Anthony Mena — OGILVIE

Anthony Mena P FCL Yankees

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 173 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%19.3%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%9.8%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD5050

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	11	0	19	93	18	4	2	0%	1.7	13.2%	5.4%	7.8%	1.8%	5.68	3.67	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	11	0	19	93	18	4	2	0%	1.7	13.2%	5.4%	7.8%	1.8%	5.68	3.67	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	11	0	19	93	18	4	2	0%	1.7	19.4%	4.3%	15.1%	2.2%	5.68	3.21	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	12	2	46	196	57	16	5	17%	3.8	19.8%	10.2%	9.6%	3.3%	3.15	4.52	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	12	2	46	196	57	16	5	17%	3.8	19.8%	10.2%	9.6%	3.3%	3.15	4.52	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	12	2	46	196	57	16	5	17%	3.8	29.1%	8.2%	20.9%	2.6%	3.15	3.08	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	12	4	33	126	21	5	5	33%	2.8	11.8%	4.8%	7.0%	5.4%	3.82	5.68	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	12	4	33	126	21	5	5	33%	2.8	11.8%	4.8%	7.0%	5.4%	3.82	5.68	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	NYY	7	3	17	68	11	3	3	43%	2.4	16.2%	4.4%	11.8%	4.4%	5.94	4.71	—
2026	21	A RAW	NYY	5	1	16	58	10	2	2	20%	3.3	17.2%	3.4%	13.8%	3.4%	1.65	3.97	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYY	41	0	43	182	38	16	5	0%	1.1	20.6%	8.9%	11.7%	2.9%	4.55	4.48	+0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYY	20	0	21	89	18	8	3	0%	1.1	20.6%	8.9%	11.7%	2.9%	4.55	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	21	90	18	8	3	0%	1.1	20.6%	8.9%	11.7%	2.9%	4.55	4.10	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	75	28	0%	1.1	20.6%	8.9%	11.7%	2.9%	4.55	4.10	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		35	6	98	415	66	31	15	17%	2.8	15.9%	7.5%	8.4%	3.6%	3.87	4.68	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	12	200	850	135	64	31	17%	2.8	15.9%	7.5%	8.4%	3.6%	3.87	4.68	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Mena (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	19.3%	9.5%	3.0%	—	4.48	20.6%	11.7%	43	-0.22	—	—	—
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.01	538	87
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	86
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	86
Nick Gallagher R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	22	SW	4.26	17.2%	7.1%	3.1%	.310	4.55	22.4%	7.1%	90	+0.29	4.10	196	86
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	85
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	85
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	85
Huei-Sheng Lin R 2019 · 4.59 FIP	20	SW	4.59	17.4%	7.4%	3.7%	.360	5.64	16.1%	3.7%	88	+1.05	4.59	120	84
A.J. Bogucki R 2017 · 3.84 FIP	22	SW	3.84	15.5%	8.4%	1.8%	.308	4.40	19.2%	8.2%	87	+0.56	3.84	142	84
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	84
Dawil Almonte R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SW	3.59	17.4%	7.8%	1.8%	.271	4.54	14.7%	3.3%	97	+0.95	3.59	138	83
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	83
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	83
David Perez R 2015 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	21.1%	9.3%	2.7%	.292	5.19	15.6%	1.9%	67	+1.19	4.00	151	82
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	82
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	82
Jake Elliott R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	21	SU	3.82	19.2%	7.1%	2.6%	.353	3.81	18.1%	10.0%	202	-0.01	2.91	354	81
Davis Martin R 2018 · 3.59 FIP	21	SW	3.59	16.3%	8.2%	1.5%	.317	4.71	18.9%	10.7%	233	+1.12	3.56	738	81
Inohan Paniagua R 2021 · 3.68 FIP	21	SW	3.68	23.3%	10.8%	2.1%	.298	4.28	18.8%	8.2%	297	+0.60	3.68	473	81
Marc Brakeman R 2016 · 3.85 FIP	22	SW	3.85	17.9%	7.1%	2.5%	.319	4.92	18.6%	5.0%	83	+1.07	3.85	156	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	39	20.0%	9.2%	1.15	4.62
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38