Karson Simas — OGILVIE

Karson SimasSS Knoxville Smokies

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION304 act + 202 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .254 / .264

PA202

HR2

SB13

K%36

BB%5

BABIP304

ISO70

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	44	40	6	0	0	0	2	12	2	0	0	150	227	150	377		214	27	5	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	44	38	8	0	0	0	4	8	2	0	0	211	318	211	529		267	18	9	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	98	90	22	4	2	1	5	32	2	4	0	244	299	367	666	122	368	33	5	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	98	87	27	6	2	1	8	22	2	4	0	310	381	460	841	149	406	22	8	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	308	287	32	6	2	1	17	177	3	15	1	111	169	157	326	45	282	57	6	148	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	308	279	55	10	4	1	25	107	3	15	1	197	270	272	543	75	314	35	8	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	294	266	41	4	2	1	19	117	6	14	6	154	227	195	422	41	265	40	6	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	294	254	53	5	3	1	31	82	6	14	6	209	309	264	573	55	299	28	11	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	3 teams	—	178	159	24	5	0	1	9	64	7	9	2	151	229	201	430	50	240	36	5	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	3 teams	—	178	156	31	7	0	2	12	49	7	9	2	199	286	282	568	83	271	28	7	262	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	311	292	59	8	1	3	16	109	2	16	3	202	248	267	516	65	311	35	5	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	311	282	68	11	1	4	26	83	2	16	3	241	310	330	639	89	328	27	8	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	CHC	—	304	278	52	6	3	3	18	116	7	28	2	187	254	263	517	76	306	38	6	238	40	-20	+5	+0	+3	+9	-0.4
YTD	25	AA	CHC	—	304	270	63	8	4	4	26	90	7	28	2	233	317	337	654	104	333	30	9	299	87	-4	+5	+0	+3	+9	1.2
ROS	25	AA	CHC	2%	202	185	36	5	1	2	11	73	4	13	1	194	254	264	518	70	309	36	5	242	43	-13	+2	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
ROS	25	MLB	CHC	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		310	25	0	229	34	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	CHC	—	308	282	53	6	3	3	18	117	7	28	2	188	254	262	516	74	307	38	6	238	40	-21	+5	+0	+3	+9	-0.4
TOT	25	AA	CHC	—	506	463	88	11	4	5	29	189	11	41	3	190	254	263	517	73	306	37	6	240	42	-33	+7	+0	+5	+14	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	CHC	31%	355	325	67	10	2	5	21	124	6	19	2	206	267	295	562	89	310	35	6	256	54	-18	+3	+0	+4	+10	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	CHC	42%	379	346	73	11	3	6	24	129	6	20	2	211	274	312	586	101	308	34	6	261	58	-18	+3	+0	+4	+11	0.0
2029	28	MLB	CHC	48%	394	359	75	11	3	6	26	132	6	20	2	209	274	306	580	97	307	34	7	263	60	-18	+3	-1	+4	+11	-0.0
2027	26	MLB	CHC	31%	110	100	21	3	1	2	7	38	2	6	1	210	275	320	595	110	311	35	6	245	45	-7	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	CHC	42%	159	145	30	5	1	2	10	54	3	8	1	207	272	297	569	90	310	34	6	250	50	-9	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2029	28	MLB	CHC	48%	189	172	36	6	1	3	12	63	3	10	1	209	273	308	581	99	309	33	6	253	52	-10	+2	-0	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	462	421	88	14	3	7	29	156	8	24	3	209	273	306	579	97	310	34	6	250	49	-26	+4	-0	+5	+13	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	124	20	4	10	41	219	11	34	4	209	273	307	580	98	311	34	6	250	49	-37	+5	-0	+7	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	2563	2349	435	64	16	26	150	969	44	130	19	185	247	259	506	74	299	38	6	228	33	-195	+18	-1	+27	+73	-7.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	110	16	4	7	38	246	11	33	5	185	247	260	507	76	298	38	6	228	33	-49	+5	-0	+7	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	44	38	8	0	0	0	4	8	2	0	0	211	318	211	529		267	18	9	261	58	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	98	87	27	6	2	1	8	22	2	4	0	310	381	460	841	149	406	22	8	371	142	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
2022	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	308	279	55	10	4	1	25	107	3	15	1	197	270	272	543	75	314	35	8	251	50	-17	+3	—	—	+9	-0.6
