Samuel Brito — OGILVIE

Samuel BritoIF DSL Astros Orange

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .269 / .263

PA51

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	120	104	25	2	0	1	13	35	1	6	6	240	331	288	619	48	343	29	11	286	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	73	57	14	3	0	0	13	16	3	5	0	246	411	298	709	53	341	22	18	344	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	120	108	16	1	0	0	9	44	1	6	6	148	220	157	378	9	237	37	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	73	61	10	2	0	0	9	19	3	5	0	164	301	197	498	33	227	26	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	120	108	16	1	0	0	9	44	1	6	6	148	220	157	378	9	242	37	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	120	104	25	2	0	1	13	35	1	6	6	240	331	288	619	48	343	29	11	286	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	73	61	10	2	0	0	9	19	3	5	0	164	301	197	498	33	238	26	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	73	57	14	3	0	0	13	16	3	5	0	246	411	298	709	53	341	22	18	344	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	120	109	16	1	0	0	9	44	1	6	6	147	220	156	376	9	237	37	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	73	61	10	2	0	0	9	19	3	5	0	164	301	197	498	33	227	26	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	120	109	16	1	0	0	9	44	1	6	6	147	220	156	376	9	237	37	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	73	61	10	2	0	0	9	19	3	5	0	164	301	197	498	33	227	26	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	183	165	33	5	1	1	14	55	2	3	1	201	271	265	537	64	288	30	8	248	54	-10	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	117	106	22	3	1	1	9	34	1	2	0	206	277	281	557	75	289	29	8	256	60	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	208	279	284	563	76	293	30	8	259	60	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	189	250	216	466	27	280	30	8	259	41	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	114	16	0	0	49	195	0	16	0	190	251	216	467	27	281	30	8	259	41	-31	+3	+0	+0	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	361	321	56	7	1	1	31	112	6	14	6	174	260	212	472	37	261	31	9	228	41	-8	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	102	13	2	2	56	202	11	25	11	176	262	216	478	40	264	31	9	228	41	-33	+2	+0	+0	+14	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Brito (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	199/269/263	64	288	0	1	30%	8%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	41	176/252/260	84	283	6	10	37%	8%	47	-2.5	192/274/286	94	292	6	14	33%	9%	61	-1.5	139/214/211	72	250	5	19	43%	8%	20	-1.4
✕Ronald Castillo 2012 · A	20	40	38→45	51→40	39	190/248/273	83	289	4	8	34%	6%	48	-2.5	216/254/294	78	293	3	5	26%	4%	53	-2.1	205/238/282	76	271	4	1	25%	4%	43	-1.2
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	35→31	36→50	47→30	41	172/239/241	69	258	3	6	33%	7%	38	-3.2	197/255/307	110	316	10	3	38%	7%	59	-1.7	174/242/299	125	281	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Trenton Kemp 2016 · A	20	39	38→50	49→45	42	185/259/266	81	282	4	10	34%	8%	51	-2.3	196/253/323	127	337	12	8	42%	6%	61	-1.5	179/235/323	144	312	16	7	45%	6%	51	-0.8
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2023 · A	20	37→24	37→45	51→60	38	178/236/254	76	272	4	10	34%	6%	38	-3.2	159/221/246	87	248	8	13	37%	6%	32	-3.7	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Wander Ramos 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→45	48	186/286/260	73	283	4	16	32%	10%	61	-1.5	201/265/316	115	302	11	10	35%	7%	64	-1.3	198/259/358	160	288	18	7	37%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Aaron Familia 2019 · A	20	39	37→40	47→40	44	179/272/247	69	298	4	5	38%	9%	53	-2.1	195/267/281	86	350	6	5	42%	8%	57	-1.8	162/241/257	94	310	8	0	46%	9%	38	-0.8
✕Junior Boni 2011 · A	20	39	35→40	49→55	42	185/260/246	61	264	2	13	28%	6%	47	-2.5	183/263/252	69	231	2	14	20%	9%	49	-2.4	160/251/225	66	194	1	19	16%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Dennys Riera 2024 · A	19	31	36→40	48→50	42	157/222/222	65	212	4	6	27%	6%	27	-4.0	171/249/237	66	229	3	7	25%	6%	41	-3.0	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	39	36→40	48→50	45	186/264/252	67	256	3	6	27%	7%	50	-2.3	191/282/272	81	245	5	11	23%	8%	61	-1.5	167/274/245	79	204	6	15	20%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Raddy Sierra 2008 · A	20	40	39→40	51→55	42	193/266/277	84	278	6	17	31%	7%	56	-1.9	205/267/288	83	304	6	13	32%	6%	59	-1.7	207/262/261	54	318	0	16	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	36	38→45	50	39	174/236/254	80	268	5	10	35%	7%	39	-3.1	201/250/308	107	346	11	5	42%	6%	57	-1.8	161/214/283	122	296	17	1	49%	6%	37	-1.2