Axel Mancebo2B
DSL Cubs Red
Age 19
S/R
5'10" / 160 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.4 · 2033
wRC+49
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .261 / .282
PA52
HR1
K%33
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.4peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.3 | $22M | +$21M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.4 | $24M | +$23M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.4 | $24M | +$23M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +2.3 | $24M | +$19M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +2.1 | $23M | +$16M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +1.8 | $20M | +$11M |
| Totals | $23M | $136M | +$113M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 74 | 66 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 53 | 2 | 9 | 3 | .030 | .135 | .045 | .181 | .015 | .154 | 72 | 8 | .101 | -64 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | — | 52 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .208 | .269 | .312 | .582 | .104 | .291 | 33 | 8 | .250 | 49 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | — | 119 | 107 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .215 | .288 | .327 | .615 | .112 | .299 | 30 | 8 | .280 | 72 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | — | 269 | 240 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 78 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .225 | .303 | .367 | .670 | .142 | .301 | 29 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | — | 383 | 339 | 79 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 108 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .233 | .316 | .386 | .702 | .153 | .301 | 28 | 9 | .309 | 94 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | — | 461 | 408 | 95 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 127 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .233 | .317 | .390 | .706 | .157 | .301 | 28 | 10 | .315 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | — | 512 | 451 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 50 | 139 | 6 | 12 | 2 | .235 | .320 | .395 | .714 | .160 | .302 | 27 | 10 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 2.0 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | — | 543 | 476 | 113 | 19 | 4 | 17 | 55 | 147 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .237 | .325 | .401 | .727 | .164 | .302 | 27 | 10 | .323 | 105 | +3 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 2.3 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | — | 560 | 491 | 117 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 57 | 152 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .238 | .326 | .403 | .729 | .165 | .303 | 27 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +16 | 2.4 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | — | 566 | 495 | 118 | 20 | 4 | 18 | 59 | 154 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .238 | .328 | .404 | .732 | .166 | .303 | 27 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +16 | 2.4 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | — | 566 | 495 | 117 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 59 | 155 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .236 | .326 | .400 | .726 | .164 | .302 | 27 | 10 | .323 | 106 | +4 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +16 | 2.3 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | — | 559 | 488 | 115 | 19 | 4 | 17 | 59 | 154 | 7 | 11 | 1 | .236 | .327 | .395 | .722 | .160 | .302 | 28 | 11 | .321 | 104 | +3 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +16 | 2.1 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | — | 550 | 480 | 111 | 18 | 3 | 17 | 58 | 154 | 7 | 10 | 1 | .231 | .323 | .388 | .710 | .156 | .300 | 28 | 11 | .318 | 102 | +1 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +16 | 1.8 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | — | 537 | 470 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 56 | 152 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .230 | .320 | .383 | .703 | .153 | .299 | 28 | 10 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | — | 519 | 454 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 54 | 150 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .227 | .317 | .377 | .694 | .150 | .297 | 29 | 10 | .310 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +15 | 1.1 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | — | 490 | 430 | 94 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 51 | 145 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .219 | .310 | .358 | .668 | .140 | .296 | 30 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +14 | 0.7 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | — | 443 | 389 | 84 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 135 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .216 | .307 | .357 | .664 | .141 | .294 | 30 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -7 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +13 | 0.2 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | — | 389 | 342 | 71 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 122 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .208 | .298 | .330 | .628 | .123 | .292 | 31 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | — | 329 | 290 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 107 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .288 | .317 | .606 | .117 | .289 | 33 | 10 | .281 | 73 | -10 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +9 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7921 | 6959 | 1578 | 260 | 51 | 228 | 801 | 2285 | 95 | 138 | 21 | .227 | .315 | .377 | .692 | .150 | .301 | 29 | 10 | .310 | 95 | -42 | +19 | -31 | +28 | +224 | 20.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 571 | 129 | 21 | 4 | 19 | 66 | 188 | 8 | 11 | 2 | .226 | .315 | .377 | .691 | .151 | .300 | 29 | 10 | .310 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | 1.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 74 | 61 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 2 | 9 | 3 | .082 | .243 | .131 | .374 | .049 | .185 | 46 | 15 | .200 | 11 | -7 | +1 | — | — | +2 | -0.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Axel Mancebo (OGILVIE) | 19 | — | — | — | — | .196/.261/.282 | .086 | .291 | 1 | 1 | 33% | 7% | 49 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Yonathan Perlaza 2018 · A |
19 | 40→50 | 37→60 | 48→50 | 37 | .195/.235/.273 | .078 | .279 | 4 | 12 | 31% | 5% | 34 | -2.8 | .213/.257/.285 | .072 | .313 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .235/.307/.417 | .182 | .303 | 19 | 12 | 28% | 9% | 100 | +1.6 |
|
●Dylan Carlson 2018 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 40→55 | 43→50 | 42 | .199/.266/.292 | .092 | .292 | 8 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .216/.284/.350 | .134 | .284 | 14 | 9 | 28% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .242/.327/.396 | .154 | .296 | 14 | 4 | 22% | 9% | 105 | +1.6 |
|
●Elly De La Cruz 2021 · A |
19 | 44→54 | 37→60 | 42→65 | 37 | .205/.258/.279 | .074 | .313 | 4 | 6 | 34% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .226/.270/.389 | .163 | .347 | 16 | 22 | 37% | 5% | 80 | +0.4 | .249/.324/.437 | .188 | .339 | 19 | 44 | 30% | 9% | 108 | +2.5 |
|
✕Adalberto Mondesi 2014 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 38→60 | 51→65 | 36 | .205/.241/.276 | .071 | .288 | 6 | 13 | 30% | 4% | 37 | -2.6 | .198/.229/.299 | .101 | .284 | 9 | 19 | 32% | 4% | 39 | -2.5 | .248/.279/.427 | .179 | .328 | 19 | 49 | 30% | 4% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
●Tim Beckham 2009 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 38→55 | 49→50 | 38 | .202/.248/.282 | .080 | .290 | 5 | 7 | 31% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .219/.267/.307 | .088 | .310 | 5 | 10 | 29% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .248/.301/.421 | .173 | .319 | 22 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 100 | +1.3 |
|
✕Willi Castro 2016 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 38→50 | 50→55 | 37 | .203/.246/.286 | .083 | .279 | 6 | 10 | 29% | 4% | 43 | -2.2 | .226/.255/.320 | .094 | .288 | 7 | 11 | 23% | 3% | 55 | -1.4 | .240/.326/.383 | .143 | .305 | 13 | 23 | 24% | 8% | 98 | +1.3 |
|
●Jackson Merrill 2022 · A |
19 | 45→55 | 36→55 | 52→50 | 39 | .211/.260/.286 | .076 | .314 | 3 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .251/.293/.383 | .132 | .306 | 13 | 12 | 22% | 5% | 88 | +0.9 | .266/.310/.441 | .174 | .301 | 19 | 10 | 18% | 6% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A |
19 | 39 | 38→55 | 47→45 | 39 | .185/.251/.256 | .071 | .289 | 6 | 6 | 36% | 7% | 39 | -2.5 | .226/.287/.352 | .126 | .291 | 13 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .248/.309/.417 | .169 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 21% | 6% | 103 | +0.7 |
|
●Oneil Cruz 2018 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 41→60 | 45→55 | 35 | .200/.243/.293 | .093 | .310 | 8 | 9 | 37% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .217/.257/.339 | .122 | .316 | 12 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .241/.304/.442 | .201 | .317 | 25 | 22 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.7 |
|
●Lane Thomas 2015 · A |
19 | 45→51 | 37→55 | 51→55 | 43 | .210/.271/.289 | .080 | .308 | 3 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .192/.258/.279 | .087 | .311 | 6 | 12 | 37% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .248/.312/.427 | .179 | .308 | 21 | 13 | 25% | 7% | 107 | +2.0 |
|
✕Ronny Simon 2019 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 37→50 | 47→55 | 44 | .198/.272/.274 | .076 | .278 | 3 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .213/.274/.337 | .124 | .274 | 9 | 14 | 24% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .239/.300/.355 | .117 | .301 | 11 | 27 | 23% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
●Wilin Rosario 2008 · A |
19 | 39→49 | 37→60 | 45 | 35 | .189/.235/.257 | .068 | .297 | 6 | 6 | 37% | 5% | 31 | -3.0 | .219/.259/.344 | .125 | .302 | 14 | 5 | 31% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .265/.302/.457 | .192 | .301 | 26 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 107 | +1.6 |
|
✕Niko Goodrum 2012 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 36→55 | 50→55 | 37 | .192/.244/.259 | .067 | .299 | 3 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 35 | -2.8 | .207/.272/.294 | .087 | .306 | 5 | 12 | 31% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .231/.306/.406 | .174 | .310 | 18 | 16 | 30% | 9% | 97 | +1.0 |
|
✕Blake Perkins 2016 · A |
19 | 39→49 | 36→50 | 44→55 | 39 | .189/.235/.256 | .068 | .262 | 4 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 30 | -3.1 | .201/.259/.277 | .076 | .280 | 5 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .228/.311/.359 | .130 | .302 | 13 | 25 | 27% | 10% | 87 | +0.5 |
|
●Alex Liddi 2008 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 41→60 | 47→50 | 36 | .200/.246/.304 | .104 | .297 | 8 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .229/.277/.361 | .132 | .323 | 12 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .241/.296/.424 | .182 | .336 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 |
|
●Maikel Franco 2012 · A |
19 | 36→46 | 38→55 | 48→40 | 37 | .180/.226/.261 | .081 | .253 | 6 | 4 | 30% | 5% | 28 | -3.2 | .239/.273/.382 | .143 | .277 | 16 | 3 | 20% | 4% | 80 | +0.4 | .263/.299/.434 | .171 | .290 | 19 | 2 | 17% | 4% | 100 | +1.6 |
|
✕Brendan Rodgers 2016 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 40→50 | 46→45 | 39 | .205/.255/.298 | .093 | .301 | 7 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .224/.267/.352 | .128 | .288 | 14 | 5 | 27% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .253/.308/.383 | .131 | .298 | 13 | 0 | 19% | 6% | 93 | +0.8 |
|
●Amed Rosario 2015 · A |
19 | 39→49 | 40→50 | 43→55 | 36 | .196/.231/.287 | .092 | .270 | 7 | 5 | 30% | 4% | 37 | -2.7 | .236/.274/.327 | .091 | .314 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .286/.323/.422 | .136 | .344 | 12 | 14 | 20% | 5% | 107 | +1.7 |
|
●Marwin Gonzalez 2008 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 41→55 | 43→50 | 41 | .201/.247/.302 | .102 | .265 | 8 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .210/.246/.283 | .073 | .267 | 4 | 7 | 22% | 4% | 41 | -2.3 | .272/.342/.450 | .178 | .320 | 21 | 4 | 21% | 9% | 121 | +2.7 |
|
✕Harold Garcia 2006 · A |
19 | 44→54 | 37→45 | 49→55 | 41 | .204/.273/.286 | .081 | .296 | 3 | 10 | 30% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .219/.299/.316 | .097 | .281 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .250/.302/.360 | .110 | .333 | 8 | 26 | 26% | 4% | 85 | +0.4 |