Michael Ross
P
Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
A+
peak 0.6 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 120
ERA5.30
FIP5.30
K%15.2%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%4.3%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 131 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 20 | 16 | 82 | 346 | 76 | 29 | 8 | 80% | 4.1 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.18 | 5.05 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 20 | 16 | 82 | 346 | 76 | 29 | 8 | 80% | 4.1 | 22.0% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 2.3% | 3.18 | 3.58 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 20 | 9 | 64 | 284 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 45% | 3.2 | 12.5% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.45 | 5.83 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIN | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 43 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.2% | 11.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.30 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.2% | 11.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.30 | 5.30 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 131 | 568 | 89 | 53 | 20 | — | — | 15.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 6.35 | 5.56 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.2% | 11.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.30 | 4.92 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 48 | 30 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 5.14 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 51 | 30 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 5.04 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 51 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 5.01 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 5.14 | 5.10 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 7 | 7 | 45 | 190 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 17.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 5.04 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 39 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 5.01 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 21 | 127 | 534 | 94 | 56 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.5% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 5.05 | 4.65 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 149 | 88 | 27 | 98% | 5.9 | 17.5% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 5.05 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 40 | 25 | 146 | 630 | 92 | 60 | 27 | 62% | 3.6 | 14.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.05 | 5.40 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 34 | 200 | 863 | 126 | 82 | 37 | 62% | 3.6 | 14.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.05 | 5.40 | -0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Ross (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.30 | 15.2% | 11.0% | 3.1% | — | 5.04 | 17.4% | 7.0% | 203 | -0.26 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 89 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 86 |
| Matt Marsh R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 85 |
| Carlos Sano R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 85 |
| Justin Dillon R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .265 | 4.34 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 124 | -0.89 | 3.63 | 239 | 84 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 83 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.46 | 14.7% | 10.6% | 4.1% | .330 | 4.19 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 139 | -1.27 | 3.27 | 339 | 83 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 82 |
| Matt Peacock R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.22 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .300 | 4.20 | 13.6% | 5.2% | 202 | -0.02 | 3.96 | 354 | 82 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 82 |
| Jake Dunning R 2028 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 81 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2029 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 81 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 80 |
| Ryan Long R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 15.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .239 | 4.63 | 17.0% | 6.5% | 132 | -0.27 | 4.13 | 405 | 80 |
| Kyle Haynes R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.3% | 10.3% | 1.7% | .302 | 4.58 | 15.7% | 5.8% | 124 | +0.45 | 4.13 | 240 | 80 |
| Matt Solter R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.60 | 16.0% | 11.0% | 2.7% | .309 | 3.94 | 16.9% | 4.3% | 66 | -0.66 | 3.94 | 224 | 80 |
| Casey Steward R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 191 | 80 |
| Carlos Frías R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .320 | 4.70 | 13.0% | 2.6% | 74 | +0.54 | 3.64 | 204 | 80 |
| Holden Wilkerson R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 15.8% | 11.0% | 3.1% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 114 | 80 |
| Matt Ager R 2025 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 146 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 16.9% | 10.6% | 1.21 | 5.12 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |