Garrett Hodges — OGILVIE

Garrett Hodges P Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.04

FIP6.04

K%22.0%

BB%22.9%

K-BB%-0.9%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL2020

CMD3535

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	32	0	42	185	54	35	1	0%	1.3	21.6%	22.3%	-0.7%	0.6%	3.67	4.42	—
2025	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	32	0	42	185	54	35	1	0%	1.3	21.6%	22.3%	-0.7%	0.6%	3.67	4.42	—
2025	22	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	32	0	42	185	54	35	1	0%	1.3	29.2%	18.9%	10.3%	0.5%	3.67	3.34	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	37	0	65	294	78	46	8	0%	1.8	20.4%	17.8%	2.6%	3.3%	4.29	5.45	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	37	0	65	294	78	46	8	0%	1.8	20.4%	17.8%	2.6%	3.3%	4.29	5.45	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	MIL	9	0	18	71	25	9	1	0%	2.0	35.2%	12.7%	22.5%	1.4%	2.00	2.51	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	MIL	16	0	29	127	35	20	1	0%	1.8	27.6%	15.7%	11.8%	0.8%	3.38	3.20	—
2026	23	AA RAW	MIL	12	0	18	96	18	17	6	0%	1.5	18.8%	17.7%	1.0%	6.2%	8.15	7.19	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIL	62	0	65	276	63	53	8	0%	1.1	22.7%	19.4%	3.4%	2.8%	5.66	5.53	-0.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIL	63	0	66	279	65	48	8	0%	1.0	23.2%	17.1%	6.1%	2.8%	5.35	5.20	-0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIL	63	0	66	279	65	46	8	0%	1.0	23.4%	16.6%	6.7%	2.8%	5.20	5.14	-0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIL	62	0	65	275	64	45	8	0%	1.0	23.4%	16.5%	6.8%	2.8%	5.16	5.15	-0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIL	60	0	63	266	62	44	8	0%	1.1	23.2%	16.7%	6.6%	2.9%	5.21	5.24	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIL	27	0	28	118	27	23	3	0%	1.0	22.7%	19.4%	3.4%	2.8%	5.66	5.53	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIL	42	0	44	186	43	32	5	0%	1.0	23.2%	17.1%	6.1%	2.8%	5.35	5.20	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIL	50	0	52	220	51	36	6	0%	1.0	23.4%	16.6%	6.7%	2.8%	5.20	5.14	-0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIL	53	0	56	236	55	39	7	0%	1.1	23.4%	16.5%	6.8%	2.8%	5.16	5.15	-0.4
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIL	53	0	56	236	55	39	7	0%	1.1	23.2%	16.7%	6.6%	2.9%	5.21	5.24	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		225	0	236	997	231	170	28	0%	1.0	23.2%	17.0%	6.2%	2.8%	5.28	4.84	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	196	144	24	0%	1.1	23.2%	17.0%	6.2%	2.8%	5.28	4.84	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		69	0	107	479	100	94	11	0%	1.5	20.9%	19.5%	1.3%	2.3%	4.05	5.05	-2.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		129	0	200	898	187	176	20	0%	1.5	20.9%	19.5%	1.3%	2.3%	4.05	5.05	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Garrett Hodges (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.04	22.0%	22.9%	2.8%	—	5.29	23.1%	5.4%	198	-0.75	—	—	—
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	90
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	87
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	87
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.65	25.3%	12.2%	161	-2.34	3.44	256	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	86
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	85
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	85
Jacob Wallace R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	24.6%	21.6%	3.4%	.237	4.27	22.9%	10.2%	153	-1.32	3.50	279	84
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	84
Juan Mendez R 2022 · 4.99 FIP	23	SU	4.99	21.0%	17.9%	2.5%	.279	5.12	22.5%	7.9%	82	+0.13	3.69	156	84
Luis Mora R 2019 · 5.27 FIP	24	SU	5.27	23.9%	22.7%	2.4%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	119	83
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	82
Willian Suarez R 2021 · 5.23 FIP	23	SU	5.23	20.4%	17.3%	3.0%	.329	5.13	25.4%	9.5%	128	-0.10	3.99	219	82
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	82
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	82
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	81
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	81
Zach Barnes R 2022 · 5.35 FIP	23	SU	5.35	18.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.378	5.03	14.9%	1.5%	119	-0.32	4.90	145	81
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	81
Luis Ledo R 2018 · 5.51 FIP	23	SU	5.51	17.1%	17.6%	3.0%	.329	3.65	20.8%	8.0%	85	-1.86	3.27	376	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	63	23.0%	18.0%	1.09	5.42
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22