Edgar Alvarez1B
Knoxville Smokies
Age 25
L/R
6'3" / 225 lbs
AA
BB +5%HR -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.1 · 2028
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .295 / .342
PA320
HR7
K%27
BB%9
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
35→35
SPD
45→45
EYE
55↘50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-0.6M | $-12M | -$12M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 110 | 99 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .202 | .282 | .263 | .544 | .061 | .365 | 42 | 9 | .245 | 46 | -7 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 438 | 393 | 86 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 113 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .219 | .289 | .308 | .597 | .089 | .286 | 26 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -19 | +1 | +0 | -8 | +12 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 70 | 55 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .127 | .304 | .273 | .577 | .145 | .143 | 27 | 20 | .277 | 70 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CHC | 250 | 220 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 68 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .209 | .298 | .341 | .639 | .132 | .271 | 27 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | -0.3 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | CHC | 320 | 275 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 87 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .193 | .300 | .327 | .627 | .135 | .247 | 27 | 12 | .285 | 76 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +9 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | CHC | 363 | 314 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 43 | 84 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .220 | .319 | .357 | .676 | .137 | .263 | 23 | 12 | .302 | 89 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -6 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | CHC | 387 | 336 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 45 | 89 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .217 | .315 | .348 | .663 | .131 | .266 | 23 | 12 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | CHC | 400 | 348 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 93 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .218 | .315 | .353 | .668 | .135 | .267 | 23 | 12 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -1 | -7 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | CHC | 400 | 348 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 94 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .218 | .315 | .353 | .668 | .135 | .267 | 24 | 12 | .302 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -7 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | CHC | 398 | 346 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 46 | 95 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .214 | .311 | .341 | .652 | .127 | .265 | 24 | 12 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | -2 | -7 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 73% | CHC | 386 | 335 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 45 | 94 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .212 | .311 | .340 | .651 | .128 | .264 | 24 | 12 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +1 | -3 | -7 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 81% | CHC | 369 | 320 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 43 | 92 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .209 | .309 | .331 | .640 | .122 | .262 | 25 | 12 | .291 | 81 | -8 | +1 | -4 | -7 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 341 | 297 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 87 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .205 | .302 | .323 | .625 | .118 | .260 | 26 | 11 | .285 | 76 | -9 | +1 | -4 | -6 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 298 | 260 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 79 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .200 | .297 | .315 | .613 | .115 | .258 | 27 | 11 | .279 | 72 | -10 | +1 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4140 | 3616 | 771 | 152 | 10 | 90 | 458 | 1034 | 32 | 53 | 8 | .213 | .307 | .335 | .643 | .122 | .271 | 25 | 11 | .291 | 81 | -89 | +7 | -20 | -74 | +117 | -5.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 568 | 121 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 162 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .213 | .307 | .336 | .644 | .123 | .270 | 25 | 11 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +1 | -3 | -12 | +18 | -0.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 110 | 94 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .245 | .355 | .319 | .674 | .074 | .386 | 33 | 14 | .316 | 100 | -0 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 438 | 376 | 97 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 52 | 94 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .258 | .354 | .375 | .729 | .117 | .318 | 21 | 12 | .329 | 110 | +5 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 1.9 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Edgar Alvarez (OGILVIE) | 25 | 45 | 35 | 45 | 50 | .219/.295/.342 | .123 | .288 | 7 | 5 | 27% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Nick Baligod 2013 · A |
25 | 48 | 44→40 | 49→45 | 47 | .235/.294/.352 | .117 | .288 | 11 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .239/.292/.329 | .090 | .272 | 6 | 7 | 14% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .241/.295/.318 | .077 | .269 | 5 | 6 | 12% | 6% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Andrew Clark 2013 · A |
