Karson Simas — OGILVIE

Karson SimasSS Knoxville Smokies

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs AA BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.4 · 2026

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .251 / .272

PA314

HR4

SB20

K%34

BB%6

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

35→35

SPD

55→55

EYE

41↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$1M		$-9M	-$10M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	44	40	6	0	0	0	2	12	2	0	0	.150	.227	.150	.377	.000	.214	27	5	.187	1	-5	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.3
2021	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	98	90	23	4	2	1	5	32	2	4	0	.256	.309	.378	.687	.122	.386	33	5	.279	72	-3	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2022	21	A	Salem Red Sox	308	288	36	6	2	1	16	160	3	15	1	.125	.179	.170	.349	.045	.273	52	5	.163	-17	-41	+3	+0	+3	+9	-2.7
2023	22	A+	2 teams	294	267	42	4	2	1	18	113	6	14	6	.157	.227	.199	.425	.041	.263	38	6	.194	7	-31	+0	+0	+3	+8	-2.0
2024	23	A+	3 teams	178	160	26	5	0	2	8	63	7	9	2	.163	.234	.231	.466	.069	.247	35	4	.202	13	-18	+1	+0	+2	+5	-1.0
2025	24	AA	2 teams	311	291	60	8	1	3	17	106	2	16	3	.206	.255	.271	.526	.065	.313	34	5	.234	38	-22	+2	+0	+3	+9	-0.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	79	69	18	1	2	2	6	19	4	9	0	.261	.354	.420	.775	.159	.333	24	8	.316	100	+0	+2	+0	+1	+2	0.5
ROS	25	MLB	CHC	235	214	43	6	2	3	14	76	5	11	1	.201	.266	.290	.556	.089	.293	32	6	.258	55	-12	+2	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
TOT	25	MLB	CHC	314	283	61	7	4	5	20	95	9	20	1	.216	.288	.322	.610	.106	.304	30	6	.272	67	-12	+4	+0	+3	+9	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 11%	CHC	351	318	66	10	2	6	23	104	7	15	2	.208	.276	.308	.584	.101	.286	30	7	.265	61	-16	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.0
2028	27	MLB 26%	CHC	376	340	71	11	2	6	26	110	7	14	2	.209	.279	.306	.585	.097	.287	29	7	.269	64	-15	+2	+0	+4	+11	0.2
2029	28	MLB 38%	CHC	392	355	75	12	2	7	27	114	7	13	1	.211	.280	.315	.596	.104	.287	29	7	.271	66	-15	+2	-1	+4	+11	0.2
2030	29	MLB 47%	CHC	394	356	75	12	2	7	28	115	7	12	1	.211	.281	.315	.596	.104	.286	29	7	.270	65	-16	+2	-1	+4	+11	0.0
2031	30	MLB 56%	CHC	393	355	73	11	2	7	28	116	7	11	1	.206	.277	.307	.584	.101	.285	30	7	.267	63	-17	+2	-2	+4	+11	-0.2
2032	31	MLB 66%	CHC	381	344	70	11	2	6	27	114	7	8	0	.203	.275	.299	.575	.096	.283	30	7	.263	60	-17	+2	-3	+4	+11	-0.4
2033	32	MLB 76%	CHC	364	329	66	10	2	5	26	111	6	7	0	.201	.271	.289	.560	.088	.282	30	7	.259	56	-18	+1	-4	+4	+10	-0.6
2034	33	MLB 83%	CHC	336	303	60	9	2	5	24	105	6	5	0	.198	.270	.290	.561	.092	.280	31	7	.254	52	-18	+1	-4	+4	+10	-0.8
2035	34	MLB 90%	CHC	293	266	52	8	2	4	20	94	5	4	0	.195	.265	.286	.550	.090	.279	32	7	.248	48	-17	+1	-5	+3	+8	-1.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4748	4316	844	127	27	64	309	1545	86	158	20	.196	.263	.282	.545	.086	.286	33	7	.248	48	-280	+24	-20	+51	+135	-9.3
/ 162G	—			650	591	116	17	4	9	42	212	12	22	3	.196	.264	.284	.548	.088	.287	33	6	.248	48	-38	+3	-3	+7	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	44	38	8	0	0	0	4	8	2	0	0	.211	.318	.211	.529	.000	.267	18	9	.261	58	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	98	87	27	6	2	1	8	22	2	4	0	.310	.381	.460	.841	.149	.406	22	8	.371	142	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
2022	21	A	Salem Red Sox	308	279	55	10	4	1	25	107	3	15	1	.197	.270	.272	.543	.075	.314	35	8	.251	50	-17	+3	—	—	+9	-0.6
2023	22	A+	Greenville Drive	174	153	29	3	0	1	18	54	2	6	2	.190	.283	.229	.512	.039	.283	31	10	.245	45	-11	+0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2023	22	A	Salem Red Sox	120	101	24	2	3	0	13	28	4	8	4	.238	.347	.317	.664	.079	.320	23	11	.305	92	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	23	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	45	41	11	0	0	1	2	13	1	2	0	.268	.318	.341	.660	.073	.357	29	4	.295	84	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	53	46	7	3	0	0	1	15	5	5	2	.152	.250	.217	.467	.065	.226	28	2	.223	29	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	23	A+	Greenville Drive	80	69	13	4	0	1	9	21	1	2	0	.188	.291	.290	.581	.101	.250	26	11	.268	64	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	69	61	20	3	0	1	8	19	0	4	1	.328	.406	.426	.832	.098	.463	28	12	.377	146	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	242	221	48	8	1	3	18	64	2	12	2	.217	.282	.303	.585	.086	.292	26	7	.268	63	-10	+2	—	—	+7	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Karson Simas (OGILVIE)	25	35	35	55	35	.192/.251/.272	.081	.286	4	10	34%	6%	43	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2016 · AAA	25	43	38→45	51→50	40	.208/.252/.292	.085	.285	5	9	28%	5%	46	-2.0	.227/.285/.303	.076	.312	6	6	27%	7%	64	-0.8	.220/.281/.276	.057	.306	5	2	28%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	41	40→45	53→55	40	.196/.256/.291	.095	.278	6	15	30%	6%	50	-1.8	.190/.266/.302	.112	.286	11	16	35%	8%	57	-1.2	.176/.260/.302	.126	.275	14	16	39%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	44	38→40	57→55	38	.208/.263/.282	.074	.311	6	26	34%	6%	49	-1.8	.232/.275/.320	.088	.308	5	20	25%	5%	63	-0.8	.249/.289/.333	.084	.321	4	20	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	40	40	50	38	.193/.248/.281	.088	.293	8	15	36%	6%	43	-2.2	.204/.258/.297	.093	.310	9	12	35%	6%	51	-1.7	.145/.202/.182	.037	.248	4	8	41%	6%	-4	-1.0
✕Nick Meyer 2022 · AAA	25	41	38→40	48→50	43	.200/.261/.271	.071	.264	6	13	26%	6%	46	-2.0	.216/.288/.312	.096	.280	10	15	25%	8%	69	-0.4	.201/.280/.289	.088	.259	11	18	25%	9%	56	-0.6
✕Sergio Garcia 2016 · AAA	25	43	41→45	49→60	34	.212/.239/.306	.094	.290	9	21	30%	3%	44	-2.1	.226/.256/.341	.115	.299	12	17	28%	3%	61	-1.0	.233/.262/.352	.119	.305	12	19	27%	3%	64	-0.3
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	43→39	37→45	53→55	41	.199/.268/.274	.074	.312	3	13	35%	7%	50	-1.8	.197/.276/.301	.104	.314	9	19	37%	8%	61	-1.0	.188/.271/.293	.105	.291	11	24	36%	8%	55	-0.9
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	39→29	40→45	50→55	38	.192/.256/.284	.092	.277	8	12	32%	5%	48	-1.9	.179/.255/.283	.104	.283	9	15	37%	8%	47	-1.9	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2019 · AA	24	42→46	38→45	54→60	39	.197/.273/.275	.078	.297	5	21	33%	6%	53	-1.5	.187/.267/.270	.083	.297	6	23	36%	7%	50	-1.8	.195/.280/.308	.112	.279	12	28	32%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Michael O'Neill 2017 · AA	25	41→40	40→45	50→55	36	.201/.247/.291	.090	.288	8	17	32%	5%	45	-2.1	.208/.257/.314	.106	.307	10	20	34%	5%	56	-1.3	.205/.256/.307	.102	.305	11	23	35%	5%	50	-1.3
✕Gift Ngoepe 2015 · AA	25	41→42	41→45	51→50	40	.197/.261/.298	.101	.308	8	15	37%	8%	53	-1.5	.207/.263/.313	.106	.319	9	9	35%	6%	57	-1.2	.199/.256/.303	.104	.307	8	5	36%	6%	49	-1.1
✕Jack López 2018 · AAA	25	40→44	39→45	48→55	36	.201/.238/.278	.077	.267	8	15	28%	4%	37	-2.6	.211/.244/.305	.094	.292	10	15	30%	3%	46	-2.0	.218/.255/.317	.099	.298	11	18	30%	3%	52	-1.0
✕Brock Hebert 2016 · AA	25	45	38→40	50	39	.208/.266/.292	.084	.316	5	13	34%	6%	53	-1.5	.206/.288/.302	.096	.321	6	9	34%	9%	66	-0.6	.204/.314/.301	.097	.325	3	8	33%	12%	76	+0.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2020 · AAA	25	40→46	43→50	59→65	35	.200/.239/.322	.123	.289	9	25	34%	4%	49	-1.8	.215/.256/.344	.129	.298	11	24	31%	4%	63	-0.9	.217/.264/.366	.149	.272	14	44	25%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	.177/.239/.273	.095	.270	8	7	36%	7%	37	-2.6	.200/.266/.312	.112	.290	11	7	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.191/.265/.302	.110	.270	10	5	31%	8%	52	-0.8
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2019 · AA	24	40→42	38→50	54→55	34	.196/.235/.274	.078	.299	6	22	36%	4%	34	-2.8	.204/.249/.294	.090	.309	8	25	35%	5%	46	-2.0	.197/.239/.349	.152	.266	18	22	33%	4%	55	-0.8
✕Orlando Calixte 2016 · AAA	24	42→48	41→45	51→55	38	.207/.245/.302	.095	.281	9	17	30%	5%	46	-2.0	.216/.252/.328	.112	.280	11	19	26%	5%	56	-1.3	.222/.264/.308	.086	.295	9	20	27%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Ryan Dent 2014 · AAA	25	43→42	38→40	47→50	42	.210/.261/.280	.071	.285	6	13	28%	6%	47	-1.9	.208/.262/.299	.091	.291	7	11	29%	6%	53	-1.5	.204/.257/.301	.097	.287	6	9	30%	5%	50	-1.1
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	39→42	42→45	47→50	39	.194/.249/.297	.104	.281	10	12	34%	6%	48	-1.9	.200/.254/.303	.103	.309	9	13	36%	6%	51	-1.7	.206/.258/.305	.100	.300	8	9	32%	6%	50	-1.1
✕Niko Decolati 2023 · AA	25	45→47	40→45	54→55	42	.213/.279/.305	.092	.310	8	20	32%	7%	63	-0.9	.209/.302/.294	.085	.316	6	16	32%	9%	71	-0.3	.201/.316/.276	.075	.308	5	18	32%	11%	71	-0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)