Karson Simas — OGILVIE

Karson Simas2B Knoxville Smokies

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION467 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP305

ISO72

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	44	38	8	0	0	0	4	8	2	0	0	211	318	211	529		267	18	9	261	63	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	98	87	27	6	2	1	8	22	2	4	0	310	381	460	841	149	406	22	8	371	137	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	308	279	55	10	4	1	25	107	3	15	1	197	270	272	543	75	314	35	8	251	56	-16	+3	—	—	+7	-0.7
2023	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	174	153	29	3	0	1	18	54	2	6	2	190	283	229	512	39	283	31	10	245	52	-10	+0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2023	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	120	101	24	2	3	0	13	28	4	8	4	238	347	317	664	79	320	23	11	305	93	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	23	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	45	41	11	0	0	1	2	13	1	2	0	268	318	341	660	73	357	29	4	295	86	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	53	46	7	3	0	0	1	15	5	5	2	152	250	217	467	65	226	28	2	223	37	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	80	69	13	4	0	1	9	21	1	2	0	188	291	290	581	101	250	26	11	268	68	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	69	61	20	3	0	1	8	19	0	4	1	328	406	426	832	98	463	28	12	377	141	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	242	221	48	8	1	3	18	64	2	12	2	217	282	303	585	86	292	26	7	268	67	-9	+2	—	—	+5	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	44	40	6	0	0	0	2	12	2	0	0	150	227	150	377		219	27	5	187	13	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	98	90	21	4	1	1	5	32	2	4	0	233	289	333	622	100	340	33	5	267	67	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	308	288	35	6	2	1	16	164	3	15	1	122	176	167	343	45	277	53	5	160	-6	-39	+3	—	—	+7	-3.0
2023	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	174	160	23	2	0	1	11	74	2	6	2	144	208	175	383	31	249	43	6	177	6	-19	+0	—	—	+4	-1.6
2023	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	120	106	20	2	2	0	8	40	4	8	4	189	271	245	516	57	277	33	7	229	41	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	23	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	45	42	10	0	0	1	1	16	1	2	0	238	273	310	582	71	317	36	2	242	50	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	53	46	6	2	0	0	1	18	5	5	2	130	231	174	405	43	193	34	2	179	7	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	80	72	10	3	0	1	6	29	1	2	0	139	215	222	437	83	213	36	8	198	20	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	69	64	17	2	0	1	5	22	0	4	1	266	319	344	663	78	401	32	7	293	84	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	242	227	43	6	1	2	12	80	2	12	2	189	237	251	488	62	277	33	5	214	31	-20	+2	—	—	+5	-1.3
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	44	40	6	0	0	0	2	12	2	0	0	150	227	150	377		214	27	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Red Sox	—	44	38	8	0	0	0	4	8	2	0	0	211	318	211	529		267	18	9	261	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	98	90	21	4	1	1	5	32	2	4	0	233	289	333	622	100	351	33	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	98	87	27	6	2	1	8	22	2	4	0	310	381	460	841	149	406	22	8	371	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	308	288	35	6	2	1	16	164	3	15	1	122	176	167	343	45	274	53	5	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	308	279	55	10	4	1	25	107	3	15	1	197	270	272	543	75	314	35	8	251	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	294	266	42	4	2	1	19	114	6	14	6	158	230	199	429	41	266	39	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	294	254	53	5	3	1	31	82	6	14	6	209	309	264	573	55	299	28	11	269	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	178	160	25	5	0	1	8	63	7	9	2	156	229	206	435	50	245	35	4	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	178	156	31	7	0	2	12	49	7	9	2	199	286	282	568	83	271	28	7	262	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	311	291	60	8	1	3	17	102	2	16	3	206	255	271	526	65	306	33	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	311	282	68	11	1	4	26	83	2	16	3	241	310	330	639	89	328	27	8	292	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	44	40	6	0	0	0	2	12	2	0	0	150	227	150	377		219	27	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	98	91	21	4	1	1	5	32	2	4	0	231	289	330	618	99	340	33	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	308	286	35	6	2	1	16	164	3	15	1	122	176	168	344	45	277	53	5	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	294	267	42	4	2	1	19	114	6	14	6	157	230	199	429	41	260	39	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	178	161	25	5	0	1	8	63	7	9	2	155	229	205	434	50	233	35	4	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	311	289	60	8	1	3	17	102	2	16	3	208	255	273	528	66	305	33	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	294	267	42	4	2	1	19	114	6	14	6	157	230	199	429	41	260	39	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	178	161	25	5	0	1	8	63	7	9	2	155	229	205	434	50	233	35	4	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	311	289	60	8	1	3	17	102	2	16	3	208	255	273	528	66	305	33	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	CHC	—	467	429	83	11	5	4	28	161	8	46	6	193	256	270	526	77	298	34	6	232	43	-32	+7	+0	+2	+10	-1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	CHC	—	467	416	91	13	5	5	41	132	8	46	6	219	301	310	611	91	307	28	9	281	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	CHC	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		302	33	11	245	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	CHC	—	476	437	84	11	5	4	29	164	8	47	6	192	255	268	523	76	296	34	6	232	43	-32	+7	+0	+2	+10	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CHC	31%	355	325	67	10	3	4	22	115	5	22	3	206	267	292	559	86	300	32	6	256	59	-17	+3	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	CHC	42%	379	346	72	11	3	5	25	120	5	24	3	208	271	301	572	92	299	32	7	261	63	-17	+4	+0	+1	+8	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	394	359	76	12	3	6	27	123	5	23	3	212	276	312	588	100	299	31	7	263	64	-17	+3	-1	+1	+9	-0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	CHC	49%	395	360	76	12	3	6	27	124	5	22	3	211	276	311	587	100	298	31	7	263	64	-17	+3	-1	+1	+9	-0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	CHC	50%	393	358	75	12	3	5	27	124	5	20	3	209	274	302	576	92	297	32	7	260	62	-18	+3	-2	+1	+9	-0.7
2027	26	MLB CTX	CHC	31%	110	100	20	3	1	1	7	36	2	7	1	200	266	280	546	80	303	33	6	247	59	-5	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	CHC	42%	159	146	30	5	1	2	10	50	2	10	1	205	266	295	560	89	302	31	6	252	63	-7	+2	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	189	171	36	6	1	3	13	59	3	11	2	211	278	310	588	99	301	31	7	254	64	-8	+1	-0	+1	+4	-0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	CHC	49%	195	177	37	6	1	3	13	61	3	11	2	209	275	305	580	96	300	31	7	254	64	-8	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.3
2031	30	MLB CTX	CHC	50%	197	179	37	6	1	3	13	62	3	10	1	207	272	302	573	95	299	31	7	252	62	-9	+2	-1	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	850	773	160	26	5	12	56	268	13	49	7	207	272	300	572	93	297	32	7	252	47	-38	+7	-2	+3	+18	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	122	20	4	9	43	205	10	37	5	206	272	299	571	93	297	32	7	252	47	-29	+5	-2	+2	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3158	2891	556	84	21	33	196	1096	47	170	27	192	255	270	525	78	294	35	6	238	47	-86	+16	-4	+7	+42	-2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	114	17	4	7	40	226	10	35	6	192	254	269	523	77	293	35	6	238	47	-29	+6	-1	+2	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	857	12	49	209	271	303	+9	+6	0.1	0.2
/162	664	9	38	+7.1	+4.6	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Karson Simas (OGILVIE)	25	35	35	55	35	199/259/273	74	302	3	24	33%	6%	52	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	44	38→40	58→55	40	207/268/279	72	305	6	26	32%	7%	57	-1.8	234/278/320	86	310	5	20	25%	5%	69	-0.9	247/287/328	80	320	4	20	23%	4%	71	-0.4
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	44→51	38→40	55→65	43	211/266/291	80	290	6	26	28%	7%	58	-1.7	235/300/318	83	320	5	36	26%	8%	77	-0.3	243/312/317	74	327	4	49	25%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	195/244/261	67	264	5	32	28%	6%	43	-2.8	190/255/265	75	270	5	26	29%	7%	49	-2.4	118/211/155	36	182	0	39	31%	8%	8	-1.2
✕Kenny Wilson 2015 · AAA	25	47→51	37→40	56→60	40	220/273/299	79	304	4	27	28%	5%	63	-1.4	226/283/311	85	308	5	26	26%	6%	69	-0.9	200/268/290	91	305	7	22	34%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Sergio Garcia 2015 · AAA	24	44	39→45	54→60	35	214/249/300	86	299	7	27	30%	4%	53	-2.1	220/250/320	100	298	9	18	28%	3%	58	-1.7	222/247/328	107	293	10	17	28%	3%	57	-0.8
✕Stephen Wrenn 2019 · AA	24	42→43	40→45	56→60	39	205/256/296	91	290	7	24	31%	6%	55	-1.9	206/266/314	108	302	9	24	33%	6%	64	-1.3	197/262/311	114	295	9	27	34%	6%	60	-1.0
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2021 · AA	26	45→42	38→50	54→55	39	210/259/286	76	313	5	26	33%	6%	54	-2.0	207/249/342	135	281	14	19	31%	5%	64	-1.3	198/240/336	138	265	15	22	31%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	40	39→45	53→55	40	192/251/280	87	274	5	16	31%	6%	50	-2.3	188/266/297	109	283	10	16	35%	8%	61	-1.5	173/257/288	115	272	12	16	38%	8%	54	-1.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2019 · AAA	24	39→48	41→50	61→65	36	194/237/304	110	283	7	27	33%	5%	50	-2.3	210/250/334	124	301	10	22	32%	4%	62	-1.4	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Niko Decolati 2023 · AA	25	44→46	40→45	54→55	43	211/279/301	90	305	8	21	32%	8%	66	-1.1	209/301/293	84	310	6	16	31%	9%	74	-0.6	200/314/273	73	296	5	18	30%	11%	72	-0.4
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	45→51	39→40	59→65	42	216/266/303	87	289	6	32	27%	6%	61	-1.5	199/257/281	82	305	6	17	34%	7%	53	-2.1	165/231/231	66	276	3	12	38%	7%	30	-1.8
✕Aaron Whitefield 2022 · AA	25	44→48	38→40	56→60	39	209/262/288	78	312	6	29	33%	6%	56	-1.9	215/272/326	111	324	10	30	34%	7%	69	-0.9	201/261/321	120	306	11	40	36%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Simon Whiteman 2022 · AA	25	46→44	38→30	58→55	43	212/287/292	80	329	5	28	34%	8%	67	-1.1	186/261/255	69	288	4	22	34%	8%	49	-2.4	157/237/203	46	244	3	24	34%	9%	26	-1.9
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2021 · AA	26	40→49	38→45	55→60	41	188/273/268	80	300	6	24	36%	8%	57	-1.8	206/282/310	104	292	9	23	31%	7%	70	-0.8	198/283/305	107	280	11	28	31%	8%	67	-0.7
✕Nick Heath 2019 · AA	25	49→40	36→40	59→65	40	222/277/291	68	346	4	34	35%	7%	62	-1.4	205/271/299	94	337	7	41	38%	8%	62	-1.4	187/258/288	101	311	8	50	39%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	194/257/310	116	274	9	24	32%	6%	60	-1.6	221/275/344	123	302	11	17	29%	5%	74	-0.5	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Todd Hankins 2016 · AA	25	44→47	40	52→55	39	212/261/304	91	296	7	21	30%	5%	59	-1.7	206/250/291	85	296	7	20	31%	5%	52	-2.2	199/244/277	77	289	6	22	32%	5%	44	-1.7
✕Tanner Kirwer 2021 · A	25	45	38→40	56→60	41	210/276/286	76	316	5	19	33%	7%	61	-1.5	210/289/309	99	299	11	33	31%	8%	72	-0.7	198/280/285	87	280	10	41	31%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Alfredo Reyes 2019 · AA	25	46	37→30	57→55	39	211/266/275	65	337	5	28	37%	7%	55	-2.0	205/273/284	79	339	6	19	38%	8%	59	-1.6	148/225/208	59	264	3	17	41%	8%	22	-1.4
✕Granden Goetzman 2018 · AAA	25	44	40→45	57→55	39	215/254/312	97	286	7	24	27%	5%	58	-1.7	205/248/331	126	277	12	11	29%	5%	61	-1.5	185/229/321	136	245	14	3	30%	5%	49	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps