Andy Polanco — OGILVIE

Andy PolancoOF San Jose Giants

Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 181 lbs A HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION263 act + 175 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†31

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .237 / .268

PA175

HR1

SB9

K%36

BB%4

BABIP306

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	20	ROK	ACL Giants	—	163	148	29	4	1	1	9	57	2	22	3	196	252	257	508	61	301	35	6	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Giants	—	163	140	37	5	1	1	17	43	2	22	3	264	352	336	688	71	364	26	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	SF	—	263	248	50	7	4	0	7	115	5	25	6	202	238	262	501	60	370	44	3	219	26	-22	+3	+0	-2	+7	-1.4
YTD	21	A	SF	—	263	245	63	9	6	0	10	86	5	25	6	257	300	343	643	86	391	33	4	286	77	-7	+3	+0	-2	+7	0.2
ROS	21	A	SF	0%	175	164	32	5	2	1	7	63	2	9	2	195	237	268	504	73	308	36	4	225	31	-14	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
ROS	21	MLB	SF	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		304	—	—	212	20	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	21	A	SF	—	263	249	50	7	4	0	7	115	5	25	6	201	238	261	500	60	368	44	3	219	26	-22	+3	+0	-2	+7	-1.4
TOT	21	A	SF	—	438	412	82	12	6	1	14	178	7	34	8	199	238	264	502	65	343	41	3	222	28	-36	+4	+0	-3	+12	-2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	SF	34%	370	345	70	12	3	3	17	128	5	12	3	203	251	281	532	78	308	35	5	241	43	-24	+1	+0	-2	+10	-1.5
2027	22	MLB	SF	34%	127	118	23	4	1	1	6	44	2	4	1	195	246	271	517	76	303	35	5	228	33	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	127	119	23	4	1	1	6	44	2	4	1	193	246	269	515	76	293	35	5	228	33	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	609	117	20	5	5	31	225	10	20	5	192	245	266	511	74	292	35	5	228	33	-49	+2	+0	-4	+18	-3.3
Career	—			—	708	657	131	21	6	5	33	248	9	43	8	199	247	272	520	73	307	35	5	232	36	-52	+5	+0	-4	+20	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	121	19	6	5	30	228	8	39	7	201	248	277	525	76	309	35	5	232	36	-47	+5	+0	-4	+18	-2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	20	ROK	ACL Giants	—	163	140	37	5	1	1	17	43	2	22	3	264	352	336	688	71	364	26	10	310	96	-1	+3	—	—	+5	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	364	2	10	195	239	267	-2	+0	-1.8	-0.9
	/162	664	4	18	195	239	267	-4.0	+0.0	-3.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andy Polanco (OGILVIE)	21	35	20	60	40	199/238/264	65	343	1	34	41%	3%	28	-2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anderson Bohorquez 2019 · A	21	43	35→30	51→50	41	202/258/263	61	274	2	15	26%	5%	42	-2.3	198/249/266	68	274	3	11	27%	6%	38	-2.6	162/201/196	33	208	0	12	21%	5%	1	-0.9
✕Cristian Paulino 2013 · A	21	41	37→40	55→60	40	197/250/272	75	271	4	17	28%	6%	41	-2.3	209/254/301	92	275	6	21	25%	4%	50	-1.8	209/253/310	101	269	7	28	24%	4%	48	-0.6