2023	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	174	153	29	3	0	1	18	54	2	6	2	190	283	229	512	39	283	31	10	245	45	-11	+0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2023	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	120	101	24	2	3	0	13	28	4	8	4	238	347	317	664	79	320	23	11	305	92	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	23	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	45	41	11	0	0	1	2	13	1	2	0	268	318	341	660	73	357	29	4	295	84	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	53	46	7	3	0	0	1	15	5	5	2	152	250	217	467	65	226	28	2	223	29	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	80	69	13	4	0	1	9	21	1	2	0	188	291	290	581	101	250	26	11	268	64	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	69	61	20	3	0	1	8	19	0	4	1	328	406	426	832	98	463	28	12	377	146	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	242	221	48	8	1	3	18	64	2	12	2	217	282	303	585	86	292	26	7	268	63	-10	+2	—	—	+7	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	464	7	24	209	268	304	+5	+3	-0.1	-0.0
	/162	664	10	35	209	268	304	+7.1	+4.3	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Karson Simas (OGILVIE)	25	35	35	55	35	190/254/263	73	306	5	41	37%	6%	42	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	43	38→40	58→55	39	206/263/277	72	302	6	26	32%	6%	48	-1.9	234/276/322	88	309	5	20	25%	5%	64	-0.8	248/287/332	84	320	4	20	23%	4%	68	-0.2
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	42→40	37→45	53→55	40	194/263/268	74	309	3	13	36%	7%	46	-2.0	197/275/304	107	312	10	20	37%	8%	61	-1.0	195/273/297	102	277	11	24	31%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Niko Decolati 2023 · AA	25	44→47	39→40	54→55	42	209/276/294	85	309	7	21	33%	7%	58	-1.2	205/298/291	86	306	6	16	32%	9%	68	-0.5	192/306/270	77	284	5	18	30%	11%	65	-0.4
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	43→51	40	55→65	42	206/260/293	87	287	7	26	30%	7%	50	-1.7	231/298/315	84	322	6	36	27%	8%	72	-0.2	239/310/313	74	330	4	49	26%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2019 · AA	24	40	38→50	54→55	33	192/233/268	76	301	6	23	37%	4%	32	-3.0	202/249/289	87	308	8	24	35%	6%	45	-2.1	196/238/335	139	267	15	22	32%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	43→48	38→40	58→65	41	207/257/286	79	287	5	32	29%	6%	47	-1.9	194/251/270	76	305	5	17	35%	7%	41	-2.3	158/224/216	58	272	3	12	40%	7%	14	-2.0
✕Brock Hebert 2016 · AA	25	43	38→40	50	37	200/256/282	83	322	5	13	38%	6%	46	-2.0	206/287/303	97	321	6	9	34%	9%	66	-0.6	206/314/304	98	326	4	8	33%	12%	76	+0.1
✕Jordan Brewer 2023 · AA	25	41	42→45	55	39	192/272/292	100	316	10	19	39%	8%	58	-1.2	204/271/316	112	283	10	15	30%	7%	63	-0.9	199/265/312	114	264	10	16	27%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Stephen Wrenn 2019 · AA	24	41→43	40→45	56→60	38	200/251/291	91	288	8	24	32%	6%	46	-2.0	202/260/314	112	305	9	24	35%	6%	56	-1.3	193/255/314	121	298	11	27	37%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Gift Ngoepe 2014 · AA	24	39→40	38→45	51→50	37	180/245/262	82	309	5	17	41%	7%	37	-2.6	203/256/312	109	315	10	11	36%	6%	55	-1.4	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9
✕Sergio Garcia 2016 · AAA	25	41	42→45	48→60	34	206/232/301	96	281	10	19	31%	3%	40	-2.4	235/264/360	125	307	13	17	27%	3%	70	-0.3	250/277/382	132	322	13	19	26%	3%	78	+0.1
✕Kenny Wilson 2015 · AAA	25	46→51	38→40	56→60	38	215/268/293	79	305	4	27	30%	5%	54	-1.4	224/281/313	89	311	6	26	28%	6%	65	-0.7	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2019 · AA	24	42→47	38→45	54→60	38	195/270/271	76	306	5	21	36%	6%	51	-1.7	188/270/274	86	299	6	22	36%	8%	52	-1.6	198/285/310	113	286	12	28	32%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	42	35→30	53→50	40	195/250/250	55	290	2	14	32%	6%	35	-2.8	219/281/290	71	320	3	12	30%	7%	59	-1.1	227/294/286	60	334	2	11	30%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	196/245/263	67	267	5	32	28%	6%	37	-2.7	190/257/265	75	276	5	26	31%	7%	43	-2.2	115/212/152	37	189	0	39	35%	8%	-3	-1.2
✕Tanner Kirwer 2021 · A	25	46	37→40	56→60	40	210/275/284	75	323	5	19	34%	7%	56	-1.3	211/292/319	108	304	12	33	32%	9%	72	-0.2	199/283/299	99	284	13	41	32%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40	38→45	58→60	36	190/243/268	78	298	5	24	36%	6%	37	-2.6	197/256/307	110	301	11	29	36%	7%	53	-1.5	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	39	40	50	38	192/244/277	85	285	8	15	34%	6%	40	-2.4	202/255/293	91	305	9	12	34%	6%	49	-1.8	138/193/172	34	236	3	8	41%	6%	-10	-1.1
✕Jorge Mateo 2020 · AAA	25	40→46	43→50	57→65	34	200/238/321	121	288	9	24	34%	4%	49	-1.8	215/257/343	128	297	11	25	30%	4%	63	-0.9	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2