Cameron Nohos

P ACL Padres

Age 24 RHP 6'8" / 235 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	ASD	3	1	4	6.75	3.10	13.6%	9.1%	—	K 13.6% · BB 9.1% · FIP 3.10
2026	23	MIX2 levels	19	12	62	7.40	3.75	31.4%	10.8%	—	K 22.1% · BB 13.2% · FIP 5.34
2027PROJ	24	MLBSD	8	8	43	5.00	5.00	22.6%	12.7%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBSD	4	4	24	4.84	4.79	23.1%	11.5%	0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBSD	6	6	37	4.76	4.73	23.3%	11.3%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsRay Gaither (age 24) · Angel Guzman (age 24) · Casey Legumina (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%22.6%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%9.9%

Proj IP43

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	3	1	4	22	3	2	0	33%	1.3	13.6%	9.1%	4.5%	0.0%	6.75	3.10	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	3	1	4	22	3	2	0	33%	1.3	13.6%	9.1%	4.5%	0.0%	6.75	3.10	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	3	1	4	22	3	2	0	33%	1.3	13.6%	9.1%	4.5%	0.0%	6.75	3.10	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	12	62	296	93	32	10	63%	3.3	22.1%	13.2%	8.8%	4.4%	7.40	5.34	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	12	62	296	93	32	10	63%	3.3	22.1%	13.2%	8.8%	4.4%	7.40	5.34	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	12	62	296	93	32	10	63%	3.3	31.4%	10.8%	20.6%	3.4%	7.40	3.75	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	SD	8	8	43	182	41	23	6	100%	5.4	22.6%	12.7%	9.9%	3.3%	5.00	5.00	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	10	10	56	239	55	27	8	100%	5.7	23.1%	11.5%	11.6%	3.3%	4.84	4.79	+0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	SD	9	9	56	239	56	27	8	100%	6.3	23.3%	11.3%	12.0%	3.2%	4.76	4.73	+0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	SD	9	9	56	235	55	26	8	100%	6.2	23.3%	11.3%	12.0%	3.3%	4.74	4.75	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	4	4	24	101	23	12	3	100%	6.0	23.1%	11.5%	11.6%	3.3%	4.84	4.79	+0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	SD	6	6	37	156	36	18	5	100%	6.2	23.3%	11.3%	12.0%	3.2%	4.76	4.73	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	SD	7	7	43	182	42	20	6	100%	6.1	23.3%	11.3%	12.0%	3.3%	4.74	4.75	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	18	105	442	103	50	14	100%	5.8	23.2%	11.3%	11.9%	3.3%	4.77	4.37	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	197	96	27	100%	6.0	23.2%	11.3%	11.9%	3.3%	4.77	4.37	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		22	13	66	318	68	41	13	59%	3.0	21.5%	12.9%	8.5%	4.1%	7.36	5.19	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	39	200	964	207	125	40	59%	3.0	21.5%	12.9%	8.5%	4.1%	7.36	5.19	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cameron Nohos (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	22.6%	12.7%	3.3%	—	4.76	23.2%	11.8%	169	-0.24	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	95
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	86
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	84
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	83
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	83
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	83
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	82
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	81
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	81
Michael Knorr R 2024 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP-	5.56	21.6%	12.5%	4.9%	.314	4.95	22.3%	9.7%	83	-0.61	4.30	181	80
Carson Rudd R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	21.0%	13.0%	4.7%	.274	4.61	17.5%	-0.1%	110	-0.92	3.39	242	79
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	79
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	79
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	79
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	78
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2014 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	20.5%	13.3%	2.3%	.208	3.88	19.8%	10.2%	210	-0.44	3.22	242	78
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	4.95	18.3%	5.2%	131	-0.32	4.34	382	78
Matt Ball R 2019 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP-	4.72	21.3%	12.6%	3.3%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	312	78
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	77
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	53	23.1%	11.6%	1.27	4.83
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
José Ruiz ('25)	1.4	57	22.3%	10.4%	1.44	4.62
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
J.J. Hoover ('18)	1.4	57	23.8%	11.4%	1.42	4.17
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57