Aldrem Corredor
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28 | INTLAlgodoneros d… | 235 | .310/.439/.455 | 3 | 0 | 153 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTLLeones del Ca… | 233 | .296/.433/.478 | 8 | 0 | 160 | — |
| 2026 | 30 | INTLLeones del Ca… | 51 | .279/.380/.488 | 2 | 0 | 141 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | — | 228 | 196 | 52 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 265 | 357 | 337 | 694 | 71 | 295 | 10 | 12 | 315 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | GCL Nationals | — | 113 | 85 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 235 | 414 | 271 | 685 | 35 | 294 | 16 | 22 | 331 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | DSL Nationals | — | 265 | 218 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 303 | 415 | 417 | 833 | 115 | 362 | 17 | 15 | 372 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | GCL Nationals | — | 194 | 169 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 290 | 368 | 379 | 747 | 89 | 333 | 14 | 11 | 333 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 133 | 235 | 133 | 369 | 182 | 24 | 12 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 506 | 449 | 117 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 109 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 261 | 336 | 379 | 715 | 118 | 332 | 22 | 9 | 320 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 30 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 111 | 200 | 111 | 311 | 167 | 30 | 10 | 160 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 242 | 219 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 311 | 366 | 457 | 822 | 146 | 366 | 19 | 8 | 360 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 208 | 187 | 54 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 354 | 412 | 766 | 123 | 331 | 16 | 8 | 341 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 80 | 68 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 354 | 279 | 634 | 29 | 315 | 19 | 14 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 541 | 495 | 140 | 34 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 104 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 283 | 336 | 406 | 743 | 123 | 339 | 19 | 7 | 329 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 68 | 58 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 343 | 379 | 723 | 138 | 267 | 18 | 13 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 360 | 323 | 83 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 79 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 330 | 406 | 735 | 149 | 312 | 22 | 9 | 328 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 182 | 149 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 315 | 436 | 490 | 926 | 174 | 353 | 15 | 17 | 412 | 165 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 455 | 393 | 96 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 53 | 98 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 340 | 379 | 719 | 135 | 288 | 22 | 12 | 324 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 19 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 526 | 467 | 993 | 67 | 600 | 26 | 21 | 453 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 218 | 173 | 58 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 335 | 465 | 503 | 968 | 168 | 372 | 12 | 18 | 426 | 175 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 235 | 187 | 58 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 310 | 439 | 455 | 894 | 144 | 377 | 18 | 18 | 395 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 233 | 186 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 433 | 478 | 911 | 183 | 359 | 21 | 19 | 405 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 51 | 43 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 380 | 488 | 868 | 209 | 312 | 20 | 14 | 377 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 228 | 205 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 185 | 254 | 229 | 484 | 44 | 207 | 12 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 113 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 191 | 315 | 213 | 528 | 21 | 251 | 23 | 14 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 265 | 231 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 54 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 195 | 285 | 251 | 536 | 56 | 239 | 20 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 194 | 177 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 279 | 288 | 567 | 62 | 274 | 21 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 506 | 468 | 101 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 145 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 216 | 266 | 303 | 569 | 88 | 295 | 29 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 242 | 228 | 61 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 298 | 382 | 680 | 114 | 340 | 27 | 4 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 208 | 193 | 49 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 301 | 352 | 653 | 98 | 307 | 22 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 541 | 511 | 115 | 27 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 150 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 225 | 260 | 325 | 585 | 100 | 294 | 28 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 360 | 332 | 72 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 98 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 274 | 322 | 596 | 105 | 282 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 455 | 413 | 86 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 119 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 273 | 305 | 578 | 97 | 260 | 26 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 19 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 421 | 375 | 796 | 62 | 516 | 37 | 16 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 228 | 205 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 185 | 254 | 229 | 484 | 44 | 211 | 12 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Nationals | — | 228 | 196 | 52 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 265 | 357 | 337 | 694 | 71 | 295 | 10 | 12 | 315 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 113 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 191 | 315 | 213 | 528 | 21 | 261 | 23 | 14 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Nationals | — | 113 | 85 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 235 | 414 | 271 | 685 | 35 | 294 | 16 | 22 | 331 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 265 | 231 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 54 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 195 | 285 | 251 | 536 | 56 | 246 | 20 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Nationals | — | 265 | 218 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 303 | 415 | 417 | 833 | 115 | 362 | 17 | 15 | 372 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 211 | 193 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 228 | 280 | 295 | 576 | 67 | 283 | 21 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 211 | 184 | 51 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 277 | 357 | 359 | 716 | 82 | 323 | 15 | 11 | 321 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 496 | 107 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 153 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 216 | 266 | 306 | 572 | 91 | 300 | 29 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 536 | 476 | 120 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 118 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 252 | 328 | 363 | 692 | 111 | 324 | 22 | 9 | 311 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 530 | 496 | 128 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 129 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 296 | 361 | 657 | 103 | 329 | 24 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 530 | 474 | 139 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 47 | 94 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 359 | 414 | 773 | 120 | 345 | 18 | 9 | 343 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 541 | 511 | 115 | 27 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 150 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 225 | 260 | 325 | 585 | 100 | 299 | 28 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 541 | 495 | 140 | 34 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 104 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 283 | 336 | 406 | 743 | 123 | 339 | 19 | 7 | 329 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL MLE | Leones del Caracas | — | 68 | 58 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 343 | 379 | 723 | 138 | 267 | 18 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL RAW | Leones del Caracas | — | 68 | 58 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 343 | 379 | 723 | 138 | 267 | 18 | 13 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 500 | 108 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 148 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 273 | 324 | 597 | 108 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 542 | 472 | 130 | 27 | 1 | 15 | 64 | 107 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 365 | 432 | 798 | 157 | 326 | 20 | 12 | 356 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 474 | 429 | 91 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 126 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 279 | 308 | 587 | 96 | 273 | 27 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 474 | 408 | 102 | 12 | 0 | 14 | 57 | 103 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 348 | 382 | 730 | 132 | 298 | 22 | 12 | 329 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL MLE | Leones del Caracas | — | 218 | 173 | 58 