Stainer Valdez — OGILVIE

Stainer Valdez P FCL Pirates

Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 150 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%20.9%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%9.0%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	12	1	16	62	10	7	1	8%	1.3	11.0%	14.1%	-3.1%	2.4%	2.87	5.29	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	12	1	16	62	10	7	1	8%	1.3	11.0%	14.1%	-3.1%	2.4%	2.87	5.29	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	12	1	16	62	10	7	1	8%	1.3	16.1%	11.3%	4.8%	1.6%	2.87	3.99	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	20	0	30	130	16	21	2	0%	1.5	8.4%	20.2%	-11.8%	2.2%	4.45	6.13	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	20	0	30	130	16	21	2	0%	1.5	8.4%	20.2%	-11.8%	2.2%	4.45	6.13	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	PIT	20	0	30	130	16	21	2	0%	1.5	12.3%	16.2%	-3.8%	1.5%	4.45	4.95	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	30	0	31	132	28	14	4	0%	1.0	21.6%	10.9%	10.7%	2.9%	4.72	4.65	-0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	PIT	14	0	15	63	14	7	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.9%	10.7%	2.9%	4.72	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	14	7	2	0%	1.0	21.6%	10.9%	10.7%	2.9%	4.72	4.27	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	91	26	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.9%	10.7%	2.9%	4.72	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		32	1	46	192	18	35	4	3%	1.4	9.2%	18.2%	-9.0%	2.2%	3.91	5.86	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	4	200	835	77	152	19	3%	1.4	9.2%	18.2%	-9.0%	2.2%	3.91	5.86	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Stainer Valdez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	20.9%	12.0%	3.0%	—	4.65	21.6%	10.7%	31	-0.22	—	—	—
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	88
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	87
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	87
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	86
Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	20	SU	4.14	25.1%	13.3%	2.7%	.327	3.29	23.8%	13.4%	81	-0.85	3.21	104	85
Harold Cortijo R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.64	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.18	4.15	179	85
Troy Bacon R 2017 · 3.92 FIP	20	SU	3.92	19.9%	11.7%	1.9%	.222	4.06	19.7%	10.8%	102	+0.14	3.34	203	85
Aneudy Duarte R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.4%	13.5%	2.1%	.320	4.79	17.1%	5.4%	34	+0.53	4.26	102	85
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	85
Jose Diaz R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	19	SU	3.97	17.9%	10.4%	1.9%	.326	5.52	19.2%	1.1%	64	+1.55	3.91	189	85
Ty Tice R 2017 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	22.2%	12.9%	2.6%	.271	3.53	19.4%	8.3%	108	-0.76	3.24	288	84
Evan Phillips R 2015 · 3.96 FIP	20	SU	3.96	21.4%	13.7%	1.7%	.300	3.85	22.0%	10.7%	177	-0.11	1.52	517	84
Francisco Frias R 2023 · 5.74 FIP	18	SU	5.74	20.8%	14.1%	4.8%	.294	4.83	19.2%	2.2%	134	-0.91	4.00	148	84
Irvin Gonzalez R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	17	SU	4.26	16.5%	10.7%	2.2%	.326	4.37	13.5%	0.2%	95	+0.11	3.90	111	84
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	83
Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	83
Kevin Tejada R 2023 · 3.97 FIP	18	SU	3.97	17.4%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	5.53	13.1%	2.7%	78	+1.56	3.97	108	83
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	83
Sandy Lugo R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	21	SU	3.86	20.7%	9.5%	2.4%	.352	3.98	23.6%	12.5%	119	+0.12	3.48	146	83
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	83