Nate George

OF Frederick Keys
Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1600ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202519A+/A/ROK2 orgs370.337/.414/.483550106—.290/.348/.409
202620A+BAL94.293/.376/.36611574—.244/.301/.302
2027PROJMLE21MLBBAL314.230/.290/.333411760.0
2028PROJ35% MLB22MLBBAL46.237/.299/.3551182-0.0
2029PROJ49% MLB23MLBBAL104.240/.303/.36623860.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$1M2034Arb-2$2M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed83
K%77
Z-Con%54
Whiff%50
wOBA49
wRC+49
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 6.3, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 83%
CompsDarin Mastroianni (age 23) · Francisco Peguero (age 21) · Lane Adams (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 94 proj PA
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .288 / .331
PA94
HR1
K%24
BB%7
ISO104
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2033Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-2$2M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$1.0M———
Totals $2M $2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202519 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 9279 23501 11191 126 291385392777 101367 2112 351 82 — — — — — —
202519 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 186163 55871 18292 2513 337410491901 153406 1610 392 117 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Orioles — 9281 31123 9141 136 3834515561.006 173438 1510 439 107 — — — — — —
202620 A+Frederick Keys — 9482 24301 10181 152 293376366742 73359 1911 338 74 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202519 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 9283 21401 7251 126 253319337656 84338 278 290 82 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 186168 51771 13402 2513 304361446807 143382 227 341 117 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 9284 25112 6211 136 298352405756 107362 237 327 107 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEFrederick Keys — 9486 21201 6241 152 244301302603 58326 266 277 74 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE3 teams — 370335 961284 26854 5025 287345406751 119372 237 325 106 — — — — — —
202519 A RAW3 teams — 370323 1091495 38624 5025 337414483897 146405 1710 394 106 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEFrederick Keys — 9486 21201 6241 152 244301302603 58323 266 277 74 — — — — — —
202620 A+ RAWFrederick Keys — 9482 24301 10181 152 293376366742 73359 1911 338 74 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE3 teams — 370337 961284 26854 5025 285345404749 119366 237 325 106 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEFrederick Keys — 9487 21201 6241 152 241301299600 57326 266 277 74 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202519 A MLE3 teams — 370337 961284 26854 5025 285345404749 119366 237 325 106 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEFrederick Keys — 9487 21201 6241 152 241301299600 57326 266 277 74 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEBAL 0% 314287 651224 21743 113 230290333624 104291 247 281 76 -9 +1 +0 -2 +7 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEBAL 35% 133122 28512 9311 41 234296348643 114292 237 289 82 -3 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.0
202923 MLB MLEBAL 49% 215196 46824 15492 72 237299358658 121293 237 295 86 -4 +1 +0 -1 +5 0.1
203024 MLB MLEBAL 53% 301273 651226 22683 93 239302365668 126294 237 299 88 -4 +1 +1 -2 +7 0.2
203125 MLB MLEBAL 55% 358325 781428 26814 113 240304369673 130294 237 301 90 -4 +1 +1 -2 +8 0.4
203226 MLB MLEBAL 56% 391355 861639 29894 114 240305371676 131293 237 302 91 -4 +1 +1 -2 +8 0.4
203327 MLB MLEBAL 55% 406369 881639 30934 124 239304368672 130293 237 301 90 -5 +1 +1 -2 +9 0.4
203428 MLB MLEBAL 55% 409371 891639 31944 114 237302364665 127292 238 298 88 -6 +1 +1 -2 +9 0.2
203529 MLB MLEBAL 53% 403366 871638 30944 104 234299357656 123290 237 294 85 -7 +0 +0 -2 +9 -0.0
202822 MLB CTXBAL 35% 4643 10201 3110 10 237299355654 118296 247 293 82 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.0
202923 MLB CTXBAL 49% 10495 23412 7241 31 240303366669 125297 237 299 86 -2 +0 +0 -1 +2 0.0
203024 MLB CTXBAL 53% 159144 34613 12362 51 243306373679 131298 238 303 88 -2 +1 +0 -1 +3 0.1
203125 MLB CTXBAL 55% 196178 43814 14442 62 244307378685 134298 227 306 90 -2 +0 +1 -1 +4 0.2
203226 MLB CTXBAL 56% 218198 48915 16492 62 244308380688 136298 227 307 91 -2 +0 +1 -1 +5 0.2
203327 MLB CTXBAL 55% 223202 49915 17512 62 243307377684 134297 238 305 90 -3 +0 +1 -1 +5 0.2
203428 MLB CTXBAL 55% 224203 49915 17522 62 241305372677 131296 238 302 88 -3 +0 +0 -1 +5 0.1
203529 MLB CTXBAL 53% 215195 47915 16502 52 238302365667 127295 237 299 85 -4 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 13851258 30356730 10231713 3812 241304368672 127297 237 303 89 -20 +3 +3 -8 +30 0.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 14226314 481496 186 241304366670 125298 237 303 89 -9 +1 +2 -4 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 31742885 7041212861 23073032 14353 244307369676 125305 237 300 89 -40 +5 +7 -16 +59 1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650591 14425612 471497 2911 244307367674 124305 237 300 89 -10 +1 +2 -4 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Frederick Keys · 94 PAwOBA .333 → .277 (−56)K% 19.1% → 25.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.15%÷1.000×1.310——25.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.64%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0426.65%
HBP% /PA1.06%—×0.770—×1.0420.85%
Singles /BIP31.25%÷1.000×0.870×1.015×1.04228.75%
Doubles /BIP4.69%÷1.000×0.780×1.015×1.0423.87%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×1.015×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP1.56%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0421.43%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .333 → .277; ISO .073 → .063; BABIP .359 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 186 PAwOBA .382 → .341 (−42)K% 15.6% → 21.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.59%÷0.993×1.360——21.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.68%÷1.007×0.690—×1.0456.93%
HBP% /PA1.08%—×0.780—×1.0450.88%
Singles /BIP29.10%÷0.998×0.920×0.966×1.04527.08%
Doubles /BIP5.97%÷0.898×0.830×0.966×1.0455.57%
Triples /BIP5.22%÷0.904×0.910×0.966×1.0455.30%
Home runs /BIP0.75%÷0.899×0.800—×1.0450.69%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 80, 3B 81, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .382 → .341; ISO .153 → .148; BABIP .406 → .382. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 92 PAwOBA .346 → .290 (−56)K% 20.7% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.65%÷1.013×1.310——26.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.96%÷0.944×0.600—×1.0507.98%
HBP% /PA1.09%—×0.770—×1.0500.88%
Singles /BIP28.33%÷0.990×0.870×1.033×1.05027.01%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.010×0.780×1.033×1.0506.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.091×0.850×1.033×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP1.67%÷1.229×0.880—×1.0501.25%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 118, K 103, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .346 → .290; ISO .101 → .081; BABIP .367 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Orioles · 92 PAwOBA .427 → .327 (−100)K% 15.2% → 22.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.22%÷0.980×1.440——22.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.78%÷1.020×0.620—×1.0085.99%
HBP% /PA1.09%—×0.720—×1.0080.79%
Singles /BIP37.31%÷0.997×0.820×1.032×1.00831.90%
Doubles /BIP1.49%÷1.033×0.720×1.032×1.0081.08%
Triples /BIP2.99%÷1.150×0.720×1.032×1.0081.94%
Home runs /BIP4.48%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0083.52%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .427 → .327; ISO .173 → .125; BABIP .438 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).