Nate GeorgeOF Frederick Keys
Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 226 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .299 / .340
PA226
HR3
SB13
K%23
BB%7
BABIP305
ISO102
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -9.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +3.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: +0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.01.02.00.00.50.91.11.31.41.51.51.31.1+$69M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 44
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT52
scouting grade only
POWER44
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED67
scouting grade only
DEFENSE60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.3$8M+$7M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.4$8M+$7M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.5$8M+$7M
2033Arb-1$3M+1.5$7M+$6M
2034Arb-2$4M+1.3$6M+$4M
2035Arb-3$5M+1.1$4M+$2M
Totals $16M $40M +$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202519 A3 teams 370336 961384 25874 5025 286342408750 122374 247 319 103
202519 A3 teams 370323 1091495 38624 5025 337414483897 146405 1710 394 159
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 A+BAL 9485 21201 7241 152 247312306618 59328 267 277 70 -3 +2 +0 -1 +3 0.1
YTD20 A+BAL 9482 24301 10181 152 293376366742 73359 1911 338 117 +2 +2 +0 -1 +3 0.6
ROS20 A+BAL 0% 226206 49823 16532 133 238299340639 102300 237 284 76 -6 +1 +0 -1 +6 0.1
ROS20 MLBBAL 0% 11 0000 000 00 304 00 281 73 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL20 A+BAL 9586 21201 7241 152 244309302611 58323 257 277 70 -3 +2 +0 -1 +3 0.1
TOT20 A+BAL 320291 701024 23773 285 241303330633 89311 247 282 74 -9 +4 +0 -2 +9 0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBBAL 35% 429391 941637 31994 175 240303350653 110302 237 296 85 -7 +1 +1 -3 +12 0.5
202822 MLBBAL 49% 500454 11019310 371145 185 242306363670 121303 237 303 90 -5 +2 +1 -3 +14 0.9
202923 MLBBAL 54% 547494 12321412 421236 185 249315381696 132303 228 308 94 -4 +2 +1 -3 +15 1.1
203024 MLBBAL 55% 577522 13023413 441296 185 249315383698 134303 228 311 96 -3 +2 +1 -3 +16 1.3
203125 MLBBAL 56% 594537 13423414 461326 185 250316385701 136303 228 312 97 -2 +2 +1 -4 +17 1.4
203226 MLBBAL 56% 602544 13523414 471346 185 248315382697 134303 228 313 97 -2 +2 +1 -4 +17 1.5
203327 MLBBAL 55% 602543 13523414 481346 185 249317383700 134303 228 313 97 -2 +2 +1 -4 +17 1.5
203428 MLBBAL 55% 598539 13423414 481346 175 249317384701 135303 228 312 97 -2 +1 +1 -4 +17 1.3
203529 MLBBAL 53% 588530 13022413 471336 165 245314375689 130302 238 310 95 -3 +1 -0 -4 +17 1.1
203630 MLBBAL 53% 577519 12722313 471326 154 245315374688 129301 238 307 93 -5 +1 -1 -3 +16 0.9
202721 MLBBAL 35% 148135 34613 11341 62 252313378691 126307 237 293 82 -3 +0 +0 -1 +4 0.1
202822 MLBBAL 49% 243220 551025 18553 92 250315382697 132307 237 300 88 -3 +1 +0 -1 +7 0.4
202923 MLBBAL 54% 297269 681227 23673 103 253319390709 138307 238 305 91 -3 +1 +1 -2 +8 0.5
203024 MLBBAL 55% 320289 731327 25713 103 253319384703 131308 228 308 94 -2 +1 +1 -2 +9 0.6
203125 MLBBAL 56% 333300 761328 26744 103 253321390711 137308 228 309 95 -2 +1 +1 -2 +9 0.7
203226 MLBBAL 56% 339306 781428 26754 103 255321392714 137308 228 309 95 -2 +1 +1 -2 +10 0.7
203327 MLBBAL 55% 333300 751328 26744 103 250318387705 137307 228 309 95 -2 +1 +1 -2 +9 0.7
203428 MLBBAL 55% 328296 751328 26743 93 253320392712 139307 238 308 94 -2 +1 +0 -2 +9 0.6
203529 MLBBAL 53% 314283 701227 25713 92 247315378693 131306 238 307 93 -3 +1 -0 -2 +9 0.5
203630 MLBBAL 53% 304273 681227 25703 82 249319385704 136305 238 304 91 -3 +1 -0 -2 +9 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 29602672 6721181968 23166531 9126 251318386705 135309 228 306 92 -25 +8 +4 -18 +84 5.3
/ 162G 650587 14826415 511467 206 252320387707 135309 228 306 92 -6 +2 +1 -4 +18 1.2
Career 62105615 139723647131 478140463 23677 249315378692 129308 238 309 94 -40 +16 +8 -37 +176 12.5
/ 162G 650588 14725514 501477 258 250317381698 131309 238 309 94 -4 +2 +1 -4 +18 1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202519 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 9279 23501 11191 126 291385392777 101367 2112 351 127 +3 +0 +3 0.6
