Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 11 | 0 | 19 | 93 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 13.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 5.68 | 3.38 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 11 | 0 | 19 | 93 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 19.4% | 4.3% | 15.1% | 2.2% | 5.68 | 3.21 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 12 | 2 | 46 | 196 | 57 | 16 | 5 | 17% | 3.8 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 3.15 | 4.38 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 12 | 2 | 46 | 196 | 57 | 16 | 5 | 17% | 3.8 | 29.1% | 8.2% | 20.9% | 2.6% | 3.15 | 3.08 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 6 | 2 | 16 | 64 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33% | 2.6 | 11.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.32 | 6.46 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYY | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.69 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 51 | 215 | 40 | 17 | 7 | — | — | 18.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 5.19 | 5.23 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYY | 36 | 0 | 38 | 158 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYY | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.09 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 76 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 29 | 4 | 80 | 353 | 58 | 29 | 11 | 14% | 2.8 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 4.37 | 4.49 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 10 | 200 | 879 | 146 | 72 | 28 | 14% | 2.8 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 4.37 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anthony Mena (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.69 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.47 | 20.6% | 11.7% | 38 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Komar R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 88 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 86 |
| Clark Beeker R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 85 |
| Ben Anderson R 2028 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 84 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 84 |
| A.J. Bogucki R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.95 | 15.5% | 8.4% | 2.0% | .308 | 4.30 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 87 | +0.35 | 3.95 | 142 | 84 |
| Joshua Quezada R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.32 | 15.8% | 8.4% | 2.7% | .348 | 4.22 | 22.7% | 12.6% | 37 | -0.10 | 3.48 | 153 | 84 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 84 |
| Simon Mathews R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 83 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 83 |
| Josnier Parra R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.51 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 2.8% | .319 | 5.13 | 11.0% | 3.0% | 97 | +0.62 | 3.79 | 129 | 82 |
| David Perez R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.1% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .292 | 5.13 | 15.6% | 1.9% | 67 | +1.20 | 3.93 | 151 | 82 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 82 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 81 |
| Jake Elliott R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 81 |
| Brendan Collins R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 81 |
| Reece Karalus R 2027 · 4.74 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.74 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | .298 | 4.94 | 14.8% | 4.1% | 103 | +0.20 | 4.74 | 149 | 81 |
| Logan Lombana R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .315 | 3.97 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 123 | -0.66 | 3.82 | 155 | 81 |
| Edward Escoboza R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.89 | 21.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .321 | 5.42 | 14.9% | 9.4% | 36 | +1.53 | 3.44 | 213 | 81 |
| Davis Martin R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.59 | 16.3% | 8.2% | 1.5% | .317 | 5.04 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 233 | +1.45 | 2.97 | 703 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 37 | 20.0% | 9.2% | 1.14 | 4.61 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |