Junior Pena

P DSL LAD Bautista

Age 19 LHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	18	ROKDSL LAD Bauti…	15	1	29	6.83	3.86	16.9%	10.3%	—	K 11.5% · BB 12.9% · FIP 4.89
2027PROJ	19	MLBLAD	16	0	17	4.99	4.99	19.2%	11.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBLAD	12	0	13	4.82	4.74	20.3%	10.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsYokelvin Reyes (age 19) · Denny Bentley (age 20) · Vance Tatum (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%19.2%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%7.3%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	15	1	29	136	23	14	2	7%	1.9	11.5%	12.9%	-1.4%	2.1%	6.83	4.89	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	15	1	29	136	23	14	2	7%	1.9	11.5%	12.9%	-1.4%	2.1%	6.83	4.89	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	15	1	29	136	23	14	2	7%	1.9	16.9%	10.3%	6.6%	1.5%	6.83	3.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	LAD	16	0	17	72	14	9	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	11.9%	7.3%	3.0%	4.99	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	LAD	26	0	27	116	23	13	3	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.9%	9.4%	2.9%	4.82	4.74	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	LAD	12	0	13	55	11	6	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.9%	9.4%	2.9%	4.82	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	57	12	6	2	0%	1.0	20.3%	10.9%	9.4%	2.9%	4.82	4.36	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	89	30	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.9%	9.4%	2.9%	4.82	4.36	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		15	1	29	136	16	18	3	7%	1.9	11.5%	12.9%	-1.4%	2.1%	6.83	4.89	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		103	7	200	938	108	121	19	7%	1.9	11.5%	12.9%	-1.4%	2.1%	6.83	4.89	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Junior Pena (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	19.2%	11.9%	3.0%	—	4.74	20.3%	9.4%	27	-0.25	—	—	—
Yokelvin Reyes L 2023 · 3.94 FIP	19	SU	3.94	20.1%	12.8%	1.7%	.293	4.48	16.0%	4.1%	166	+0.54	3.50	221	85
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	85
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	84
Fabian Blanco L 2017 · 4.28 FIP	19	SU	4.28	18.8%	9.9%	2.8%	.368	4.05	16.9%	1.3%	74	-0.23	3.57	215	84
Drew Harrington L 2016 · 4.18 FIP	21	SU	4.18	15.7%	9.6%	2.1%	.295	4.14	12.5%	5.4%	175	-0.04	3.17	190	83
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	83
Zach Matson L 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	14.4%	10.9%	2.0%	.319	4.72	25.2%	10.0%	68	+0.33	4.39	187	82
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	81
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.28	335	80
Felix Carvallo L 2015 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	17.1%	9.8%	3.0%	.323	4.60	17.7%	4.7%	67	+0.04	4.56	132	80
Franderly Morel L 2023 · 4.00 FIP	19	SU	4.00	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.317	5.53	19.4%	6.7%	86	+1.53	3.80	120	79
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	79
Johnathan Frebis L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	22	SU	3.81	17.0%	9.4%	1.8%	.245	4.24	9.7%	-0.6%	124	+0.43	3.81	146	79
Harold Melenge L 2021 · 4.55 FIP	19	SU	4.55	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.297	3.44	16.4%	10.2%	89	-1.11	2.69	238	79
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	79
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	78
Rio Britton L 2024 · 4.28 FIP	21	SU	4.28	19.2%	13.5%	2.0%	.354	5.03	22.4%	7.1%	98	+0.75	4.28	166	78
Daniel Juarez L 2019 · 4.45 FIP	18	SU	4.45	24.9%	14.7%	2.9%	.389	4.24	26.5%	9.0%	68	-0.21	3.68	221	77
Abdallah Aris L 2016 · 4.08 FIP	19	SU	4.08	18.0%	15.7%	0.9%	.264	3.63	22.4%	11.1%	37	-0.45	3.49	109	76
Will Mabrey L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.27	19.2%	6.6%	62	+0.00	4.14	128	76