Jack Eshleman — OGILVIE

Jack Eshleman P Vancouver Canadians

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 124

ERA5.66

FIP5.66

K%17.3%

BB%16.5%

K-BB%0.9%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3030

CMD3535

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	48	202	49	24	2	0%	1.5	17.3%	15.2%	2.1%	1.2%	3.38	4.21	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	48	202	49	24	2	0%	1.5	17.3%	15.2%	2.1%	1.2%	3.38	4.21	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	48	202	49	24	2	0%	1.5	24.3%	11.9%	12.4%	1.0%	3.38	3.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	37	0	67	270	55	18	9	0%	1.8	15.4%	7.7%	7.6%	4.2%	3.34	5.10	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	37	0	67	270	55	18	9	0%	1.8	15.4%	7.7%	7.6%	4.2%	3.34	5.10	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	TOR	15	0	22	89	29	5	3	0%	1.5	32.6%	5.6%	27.0%	3.4%	4.91	2.91	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	TOR	22	0	45	181	26	13	6	0%	2.1	14.4%	7.2%	7.2%	3.3%	2.58	4.62	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TOR	65	0	68	289	54	42	8	0%	1.1	18.7%	14.5%	4.2%	2.8%	5.38	5.29	-0.6
2028	24	MLB MLE	TOR	67	0	70	296	58	39	8	0%	1.0	19.6%	13.3%	6.3%	2.8%	5.15	5.04	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	TOR	68	0	71	300	60	38	8	0%	1.0	20.2%	12.5%	7.6%	2.8%	4.99	4.90	-0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	TOR	68	0	71	300	61	37	8	0%	1.0	20.4%	12.4%	8.0%	2.8%	4.91	4.86	-0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	TOR	67	0	70	295	60	37	8	0%	1.0	20.4%	12.5%	7.9%	2.8%	4.90	4.90	-0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	TOR	65	0	68	286	58	36	8	0%	1.0	20.3%	12.7%	7.7%	2.9%	4.95	4.98	-0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	TOR	62	0	65	273	55	35	8	0%	1.0	20.1%	12.9%	7.2%	3.1%	5.05	5.11	-0.4
2027	23	MLB CTX	TOR	32	0	34	144	27	21	4	0%	1.1	18.7%	14.5%	4.2%	2.8%	5.38	5.29	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	TOR	47	0	49	207	41	28	6	0%	1.0	19.6%	13.3%	6.3%	2.8%	5.15	5.04	-0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	TOR	55	0	58	245	49	31	7	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.5%	7.6%	2.8%	4.99	4.90	-0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	TOR	59	0	62	262	54	33	7	0%	1.1	20.4%	12.4%	8.0%	2.8%	4.91	4.86	-0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	TOR	60	0	63	266	54	33	8	0%	1.1	20.4%	12.5%	7.9%	2.8%	4.90	4.90	-0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	TOR	59	0	62	262	53	33	8	0%	1.1	20.3%	12.7%	7.7%	2.9%	4.95	4.98	-0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	TOR	57	0	60	253	51	33	8	0%	1.1	20.1%	12.9%	7.2%	3.1%	5.05	5.11	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		370	0	388	1639	329	211	47	0%	1.0	20.1%	12.9%	7.2%	2.9%	5.02	4.61	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	109	24	0%	1.1	20.1%	12.9%	7.2%	2.9%	5.02	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		69	0	115	472	76	52	14	0%	1.7	16.2%	10.9%	5.3%	2.9%	3.36	4.72	-2.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	0	200	818	133	89	24	0%	1.7	16.2%	10.9%	5.3%	2.9%	3.36	4.72	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Eshleman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.66	17.3%	16.5%	2.8%	—	5.07	19.5%	6.0%	210	-0.59	—	—	—
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	93
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	91
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	90
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	89
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	88
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	88
Audry Lugo R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	22	SU	4.82	17.6%	15.8%	2.2%	.333	5.76	13.7%	-2.6%	39	+0.94	4.05	113	88
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	87
Miguel Guerrero R 2022 · 5.35 FIP	22	SU	5.35	17.0%	13.9%	3.5%	.324	4.56	18.1%	7.8%	57	-0.79	4.56	171	87
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	87
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	87
Miguel Alfonseca R 2022 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	20.1%	16.4%	2.4%	.354	5.73	11.6%	-3.8%	56	+0.95	4.19	123	86
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	86
Junior Montero R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	18.5%	15.8%	1.8%	.319	5.31	20.2%	-3.7%	32	+0.77	4.54	100	86
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	86
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	86
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	86
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	86
Brett Hanewich R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	22	SU	5.18	15.9%	17.6%	2.2%	.372	4.32	20.3%	2.8%	108	-0.86	4.24	134	85
Cole Ayers R 2022 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	13.0%	15.4%	2.9%	.305	4.01	21.2%	10.1%	152	-1.57	3.58	171	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	66	19.7%	13.3%	1.11	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77