Nate GeorgeOF
Frederick Keys
Age 20
R/R
6'0" / 200 lbs
A+
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 3.0 · 2033
wRC+†86
AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .299 / .362
PA320
HR7
SB19
K%25
BB%8
MLB%4%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45↗54
PWR
37↗44
SPD
69→69
FLD
55↗62
EYE
43↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.8peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +2.3 | $20M | +$19M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +2.6 | $23M | +$23M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +2.8 | $26M | +$25M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +2.9 | $28M | +$22M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +3.0 | $30M | +$19M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $14M | +2.8 | $28M | +$14M |
| Totals | $32M | $155M | +$123M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | A | 3 teams | 370 | 337 | 94 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 87 | 4 | 50 | 25 | .279 | .334 | .392 | .726 | .113 | .364 | 24 | 6 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 62 | 58 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 2 | .276 | .323 | .362 | .685 | .086 | .395 | 31 | 5 | .286 | 77 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | BAL | 258 | 234 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 66 | 3 | 11 | 4 | .239 | .305 | .372 | .676 | .132 | .307 | 26 | 7 | .301 | 88 | -3 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +7 | 0.4 |
| TOT | 20 | MLB | BAL | 320 | 292 | 72 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 85 | 4 | 19 | 6 | .247 | .308 | .370 | .678 | .123 | .323 | 27 | 7 | .298 | 86 | -5 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +9 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 15% | BAL | 429 | 385 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 95 | 5 | 17 | 6 | .249 | .322 | .384 | .706 | .135 | .303 | 22 | 8 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 31% | BAL | 500 | 446 | 112 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 108 | 6 | 19 | 6 | .251 | .327 | .395 | .721 | .143 | .303 | 22 | 9 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +1 | +2 | -3 | +14 | 1.8 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 51% | BAL | 547 | 486 | 125 | 21 | 4 | 16 | 50 | 115 | 6 | 19 | 6 | .257 | .334 | .416 | .750 | .158 | .302 | 21 | 9 | .330 | 111 | +7 | +1 | +2 | -3 | +15 | 2.3 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 70% | BAL | 577 | 511 | 132 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 54 | 120 | 7 | 19 | 6 | .258 | .337 | .417 | .754 | .159 | .302 | 21 | 9 | .334 | 114 | +9 | +1 | +2 | -3 | +16 | 2.6 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 86% | BAL | 594 | 525 | 136 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 57 | 123 | 7 | 19 | 6 | .259 | .340 | .421 | .761 | .162 | .303 | 21 | 10 | .338 | 117 | +11 | +1 | +2 | -4 | +17 | 2.8 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 602 | 531 | 137 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 59 | 124 | 7 | 19 | 6 | .258 | .340 | .418 | .758 | .160 | .304 | 21 | 10 | .339 | 118 | +12 | +1 | +2 | -4 | +17 | 2.9 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 602 | 530 | 137 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 60 | 125 | 7 | 18 | 5 | .258 | .342 | .419 | .761 | .160 | .304 | 21 | 10 | .339 | 118 | +12 | +2 | +2 | -4 | +17 | 3.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 598 | 526 | 136 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 60 | 125 | 7 | 18 | 5 | .259 | .342 | .420 | .762 | .162 | .304 | 21 | 10 | .338 | 117 | +12 | +2 | +1 | -4 | +17 | 2.8 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 588 | 517 | 133 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 59 | 125 | 7 | 17 | 5 | .257 | .341 | .420 | .761 | .162 | .303 | 21 | 10 | .336 | 116 | +10 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 2.6 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 577 | 507 | 128 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 58 | 124 | 7 | 16 | 4 | .252 | .337 | .406 | .744 | .154 | .302 | 21 | 10 | .333 | 113 | +9 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +16 | 2.3 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 563 | 496 | 125 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 56 | 124 | 6 | 15 | 4 | .252 | .335 | .403 | .738 | .151 | .301 | 22 | 10 | .330 | 111 | +7 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 2.0 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 545 | 479 | 119 