Victor Familia

C DSL Pirates Gold

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 196 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Pirates B…	110	.247/.413/.400	0	1	51	—	.144/.294/.222
2026	19	ROKDSL Pirates G…	87	.206/.412/.270	0	3	44	—	.132/.306/.176
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBPIT	197	.197/.284/.279	1	5	63	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBPIT	57	.202/.289/.294	0	2	68	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBPIT	145	.206/.293/.307	2	5	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed84

Z-Con%77

Whiff%73

BB%63

Chase%55

wRC+54

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsPablo Aliendo (age 20) · Andrés Nolaya (age 19) · Hans Montero (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .282 / .277

PA78

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	110	85	21	9	2	0	17	38	7	1	3	247	413	400	813	153	438	35	15	371	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	87	63	13	2	1	0	15	18	7	3	0	206	412	270	682	63	283	21	17	332	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	110	90	13	5	1	0	12	47	7	1	3	144	294	222	516	78	283	43	11	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	87	68	9	1	1	0	10	22	7	3	0	132	306	176	482	44	187	25	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	110	90	13	5	1	0	12	47	7	1	3	144	294	222	516	78	295	43	11	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	110	85	21	9	2	0	17	38	7	1	3	247	413	400	813	153	438	35	15	371	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	87	68	9	1	1	0	10	22	7	3	0	132	306	176	482	44	191	25	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	87	63	13	2	1	0	15	18	7	3	0	206	412	270	682	63	283	21	17	332	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	110	90	13	5	1	0	12	47	7	1	3	144	294	222	516	78	283	43	11	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	87	70	9	1	1	0	10	22	7	3	0	129	306	171	477	43	187	25	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	110	90	13	5	1	0	12	47	7	1	3	144	294	222	516	78	283	43	11	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	87	70	9	1	1	0	10	22	7	3	0	129	306	171	477	43	187	25	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	197	173	34	7	2	1	17	60	5	5	2	197	284	279	564	82	288	30	9	261	63	-9	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	166	147	30	6	2	1	14	49	4	5	2	202	289	294	584	93	290	30	8	269	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	299	265	54	11	3	3	25	88	7	10	3	206	293	308	601	101	291	29	8	275	73	-10	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	392	347	72	14	4	5	33	113	9	13	4	210	296	319	615	109	292	29	8	281	76	-11	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	455	403	86	17	4	7	39	130	10	16	5	214	299	329	628	115	293	29	9	286	79	-11	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	491	435	93	18	4	8	42	138	11	17	5	216	301	337	637	120	293	28	9	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	511	451	97	19	4	9	44	144	11	17	6	217	301	339	640	123	293	28	9	290	83	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	460	98	19	4	9	44	147	11	18	6	215	300	337	637	121	292	28	8	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	460	98	19	4	9	44	148	11	17	6	214	298	332	630	118	291	28	8	286	80	-13	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	515	455	96	19	4	8	44	148	11	17	6	211	295	325	620	114	289	29	9	282	77	-14	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2037	30	MLB MLE	PIT	60%	507	449	94	18	4	8	43	148	10	16	6	208	291	317	609	110	287	29	8	278	74	-16	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	PIT	62%	479	426	88	17	4	7	40	141	10	14	7	204	286	307	594	104	284	29	8	272	70	-17	+0	-3	+9	+10	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	57	51	10	2	1	0	5	17	1	2	1	202	289	294	584	92	291	30	9	269	68	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	145	129	27	6	1	2	12	42	3	5	2	206	293	307	600	100	292	29	8	275	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	213	188	40	8	2	3	18	61	5	7	2	210	296	317	613	107	293	29	8	280	76	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	252	223	48	10	2	4	21	72	6	9	3	213	299	326	625	113	294	29	8	285	79	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	275	244	52	11	2	4	23	77	6	9	3	216	300	334	634	118	294	28	8	288	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	287	255	54	11	2	5	24	81	6	10	3	216	301	336	637	120	294	28	8	289	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	288	255	54	11	2	5	25	82	6	10	3	215	300	333	633	118	293	28	9	288	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	285	253	53	11	2	4	24	81	6	9	3	213	298	329	626	116	292	28	8	285	80	-7	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	299	266	55	11	2	4	25	86	6	10	4	211	295	323	617	112	290	29	8	281	77	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	PIT	60%	305	270	55	11	2	4	26	89	6	10	4	208	291	315	606	107	288	29	9	277	74	-9	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	PIT	62%	296	263	54	11	2	4	25	87	6	9	4	203	286	305	592	102	285	29	8	271	70	-11	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2702	2397	502	103	20	39	228	775	57	90	32	209	293	318	611	108	290	29	8	282	76	-72	+5	-4	+48	+59	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	121	25	5	9	55	186	14	22	8	210	295	317	612	107	291	29	8	282	76	-17	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5130	4525	942	186	44	74	441	1487	121	166	60	208	296	318	613	110	290	29	9	281	76	-133	+10	-7	+88	+107	6.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	120	24	6	9	56	188	15	21	8	209	296	319	615	110	293	29	9	281	76	-18	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.2	2,780	43	91	212	293	325	+50	+28	5.6	5.1
/162	664	10	22	+11.9	+6.7	1.3	pk7: 5
#5Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Familia (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	195/282/277	82	288	0	2	30%	8%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	41→40	37→45	53→60	45	189/276/261	72	296	4	19	34%	9%	57	-1.8	210/266/317	107	310	10	28	34%	6%	65	-1.2	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Cutter Coffey 2024 · A	20	38→45	39→45	49→50	44	185/262/271	86	271	7	13	32%	8%	53	-2.1	201/271/317	116	296	12	10	34%	8%	67	-1.1	199/268/315	116	299	12	9	35%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Cristian Hernández 2024 · A	20	39→48	37→45	53→60	38	187/246/255	68	296	5	17	37%	7%	42	-2.9	213/278/306	93	307	7	28	30%	8%	67	-1.1	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Heiker Meneses 2011 · A	20	37→47	36→40	54→55	41	179/248/245	66	260	4	18	31%	7%	42	-2.9	225/274/303	78	328	4	17	31%	5%	63	-1.3	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	44	40→45	52→50	42	209/274/307	98	306	7	12	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/261/285	95	288	7	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	39	37→50	47→45	46	188/260/261	73	250	5	9	26%	8%	50	-2.3	207/250/323	116	289	11	6	31%	5%	60	-1.6	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	42	36→40	54→60	43	195/260/262	67	275	2	19	28%	7%	49	-2.4	203/255/272	69	317	3	11	34%	6%	50	-2.3	184/229/215	32	332	0	4	42%	5%	23	-1.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	75	292	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	193/262/269	76	307	6	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→49	35→40	48→60	44	184/266/243	59	279	2	9	32%	8%	49	-2.4	191/294/274	83	293	6	15	33%	11%	68	-1.0	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Luke Williams 2017 · A	20	46→44	36→45	50→65	47	216/284/281	65	293	3	11	26%	8%	63	-1.4	196/247/266	70	262	5	17	26%	6%	45	-2.7	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	40→39	40→45	54→55	43	189/275/278	90	295	7	14	35%	8%	61	-1.5	189/271/295	106	262	9	15	30%	8%	63	-1.4	166/254/289	123	223	13	23	31%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	41→44	36→50	48→45	43	194/262/264	70	258	3	9	25%	6%	51	-2.2	218/281/363	145	322	16	4	35%	7%	81	-0.1	210/279/360	150	310	18	4	36%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3

Victor Familia

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps