Carlos Renzullo — OGILVIE

Carlos RenzulloOF Fresno Grizzlies

Age 19 S/R 5'8" / 150 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION228 act + 152 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .325 / .331

PA152

HR1

K%18

BB%9

BABIP303

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 74 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT74

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$12M	+$11M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$11M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.2	$10M	+$10M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+2.2	$10M	+$8M
2035	Arb-2	$7M	+2.1	$8M	+$6M
2036	Arb-3	$9M	+1.9	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$24M		$58M	+$48M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	235	214	65	7	3	1	16	20	2	18	6	304	358	379	736	75	330	9	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	235	197	71	8	3	1	33	14	2	18	6	360	457	447	904	86	383	6	14	405	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	146	127	28	4	1	0	14	22	2	8	3	220	308	268	575	47	264	15	10	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	146	119	33	5	1	0	22	15	2	8	3	277	399	336	735	59	314	10	15	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	COL	—	228	200	52	8	2	1	21	35	3	8	5	260	339	335	674	75	305	15	9	293	82	-5	-0	+0	-1	+6	0.0
YTD	19	A	COL	—	228	192	54	9	2	1	29	26	3	8	5	281	384	365	749	83	315	11	13	339	118	+5	-0	+0	-1	+6	0.9
ROS	19	A	COL	0%	152	136	34	6	1	1	13	27	2	4	2	250	325	331	655	81	302	18	9	302	89	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
ROS	19	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		324	—	—	312	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	A	COL	—	228	201	52	8	2	1	21	35	3	8	5	259	339	333	673	75	304	15	9	293	82	-5	-0	+0	-1	+6	0.0
TOT	19	A	COL	—	380	336	86	14	3	2	34	62	5	12	7	256	333	333	667	77	304	16	9	297	85	-6	-0	+0	-2	+11	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	COL	34%	352	315	80	14	2	5	30	63	4	8	3	254	327	359	685	105	301	18	9	311	96	-1	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.7
2028	21	MLB	COL	48%	449	402	104	18	3	8	39	79	5	10	4	259	332	378	710	119	301	18	9	319	102	+1	+0	+0	-3	+13	1.2
2029	22	MLB	COL	54%	511	455	119	21	3	10	45	89	6	12	5	262	336	387	723	125	302	17	9	324	106	+4	+0	+0	-3	+14	1.6
2030	23	MLB	COL	57%	549	488	128	23	3	11	49	94	7	13	5	262	338	389	728	127	302	17	9	327	109	+5	+1	+0	-3	+16	1.9
2031	24	MLB	COL	57%	573	510	135	24	4	12	51	97	7	13	5	265	340	398	738	133	303	17	9	330	110	+7	+1	+0	-3	+16	2.1
2032	25	MLB	COL	57%	585	520	138	24	4	13	53	99	7	14	6	265	341	402	743	137	303	17	9	331	111	+7	+0	+0	-4	+17	2.1
2033	26	MLB	COL	56%	590	524	139	24	4	13	54	100	7	14	6	265	342	401	743	135	303	17	9	331	112	+8	+0	+0	-4	+17	2.2
2034	27	MLB	COL	55%	588	522	138	24	4	13	54	100	7	14	6	264	341	400	742	136	302	17	9	331	112	+8	+0	+0	-4	+17	2.2
2035	28	MLB	COL	55%	582	516	137	24	4	13	54	99	7	13	5	266	343	403	746	138	302	17	9	330	111	+7	+1	-1	-3	+16	2.1
2036	29	MLB	COL	53%	572	507	132	23	3	12	53	99	7	13	5	260	339	389	727	128	302	17	9	329	110	+6	+1	-1	-3	+16	1.9
2037	30	MLB	COL	53%	561	497	128	22	3	11	52	98	7	12	5	258	336	380	717	123	301	17	9	326	108	+5	+0	-2	-3	+16	1.6
2038	31	MLB	COL	52%	546	484	124	21	3	11	51	97	6	11	5	256	335	380	715	124	299	18	9	322	104	+3	+0	-3	-3	+15	1.3
2039	32	MLB	COL	52%	527	467	119	20	3	10	49	96	6	10	4	255	333	375	708	120	296	18	9	316	100	+0	+0	-4	-3	+15	0.9
2040	33	MLB	COL	52%	498	443	110	18	3	9	46	93	6	9	4	248	327	363	691	115	293	19	9	310	95	-3	+0	-4	-3	+14	0.4
2041	34	MLB	COL	47%	451	402	96	15	2	7	41	87	5	7	3	239	317	338	655	100	287	19	9	301	89	-6	+0	-5	-3	+13	-0.0
2042	35	MLB	COL	43%	396	353	82	12	2	6	36	80	4	6	3	232	310	329	639	96	282	20	9	291	81	-8	+0	-6	-2	+11	-0.5
2027	20	MLB	COL	34%	121	109	29	5	1	2	10	21	1	3	1	266	333	385	719	119	323	17	8	323	106	+1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.4
2028	21	MLB	COL	48%	218	194	54	10	2	4	19	38	3	5	2	278	352	412	764	134	324	17	9	332	112	+3	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.8
2029	22	MLB	COL	54%	277	247	69	13	2	6	25	48	3	6	3	279	353	421	774	142	324	17	9	337	116	+5	+0	+0	-2	+8	1.1
2030	23	MLB	COL	57%	311	276	77	14	2	7	28	53	4	7	3	279	354	420	774	141	325	17	9	341	119	+7	+0	+0	-2	+9	1.4
2031	24	MLB	COL	57%	324	288	82	15	2	8	29	55	4	8	3	285	358	434	792	149	325	17	9	343	121	+8	+0	+0	-2	+9	1.6
2032	25	MLB	COL	57%	331	294	83	15	2	8	30	56	4	8	3	282	357	429	785	146	325	17	9	344	122	+8	+0	+0	-2	+9	1.6
2033	26	MLB	COL	56%	333	296	83	15	2	8	30	56	4	8	3	280	355	426	780	145	325	17	9	345	122	+8	+0	+0	-2	+9	1.6
2034	27	MLB	COL	55%	326	289	82	15	2	8	30	55	4	8	3	284	359	433	792	149	325	17	9	345	122	+8	+0	+0	-2	+9	1.6
2035	28	MLB	COL	55%	319	282	81	15	2	8	30	55	4	7	3	287	364	440	804	152	325	17	9	344	121	+8	+0	-0	-2	+9	1.5
2036	29	MLB	COL	53%	306	270	76	14	2	7	29	53	4	7	3	281	360	426	786	144	324	17	9	342	120	+7	+0	-1	-2	+9	1.3
2037	30	MLB	COL	53%	295	261	73	13	2	7	28	52	4	6	3	280	358	425	784	146	323	18	9	339	118	+6	+0	-1	-2	+8	1.2
2038	31	MLB	COL	52%	285	253	70	13	2	6	27	51	3	6	2	277	353	415	768	138	321	18	9	335	114	+5	+0	-1	-2	+8	1.0
2039	32	MLB	COL	52%	273	243	67	12	2	6	25	50	3	5	2	276	351	416	766	140	318	18	9	329	110	+3	+0	-2	-2	+8	0.8
2040	33	MLB	COL	52%	257	228	60	10	1	5	24	48	3	5	2	263	341	382	723	118	314	19	9	321	104	+1	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.5
2041	34	MLB	COL	47%	213	189	49	8	1	4	20	41	2	4	1	259	336	376	712	116	308	19	9	312	97	-1	+0	-2	-1	+6	0.2
2042	35	MLB	COL	43%	169	150	38	6	1	3	15	34	2	3	1	253	329	367	696	113	302	20	9	302	89	-2	+0	-2	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4358	3870	1073	193	28	97	399	766	52	96	38	277	353	417	770	140	322	18	9	336	115	+74	+4	-12	-26	+123	16.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	160	29	4	14	60	114	8	14	6	277	353	414	768	137	323	18	9	336	115	+11	+0	-2	-4	+18	2.5
Career	—			—	8863	7882	2036	344	55	166	800	1539	104	209	85	258	335	379	714	121	300	17	9	320	103	+34	+8	-25	-53	+251	21.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	149	25	4	12	59	113	8	15	6	258	335	377	712	119	300	17	9	320	103	+2	+1	-2	-4	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	235	197	71	8	3	1	33	14	2	18	6	360	457	447	904	86	383	6	14	405	168	+18	+1	—	—	+7	2.6
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	146	119	33	5	1	0	22	15	2	8	3	277	399	336	735	59	314	10	15	338	117	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gary Matthews Jr.last yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,572 PA	11	4,572	108	93	258	331	407	-5	-10	16.2	17.2
	/162	664	16	14	258	331	407	-0.7	-1.4	2.3	pk7: 18
#2Gerardo Parralast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,290 PA	12	5,290	90	97	275	322	403	-51	+11	12.3	12.3
	/162	664	11	12	275	322	403	-6.3	+1.4	1.5	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,563	88	98	259	332	383	-27	+0	12.1	10.0
	/162	664	13	14	259	332	383	-4.0	+0.0	1.8	pk7: 8
#3Rob Mackowiaklast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,618 PA	8	2,618	64	49	259	332	405	-11	-3	8.7	8.9
	/162	664	16	12	259	332	405	-2.7	-0.8	2.2	pk7: 9
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Terrence Longlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,282 PA	6	3,282	69	27	270	319	407	-26	-7	6.9	6.9
	/162	664	14	5	270	319	407	-5.2	-1.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#6Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#6Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Renzullo (OGILVIE)	19	69→74	30→35	53→58	56	256/333/333	77	304	2	12	16%	9%	85	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	77	+0.1	246/292/306	60	294	1	19	16%	6%	66	-0.6	304/363/386	81	348	4	36	13%	8%	114	+2.3
●Alex Verdugo 2015 · A	19	53→58	40→50	56→45	48	252/304/355	103	287	6	11	15%	6%	85	+0.7	254/292/365	111	290	10	7	16%	5%	82	+0.5	285/346/439	154	321	16	7	16%	8%	120	+2.1
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	52	233/301/304	71	285	4	11	19%	9%	70	-0.3	238/285/305	67	306	4	12	22%	6%	64	-0.8	278/336/369	91	334	5	15	17%	7%	97	+1.5
●César Hernández 2009 · A	19	48→58	38→50	54→55	48	225/281/312	87	270	4	14	18%	7%	64	-0.8	221/272/284	63	278	3	16	20%	6%	53	-1.5	273/363/380	108	337	9	16	20%	12%	112	+2.8
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	65	-0.7	215/298/294	79	281	4	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
●Jose Tabata 2008 · A	19	55→60	39→45	49→55	43	259/310/345	85	328	6	14	22%	5%	85	+0.7	261/310/353	92	315	7	18	18%	5%	87	+0.8	276/333/375	99	320	6	26	15%	7%	100	+1.5
●Andrés Giménez 2018 · A	19	51→60	39→50	49→55	48	241/309/334	92	287	6	11	18%	7%	82	+0.5	233/291/345	112	300	8	23	24%	5%	78	+0.2	261/326/416	155	313	17	25	21%	5%	108	+2.0
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	50→58	37→45	50	49	234/297/309	75	304	3	13	23%	8%	70	-0.3	246/314/341	95	294	8	13	18%	9%	86	+0.8	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
✕Eury Pérez 2010 · A	20	53→63	39→40	54→65	46	252/311/333	82	307	6	19	19%	6%	82	+0.5	266/299/328	62	330	3	34	19%	4%	75	-0.0	296/331/390	95	359	3	37	18%	4%	102	+0.6
✕Luis Durango 2006 · A	20	55→65	34→30	46→60	53	252/333/305	53	307	2	16	17%	9%	85	+0.7	267/335/325	58	322	2	16	16%	8%	90	+1.0	289/352/322	33	348	0	30	15%	9%	92	+1.0
●Cedric Hunter 2007 · A	19	55→59	37→55	53→50	54	254/323/334	79	295	3	14	14%	9%	88	+0.9	248/289/330	82	285	6	8	15%	5%	72	-0.2	250/305/429	179	267	20	9	15%	6%	104	+1.4
✕Breyvic Valera 2011 · A	19	51→61	38→45	53→50	50	237/294/331	94	264	3	10	12%	6%	75	-0.0	241/286/314	73	280	2	11	14%	5%	66	-0.6	245/297/357	112	260	11	10	11%	6%	79	+0.2
●Victor Reyes 2014 · A	19	53→58	34→50	47→55	45	244/297/294	50	322	1	9	23%	6%	66	-0.6	241/276/298	57	308	2	10	21%	4%	57	-1.2	286/321/433	147	349	13	18	21%	4%	111	+1.6
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→58	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	73	-0.1	221/273/317	96	291	7	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
●Ozzie Albies 2016 · A	19	56→59	36→60	56→55	45	262/305/339	77	322	2	20	19%	6%	80	+0.4	255/300/378	123	307	9	19	19%	6%	89	+1.0	271/321/451	180	309	18	16	18%	6%	114	+3.1
●Ben Revere 2008 · A	20	51→61	37→40	58→65	45	235/286/320	85	278	2	18	16%	5%	68	-0.5	286/330/362	76	326	2	30	12%	5%	97	+1.5	298/344/366	68	335	2	36	11%	5%	100	+1.3
✕Alejo Lopez 2016 · A	20	51→61	38→40	46→55	51	238/307/318	80	276	4	9	15%	7%	78	+0.2	230/282/305	75	268	4	10	15%	6%	63	-0.9	268/338/353	85	319	5	17	16%	8%	95	+1.1
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A	19	48→57	42→55	55	47	231/289/340	110	295	8	12	24%	8%	76	+0.0	218/293/325	107	304	7	12	28%	10%	73	-0.1	242/354/440	197	274	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4