Kevin Warunek
P
Clearwater Threshers
Age 23
LHP
6'4" / 201 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION8 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 117
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.4%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 53 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 3.2% | 3.46 | 4.07 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 53 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 29.9% | 9.6% | 20.3% | 2.3% | 3.46 | 3.03 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 7 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | 5.40 | — | — |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 85 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 29 | 123 | 29 | 13 | 6 | — | — | 23.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 4.5% | 4.64 | 3.07 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 20 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 3.84 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 68 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 3.84 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 33 | 0 | 50 | 215 | 50 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 3.78 | 4.60 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 132 | 0 | 200 | 860 | 202 | 86 | 35 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 3.78 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kevin Warunek (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.22 | 23.9% | 15.1% | 21 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.75 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .333 | 2.67 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 78 | -1.08 | 2.51 | 119 | 90 |
| Garvin Alston L 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.29 | 19.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | .333 | 4.76 | 16.4% | 2.9% | 84 | +0.47 | 4.01 | 232 | 84 |
| Easton Lucas L 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .316 | 4.00 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 184 | -0.21 | 3.49 | 311 | 84 |
| Wyatt Short L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.92 | 20.4% | 8.4% | 2.7% | .262 | 3.93 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 91 | +0.01 | 2.70 | 288 | 83 |
| Brian Marconi L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 83 |
| Robert Garcia L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.63 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .342 | 4.41 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 106 | -0.22 | 2.21 | 452 | 83 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 82 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.54 | 23.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .259 | 4.09 | 19.9% | 7.5% | 106 | +0.55 | 3.54 | 206 | 82 |
| Chris Cotton L 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | .288 | 4.13 | 9.7% | 3.3% | 61 | +0.47 | 3.66 | 128 | 81 |
| Michael Johnson L 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.09 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .260 | 4.51 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 256 | 80 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 80 |
| Wesley Moore L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.83 | 25.9% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.14 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 58 | +0.31 | 3.83 | 111 | 80 |
| Jerry Vasto L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.18 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 1.2% | .265 | 3.39 | 23.3% | 12.8% | 147 | +0.21 | 2.84 | 206 | 80 |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.77 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 2.1% | .271 | 5.25 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 39 | +1.48 | 3.77 | 132 | 80 |
| Fred Schlichtholz L 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .368 | 4.36 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 80 | -0.05 | 3.76 | 175 | 80 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.11 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 2.3% | .320 | 5.97 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 73 | +1.86 | 4.11 | 158 | 79 |
| Hayden Harris L 2027 · 3.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.23 | 29.1% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .315 | 3.21 | 30.2% | 16.2% | 129 | -0.02 | 1.86 | 180 | 79 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 79 |
| Darien Núñez L 2028 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 26.4% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .377 | 2.59 | 34.2% | 23.5% | 78 | -0.59 | 2.50 | 122 | 79 |
| Ryne Slack L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .293 | 4.89 | 15.4% | 2.5% | 142 | +0.81 | 4.08 | 212 | 79 |