Samuel Strickland
P
Columbus Clingstones
+0.4
WAR
Age 27
LHP
6'2" / 218 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.15
FIP4.15
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.5%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%14.9%
IP40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Braves | 9 | 0 | 12 | 58 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 15.2% | 17.2% | 6.5% | 8.03 | 7.57 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 15 | 12 | 62 | 275 | 61 | 21 | 4 | 16.6% | 8.8% | 1.3% | 3.61 | 3.55 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Rome Braves | 24 | 7 | 71 | 306 | 80 | 19 | 11 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.29 | 4.86 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 39 | 0 | 59 | 236 | 66 | 15 | 2 | 21.5% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 1.67 | 2.93 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 22 | 2 | 38 | 150 | 41 | 4 | 3 | 21.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.87 | 3.35 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 4 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 8.44 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | ATL | 40 | — | 40 | 171 | 38 | 13 | 5 | 22.5% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 4.15 | 4.15 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 46 | 200 | 43 | 15 | 5 | 21.7% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 4.65 | 3.67 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 38 | 13 | 5 | 22.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 4.20 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 39 | — | 39 | 164 | 37 | 13 | 5 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.25 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 38 | — | 38 | 159 | 36 | 13 | 5 | 22.3% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.28 | 4.32 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 34 | 13 | 5 | 22.1% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 32 | 13 | 5 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 4.43 | 4.48 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 33 | — | 33 | 141 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 21.5% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.58 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 32 | — | 32 | 133 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 21.2% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 4.62 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 30 | — | 30 | 126 | 26 | 11 | 4 | 20.8% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 4.73 | 4.81 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 113 | 21 | 248 | 1054 | 202 | 80 | 29 | 19.1% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 3.55 | 3.96 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 17 | 200 | 849 | 163 | 64 | 23 | 19.1% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 3.55 | 3.96 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Samuel Strickland (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.15 | 22.5% | 7.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.26 | 22.5% | 14.4% | 116 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .267 | 3.20 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 124 | 85 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.42 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .259 | 5.26 | 16.5% | -3.3% | 54 | +1.84 | 3.42 | 154 | 84 |
| Jeff Malm L 2024 · 3.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.14 | 22.0% | 7.2% | 1.8% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 101 | 82 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2027 · 3.35 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.35 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.5% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 81 |
| James Pazos L 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.09 | 21.3% | 6.6% | 1.7% | .291 | 4.56 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 97 | +1.47 | 2.55 | 261 | 80 |
| Boone Logan L 2029 · 3.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.05 | 26.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .352 | 3.11 | 29.7% | 20.6% | 78 | +0.06 | 2.64 | 113 | 79 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 79 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .197 | 4.65 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.46 | 4.19 | 133 | 78 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.07 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .336 | 3.58 | 25.2% | 16.4% | 44 | -0.49 | 1.84 | 238 | 78 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 3.9% | .296 | 2.82 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -1.75 | 2.58 | 160 | 78 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.31 | 16.3% | 6.2% | 1.5% | .250 | 3.54 | 14.3% | 7.3% | 95 | +0.23 | 3.24 | 163 | 78 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 271 | 77 |
| Jordan Jess L 2024 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.63 | 19.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 136 | 77 |
| Jorge Ibarra L 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 27 | SU | 2.97 | 20.2% | 8.4% | 0.9% | .407 | 2.79 | 21.0% | 14.5% | 99 | -0.18 | 2.56 | 146 | 77 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.52 | 26.8% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .242 | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.0% | 63 | +0.92 | 3.52 | 126 | 77 |
| Jordan Mills L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.8% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 210 | 77 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2027 · 3.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.09 | 26.3% | 8.8% | 2.0% | .306 | 2.42 | 32.5% | 28.6% | 135 | -0.67 | 1.42 | 259 | 77 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.42 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 160 | 76 |
| Colton Turner L 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.31 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 1.7% | .235 | 4.33 | 22.4% | 13.2% | 94 | +1.02 | 2.79 | 325 | 76 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.14 | 17.5% | 7.0% | 1.1% | .303 | 3.27 | 23.4% | 17.6% | 95 | +0.13 | 2.91 | 183 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.