Samir Guerrero

SS DSL Cubs Blue

Age 18 L/R ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Cubs Blue	72	.125/.319/.125	0	4	1	—	.083/.236/.083
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBCHC	182	.215/.299/.277	1	3	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBCHC	55	.221/.306/.293	0	1	72	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBCHC	149	.225/.309/.304	1	3	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%76

K%67

Chase%60

Z-Con%50

Whiff%41

Speed37

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAngel Guzman (age 18) · Juan Villavicencio (age 18) · Yeremy Cabrera (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .296 / .274

PA68

HR0

K%25

BB%9

ISO61

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	72	56	7	0	0	0	14	13	2	4	1	125	319	125	444		163	18	19	244	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	72	60	5	0	0	0	10	16	2	4	1	83	236	83	319		111	22	14	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	72	60	5	0	0	0	10	16	2	4	1	83	236	83	319		114	22	14	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	72	56	7	0	0	0	14	13	2	4	1	125	319	125	444		163	18	19	244	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	72	60	5	0	0	0	10	16	2	4	1	83	236	83	319		111	22	14	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	72	60	5	0	0	0	10	16	2	4	1	83	236	83	319		111	22	14	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	182	161	34	4	1	1	17	45	2	3	1	215	299	277	575	61	289	25	9	267	67	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	161	143	31	4	1	1	15	40	2	3	1	219	304	289	592	70	291	25	9	274	72	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	20	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	307	270	60	8	2	3	29	75	5	6	2	222	307	300	607	78	293	24	9	280	76	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	418	369	83	11	3	5	39	101	7	8	3	225	310	310	620	85	294	24	9	285	79	-10	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2031	22	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	498	441	100	14	3	7	46	119	8	10	3	228	312	319	631	91	295	24	9	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.6
2032	23	MLB MLE	CHC	58%	552	487	113	16	4	8	51	132	9	11	3	230	314	327	640	97	295	24	9	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2033	24	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	587	519	120	17	4	9	54	140	9	11	4	231	315	329	644	98	296	24	9	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.9
2034	25	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	608	538	124	18	4	9	56	145	9	12	4	231	315	331	646	100	296	24	9	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.0
2035	26	MLB MLE	CHC	60%	618	547	127	18	4	10	57	147	9	11	4	231	315	332	647	100	296	24	9	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.0
2036	27	MLB MLE	CHC	62%	620	548	127	18	4	10	58	148	9	11	4	230	314	329	644	99	296	24	9	294	85	-11	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.0
2037	28	MLB MLE	CHC	63%	617	546	125	18	4	9	57	149	9	9	3	229	312	325	637	96	295	24	9	291	83	-12	+1	-1	+7	+13	0.8
2038	29	MLB MLE	CHC	65%	608	538	122	17	4	8	56	149	9	6	3	226	310	319	628	92	294	25	9	288	81	-14	+0	-1	+7	+13	0.5
2039	30	MLB MLE	CHC	65%	598	530	118	16	3	8	55	148	8	4	2	223	306	311	618	88	292	25	9	283	78	-16	+0	-2	+6	+13	0.2
2040	31	MLB MLE	CHC	65%	584	518	114	16	3	7	53	147	8	0	2	219	302	302	603	82	289	25	9	278	74	-18	-1	-3	+6	+13	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	55	49	10	1	0	0	5	14	1	1	0	221	306	293	599	72	295	25	9	277	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	149	132	29	4	1	1	14	36	2	3	1	225	309	304	613	80	296	24	9	282	76	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	227	200	46	6	2	3	21	55	4	4	1	227	312	314	626	87	297	24	9	287	79	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	282	250	57	8	2	4	26	68	4	5	2	230	314	322	636	93	298	24	9	291	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	23	MLB CTX	CHC	58%	318	281	64	9	2	4	29	76	5	6	2	232	316	330	646	98	299	24	9	295	84	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2033	24	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	335	296	70	10	3	5	31	80	5	6	2	233	317	333	649	100	299	24	9	296	85	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2034	25	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	345	305	71	10	3	5	32	82	5	7	2	233	317	334	651	101	299	24	9	297	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	CHC	60%	374	330	78	11	3	6	35	89	6	7	2	233	317	335	652	102	299	24	9	297	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2036	27	MLB CTX	CHC	62%	386	341	79	11	3	6	36	92	6	7	2	232	316	332	648	100	299	24	9	296	85	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2037	28	MLB CTX	CHC	63%	390	345	80	11	3	6	36	94	6	6	2	231	314	328	642	97	298	24	9	293	83	-8	+0	-0	+4	+8	0.5
2038	29	MLB CTX	CHC	65%	395	349	79	11	3	5	37	97	6	4	2	228	311	322	633	94	297	25	9	290	81	-9	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	CHC	65%	389	345	78	11	3	5	36	96	5	3	2	225	308	314	622	89	295	25	9	285	78	-10	-0	-1	+4	+8	0.1
2040	31	MLB CTX	CHC	65%	380	338	73	10	2	4	34	96	5	0	1	221	303	305	608	84	292	25	9	279	74	-12	-0	-2	+4	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4025	3561	814	113	30	54	372	975	60	59	21	229	312	323	635	94	298	24	9	291	81	-88	+3	-5	+43	+87	4.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	132	18	5	9	60	157	10	10	3	230	313	325	638	96	299	24	9	291	81	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6916	6115	1381	193	43	94	642	1673	104	107	39	226	310	318	628	92	294	24	9	287	81	-151	+5	-7	+73	+148	7.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	130	18	4	9	60	157	10	10	4	226	310	318	628	92	294	24	9	287	81	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.2	4,091	56	60	228	308	321	+44	+24	7.1	6.3
/162	664	9	10	+7.1	+3.9	1.2	pk7: 5
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samir Guerrero (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	213/296/274	61	289	0	1	25%	9%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	36→43	37→45	52→60	51	173/263/245	72	222	4	13	23%	9%	49	-2.4	197/285/299	102	255	9	17	24%	9%	69	-0.9	197/288/299	102	260	10	24	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	36→46	36→45	46→55	50	172/250/236	63	219	4	11	22%	8%	40	-3.0	203/255/297	94	259	5	11	22%	6%	55	-1.9	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Antonio Pimentel 2024 · A	18	37→44	36→45	52→55	48	178/265/240	62	238	4	11	25%	8%	48	-2.5	190/269/267	77	245	4	19	22%	9%	55	-2.0	196/270/288	91	259	6	27	25%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Narciso Polanco 2023 · A	18	40→42	37→40	50→55	48	188/274/262	74	275	3	11	30%	10%	56	-1.9	186/261/261	75	263	4	14	28%	8%	50	-2.3	181/262/256	74	247	5	19	26%	9%	47	-1.6
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	41→51	36→50	51→45	46	194/262/269	75	267	2	10	27%	8%	52	-2.2	233/298/320	87	326	5	6	27%	8%	77	-0.3	234/304/323	89	323	6	4	27%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Luis Liberato 2014 · A	18	38→48	36→50	48→50	44	184/246/249	65	251	3	13	27%	7%	41	-3.0	188/250/266	78	280	3	11	31%	7%	47	-2.6	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	42→50	37→45	46→50	48	196/277/265	70	283	4	9	30%	10%	57	-1.8	206/294/301	95	310	7	14	32%	10%	72	-0.7	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2023 · A	18	40	37→40	51→45	49	187/265/260	73	239	3	12	22%	8%	52	-2.2	176/272/263	87	299	6	9	38%	11%	56	-1.9	176/288/286	110	293	8	7	38%	13%	66	-0.5
✕Joseph Tailor 2024 · A	18	40	36→45	53→50	39	191/248/254	63	287	4	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	179/264/266	87	264	6	13	33%	6%	54	-2.0	141/246/232	90	206	6	17	32%	6%	38	-0.9
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	41	37→45	51→45	45	196/255/276	80	259	4	6	25%	7%	51	-2.3	211/250/290	79	273	4	8	23%	5%	51	-2.2	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	41	35→45	46→55	56	189/281/251	62	237	3	9	20%	11%	56	-1.9	216/292/302	86	304	6	14	28%	9%	71	-0.8	210/285/301	91	316	8	17	33%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	38→48	37→50	51→50	46	184/251/255	71	245	5	16	26%	8%	45	-2.7	213/271/308	95	288	7	14	27%	7%	64	-1.3	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Kleiver Chauran 2024 · A	18	41	35→40	46→60	49	191/269/253	61	261	3	9	26%	9%	52	-2.2	186/297/254	68	260	3	17	26%	12%	63	-1.3	172/307/237	65	243	3	26	26%	14%	63	-0.5
✕Alexander Ovalles 2019 · A	18	46→41	36→50	47→50	51	216/289/281	65	279	3	13	22%	9%	65	-1.2	229/289/333	104	297	6	8	23%	7%	76	-0.4	220/284/353	133	282	13	7	26%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6

Samir Guerrero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps