	3 teams	—	586	554	147	26	7	7	20	189	8	1	1	265	301	375	676	110	387	32	3	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A RAW	3 teams	—	586	542	158	31	7	8	30	145	8	1	1	292	337	419	756	127	382	25	5	334	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	210	198	47	9	1	1	10	24	0	5	1	237	277	308	585	71	263	11	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	3 teams	—	586	553	147	26	7	7	20	189	8	1	1	266	301	376	677	110	382	32	3	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	210	198	47	9	1	1	10	24	0	5	1	237	277	308	585	71	263	11	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	3 teams	—	586	553	147	26	7	7	20	189	8	1	1	266	301	376	677	110	382	32	3	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	635	602	135	25	5	7	22	168	6	6	2	225	261	321	582	96	297	26	3	259	62	-29	+0	-3	-4	+14	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	OAK	34%	570	537	124	22	5	9	22	147	6	8	3	231	270	340	610	109	299	26	4	272	70	-20	+0	-3	-3	+12	-1.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	OAK	48%	597	559	132	24	5	11	26	149	7	10	3	236	278	356	635	120	299	25	4	282	77	-16	+1	-3	-4	+13	-0.9
2030	22	MLB MLE	OAK	54%	615	575	138	25	5	13	28	150	7	11	3	240	284	368	652	128	300	24	5	289	82	-13	+1	-2	-4	+13	-0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	627	584	141	25	5	14	31	151	7	11	3	242	288	375	663	133	300	24	5	294	85	-11	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	634	589	144	26	5	15	33	151	7	11	3	244	292	380	672	137	300	24	5	298	88	-9	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	639	594	145	26	5	15	33	152	7	11	3	244	292	382	674	138	300	24	5	299	88	-9	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	642	597	145	26	5	15	33	153	7	11	3	244	292	381	673	138	300	24	5	299	88	-9	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	639	594	144	26	5	15	33	153	7	10	3	243	291	379	670	136	299	24	5	297	87	-10	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	633	588	142	25	5	15	33	153	7	9	3	241	289	374	663	133	299	24	5	294	85	-11	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	621	577	138	25	4	14	32	152	7	8	3	238	286	368	654	129	297	24	5	291	83	-13	+0	-1	-4	+13	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	OAK	34%	196	184	45	9	2	3	8	50	2	3	1	238	277	352	628	114	309	26	4	279	70	-7	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.5
2029	21	MLB CTX	OAK	48%	289	272	66	13	3	5	12	72	3	5	2	243	285	368	653	125	309	25	4	289	77	-8	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.5
2030	22	MLB CTX	OAK	54%	334	312	77	15	3	7	15	82	4	6	2	246	291	379	670	133	309	25	4	297	82	-7	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	355	331	82	16	3	8	17	85	4	6	2	249	295	386	681	138	310	24	5	301	85	-6	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	358	333	83	16	3	8	18	85	4	6	2	250	298	392	690	141	310	24	5	305	88	-5	+0	-0	-2	+8	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	361	335	83	16	3	8	19	86	4	6	2	251	299	393	692	142	310	24	5	306	88	-5	+0	-0	-2	+8	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	363	337	83	16	3	8	19	86	4	6	2	250	299	392	691	142	310	24	5	306	88	-5	+0	-0	-2	+8	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	354	328	82	16	3	8	19	85	4	6	2	249	298	390	687	140	309	24	5	304	87	-5	+0	-0	-2	+8	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	347	322	81	16	3	8	18	84	4	5	2	247	295	385	681	138	308	24	5	301	85	-6	+0	-0	-2	+8	-0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	332	308	76	15	3	7	17	81	4	4	2	245	293	379	671	134	307	24	5	298	83	-7	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3289	3062	758	148	29	70	162	796	37	53	19	248	293	383	677	136	311	24	5	300	82	-62	+3	-5	-20	+71	-1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	150	29	6	14	32	157	7	10	4	248	293	385	679	137	311	24	5	300	82	-12	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7333	6847	1655	297	60	148	345	1809	80	109	33	242	286	367	653	126	306	25	5	289	82	-136	+8	-12	-39	+142	-3.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	607	146	26	5	13	31	160	7	10	3	241	286	364	650	124	304	25	5	289	82	-14	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Woody Jensen'31-'39 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,869 PA	4.3	2,869	26	20	260*	295*	401*	-26	+13	1.8	2.9
/162	664	6	5	-5.9	+2.9	0.4	pk7: 4
