Melvin Cuevas — OGILVIE

Melvin Cuevas P FCL Marlins

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 13 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%23.5%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%9.9%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	20	0	22	100	37	21	1	0%	1.1	25.2%	26.2%	-1.1%	0.8%	3.22	4.72	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	20	0	22	100	37	21	1	0%	1.1	25.2%	26.2%	-1.1%	0.8%	3.22	4.72	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	20	0	22	100	37	21	1	0%	1.1	37.0%	21.0%	16.0%	1.0%	3.22	3.19	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	16	80	20	20	4	0%	1.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	5.0%	8.82	6.90	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	16	80	20	20	4	0%	1.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	5.0%	8.82	6.90	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	16	80	20	20	4	0%	1.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	5.0%	8.82	7.51	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	MIA	12	0	13	55	13	7	2	0%	1.1	23.5%	13.6%	9.9%	3.0%	4.86	4.86	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	19	0	20	84	20	10	2	0%	1.1	24.2%	12.0%	12.2%	2.9%	4.67	4.57	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	24.2%	12.0%	12.2%	2.9%	4.67	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.1	24.2%	12.0%	12.2%	2.9%	4.67	4.20	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	20	0%	1.1	24.2%	12.0%	12.2%	2.9%	4.67	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		36	0	39	180	45	46	5	0%	1.1	25.1%	25.7%	-0.6%	2.6%	5.59	5.69	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		186	0	200	931	234	239	25	0%	1.1	25.1%	25.7%	-0.6%	2.6%	5.59	5.69	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Melvin Cuevas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	23.5%	13.6%	3.0%	—	4.57	24.2%	12.2%	20	-0.29	—	—	—
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	91
Chris Perez R 2008 · 4.22 FIP	23	SU	4.22	23.7%	12.4%	2.8%	.269	3.71	22.5%	12.6%	180	-0.51	3.18	379	88
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	88
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	87
Cam Bedrosian R 2014 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	21.5%	11.8%	2.1%	.350	2.72	26.8%	17.8%	154	-1.22	1.79	363	86
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	86
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	86
Tyler Mattison R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SU	3.67	24.7%	14.5%	1.5%	.315	3.80	29.0%	15.4%	79	+0.13	3.67	166	86
Nolan Sparks R 2024 · 4.10 FIP	21	SU	4.10	21.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.229	4.72	19.3%	5.3%	140	+0.62	4.10	155	86
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	86
Hunter Dula R 2022 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	22.0%	12.3%	2.0%	.340	4.54	20.0%	8.9%	91	+0.63	3.91	132	85
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	85
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	85
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	85
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	85
David Riske R 2001 · 4.03 FIP	24	SU	4.03	24.6%	12.7%	2.5%	.239	3.89	26.0%	16.4%	203	-0.14	3.16	497	85
Jacob Wallace R 2021 · 4.26 FIP	22	SU	4.26	26.6%	13.1%	3.2%	.316	4.77	23.8%	7.0%	167	+0.51	3.50	279	85
Cody Allen R 2012 · 3.67 FIP	23	SU	3.67	21.4%	11.9%	1.6%	.329	2.40	32.1%	24.3%	209	-1.27	1.58	464	85
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	85