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 123 | 6 | 14 | 3 | .248 | .333 | .397 | .730 | .148 | .300 | 23 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +15 | 1.7 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 515 | 453 | 111 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 51 | 119 | 6 | 13 | 3 | .245 | .329 | .391 | .720 | .146 | .299 | 23 | 10 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +15 | 1.2 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 468 | 414 | 100 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 113 | 5 | 12 | 2 | .242 | .325 | .382 | .706 | .140 | .297 | 24 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +13 | 0.8 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 413 | 366 | 85 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 103 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .232 | .315 | .361 | .675 | .128 | .296 | 25 | 10 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2042 | 36 | MLB | BAL | 352 | 311 | 71 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 92 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .228 | .312 | .354 | .666 | .125 | .294 | 26 | 10 | .297 | 86 | -6 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2043 | 37 | MLB | BAL | 288 | 256 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 78 | 3 | 8 | 1 | .227 | .308 | .348 | .655 | .121 | .291 | 27 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -7 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +8 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9386 | 8310 | 2091 | 342 | 64 | 254 | 889 | 2089 | 107 | 324 | 100 | .252 | .332 | .400 | .732 | .148 | .306 | 22 | 9 | .325 | 107 | +76 | +25 | -10 | -56 | +266 | 30.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 145 | 24 | 4 | 18 | 62 | 145 | 7 | 22 | 7 | .252 | .332 | .402 | .734 | .150 | .306 | 22 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +5 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +18 | 2.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 92 | 79 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 6 | .291 | .385 | .392 | .777 | .101 | .367 | 21 | 12 | .351 | 127 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 186 | 163 | 55 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 29 | 2 | 25 | 13 | .337 | .410 | .491 | .901 | .153 | .406 | 16 | 10 | .392 | 158 | +12 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 92 | 81 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 6 | .383 | .451 | .556 | 1.006 | .173 | .438 | 15 | 10 | .439 | 194 | +10 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 1.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Nate George (OGILVIE) | 20 | 45→54 | 37→44 | 69 | 50 | .231/.299/.362 | .130 | .294 | 7 | 10 | 25% | 8% | 86 | +0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A |
20 | 50 | 41→45 | 59→65 | 52 | .234/.322/.340 | .106 | .284 | 6 | 29 | 19% | 9% | 90 | +1.0 | .231/.312/.347 | .116 | .294 | 10 | 19 | 23% | 8% | 88 | +0.9 | .235/.317/.335 | .100 | .305 | 7 | 18 | 23% | 9% | 81 | +0.1 |
|
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA |
21 | 45→53 | 43→50 | 61→55 | 44 | .220/.278/.344 | .124 | .294 | 9 | 27 | 28% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .237/.291/.371 | .134 | .285 | 13 | 17 | 21% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.299/.375 | .131 | .283 | 14 | 12 | 19% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 |
|
●Addison Russell 2014 · A |
20 | 48→52 | 49→55 | 58→50 | 45 | .235/.304/.393 | .158 | .314 | 14 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 96 | +1.5 | .241/.304/.403 | .162 | .308 | 17 | 10 | 26% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .241/.312/.408 | .167 | .299 | 18 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 96 | +1.3 |
|
✕Victor Robles 2017 · A |
20 | 50 | 42→50 | 56→60 | 42 | .239/.308/.351 | .112 | .293 | 8 | 24 | 21% | 5% | 88 | +0.9 | .241/.307/.368 | .127 | .301 | 10 | 24 | 22% | 5% | 91 | +1.1 | .244/.313/.382 | .138 | .303 | 11 | 27 | 22% | 6% | 94 | +1.0 |
|
●Corbin Carroll 2022 · A |
21 | 48→54 | 44→60 | 57→60 | 46 | .229/.300/.355 | .126 | .326 | 11 | 18 | 31% | 9% | 84 | +0.6 | .252/.333/.461 | .209 | .312 | 22 | 31 | 25% | 9% | 125 | +3.5 | .245/.332/.462 | .217 | .278 | 24 | 37 | 21% | 10% | 121 | +3.5 |
|
●Desmond Jennings 2007 · A |
20 | 46→56 | 40→50 | 56→60 | 44 | .220/.278/.309 | .089 | .282 | 7 | 23 | 24% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .248/.308/.365 | .117 | .293 | 10 | 28 | 18% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .252/.331/.406 | .154 | .301 | 15 | 28 | 21% | 9% | 106 | +2.2 |