25 | 48→49 | 44→45 | 45 | 51 | .238/.310/.358 | .121 | .283 | 12 | 6 | 20% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .229/.282/.344 | .115 | .298 | 11 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .226/.267/.338 | .112 | .294 | 10 | 0 | 26% | 5% | 60 | -0.3 |
|
✕Bijan Rademacher 2016 · AA |
25 | 48 | 41→45 | 44→45 | 49 | .232/.302/.339 | .107 | .292 | 8 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .240/.302/.350 | .110 | .303 | 10 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .239/.295/.335 | .096 | .301 | 9 | 2 | 23% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Logan Parker 2009 · A |
25 | 47→48 | 46→45 | 49→45 | 46 | .233/.292/.364 | .131 | .299 | 14 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .209/.269/.319 | .110 | .282 | 10 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .188/.255/.283 | .095 | .256 | 7 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 43 | -1.6 |
|
✕Luis González 2021 · AA |
25 | 45→50 | 44→45 | 46→50 | 44 | .224/.275/.340 | .116 | .281 | 11 | 11 | 24% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.297/.343 | .116 | .291 | 12 | 18 | 25% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .230/.308/.344 | .114 | .294 | 12 | 22 | 25% | 9% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Spencer Packard 2023 · A |
25 | 45→51 | 46→45 | 50→40 | 48 | .223/.294/.351 | .128 | .265 | 14 | 7 | 21% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .238/.313/.366 | .128 | .282 | 13 | 3 | 20% | 8% | 93 | +1.3 | .238/.319/.355 | .117 | .280 | 12 | 1 | 19% | 9% | 90 | +0.9 |
|
✕Jake Guenther 2022 · A |
25 | 44 | 45 | 41→40 | 43 | .218/.286/.333 | .115 | .286 | 13 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .204/.270/.317 | .113 | .285 | 12 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .129/.199/.234 | .105 | .179 | 14 | 3 | 36% | 6% | 11 | -0.9 |
|
✕Mike Papi 2018 · AAA |
25 | 43→47 | 44→45 | 43→45 | 48 | .211/.289/.328 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .219/.293/.332 | .113 | .300 | 11 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .204/.285/.311 | .107 | .295 | 8 | 1 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.2 |
|
✕Carlos Alvarez 2013 · AAA |
25 | 48 | 47→45 | 48→45 | 46 | .237/.293/.371 | .134 | .294 | 14 | 10 | 24% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .227/.296/.345 | .118 | .278 | 10 | 8 | 21% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .249/.327/.336 | .087 | .300 | 6 | 6 | 18% | 9% | 89 | +0.4 |
|
✕Chantz Mack 2016 · AA |
25 | 44→47 | 42→45 | 45 | 45 | .215/.277/.322 | .106 | .284 | 9 | 7 | 27% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.293/.330 | .111 | .299 | 11 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .216/.298/.325 | .108 | .293 | 12 | 3 | 28% | 10% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA |
25 | 43→45 | 44→50 | 45 | 41 | .213/.275/.332 | .119 | .291 | 12 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .205/.273/.320 | .115 | .355 | 12 | 7 | 42% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .150/.234/.245 | .096 | .295 | 15 | 0 | 50% | 8% | 30 | -0.7 |
|
✕Nathan Panther 2006 · AA |
25 | 45→43 | 45 | 47→45 | 48 | .222/.288/.339 | .117 | .275 | 13 | 10 | 24% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .220/.286/.338 | .118 | .277 | 11 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .220/.290/.343 | .124 | .273 | 11 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Reid Fronk 2011 · A |
25 | 44→48 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 48 | .211/.297/.318 | .107 | .282 | 8 | 9 | 26% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .199/.281/.288 | .089 | .290 | 5 | 7 | 30% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .170/.256/.249 | .079 | .259 | 5 | 4 | 33% | 9% | 37 | -1.6 |
|
✕Stefan Welch 2014 · AA |
25 | 42→43 | 45 | 45→40 | 44 | .212/.279/.331 | .119 | .283 | 13 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .205/.280/.321 | .116 | .287 | 11 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .180/.265/.291 | .112 | .258 | 11 | 1 | 32% | 8% | 54 | -1.0 |
|
✕Rene Tosoni 2011 · AA |
25 | 50→49 | 46→45 | 46→45 | 44 | .242/.312/.380 | .138 | .318 | 12 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 96 | +1.5 | .211/.264/.319 | .108 | .270 | 11 | 6 | 25% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .197/.246/.292 | .095 | .244 | 10 | 5 | 23% | 5% | 42 | -1.7 |
|
✕Anthony Aliotti 2012 · A |
25 | 49→53 | 40→45 | 47→40 | 50 | .227/.312/.316 | .089 | .323 | 7 | 5 | 29% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .237/.308/.347 | .110 | .347 | 11 | 3 | 32% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .235/.305/.352 | .117 | .351 | 12 | 1 | 34% | 9% | 84 | +0.6 |
|
✕Cal Stevenson 2022 · AA |
25 | 46→56 | 43→45 | 49→60 | 50 | .225/.298/.334 | .109 | .287 | 11 | 15 | 25% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .232/.317/.348 | .116 | .306 | 11 | 24 | 25% | 11% | 90 | +1.0 | .240/.333/.358 | .118 | .308 | 11 | 30 | 23% | 12% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
✕Peter Clifford 2009 · A |
25 | 45→47 | 45 | 46→45 | 47 | .220/.294/.354 | .134 | .301 | 12 | 8 | 29% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .212/.272/.312 | .100 | .279 | 8 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .206/.245/.281 | .076 | .250 | 7 | 9 | 21% | 4% | 40 | -1.3 |
|
✕Mike Stodolka 2007 · A |
25 | 50→52 | 45 | 44→40 | 51 | .238/.320/.368 | .130 | .319 | 11 | 5 | 27% | 10% | 96 | +1.5 | .244/.320/.370 | .126 | .319 | 12 | 5 | 25% | 10% | 97 | +1.5 | .248/.325/.371 | .123 | .317 | 12 | 2 | 24% | 9% | 95 | +0.8 |
|
✕Taylor Kohlwey 2019 · AA |
25 | 42→52 | 42→45 | 46→50 | 39 | .204/.263/.311 | .106 | .296 | 9 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .225/.291/.327 | .102 | .322 | 9 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .236/.313/.340 | .104 | .303 | 9 | 11 | 23% | 9% | 83 | +0.5 |