Jonathan Stevens

P Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 215 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	AMIN	6	1	13	6.92	4.79	29.9%	17.9%	—	K 22.1% · BB 21.1% · FIP 6.28
2026	22	AMIN	29	1	52	7.05	5.32	19.4%	14.4%	—	K 14.3% · BB 17.0% · FIP 6.22
2027PROJ	23	MLBMIN	27	0	28	5.79	5.79	17.6%	16.4%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBMIN	20	0	21	5.46	5.34	19.3%	14.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBMIN	30	0	32	5.20	5.07	20.2%	12.7%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsBrett Lockwood (age 24) · Junior Rincon (age 23) · Hayden Snelsire (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.79

FIP5.79

K%17.6%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%1.3%

Proj IP28

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	6	1	13	67	20	12	2	17%	2.2	22.1%	21.1%	1.0%	4.3%	6.92	6.28	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	6	1	13	67	20	12	2	17%	2.2	22.1%	21.1%	1.0%	4.3%	6.92	6.28	—
2025	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	6	1	13	67	20	12	2	17%	2.2	29.9%	17.9%	11.9%	3.0%	6.92	4.79	—
2026	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	29	1	52	263	51	38	8	3%	1.8	14.3%	17.0%	-2.7%	4.0%	7.05	6.22	—
2026	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	29	1	52	263	51	38	8	3%	1.8	14.3%	17.0%	-2.7%	4.0%	7.05	6.22	—
2026	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	29	1	52	263	51	38	8	3%	1.8	19.4%	14.4%	4.9%	3.0%	7.05	5.32	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	MIN	27	0	28	118	21	19	4	0%	1.0	17.6%	16.4%	1.3%	3.1%	5.79	5.79	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIN	46	0	48	204	39	29	6	0%	1.1	19.3%	14.1%	5.1%	3.1%	5.46	5.34	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIN	47	0	49	206	42	26	6	0%	1.0	20.2%	12.7%	7.5%	3.1%	5.20	5.07	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIN	20	0	21	89	17	13	3	0%	1.1	19.3%	14.1%	5.1%	3.1%	5.46	5.34	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIN	30	0	32	135	27	17	4	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.7%	7.5%	3.1%	5.20	5.07	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	0	53	224	44	30	7	0%	1.0	19.8%	13.3%	6.6%	3.1%	5.30	4.80	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	113	26	0%	1.1	19.8%	13.3%	6.6%	3.1%	5.30	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		35	2	65	330	53	59	13	6%	1.9	15.9%	17.9%	-2.0%	4.0%	7.03	6.23	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	6	200	1010	161	181	41	6%	1.9	15.9%	17.9%	-2.0%	4.0%	7.03	6.23	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jonathan Stevens (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.79	17.6%	16.4%	3.1%	—	5.20	19.7%	6.3%	97	-0.59	—	—	—
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	89
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	89
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	87
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	86
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	86
Cole Hillier R 2024 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	16.9%	14.7%	2.0%	.297	4.45	18.1%	4.5%	111	-0.19	3.80	169	86
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	86
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	85
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	85
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	84
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	84
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	84
Willian Suarez R 2021 · 5.23 FIP	23	SU	5.23	20.4%	17.3%	3.0%	.329	5.13	25.4%	9.5%	128	-0.10	3.99	219	84
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	84
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	84
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	84
Randy Messenger R 2005 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	16.3%	12.9%	2.8%	.281	3.93	13.8%	7.1%	137	-0.97	3.56	174	84
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	84
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	42	19.3%	14.1%	1.20	5.43
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*