✕Jaynnertt Melenciano 2009 · A	21	41	35→30	53→50	40	194/255/252	58	277	2	13	29%	5%	38	-2.6	197/255/266	69	274	3	8	27%	6%	42	-2.3	184/240/248	64	251	3	6	26%	5%	27	-0.9
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2016 · A	21	36	33→30	49→50	35	172/223/217	44	258	1	14	32%	4%	15	-4.1	198/259/255	57	293	2	11	31%	5%	41	-2.3	191/263/226	34	287	0	13	30%	5%	33	-1.0
✕Ivan Mora 2015 · A	21	41	36→40	53→45	36	195/235/264	70	277	2	12	30%	4%	32	-3.0	208/250/282	74	291	3	8	28%	4%	43	-2.2	204/237/273	69	276	2	5	26%	3%	32	-1.0
✕Avain Rachal 2015 · A	21	41→38	38→30	53→50	43	197/262/275	78	278	5	11	30%	7%	47	-1.9	188/261/261	73	298	5	10	36%	7%	44	-2.1	173/252/234	61	280	5	10	36%	7%	31	-1.6
✕Reidy Mercado 2022 · A	21	42	37→30	56→60	40	198/254/268	70	293	4	21	32%	6%	41	-2.3	185/235/238	53	302	2	20	37%	6%	25	-3.5	163/211/196	34	268	1	31	37%	5%	1	-1.3
✕Gregory Lorenzo 2012 · A	21	40→46	35→30	54→55	41	189/247/253	64	279	1	16	31%	6%	35	-2.8	209/247/288	79	321	3	19	34%	4%	43	-2.2	211/243/283	72	329	3	25	35%	3%	36	-1.8
✕Robert Del Rosario 2013 · A	21	40	36→40	53→55	45	191/251/257	67	255	4	15	26%	7%	38	-2.6	212/263/277	65	287	3	13	26%	6%	47	-1.9	226/270/269	43	303	0	17	24%	4%	46	-0.7
✕Dalvy Rosario 2021 · A	21	42→41	39→40	53→55	39	203/253/288	85	298	6	14	33%	6%	46	-2.0	196/248/281	85	282	8	17	32%	6%	43	-2.2	184/234/268	84	268	9	21	33%	5%	32	-2.1
✕Frank Veliz 2021 · A	21	43	36→30	50→55	41	202/261/265	63	274	3	12	26%	6%	44	-2.1	186/243/266	80	309	6	6	39%	6%	37	-2.7	150/208/221	71	253	6	4	41%	6%	8	-1.1
✕Eduardo Caraballo 2008 · A	21	40	36→30	51→50	36	187/242/251	64	296	4	14	36%	6%	32	-3.0	200/257/266	66	300	2	11	32%	6%	43	-2.2	192/249/246	54	285	0	10	30%	5%	30	-1.5
✕Jake Vogel 2023 · A	21	40→39	36→40	51→55	38	186/251/258	72	297	3	12	36%	6%	38	-2.6	180/247/248	68	290	4	19	37%	7%	35	-2.8	160/233/217	57	262	4	24	37%	7%	20	-2.4
✕David Paisano 2009 · A	21	40→48	37→40	54→50	38	191/250/261	70	273	4	15	30%	5%	39	-2.5	214/259/292	78	298	4	10	28%	4%	50	-1.7	215/256/288	73	297	4	8	28%	4%	43	-1.8
✕Sandy Mota 2018 · A	21	38	39→30	52→55	35	186/232/270	84	279	6	14	34%	5%	33	-2.9	189/242/270	81	287	5	12	34%	6%	37	-2.6	164/223/234	70	246	4	15	33%	6%	18	-1.0
✕Jose Vinicio 2014 · A	21	39→30	36→40	51→55	32	189/218/250	60	273	3	19	32%	3%	20	-3.8	217/246/283	66	295	3	13	26%	3%	40	-2.4	246/270/308	62	315	1	12	22%	3%	53	-0.5
✕Juan Carlos Smith 2019 · A	21	39	40→45	54→55	38	190/243/290	99	261	6	18	28%	5%	43	-2.2	201/251/292	91	291	6	12	31%	5%	46	-2.0	185/226/264	79	275	5	12	34%	4%	25	-0.9
✕Leodany Perez 2021 · A	21	40	35→30	52→60	43	188/265/250	62	278	2	17	31%	7%	43	-2.2	185/252/235	50	305	2	21	37%	7%	33	-2.9	149/220/165	16	255	0	35	38%	7%	-1	-2.4
✕Vladimir Santana 2012 · A	21	41	35→30	52→55	48	191/264/256	65	256	1	18	24%	8%	43	-2.2	199/276/266	67	284	4	16	28%	9%	52	-1.6	199/287/237	38	300	2	15	31%	10%	46	-0.7
✕Dreily Guerrero 2012 · A	21	38	35→30	54→55	40	180/239/245	66	276	2	13	34%	7%	30	-3.1	178/224/242	64	308	3	9	41%	5%	22	-3.7	150/190/213	63	273	5	12	45%	5%	-2	-1.6