Adrian Garcia — OGILVIE

Adrian Garcia3B FCL Phillies

Age 19 S/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 119 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .271 / .306

PA10

HR0

K%26

BB%6

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	160	38	7	3	2	16	23	5	12	2	237	326	356	682	119	265	13	9	310	96	-1	+2	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	143	130	34	6	4	0	10	28	3	3	2	262	329	369	698	108	333	20	7	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	166	31	5	2	2	10	33	5	12	2	187	254	277	531	90	214	18	5	228	40	-13	+2	—	—	+4	-0.8
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	143	133	24	4	2	0	7	40	3	3	2	180	238	241	478	60	256	28	5	212	30	-12	-0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	166	31	5	2	2	10	33	5	12	2	187	254	277	531	90	220	18	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	160	38	7	3	2	16	23	5	12	2	237	326	356	682	119	265	13	9	310	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	143	133	24	4	2	0	7	40	3	3	2	180	238	241	478	60	258	28	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	143	130	34	6	4	0	10	28	3	3	2	262	329	369	698	108	333	20	7	315	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	165	31	5	2	2	10	33	5	12	2	188	254	279	533	91	214	18	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	143	132	24	4	2	0	7	40	3	3	2	182	238	242	480	61	256	28	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	165	31	5	2	2	10	33	5	12	2	188	254	279	533	91	214	18	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	143	132	24	4	2	0	7	40	3	3	2	182	238	242	480	61	256	28	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		288	30	10	263	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	206	188	42	7	2	3	13	53	3	4	1	223	284	330	614	106	290	26	6	275	72	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	337	307	70	12	3	6	22	84	5	7	2	228	290	345	636	117	291	25	7	283	77	-9	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	432	394	91	16	4	8	29	107	6	9	2	231	294	353	646	122	292	25	7	288	81	-10	+1	+0	+2	+9	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	496	452	103	18	4	9	34	122	7	11	3	228	292	345	637	117	293	25	7	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	537	488	113	20	5	10	37	131	7	12	3	232	295	355	650	123	293	24	7	292	84	-10	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	561	509	119	21	5	11	39	137	8	12	3	234	299	360	658	126	293	24	7	293	85	-10	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	574	521	121	21	5	11	40	140	8	13	3	232	297	355	652	123	293	24	7	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	578	524	121	21	5	11	41	141	8	13	3	231	297	353	650	122	293	24	7	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	575	521	120	21	5	11	41	141	8	13	3	230	296	353	650	123	292	25	7	292	84	-11	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	567	513	118	20	5	11	41	141	8	12	3	230	297	353	650	123	292	25	7	290	83	-12	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	557	504	114	20	4	10	40	140	8	11	3	226	293	341	635	115	290	25	7	288	81	-13	+1	-2	+2	+12	0.0
2038	31	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	543	492	110	19	4	10	39	138	7	11	3	224	290	339	629	116	288	25	7	283	78	-14	+1	-3	+2	+12	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	71	65	15	3	1	1	5	18	1	1	0	231	296	354	650	123	292	25	7	268	72	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	163	149	34	6	1	3	11	41	2	3	1	228	290	342	632	114	293	25	7	276	77	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	234	213	50	9	2	5	16	58	3	5	1	235	297	366	664	131	294	25	7	282	81	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	281	256	60	11	2	6	19	69	4	6	2	234	297	363	661	129	295	25	7	285	83	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	304	276	65	11	3	6	21	74	4	7	2	236	299	362	661	127	296	24	7	287	84	-6	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	317	288	68	12	3	7	22	77	4	7	2	236	299	372	671	135	296	24	7	287	85	-6	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	324	295	69	12	3	7	22	79	4	7	2	234	296	366	662	132	296	24	7	288	85	-6	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	320	290	69	12	3	7	23	78	4	7	2	238	303	372	675	134	296	24	7	288	85	-6	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	316	286	68	12	3	7	23	78	4	7	2	238	304	374	678	136	295	25	7	286	84	-6	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	303	274	63	11	2	6	22	75	4	6	2	230	297	350	647	120	294	25	7	285	83	-6	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	293	266	61	11	2	6	21	73	4	6	2	229	296	353	649	124	293	25	7	282	81	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
2038	31	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	307	278	63	11	2	6	22	78	4	6	2	227	293	345	638	119	290	25	7	277	78	-8	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3233	2936	685	121	27	67	227	798	42	68	20	233	298	361	659	128	296	25	7	284	80	-68	+6	-4	+12	+70	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	136	24	5	13	46	160	8	14	4	231	295	354	649	124	292	25	7	284	80	-14	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6298	5721	1298	225	55	113	434	1551	91	143	36	227	292	345	637	118	290	25	7	286	80	-127	+13	-7	+21	+129	3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	134	23	6	12	45	160	9	15	4	227	291	347	639	120	290	25	7	286	80	-14	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.0	3,352	62	72	230	292	351	+12	+4	3.8	3.5
/162	664	12	14	+2.4	+0.7	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	49→54	31→36	51→56	45	214/271/306	92	288	1	2	26%	6%	64	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brayan Rocchio 2021 · A	20	48→53	38→45	48→50	43	226/277/308	82	281	5	13	21%	5%	66	-1.1	226/284/349	123	286	11	14	24%	6%	79	-0.2	222/294/342	121	256	12	16	18%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	244/293/346	101	299	6	14	20%	5%	80	-0.1	238/292/336	98	305	7	14	23%	6%	78	-0.3	255/308/363	108	313	9	21	21%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→45	51→50	46	211/284/282	71	293	4	12	28%	8%	63	-1.3	242/292/348	106	310	7	11	23%	6%	80	-0.1	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Leody Taveras 2018 · A	19	45→53	39→50	52→55	44	217/261/304	87	269	6	12	22%	6%	59	-1.7	218/263/298	80	291	5	16	25%	6%	58	-1.7	245/296/373	128	305	13	20	23%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Diego Velasquez 2023 · A	19	42→52	34→40	50	44	199/256/250	51	261	2	7	24%	6%	45	-2.7	234/298/318	84	300	6	14	22%	7%	77	-0.3	245/313/315	70	311	3	18	20%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Miguel Chacoa 2008 · A	19	51	38→30	52→50	47	238/298/316	77	309	5	17	24%	7%	76	-0.4	235/296/294	59	278	3	14	15%	7%	70	-0.8	241/304/284	43	277	1	17	12%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Rosell Herrera 2012 · A	19	42→52	39→45	49→55	43	203/258/285	82	265	6	9	25%	6%	54	-2.0	224/273/308	84	303	7	10	27%	6%	65	-1.2	247/301/337	90	312	4	24	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→40	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	47	-2.5	207/258/252	45	280	1	12	25%	6%	46	-2.6	255/307/351	95	309	4	12	18%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→54	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	72	-0.7	243/298/367	124	326	10	10	27%	7%	87	+0.4	246/302/387	142	310	12	11	24%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Rodrigo Orozco 2014 · A	19	45→55	40	46→50	48	215/281/315	100	269	6	8	22%	7%	70	-0.8	224/285/309	85	275	5	11	19%	7%	70	-0.9	250/305/330	80	314	3	11	20%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Harold Garcia 2006 · A	19	43→53	37→45	49→55	41	202/272/282	80	293	3	10	30%	6%	59	-1.6	220/300/318	98	281	6	11	23%	6%	78	-0.3	253/307/362	109	339	8	26	26%	4%	88	+0.3
✕Angel Martínez 2021 · A	19	47	37→50	51→50	48	218/284/299	80	266	3	10	19%	7%	67	-1.1	212/273/327	115	277	10	10	26%	7%	70	-0.9	231/280/377	146	276	15	12	22%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Olvy Marte 2014 · A	19	50	36→40	49→55	45	231/293/306	75	296	3	19	22%	6%	72	-0.7	213/273/285	72	296	3	13	27%	7%	59	-1.6	174/240/218	44	253	0	13	29%	7%	31	-0.9
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	211/276/297	86	310	7	9	32%	8%	63	-1.3	236/282/327	91	298	8	17	23%	5%	72	-0.7	253/310/346	93	295	7	12	16%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Gabriel Maciel 2018 · A	19	49→52	36→30	47→55	43	232/276/296	64	295	4	13	22%	6%	62	-1.4	233/286/296	63	302	3	14	22%	6%	66	-1.1	217/280/282	64	280	3	19	22%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Henry Alejandro Rodriguez 2009 · A	19	48→58	37→45	52→55	49	226/279/304	78	263	4	13	15%	6%	65	-1.2	248/280/347	99	291	8	16	17%	4%	76	-0.4	269/301/365	97	307	10	11	16%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Juniel Querecuto 2012 · A	19	44→54	35→45	51→50	43	207/257/265	58	266	2	11	22%	5%	49	-2.4	221/266/274	53	295	1	8	24%	6%	53	-2.1	254/287/353	99	306	8	13	19%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Ildemaro Vargas 2010 · A	19	45→55	37→45	47→50	45	209/276/285	76	270	3	10	23%	7%	61	-1.5	219/281/303	84	264	4	8	17%	6%	67	-1.1	274/316/367	93	291	7	12	8%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps