Lorenzo Meola — OGILVIE

Lorenzo MeolaSS San Jose Giants

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION344 act + 229 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .277 / .338

PA229

HR5

SB6

K%31

BB%7

BABIP287

ISO130

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$19M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	San Jose Giants	—	70	67	12	2	0	1	3	25	0	3	1	179	214	254	468	75	268	36	4	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	San Jose Giants	—	70	66	18	4	0	3	4	17	0	3	1	273	314	470	784	197	326	24	6	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	SF	—	344	308	60	17	1	8	25	122	8	11	3	195	273	334	607	140	287	35	7	267	63	-15	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.0
YTD	22	A	SF	—	344	297	76	23	2	9	36	91	8	11	3	256	352	438	790	182	335	26	10	350	126	+10	+1	+0	+4	+10	2.5
ROS	22	A	SF	0%	229	207	43	10	1	5	16	71	4	6	2	207	277	338	615	130	286	31	7	279	72	-7	+0	+2	+2	+6	0.4
ROS	22	MLB	SF	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	261	58	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	SF	—	344	309	60	17	1	8	25	122	8	11	3	194	273	333	606	139	286	35	7	267	63	-15	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.0
TOT	22	A	SF	—	573	515	103	27	2	13	41	193	12	17	5	200	274	336	610	136	287	34	7	272	66	-22	+1	+2	+6	+16	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	SF	43%	336	303	66	15	2	8	25	100	5	7	2	218	288	360	648	142	287	30	7	285	76	-9	+1	+3	+4	+10	0.7
2028	24	MLB	SF	58%	410	370	80	18	2	10	31	119	6	8	2	216	287	357	644	141	288	29	8	290	80	-9	+1	+3	+4	+12	1.1
2029	25	MLB	SF	65%	440	398	86	19	2	11	33	126	6	9	2	216	286	357	643	141	289	29	8	293	82	-9	+1	+3	+5	+12	1.3
2030	26	MLB	SF	68%	458	414	91	20	2	12	35	131	6	10	3	220	290	365	655	145	289	29	8	294	83	-9	+1	+4	+5	+13	1.4
2031	27	MLB	SF	68%	461	416	91	20	2	12	36	132	6	10	3	219	290	363	653	144	289	29	8	294	83	-9	+1	+4	+5	+13	1.4
2032	28	MLB	SF	68%	459	414	90	20	2	12	36	132	6	10	3	217	289	362	652	145	288	29	8	293	83	-9	+1	+3	+5	+13	1.3
2033	29	MLB	SF	66%	449	405	87	19	2	11	35	130	6	9	2	215	287	353	640	138	288	29	8	292	81	-9	+1	+2	+5	+13	1.1
2027	23	MLB	SF	43%	145	131	27	6	1	3	11	43	2	3	1	206	278	336	614	130	282	30	8	269	64	-6	+0	+1	+2	+4	0.1
2028	24	MLB	SF	58%	237	214	46	10	1	6	18	69	3	5	1	215	285	355	640	140	283	29	8	274	68	-9	+1	+2	+3	+7	0.3
2029	25	MLB	SF	65%	285	257	55	12	1	7	22	82	4	6	2	214	286	350	636	136	283	29	8	277	70	-10	+0	+2	+3	+8	0.4
2030	26	MLB	SF	68%	312	281	61	13	2	8	24	89	4	7	2	217	288	363	651	146	283	29	8	279	71	-10	+1	+2	+3	+9	0.5
2031	27	MLB	SF	68%	313	282	61	13	2	8	24	90	4	7	2	216	287	362	649	145	283	29	8	279	72	-10	+1	+2	+3	+9	0.5
2032	28	MLB	SF	68%	312	281	60	13	1	8	24	90	4	7	2	214	285	352	637	139	283	29	8	278	71	-10	+1	+2	+3	+9	0.5
2033	29	MLB	SF	66%	298	269	57	13	1	7	23	86	4	6	2	212	284	346	630	134	282	29	8	276	70	-10	+0	+1	+3	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1902	1716	367	80	9	47	146	549	25	41	12	214	285	353	638	139	283	29	8	277	70	-65	+3	+14	+20	+54	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	125	27	3	16	50	188	9	14	4	213	285	352	637	138	283	29	8	277	70	-22	+1	+5	+7	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	3312	2994	646	143	15	82	250	966	45	72	20	216	286	356	642	140	288	29	8	289	80	-76	+6	+23	+35	+94	8.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	127	28	3	16	49	190	9	14	4	216	287	355	642	139	288	29	8	289	80	-15	+1	+5	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	San Jose Giants	—	70	66	18	4	0	3	4	17	0	3	1	273	314	470	784	197	326	24	6	345	122	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,061	52	43	220	287	364	+22	+20	4.0	3.9
	/162	664	17	14	220	287	364	+7.1	+6.4	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lorenzo Meola (OGILVIE)	22	45	42	55	50	200/274/336	136	287	13	17	34%	7%	66	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	47	44→45	55	46	225/302/347	122	301	11	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	226/284/337	111	307	10	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	44→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	118	278	10	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	221/292/340	119	284	12	26	25%	7%	78	+0.2	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2013 · A	22	46→52	47→45	53→45	45	232/286/369	137	279	14	8	22%	6%	82	+0.5	234/296/338	104	297	8	5	22%	8%	78	+0.2	233/300/332	99	300	7	5	23%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Chris Nelson 2008 · A	22	46→52	47→50	53→50	42	228/277/370	142	282	13	13	24%	6%	79	+0.3	226/279/355	129	283	12	12	24%	6%	76	+0.0	244/287/369	125	306	12	6	24%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	42→48	48→45	50→65	38	215/264/352	136	293	16	16	32%	6%	69	-0.4	208/270/334	126	279	13	32	29%	7%	66	-0.6	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Ramon Santana 2008 · A	22	43→52	43→45	48→45	45	211/291/328	116	288	10	7	29%	8%	75	-0.0	211/275/320	109	321	9	8	35%	6%	65	-0.7	207/271/316	109	321	8	4	35%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	41→51	47→50	54→55	41	205/273/349	144	294	13	13	34%	7%	72	-0.2	233/279/364	131	293	11	16	24%	6%	77	+0.1	244/287/365	121	297	10	15	21%	5%	78	+0.2
✕Jack Marder 2012 · A	22	46	43→45	49→50	41	228/285/342	114	281	10	12	23%	4%	75	-0.0	230/288/338	108	284	10	13	22%	5%	75	-0.0	228/288/332	104	280	10	12	21%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2013 · A	22	45	48→45	49→50	45	226/287/370	144	271	15	11	22%	6%	83	+0.6	223/269/316	93	309	9	6	29%	5%	61	-1.0	224/264/302	78	309	9	3	29%	4%	52	-0.9
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→45	45→50	49→40	44	227/279/348	122	288	12	8	26%	6%	74	-0.1	217/284/369	152	276	20	4	28%	8%	82	+0.5	213/284/361	148	267	20	2	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40→45	50	40	213/269/309	96	308	8	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	202/290/319	117	298	12	12	34%	9%	72	-0.2	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42	47→50	48→40	46	215/286/350	135	266	15	4	25%	7%	78	+0.2	219/309/349	130	303	13	6	30%	9%	88	+0.9	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Phillip Ervin 2014 · A	22	47→50	48→50	54→55	46	235/299/377	141	293	16	14	25%	8%	90	+1.0	211/279/333	122	267	11	20	24%	7%	70	-0.3	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	48→49	45	50→55	46	233/298/359	126	318	12	10	29%	8%	84	+0.6	226/296/346	120	335	10	17	32%	9%	80	+0.4	222/291/344	122	331	10	21	33%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	49→50	47→50	50→40	42	235/297/374	138	329	14	8	32%	7%	88	+0.9	228/292/357	129	312	12	3	29%	7%	82	+0.5	225/290/357	132	306	13	1	29%	7%	80	+0.2
✕German Duran 2007 · A	22	46→50	46→50	45	42	232/272/359	128	286	13	11	24%	5%	73	-0.1	232/275/374	142	274	15	8	21%	5%	79	+0.3	226/269/370	143	261	16	6	20%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	48→49	43→50	56→50	45	232/286/358	126	292	9	10	23%	6%	79	+0.3	228/273/336	108	306	6	9	26%	5%	66	-0.6	227/270/341	114	317	5	10	29%	4%	64	-0.3