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 335 | 465 | 503 | 968 | 168 | 372 | 12 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL RAW | Leones del Caracas | — | 218 | 173 | 58 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 335 | 465 | 503 | 968 | 168 | 372 | 12 | 18 | 426 | 175 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL MLE | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 235 | 187 | 58 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 310 | 439 | 455 | 894 | 144 | 377 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL RAW | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 235 | 187 | 58 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 310 | 439 | 455 | 894 | 144 | 377 | 18 | 18 | 395 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL MLE | Leones del Caracas | — | 233 | 186 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 433 | 478 | 911 | 183 | 359 | 21 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL RAW | Leones del Caracas | — | 233 | 186 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 433 | 478 | 911 | 183 | 359 | 21 | 19 | 405 | 160 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | INTL MLE | Leones del Caracas | — | 51 | 43 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 380 | 488 | 868 | 209 | 312 | 20 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | INTL RAW | Leones del Caracas | — | 51 | 43 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 380 | 488 | 868 | 209 | 312 | 20 | 14 | 377 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 228 | 207 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 184 | 254 | 227 | 482 | 43 | 207 | 12 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 113 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 189 | 315 | 211 | 526 | 21 | 251 | 23 | 14 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 265 | 234 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 54 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 192 | 285 | 248 | 532 | 56 | 239 | 20 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 211 | 195 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 226 | 280 | 292 | 573 | 67 | 274 | 21 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 497 | 107 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 153 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 215 | 266 | 306 | 572 | 91 | 295 | 29 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 530 | 498 | 128 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 129 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 296 | 359 | 656 | 102 | 325 | 24 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 541 | 512 | 115 | 27 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 150 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 225 | 260 | 324 | 584 | 100 | 294 | 28 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 498 | 108 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 148 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 273 | 325 | 598 | 108 | 282 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 474 | 431 | 91 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 126 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 279 | 306 | 586 | 95 | 270 | 27 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4245 | 3802 | 891 | 172 | 14 | 62 | 363 | 999 | 26 | 20 | 14 | 234 | 305 | 336 | 641 | 102 | 298 | 24 | 9 | 210 | 28 | -363 | -2 | +0 | -76 | +92 | -35.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 135 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 56 | 153 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 232 | 304 | 330 | 634 | 98 | 295 | 24 | 9 | 210 | 28 | -56 | -0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -5.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAReading Fightin Phils · 455 PAwOBA .317 → .260 (−57)K% 21.5% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.54% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.21% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 7.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.07% | ÷1.069 | ×0.970 | ×1.028 | ×0.978 | 21.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.73% | ÷0.930 | ×0.860 | ×1.028 | ×0.978 | 3.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.028 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.75% | ÷1.051 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 3.45% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 114, 2B 86, 3B 90, K 101, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .317 → .260; ISO .135 → .105; BABIP .288 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AClearwater Threshers · 19 PAwOBA .442 → .339 (−104)K% 26.3% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.32% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.950 | 13.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.950 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 50.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.950 | 43.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.950 | 7.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.950 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.950 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.0 → −5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .442 → .339; ISO .067 → .050; BABIP .600 → .516. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAHarrisburg Senators · 360 PAwOBA .321 → .262 (−59)K% 21.9% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.94% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.17% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 6.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.13% | ÷0.967 | ×0.940 | ×0.990 | ×0.988 | 21.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.79% | ÷1.055 | ×0.870 | ×0.990 | ×0.988 | 6.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×0.988 | 0.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.69% | ÷1.037 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.74% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .321 → .262; ISO .149 → .111; BABIP .312 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Potomac Nationals · 541 PAwOBA .322 → .255 (−67)K% 19.2% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.22% | ÷0.983 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.10% | ÷1.023 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 3.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 21.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷0.928 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 7.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.079 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.30% | ÷0.988 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 2.07% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 86, 3B 116, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .322 → .255; ISO .123 → .100; BABIP .339 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Potomac Nationals · 242 PAwOBA .352 → .298 (−53)K% 19.0% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.01% | ÷0.998 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.61% | ÷1.013 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 4.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.59% | ÷0.992 | ×0.940 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 25.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.83% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 8.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.89% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 2.55% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .352 → .298; ISO .146 → .121; BABIP .366 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AHagerstown Suns · 208 PAwOBA .334 → .282 (−52)K% 15.9% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.87% | ÷0.992 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.17% | ÷0.983 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 5.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.62% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 25.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.941 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 4.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.60% | ÷1.108 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 1.90% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 103, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .334 → .282; ISO .123 → .097; BABIP .331 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AHagerstown Suns · 506 PAwOBA .313 → .249 (−63)K% 21.5% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.54% | ÷1.009 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.29% | ÷1.101 | ×0.660 | — | — | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.94% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | — | 21.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.156 | ×0.820 | ×1.020 | — | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.043 | ×0.940 | ×1.020 | — | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.47% | ÷0.909 | ×0.820 | — | — | 1.33% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 97, 2B 131, 3B 109, K 102, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .313 → .249; ISO .118 → .092; BABIP .332 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKGCL Nationals · 194 PAwOBA .332 → .254 (−78)K% 14.4% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.43% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 6.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.045 | ×0.985 | 22.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.045 | ×0.985 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.045 | ×0.985 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.54% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .332 → .254; ISO .089 → .066; BABIP .333 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .