Ransel Cruz — OGILVIE

Ransel Cruz P DSL Tampa Bay

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 144 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 10 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%20.0%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	9	6	19	84	16	11	2	67%	2.1	13.0%	16.4%	-3.4%	2.9%	7.71	5.66	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	9	6	19	84	16	11	2	67%	2.1	13.0%	16.4%	-3.4%	2.9%	7.71	5.66	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	9	6	19	84	16	11	2	67%	2.1	19.0%	13.1%	6.0%	2.4%	7.71	4.55	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	2	2	5	30	6	9	0	100%	2.7	20.0%	30.0%	-10.0%	0.0%	6.75	5.21	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	2	2	5	30	6	9	0	100%	2.7	20.0%	30.0%	-10.0%	0.0%	6.75	5.21	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	2	2	5	30	6	9	0	100%	2.7	20.0%	30.0%	-10.0%	0.0%	6.75	5.91	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	12	0	16	61	7	6	0	0%	1.4	7.8%	12.3%	-4.5%	0.0%	1.10	4.00	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	12	0	16	61	7	6	0	0%	1.4	7.8%	12.3%	-4.5%	0.0%	1.10	4.00	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	12	0	16	61	7	6	0	0%	1.4	11.5%	9.8%	1.6%	0.0%	1.10	3.34	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	TB	10	0	10	42	8	5	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	11.6%	8.5%	2.9%	4.87	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	19	0	20	84	18	9	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.4%	10.9%	2.9%	4.68	4.58	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	10	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.4%	10.9%	2.9%	4.68	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.4%	10.9%	2.9%	4.68	4.20	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	81	20	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.4%	10.9%	2.9%	4.68	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		23	8	40	175	22	30	2	35%	1.8	12.4%	17.3%	-4.9%	1.4%	4.91	5.00	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	40	200	868	107	150	12	35%	1.8	12.4%	17.3%	-4.9%	1.4%	4.91	5.00	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ransel Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	20.0%	11.6%	2.9%	—	4.58	21.4%	10.9%	20	-0.29	—	—	—
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	84
Luis F. Castillo R 2016 · 4.51 FIP	21	SU	4.51	16.7%	10.5%	2.7%	.337	3.50	19.7%	12.3%	96	-1.01	2.95	254	82
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	81
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	81
Brandon Beckel R 2024 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	19.4%	10.3%	1.8%	.250	4.23	19.5%	10.5%	147	+0.48	3.75	194	81
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	80
Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	80
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	80
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	80
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	80
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	80
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	79
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	79
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	79
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.17	28.8%	15.2%	112	-0.85	3.14	173	79
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	79
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	79
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	79
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	79
Reiss Knehr R 2018 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	21.3%	12.3%	2.6%	.267	4.86	18.8%	7.2%	171	+0.57	3.36	398	79