Dominic Niman
P
Bowling Green Hot Rods
Age 25
LHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 117
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%22.5%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 14 | 1 | 39 | 158 | 39 | 12 | 3 | 7% | 2.8 | 18.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 1.60 | 3.72 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 14 | 1 | 39 | 158 | 39 | 12 | 3 | 7% | 2.8 | 24.7% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 1.9% | 1.60 | 3.02 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 19 | 7 | 60 | 258 | 56 | 12 | 8 | 37% | 3.2 | 16.9% | 5.5% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 4.35 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | 22 | 0 | 23 | 99 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.33 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 83 | 357 | 78 | 21 | 11 | — | — | 21.9% | 5.9% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.48 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.5% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 3.95 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 22 | 0 | 23 | 99 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.93 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 79 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 33 | 8 | 99 | 416 | 72 | 28 | 13 | 24% | 3.0 | 17.4% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 3.26 | 4.23 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 16 | 200 | 838 | 146 | 57 | 26 | 24% | 3.0 | 17.4% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 3.26 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dominic Niman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 22.5% | 9.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.31 | 22.8% | 13.7% | 23 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 78 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 77 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 74 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.50 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .357 | 4.17 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 143 | +0.67 | 3.21 | 439 | 73 |
| Sean Mellen L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 73 |
| Tyler Holton L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.18 | 22.0% | 6.6% | 2.0% | .393 | 3.47 | 22.0% | 16.1% | 224 | +0.29 | 3.02 | 409 | 72 |
| Nick Maronde L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 72 |
| Stu Flesland III L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 18.7% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 211 | 72 |
| Paul Fry L 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 4.0% | .338 | 3.46 | 24.6% | 14.6% | 159 | -1.54 | 1.78 | 560 | 71 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 71 |
| Logan Darnell L 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.18 | 17.8% | 7.7% | 1.1% | .316 | 4.67 | 12.2% | 5.5% | 305 | +1.49 | 3.18 | 430 | 71 |
| Rito Lugo L 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 18.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 176 | 71 |
| Jake Kalish L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.96 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .231 | 3.85 | 17.0% | 11.9% | 352 | -0.11 | 2.68 | 740 | 70 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.38 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .304 | 4.49 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 276 | +1.11 | 3.38 | 353 | 69 |
| Tommy Vail L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.91 | 27.5% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .237 | 5.18 | 19.7% | 3.3% | 81 | +1.27 | 3.91 | 151 | 69 |
| Brent Headrick L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 23.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% | .299 | 3.08 | 27.3% | 19.5% | 111 | -1.47 | 2.40 | 382 | 69 |
| Braulio Lara L 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 69 |
| Caleb Smith L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.30 | 20.3% | 7.9% | 1.7% | .335 | 4.17 | 24.7% | 15.9% | 347 | +0.87 | 3.30 | 784 | 68 |
| Brad Hand L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.96 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% | .326 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 25.0% | 241 | -1.15 | 0.84 | 577 | 68 |
| Adam Wolf L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.01 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 2.2% | .292 | 4.17 | 16.8% | 5.9% | 109 | +0.16 | 3.91 | 383 | 68 |