|
●Michael Harris II 2022 · A |
21 | 49→57 | 42→55 | 56→55 | 41 | .237/.286/.348 | .111 | .312 | 9 | 19 | 26% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .271/.315/.439 | .168 | .332 | 18 | 21 | 23% | 5% | 112 | +2.6 | .278/.321/.456 | .177 | .328 | 21 | 21 | 21% | 5% | 116 | +2.7 |
|
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A |
19 | 47→57 | 43→50 | 56→70 | 38 | .227/.269/.356 | .129 | .308 | 8 | 18 | 28% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.253/.311 | .107 | .309 | 9 | 27 | 35% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .264/.338/.396 | .132 | .327 | 13 | 74 | 22% | 6% | 108 | +1.6 |
|
●Brett Lawrie 2011 · AA |
21 | 49→56 | 45→55 | 55 | 42 | .240/.285/.377 | .137 | .304 | 9 | 17 | 24% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .259/.312/.421 | .162 | .306 | 15 | 17 | 20% | 6% | 106 | +2.2 | .265/.324/.430 | .165 | .299 | 17 | 16 | 17% | 7% | 109 | +2.0 |
|
✕Jake Marisnick 2012 · A |
21 | 49→54 | 45→60 | 56→55 | 42 | .240/.295/.364 | .124 | .303 | 11 | 21 | 24% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .231/.283/.354 | .123 | .295 | 11 | 20 | 25% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 | .232/.296/.435 | .203 | .309 | 26 | 18 | 33% | 6% | 101 | +0.9 |
|
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA |
20 | 46→52 | 45→50 | 55 | 51 | .224/.304/.359 | .135 | .280 | 11 | 21 | 23% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .231/.318/.378 | .147 | .301 | 14 | 21 | 26% | 10% | 98 | +1.6 | .227/.321/.379 | .152 | .295 | 16 | 24 | 26% | 10% | 96 | +0.9 |
|
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 42→45 | 57→70 | 45 | .220/.273/.329 | .110 | .277 | 8 | 17 | 23% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .218/.270/.313 | .095 | .291 | 8 | 18 | 26% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .260/.332/.371 | .111 | .354 | 9 | 50 | 27% | 9% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
★Jean Segura 2011 · AAA |
21 | 54→64 | 42→50 | 58→60 | 45 | .263/.300/.373 | .110 | .301 | 8 | 22 | 16% | 5% | 88 | +0.9 | .262/.299/.367 | .105 | .307 | 8 | 29 | 17% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .304/.351/.439 | .135 | .338 | 12 | 24 | 13% | 6% | 123 | +3.5 |
|
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A |
21 | 42→50 | 47→55 | 58→55 | 39 | .214/.256/.353 | .139 | .265 | 14 | 15 | 25% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .239/.275/.401 | .162 | .303 | 18 | 22 | 27% | 4% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.283/.399 | .155 | .300 | 17 | 24 | 24% | 4% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
✕Manuel Margot 2015 · A |
20 | 47→53 | 44→50 | 56→60 | 47 | .229/.278/.348 | .120 | .255 | 11 | 25 | 16% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .239/.278/.351 | .112 | .276 | 9 | 26 | 16% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .243/.300/.388 | .144 | .285 | 13 | 20 | 19% | 7% | 88 | +0.8 |
|
✕Tyler Austin 2012 · A |
20 | 49→54 | 43→60 | 56→45 | 40 | .236/.285/.354 | .118 | .316 | 10 | 16 | 28% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 | .246/.298/.387 | .141 | .330 | 13 | 12 | 28% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .230/.291/.429 | .199 | .309 | 25 | 3 | 33% | 8% | 97 | +1.0 |
|
✕Jasson Domínguez 2023 · AA |
20 | 43→53 | 46→50 | 56→60 | 43 | .209/.282/.339 | .129 | .315 | 13 | 19 | 36% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .236/.308/.376 | .140 | .328 | 16 | 27 | 30% | 9% | 93 | +1.3 | .249/.323/.390 | .141 | .333 | 16 | 33 | 28% | 10% | 99 | +1.2 |
|
★Yoán Moncada 2016 · A |
21 | 47→57 | 45→60 | 62→60 | 42 | .229/.294/.352 | .123 | .313 | 12 | 32 | 30% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .231/.305/.373 | .142 | .344 | 14 | 25 | 34% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .277/.362/.461 | .183 | .369 | 18 | 5 | 27% | 11% | 133 | +3.2 |
|
●Coby Mayo 2022 · A |
20 | 49→46 | 51→60 | 55→45 | 46 | .247/.313/.408 | .161 | .309 | 18 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 104 | +2.0 | .226/.295/.404 | .178 | .302 | 21 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .224/.304/.422 | .198 | .291 | 24 | 4 | 30% | 9% | 102 | +1.6 |
|
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A |
20 | 48→49 | 43→60 | 53→50 | 45 | .233/.286/.344 | .111 | .281 | 10 | 17 | 21% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .207/.254/.310 | .103 | .281 | 9 | 15 | 28% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .261/.323/.483 | .222 | .300 | 31 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 123 | +1.6 |