Adrian Garcia — OGILVIE

Adrian Garcia3B FCL Phillies

Age 19 S/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 119 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .273 / .307

PA119

HR1

K%26

BB%6

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$1.0M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.5M
2037	Arb-3	$1M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.1M
Totals		$8M		$9M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	166	33	5	2	2	10	34	5	12	2	199	265	289	554	90	237	19	5	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	160	38	7	3	2	16	23	5	12	2	237	326	356	682	119	265	13	9	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	143	133	24	4	2	0	7	40	3	3	2	180	238	241	478	60	258	28	5	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	143	130	34	6	4	0	10	28	3	3	2	262	329	369	698	108	333	20	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	PHI	—	119	110	23	4	1	1	7	31	1	2	1	209	263	291	554	82	288	26	6	264	60	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	PHI	34%	206	188	42	7	2	3	13	53	3	4	1	223	284	330	614	106	290	26	6	276	69	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	PHI	48%	337	306	70	12	3	6	23	85	5	7	2	229	293	346	640	118	291	25	7	283	75	-10	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.2
2029	22	MLB	PHI	54%	432	393	91	16	4	8	30	108	6	9	2	232	296	354	650	122	292	25	7	288	79	-10	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.4
2030	23	MLB	PHI	57%	496	451	104	18	4	10	35	123	7	11	3	231	296	355	651	124	293	25	7	291	81	-11	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.6
2031	24	MLB	PHI	57%	537	487	113	20	4	11	38	132	7	12	3	232	297	357	654	125	294	25	7	293	82	-11	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.8
2032	25	MLB	PHI	57%	561	508	118	20	5	11	40	138	8	12	3	232	299	356	655	124	294	25	7	294	83	-11	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.8
2033	26	MLB	PHI	56%	574	520	122	21	5	12	41	141	8	13	3	235	301	363	664	129	294	25	7	294	83	-11	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.9
2034	27	MLB	PHI	55%	578	523	122	21	5	12	42	142	8	13	3	233	300	361	662	128	293	25	7	294	83	-11	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.9
2035	28	MLB	PHI	55%	575	520	120	21	5	11	42	143	8	13	3	231	298	354	652	123	293	25	7	293	82	-12	+1	-1	+2	+16	0.8
2036	29	MLB	PHI	53%	567	512	117	20	4	11	42	142	8	12	3	229	297	348	645	119	292	25	7	291	81	-12	+1	-1	+2	+16	0.6
2037	30	MLB	PHI	53%	557	503	113	19	4	10	41	141	8	11	3	225	293	338	631	113	291	25	7	288	78	-14	+1	-2	+2	+16	0.3
2038	31	MLB	PHI	52%	543	491	111	19	4	10	40	139	7	11	3	226	294	342	636	116	288	26	7	284	75	-15	+1	-3	+2	+15	0.0
2027	20	MLB	PHI	34%	71	65	15	3	1	1	5	18	1	1	0	231	296	354	650	123	292	25	7	268	63	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	PHI	48%	163	149	34	6	1	3	11	41	2	3	1	228	290	342	632	114	293	25	7	275	69	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
2029	22	MLB	PHI	54%	234	213	49	9	2	4	16	58	3	5	1	230	293	347	641	117	294	25	7	280	72	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2030	23	MLB	PHI	57%	281	255	59	10	2	6	20	69	4	6	2	231	297	357	654	125	295	25	7	283	75	-8	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2031	24	MLB	PHI	57%	304	276	65	11	3	6	21	75	4	7	2	236	299	362	661	127	296	25	7	285	76	-8	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2032	25	MLB	PHI	57%	317	288	68	12	3	6	22	78	4	7	2	236	299	361	660	125	296	25	7	285	77	-8	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2033	26	MLB	PHI	56%	324	293	70	12	3	7	23	80	5	7	2	239	305	372	677	133	296	25	7	286	77	-9	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2034	27	MLB	PHI	55%	320	290	69	12	3	7	23	79	4	7	2	238	303	372	675	134	295	25	7	286	77	-8	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2035	28	MLB	PHI	55%	316	286	67	12	3	6	23	78	4	7	2	234	300	360	660	126	295	25	7	284	76	-9	+1	-0	+1	+9	0.2
2036	29	MLB	PHI	53%	303	274	63	11	2	6	22	76	4	6	2	230	297	350	647	120	294	25	7	283	74	-9	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.1
2037	30	MLB	PHI	53%	293	265	60	10	2	6	22	74	4	6	2	226	296	347	643	121	293	25	8	280	72	-9	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