#5Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.4	3,609	77	56	240	283	369	-22	+1	0.7	1.2
/162	664	14	10	-4.0	+0.2	0.1	pk7: 2
#6Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Breyson Guedez (OGILVIE)	19	20→52	35→44	50→47	30	223/258/318	95	297	4	3	26%	4%	62	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cal Mitchell 2018 · A	19	41→51	38→50	42→50	43	196/257/277	81	269	5	5	28%	7%	52	-2.2	214/261/321	107	318	10	3	34%	5%	63	-1.3	236/294/376	140	302	15	12	26%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Daryl Jones 2006 · A	19	40→50	37→45	48→50	40	192/264/264	72	267	5	11	28%	5%	53	-2.1	212/278/306	94	284	8	13	27%	6%	67	-1.1	242/312/349	107	314	9	14	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Danry Vasquez 2013 · A	19	41→51	38→40	46→45	38	201/238/273	72	257	5	5	24%	4%	42	-2.9	242/282/334	92	295	6	5	19%	5%	74	-0.6	243/287/338	95	286	7	14	17%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2015 · A	19	39→49	36→50	46→50	39	189/234/250	60	263	3	6	29%	5%	36	-3.3	227/283/347	120	309	12	9	29%	7%	78	-0.3	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Kyle Waldrop 2012 · A	20	40→50	41→50	47→50	33	198/228/308	109	286	6	5	33%	3%	47	-2.5	231/267/357	126	302	11	9	26%	4%	74	-0.6	243/281/377	134	311	13	11	26%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Dustin Fowler 2014 · A	19	40→50	37→55	52→55	36	194/229/276	82	272	2	7	29%	4%	40	-3.1	230/257/348	118	295	10	12	25%	3%	67	-1.1	258/283/412	154	310	13	21	21%	3%	89	+0.4
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→45	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/296	90	269	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/257/302	95	281	7	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2016 · A	19	42→45	39→50	51→50	40	204/257/286	82	281	6	6	29%	6%	54	-2.0	207/264/331	124	299	11	7	33%	6%	67	-1.1	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Kevin Alcántara 2021 · A	19	42→52	37→50	48→50	37	201/248/278	78	286	4	8	30%	5%	48	-2.5	227/283/353	126	340	12	10	34%	7%	79	-0.2	232/296/372	139	341	17	12	35%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Joe Rizzo 2017 · A	19	46→50	38→50	47→40	41	217/267/297	80	311	6	5	31%	6%	59	-1.6	220/276/303	83	315	7	3	30%	7%	65	-1.2	235/283/369	133	291	16	2	25%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Michael Almanzar 2010 · A	19	40→50	39→45	43→45	34	198/239/281	83	286	7	4	33%	4%	46	-2.6	198/236/282	84	272	7	5	29%	4%	45	-2.7	243/289/370	127	299	13	8	23%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Austin Gallagher 2008 · A	19	45→49	40→45	45→30	43	218/264/306	88	274	7	4	23%	6%	61	-1.5	231/277/333	102	306	7	2	26%	6%	72	-0.7	234/298/360	125	291	13	1	23%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Gavin Conticello 2022 · A	19	47→50	37→45	48→50	38	216/279/292	76	320	4	8	32%	5%	64	-1.3	193/258/300	107	297	9	8	36%	7%	58	-1.7	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Matthew Sulentic 2007 · A	19	45→55	40→45	45→50	45	218/279/312	94	283	7	7	25%	7%	68	-1.0	222/270/317	95	300	8	9	27%	5%	65	-1.2	256/305/351	95	360	7	13	29%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Chih-Hsien Chiang 2008 · A	20	47→55	40→50	47→40	38	226/263/328	102	297	6	4	26%	4%	65	-1.2	243/280/365	122	298	11	3	21%	4%	80	-0.1	252/294/400	148	299	12	4	19%	4%	91	+0.5
✕Blake Perkins 2016 · A	19	38→48	36→50	43→55	39	186/232/252	66	259	4	7	29%	5%	36	-3.4	206/267/282	76	290	5	13	29%	7%	57	-1.8	227/310/355	127	301	12	25	27%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Rio Ruiz 2013 · A	19	43→53	38→50	52→40	42	205/261/298	93	294	4	6	30%	7%	58	-1.7	232/297/350	118	303	9	5	24%	9%	83	+0.1	246/316/351	105	316	8	2	23%	9%	88	+0.4
✕José Tena 2021 · A	20	45→55	36→45	50→55	38	213/250/285	72	290	3	9	27%	4%	50	-2.3	233/274/354	121	341	11	9	33%	5%	76	-0.4	252/310/371	119	358	10	21	31%	7%	90	+0.5
●Nick Pratto 2018 · A	19	39→45	41→55	49→50	39	188/248/288	100	289	7	10	36%	7%	51	-2.2	189/239/292	103	318	10	12	41%	6%	49	-2.4	199/293/381	183	290	22	7	37%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Joe Dickerson 2006 · A	19	43→53	41→45	46→55	43	209/264/321	111	282	7	9	28%	7%	64	-1.3	228/276/327	99	286	7	14	22%	5%	70	-0.8	250/305/337	87	312	4	21	20%	6%	81	-0.0

Breyson Guedez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps