Samuel Strickland P Columbus Clingstones
Age 27 LHP 6'2" / 218 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 28 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97106vR 115
ERA4.22
FIP4.22
K%22.5%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%14.9%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
K: -0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: +0.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+1BBCONTACT: -2.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +3.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+3STAMTotal WAR: +0.16 (64 IP)+0.2WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202122ROKFCL Braves90125813830%1.415.2%17.2%-2.0%6.5%8.037.59
202122ROKFCL Braves90125813830%1.422.4%13.8%8.6%5.2%8.036.10
202223MIX2 levels1512622756121480%4.216.6%8.8%7.8%1.2%3.613.45
202223MIX2 levels1512622756121480%4.222.2%7.6%14.5%1.5%3.612.99
202324MIX2 levels2477130680191129%3.019.5%7.3%12.2%4.5%4.294.86
202324MIX2 levels2477130680191129%3.026.1%6.2%19.9%3.6%4.293.66
202425A+Rome Emperors39059236661520%1.521.5%7.3%14.2%1.6%1.673.09
202425A+Rome Emperors39059236661520%1.528.0%6.4%21.6%0.8%1.672.07
202526A+Rome Emperors2223815041439%1.721.0%3.1%18.0%3.9%2.873.86
202526A+Rome Emperors2223815041439%1.727.3%2.7%24.7%2.0%2.872.28
▸ 2026 Season
202627AAColumbus Clingstones20136160361155%1.818.2%7.6%10.7%3.8%6.814.58-0.0
ROS27MLBATL2702811927940%1.022.5%7.6%14.9%3.0%4.224.22+0.1
ROS27MLBATL10141000%1.022.5%7.6%14.9%3.0%4.224.22+0.0
2026 TOT27MLBATL642796320922.5%7.2%15.3%3.1%5.674.42+0.2
2026 FULL27MLBATL1210022.5%7.6%14.8%3.0%4.223.84+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBATL2602811626940%1.122.5%8.0%14.5%3.1%4.284.31+0.1
202728MLBATL10010429310%1.022.5%8.0%14.5%3.1%4.284.31+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career100114610410%1.122.5%7.9%14.5%3.1%4.283.93+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084418473180%1.122.5%7.9%14.5%3.1%4.283.93+3.4
Career129222791185226903617%2.219.0%7.6%11.4%3.1%3.884.15+4.1
/ 200 IP9316200850162652617%2.219.0%7.6%11.4%3.1%3.884.15+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Samuel Strickland (OGILVIE) 4.22 22.5%7.6%3.0% 4.31 22.5%14.5%28 +0.09
Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.84 FIP 28 SU 3.84 21.1%7.3%2.9%.267 3.21 23.3%15.2%73 -0.63 2.44 124 77
Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP 27 SU 4.01 22.8%10.1%2.9%.336 2.69 221 77
Jeff Malm L 2024 · 3.12 FIP 25 SU 3.12 22.0%7.2%1.8%.354 3.12 101 75
Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.46 FIP 27 SU 3.46 23.8%9.0%2.2%.259 5.31 16.5%-3.3%54 +1.85 3.46 154 75
Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP 26 SU 4.86 19.8%10.9%3.7%.305 4.86 134 75
Jason Gurka L 2026 · 3.09 FIP 27 SU 3.09 17.5%7.0%1.1%.303 3.22 23.4%17.6%95 +0.13 2.59 183 75
Colton Turner L 2026 · 3.10 FIP 27 SU 3.10 21.1%8.4%1.3%.235 3.96 22.4%13.2%94 +0.86 2.83 325 75
Ryan Verdugo L 2027 · 3.62 FIP 28 SU 3.62 19.8%10.8%1.5%.281 3.41 22.7%17.3%82 -0.21 3.41 153 74
James Reeves L 2025 · 3.79 FIP 26 SU 3.79 22.4%10.3%2.3%.226 5.24 27.0%10.8%51 +1.45 2.02 280 74
Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 3.65 FIP 27 SU 3.65 20.5%8.0%2.3%.270 3.65 308 74
Jordan Mills L 2026 · 3.26 FIP 27 SU 3.26 23.2%9.3%1.7%.325 2.64 210 73
Jordan Jess L 2024 · 3.55 FIP 25 SU 3.55 19.3%5.3%2.6%.315 3.39 136 73
James Pazos L 2026 · 3.23 FIP 27 SU 3.23 21.3%6.6%2.0%.291 4.49 20.6%9.4%97 +1.26 2.55 261 73
Chris Nunn L 2026 · 3.26 FIP 27 SU 3.26 23.0%10.9%1.3%.367 4.30 23.9%9.2%95 +1.04 3.26 180 73
Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.26 FIP 25 SU 4.26 19.9%10.3%2.8%.306 2.85 141 73
Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.26 FIP 27 SU 4.26 17.9%8.5%2.9%.281 3.91 20.1%10.8%34 -0.35 2.34 338 73
Hector Hernandez L 2027 · 3.57 FIP 28 SW 3.57 20.2%9.0%1.9%.290 2.17 121 73
Giovanni Soto L 2025 · 3.96 FIP 26 SU 3.96 25.6%10.5%3.1%.317 3.26 128 73
Williams Jerez L 2026 · 3.54 FIP 27 SU 3.54 22.8%7.1%2.7%.263 7.16 18.7%7.0%21 +3.62 3.54 364 73
Joel Bender L 2025 · 3.57 FIP 26 SU 3.57 18.6%4.9%2.6%.250 3.30 117 72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22822.5%7.8%1.204.25
Fernando Salas ('18)45922.5%6.6%1.224.42
Zach McAllister ('18)45724.8%7.9%1.143.63
David Hernandez ('19)55425.0%7.9%1.144.10
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19