2038	31	MLB	PHI	52%	283	256	58	10	2	5	21	72	4	6	1	227	295	340	635	113	290	25	7	276	69	-10	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3209	2910	677	118	27	63	229	798	43	68	19	233	298	357	655	124	297	25	7	282	74	-94	+6	-4	+11	+91	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	137	24	5	13	46	162	9	14	4	233	298	357	654	124	297	25	7	282	74	-19	+1	-1	+2	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	6407	5811	1323	227	54	118	451	1592	92	145	37	228	294	346	640	119	291	25	7	286	77	-165	+14	-7	+23	+182	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	134	23	5	12	46	162	9	15	4	227	293	344	637	117	291	25	7	286	77	-17	+1	-1	+2	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	160	38	7	3	2	16	23	5	12	2	237	326	356	682	119	265	13	9	310	95	-1	+2	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	143	130	34	6	4	0	10	28	3	3	2	262	329	369	698	108	333	20	7	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+4	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,328	63	71	230	293	351	+12	+4	3.5	3.2
	/162	664	13	14	230	293	351	+2.4	+0.7	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	49→54	32→37	51→56	46	215/273/307	92	288	1	2	26%	6%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Ildemaro Vargas 2010 · A	19	45→55	37→45	47→50	45	209/276/285	76	270	3	10	23%	7%	56	-1.3	219/281/303	84	264	4	8	17%	6%	63	-0.9	263/306/353	90	281	7	12	9%	5%	82	+0.4
✕Miguel Chacoa 2008 · A	19	51	38→30	52→50	47	238/298/316	77	309	5	17	24%	7%	72	-0.2	235/296/294	59	278	3	14	15%	7%	66	-0.6	241/304/284	43	277	1	17	12%	7%	63	-0.3
✕Rosell Herrera 2012 · A	19	42→52	39→45	49→55	43	203/258/285	82	265	6	9	25%	6%	48	-1.9	217/267/293	76	300	6	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	247/301/337	90	315	4	24	22%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Leody Taveras 2018 · A	19	45→53	39→50	52→55	44	217/261/302	85	268	6	12	21%	6%	53	-1.5	218/262/298	80	293	5	16	26%	6%	52	-1.6	239/291/390	151	301	16	19	25%	6%	88	+0.8
✕Harold Garcia 2006 · A	19	43→53	37→45	49→55	41	202/272/282	80	293	3	10	30%	6%	54	-1.4	220/300/318	98	281	6	11	23%	6%	76	+0.0	253/307/360	107	342	7	26	27%	4%	86	+0.5
✕Brayan Rocchio 2021 · A	20	48→55	38→45	48→50	43	226/277/308	82	281	5	13	21%	5%	62	-0.9	225/284/354	129	286	12	14	25%	6%	77	+0.1	229/300/349	120	276	11	15	20%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Rodrigo Orozco 2014 · A	19	45→55	40	46→50	48	215/281/315	100	269	6	8	22%	7%	66	-0.6	224/285/309	85	275	5	11	19%	7%	66	-0.6	248/302/327	79	313	3	11	20%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	43→53	40	51→40	49	209/274/305	96	254	7	7	20%	8%	60	-1.0	234/282/320	86	276	4	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	263/317/347	84	301	3	3	13%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Olvy Marte 2014 · A	19	50	36→40	49→55	45	231/293/306	75	296	3	19	22%	6%	68	-0.5	213/273/285	72	296	3	13	27%	7%	54	-1.4	174/240/218	44	253	0	13	29%	7%	22	-0.9
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	211/276/297	86	310	7	9	32%	8%	59	-1.1	239/285/329	90	301	8	17	22%	5%	70	-0.3	252/302/359	107	305	10	17	20%	6%	82	+0.4
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→50	51→50	47	213/285/285	72	291	5	12	27%	8%	59	-1.1	243/293/354	111	312	8	11	23%	6%	80	+0.4	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Diego Velasquez 2023 · A	19	42→51	34→40	50→55	44	200/257/251	51	263	2	7	24%	6%	39	-2.5	229/294/315	86	297	6	14	23%	7%	72	-0.2	239/309/308	69	304	4	19	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Angel Martínez 2021 · A	19	47	37→50	51→50	48	218/284/299	80	266	3	10	19%	7%	63	-0.9	213/274/330	117	278	10	10	26%	7%	66	-0.6	226/291/358	132	282	13	10	24%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Geraldo Quintero 2021 · A	19	44→50	38→40	51→60	49	207/277/289	82	253	5	16	20%	7%	58	-1.2	209/274/295	86	277	4	19	24%	7%	57	-1.2	225/290/312	88	297	5	28	24%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Luis Sardinas 2012 · A	19	48→55	35→40	50→55	42	225/273/287	62	292	2	11	23%	5%	54	-1.4	241/277/298	57	298	2	20	19%	4%	58	-1.2	249/284/332	82	296	8	11	18%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Gabriel Maciel 2018 · A	19	49→52	36→40	47→55	43	232/276/296	64	295	4	13	22%	6%	57	-1.2	233/286/294	61	305	3	14	23%	6%	62	-0.9	218/280/283	65	283	3	19	22%	7%	54	-0.8
✕Dervy Ventura 2023 · A	19	43→51	36→40	50→55	47	200/276/275	74	283	2	6	28%	9%	53	-1.5	220/297/313	93	288	7	14	24%	10%	72	-0.2	227/311/321	94	298	8	22	25%	11%	78	+0.1
✕Cole Tucker 2015 · A	19	44→46	37→45	50→55	45	209/273/283	74	281	5	13	26%	7%	54	-1.4	222/267/297	75	295	4	18	24%	6%	54	-1.4	211/274/331	120	275	10	12	26%	8%	63	-0.5