202519 ADelmarva Shorebirds 186163 55871 18292 2513 337410491901 153406 1610 392 158 +12 -0 +5 1.8
202519 ROKFCL Orioles 9281 31123 9141 136 3834515561.006 173438 1510 439 194 +10 +0 +3 1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA
83,14392161244314394+3+1612.212.3
/1626641934+0.6+3.32.6pk7: 12
#2Manuel Margotlast yr '24
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA
83,1545694254307380-5+278.48.8
/1626641220-1.1+5.61.8pk7: 9
#3Will Venablelast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA
83,12781135251317406-20-48.98.7
/1626641729-4.2-0.81.9pk7: 9
#4Desmond Jenningslast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA
62,3275593245323394-9+108.18.1
/1626641627-2.5+2.72.3pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
52,9596591248312379-18+205.55.0
/1626641520-4.0+4.51.2pk7: 5
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nate George (OGILVIE) 20 40→52 35→44 68→67 50 241/303/330 89311 428 24% 7% 74 +0.2
Masyn Winn
2023 · AA
21 47→54 44→50 61→55 44 226/282/354 129300 928 27% 7% 76 +0.1 240/293/376 136286 1416 21% 7% 86 +0.8 254/312/374120299111118%7%92+1.0
Forrest Wall
2016 · A
20 47→57 41→45 58→70 45 224/278/332 108284 718 23% 7% 68 -0.5 218/270/312 94295 818 27% 6% 60 -1.0 266/338/37711036395027%9%101+1.1
Victor Robles
2017 · A
20 52→54 42→50 57→60 42 248/318/359 110309 824 21% 5% 93 +1.3 241/308/369 128302 1024 22% 5% 92 +1.2 241/311/384143300122722%6%93+1.0
Adrian Pinto
2023 · A
20 49 41→45 60→65 51 234/321/343 109284 729 19% 8% 91 +1.1 235/310/360 125296 1218 23% 8% 91 +1.1 230/307/35412428681321%9%82+0.1
Gorkys Hernández
2008 · A
20 53→59 39→45 58→55 43 253/288/340 88302 627 18% 4% 74 -0.1 244/288/325 81326 518 25% 5% 70 -0.3 263/321/381118325111621%7%95+1.0
Manuel Margot
2015 · A
20 48→53 44→50 56→60 47 234/283/354 120266 1125 17% 6% 76 +0.1 240/280/355 115280 926 17% 5% 75 -0.0 250/306/400150292142019%7%95+1.1
Desmond Jennings
2007 · A
20 46→56 40→50 56→60 44 220/278/308 88281 724 24% 6% 63 -0.9 254/316/372 118301 929 18% 7% 95 +1.4 245/325/405160290162820%9%105+2.2
Randy Romero
2021 · A
21 50 37→40 60 46 236/278/312 77269 322 14% 5% 63 -0.9 202/245/265 63275 317 26% 5% 37 -2.7 177/216/2204324512227%4%11-1.1
Che-Hsuan Lin
2009 · A
20 44→54 40 58→55 45 211/271/310 100266 721 23% 6% 60 -1.0 230/296/304 74279 520 18% 8% 69 -0.4 231/302/2926127742217%8%66-0.6
Ryan Brett
2012 · A
20 48→58 40→45 57→60 47 227/276/330 103266 518 16% 6% 66 -0.6 250/293/351 101309 726 20% 5% 79 +0.3 263/305/36910532483020%5%85+0.5
Rudy Martin Jr.
2016 · A
20 49 39→45 60→65 52 227/313/330 103311 416 26% 10% 83 +0.6 207/274/300 93331 626 36% 7% 59 -1.1 227/303/343115312135229%9%78+0.1
Delino DeShields
2013 · A
20 46→55 41→45 61→65 44 223/285/323 100300 836 27% 7% 69 -0.4 229/299/333 104311 837 27% 8% 78 +0.2 242/320/3399732363425%10%85+0.6
Esteury Ruiz
2019 · A
20 42→52 42→50 59→70 35 204/253/312 109311 826 36% 5% 53 -1.5 204/256/321 117306 1130 35% 5% 56 -1.3 268/342/410142331147422%7%114+1.8
Maikel Garcia
2022 · A
22 49→59 39→50 58→60 50 232/296/323 91293 522 22% 8% 73 -0.1 247/302/350 103314 827 22% 7% 83 +0.6 263/322/38412230892717%8%99+1.8
Johan Mieses
2015 · A
20 43→33 42→55 60→50 42 208/261/317 109274 822 26% 6% 57 -1.2 191/237/342 151271 188 36% 5% 55 -1.4 195/270/37718223727730%7%75-0.0
Edward Olivares
2016 · A
20 43→53 40→55 55 43 203/292/296 93267 617 25% 6% 67 -0.5 214/268/343 129275 1313 26% 4% 68 -0.5 264/321/443179299211619%6%113+1.6
Peter Bourjos
2009 · A
22 49→56 42→50 60 37 237/270/352 115307 927 26% 4% 70 -0.3 244/288/378 134302 1127 22% 5% 84 +0.6 249/298/396147304122822%5%91+1.0
Jorge Mateo
2015 · A
20 43→46 41→50 60→65 44 207/270/305 98282 730 28% 7% 58 -1.2 205/250/310 105293 737 31% 5% 50 -1.7 222/263/355133288134927%5%66-0.2
Jake Marisnick
2011 · A
20 41→51 41→60 55 40 201/260/303 102269 718 27% 5% 54 -1.4 229/284/355 126294 1119 25% 5% 78 +0.2 226/290/423196302251833%6%96+0.7
Tyler Goeddel
2014 · A
21 42→50 40→45 59→55 39 204/254/302 98293 620 31% 6% 50 -1.7 223/280/337 114302 918 28% 6% 71 -0.3 225/287/343117297101826%7%72-0.1