Robinson Chacon

OF DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	140	.231/.394/.287	0	3	35	—	.154/.277/.197
2026	19	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	128	.302/.464/.427	1	12	70	—	.192/.328/.279
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLB—	238	.208/.287/.282	2	5	64	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLB—	66	.213/.292/.298	1	1	69	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA84

wRC+82

Z-Con%78

BB%77

Speed63

Whiff%55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDarryl Collins (age 20) · Jake Fox (age 20) · Marco Vargas (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 107 proj PA

wRC+64

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .285 / .279

PA107

HR1

K%27

BB%9

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE75

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	113	28	3	0	0	14	31	1	4	2	248	333	274	608	27	333	23	10	276	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	108	25	4	1	0	29	28	0	3	2	231	394	287	681	56	309	20	21	322	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	128	96	29	7	1	1	25	27	4	12	4	302	464	427	891	125	400	21	20	400	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	118	21	2	0	0	10	37	1	4	2	178	248	195	443	17	237	28	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	117	18	3	1	0	20	33	0	3	2	154	277	197	474	43	194	24	14	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	128	104	20	4	1	1	17	33	4	12	4	192	328	279	607	87	256	26	13	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	118	21	2	0	0	10	37	1	4	2	178	248	195	443	17	253	28	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	113	28	3	0	0	14	31	1	4	2	248	333	274	608	27	333	23	10	276	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	117	18	3	1	0	20	33	0	3	2	154	277	197	474	43	212	24	14	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	108	25	4	1	0	29	28	0	3	2	231	394	287	681	56	309	20	21	322	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	128	104	20	4	1	1	17	33	4	12	4	192	328	279	607	87	264	26	13	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	128	96	29	7	1	1	25	27	4	12	4	302	464	427	891	125	400	21	20	400	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	122	21	2	0	0	10	37	1	4	2	172	248	189	437	16	237	28	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	119	18	3	1	0	20	33	0	3	2	151	277	193	471	42	194	24	14	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	128	106	20	4	1	1	17	33	4	12	4	189	328	274	602	85	256	26	13	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	122	21	2	0	0	10	37	1	4	2	172	248	189	437	16	237	28	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	119	18	3	1	0	20	33	0	3	2	151	277	193	471	42	194	24	14	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	128	106	20	4	1	1	17	33	4	12	4	189	328	274	602	85	256	26	13	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	238	213	45	7	2	2	21	64	2	5	1	208	287	282	569	74	285	27	9	262	64	-10	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	34%	193	172	36	6	1	2	17	51	2	4	1	213	292	298	590	85	286	26	9	271	69	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	34%	66	59	12	2	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	213	292	298	590	85	286	26	9	271	69	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	66	59	12	2	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	203	288	288	576	85	268	26	9	271	53	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	119	20	0	10	59	167	10	10	0	205	289	291	580	86	270	26	9	271	53	-24	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	702	606	115	18	4	4	74	183	8	25	10	190	286	252	539	63	261	26	11	246	53	-12	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	561	107	17	4	4	69	169	7	23	9	191	287	257	544	66	261	26	11	246	53	-25	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Robinson Chacon (OGILVIE)	20	45→50	29→34	52→57	75	206/285/279	73	285	1	2	27%	9%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darryl Collins 2022 · A	20	45	38→40	50→45	51	212/292/289	77	265	5	11	21%	9%	68	-1.0	209/287/289	80	273	4	11	23%	9%	66	-1.1	198/286/277	79	269	1	9	24%	11%	64	-0.7
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	46→44	39→40	55→50	52	216/312/311	95	298	6	15	27%	11%	81	-0.1	202/278/301	99	278	7	11	27%	9%	65	-1.2	203/291/297	94	273	5	13	25%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Marco Vargas 2024 · A	19	45→46	37→40	50→60	57	208/302/289	81	267	4	13	22%	12%	72	-0.7	214/295/280	66	304	3	25	27%	10%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2024 · A	20	41→51	36→45	51→50	51	192/268/258	66	238	4	13	20%	9%	52	-2.2	221/300/315	94	287	8	11	24%	8%	78	-0.3	224/303/331	107	289	11	12	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Ricardo Burgos 2007 · A	20	41	38→40	48→40	58	195/300/280	85	257	5	6	24%	12%	70	-0.8	208/284/320	112	295	10	5	30%	9%	72	-0.7	190/261/331	141	264	19	2	34%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Johny Celis 2007 · A	20	47	37→40	47→40	54	217/302/301	84	283	2	10	22%	10%	75	-0.5	204/290/299	95	255	7	5	21%	10%	70	-0.8	193/282/292	98	241	9	2	22%	10%	64	-0.6
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	46	37→45	47→55	56	216/300/287	72	267	3	12	19%	11%	71	-0.8	208/277/303	95	322	9	15	35%	8%	65	-1.2	191/260/285	94	305	11	18	38%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Yeniel Laboy 2024 · A	20	43	37→30	52→45	47	200/283/268	68	287	5	8	29%	9%	61	-1.5	199/274/263	64	285	4	7	29%	8%	55	-1.9	166/248/183	18	241	0	3	28%	9%	26	-1.3
✕Brian Sanchez 2024 · A	20	43→42	36→50	50→55	50	202/282/280	78	270	2	12	24%	9%	62	-1.4	211/280/327	116	302	8	17	30%	8%	72	-0.7	209/280/344	135	298	11	18	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2024 · A	19	47→46	36→45	51→55	59	218/319/284	66	282	2	16	21%	12%	78	-0.3	220/304/299	79	303	4	13	26%	10%	75	-0.5	214/298/296	82	295	5	16	27%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Jeisson Rosario 2021 · A	21	47→52	37→45	48→50	51	215/303/285	71	309	4	10	29%	11%	72	-0.7	214/298/311	97	309	8	12	30%	10%	76	-0.4	207/300/312	106	295	10	12	30%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Alain Camou 2024 · A	20	46	35→30	44→50	50	215/284/281	66	275	2	7	21%	8%	63	-1.4	198/249/265	67	258	3	5	23%	6%	45	-2.7	142/168/182	41	171	0	0	16%	3%	-6	-1.2
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	46	37→40	52→50	48	213/291/294	80	278	3	12	23%	8%	69	-0.9	206/275/275	69	326	3	10	34%	7%	59	-1.7	169/246/196	27	334	0	12	45%	7%	28	-0.7
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	54	197/295/255	58	274	3	8	26%	11%	63	-1.4	211/273/274	63	328	3	8	33%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/238	35	318	0	8	34%	8%	43	-0.6
✕Isaiah Greene 2022 · A	20	46→42	36→40	44→55	47	209/287/273	64	318	3	7	32%	9%	62	-1.4	190/289/270	80	311	4	18	35%	12%	64	-1.3	170/280/253	83	280	4	23	36%	13%	54	-0.9
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	45	37→45	55	47	206/288/291	85	281	2	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	208/275/302	94	298	6	18	30%	6%	65	-1.2	207/269/318	111	298	8	29	32%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Kyung-Min Na 2012 · A	20	51	35→30	48→55	45	237/296/300	63	318	2	14	25%	7%	71	-0.8	204/260/276	72	312	3	10	33%	6%	53	-2.1	131/185/183	52	227	0	7	39%	6%	1	-1.3
✕Candido Pimentel 2010 · A	20	45	35→30	53→55	54	207/295/272	65	273	2	17	23%	11%	65	-1.2	211/275/265	54	294	2	15	26%	8%	55	-1.9	234/284/275	41	327	1	17	27%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	50	39→45	60→65	52	228/315/331	103	312	4	16	26%	10%	86	+0.3	205/273/295	90	330	6	26	36%	7%	62	-1.4	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2