Cort MacDonald

OF Fresno Grizzlies

Age 23 L/L A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2238ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	ACOL	84	.288/.358/.466	1	1	91	—	.250/.296/.408
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBCOL	194	.234/.290/.363	3	4	83	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBCOL	33	.253/.308/.410	1	1	85	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCOL	75	.254/.310/.413	2	2	86	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%99

Z-Con%97

Whiff%95

ISO71

wOBA60

wRC+59

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsKa'ai Tom (age 24) · Chris Meyers (age 23) · Chris Pieters (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj PA

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .288 / .360

PA57

HR1

K%22

BB%7

ISO129

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	84	73	21	4	3	1	8	6	0	1	1	288	358	466	824	178	299	7	10	350	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	84	76	19	3	3	1	5	8	0	1	1	250	296	408	704	158	265	10	6	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	84	76	19	3	3	1	5	8	0	1	1	250	296	408	704	158	265	10	6	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	84	73	21	4	3	1	8	6	0	1	1	288	358	466	824	178	299	7	10	350	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	84	79	19	3	3	1	5	8	0	1	1	241	296	392	689	152	265	10	6	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	84	79	19	3	3	1	5	8	0	1	1	241	296	392	689	152	265	10	6	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	COL	0%	194	178	41	7	3	3	13	43	1	4	1	234	290	363	653	129	290	22	7	290	83	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	COL	30%	110	101	24	4	2	2	7	24	1	2	1	236	293	368	661	132	291	22	6	294	85	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	COL	44%	170	155	37	6	3	3	12	38	1	3	1	237	294	372	667	135	291	22	7	296	86	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	COL	51%	230	210	50	9	4	4	16	51	2	5	1	237	296	375	670	137	290	22	7	298	88	-3	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	COL	52%	267	244	58	10	4	5	19	60	2	5	2	237	296	374	670	137	290	22	7	298	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	COL	53%	292	267	63	11	4	6	21	66	2	6	2	235	295	371	666	136	289	23	7	296	87	-5	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	298	273	63	11	4	5	21	68	2	6	2	233	292	365	657	132	288	23	7	292	84	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	COL	30%	33	31	8	1	1	1	2	7	0	1	0	253	308	410	718	157	311	21	6	316	85	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	COL	44%	75	70	18	3	2	2	5	17	0	2	0	254	310	413	723	159	311	23	7	318	86	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	COL	51%	117	107	28	5	3	2	8	26	1	2	1	254	311	415	726	161	310	22	7	320	88	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	COL	52%	140	128	33	6	3	3	10	31	1	3	1	253	311	414	725	161	309	22	7	319	88	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	COL	53%	156	143	35	6	3	3	11	35	1	3	1	251	310	410	720	159	308	22	7	317	87	-2	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	157	144	35	6	3	3	11	36	1	3	1	249	307	403	710	154	307	23	7	313	84	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	678	623	157	27	15	14	47	152	4	14	4	252	309	411	720	159	310	22	7	317	86	-11	+1	-1	-4	+15	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	150	26	14	13	45	146	4	13	4	251	308	407	715	156	310	22	7	317	86	-11	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1508	1379	326	56	25	27	105	328	10	29	10	236	295	372	667	136	290	22	7	296	86	-24	+2	-2	-9	+31	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	141	24	11	12	45	141	4	12	4	237	295	375	670	138	291	22	7	296	86	-11	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 84 PAwOBA .345 → .302 (−43)K% 7.1% → 9.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.14%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	9.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.52%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	6.51%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.40%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.997	×0.990	17.62%
Doubles /BIP	5.97%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.997	×0.990	4.89%
Triples /BIP	4.48%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.997	×0.990	4.02%
Home runs /BIP	1.49%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	1.18%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .345 → .302; ISO .178 → .159; BABIP .299 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Larry Stahl'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	36	22	235*	297*	387*	-16	+11	2.4	2.9
/162	664	13	8	-5.5	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#3Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#4Max Venable'79-'91 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	18	64	238*	301*	371*	-11	-1	0.9	1.9
/162	664	8	27	-4.6	-0.3	0.4	pk7: 3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.1	734	14	14	237	292	372	-4	+0	0.4	0.4
/162	664	12	13	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cort MacDonald (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	232/288/360	128	290	1	1	22%	7%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→49	43→55	52→50	46	220/281/340	120	278	10	15	24%	7%	75	-0.5	233/296/390	157	299	16	10	26%	7%	93	+0.8	221/294/380	160	285	17	7	28%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→46	41→50	51→40	45	197/266/297	101	258	8	11	26%	7%	61	-1.5	222/279/357	135	292	15	6	28%	6%	79	-0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	40→45	51→55	44	213/278/313	100	287	7	13	27%	7%	68	-1.0	208/259/299	91	298	6	11	30%	6%	57	-1.8	170/204/219	49	257	0	15	32%	4%	17	-0.8
✕Jordan Patterson 2015 · A	23	43→50	43→55	48→50	40	212/275/316	104	283	11	13	28%	5%	69	-0.9	228/288/373	145	315	14	11	31%	5%	86	+0.3	227/288/386	159	316	15	9	31%	5%	86	+0.3
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	212/283/319	108	277	9	10	26%	8%	72	-0.7	203/287/319	116	263	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.6	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕RJ Schreck 2024 · A	24	47→39	41→50	50	48	227/283/329	101	269	8	8	18%	7%	74	-0.6	209/306/356	147	253	16	10	23%	10%	90	+0.6	195/303/347	152	231	18	9	24%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Brock Stassi 2013 · A	23	45→55	42→45	51→45	47	218/276/326	108	271	9	9	23%	7%	70	-0.8	235/285/330	95	277	7	7	17%	6%	74	-0.6	237/307/363	127	275	13	1	18%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	43	42→45	53→55	42	213/262/322	108	277	9	14	26%	6%	63	-1.3	218/276/332	114	306	10	21	30%	7%	72	-0.7	213/281/334	121	303	14	24	32%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Nick Buss 2010 · A	23	44→54	43→50	52→55	40	217/255/329	111	264	10	9	22%	4%	63	-1.4	238/275/339	101	280	7	15	17%	4%	72	-0.7	249/288/382	134	291	12	19	18%	4%	85	+0.2
✕Gage Green 2016 · A	23	49	40	51→50	43	235/287/329	94	301	6	10	24%	6%	74	-0.5	197/257/279	82	275	7	8	29%	6%	53	-2.1	167/231/236	69	235	7	8	30%	5%	32	-1.4
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→38	43→60	54→50	46	194/258/307	113	251	9	8	26%	8%	59	-1.6	188/270/299	111	264	10	14	30%	9%	63	-1.4	212/274/402	190	276	23	15	31%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→48	45	47→55	44	214/274/339	125	284	11	11	28%	7%	72	-0.7	217/269/335	118	286	12	10	27%	6%	70	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2022 · A	22	44→54	42→45	52→50	39	218/265/326	108	279	9	9	25%	4%	66	-1.1	234/286/340	106	285	10	10	21%	5%	77	-0.3	229/282/328	99	275	10	12	20%	5%	71	-0.5
●Zach Borenstein 2013 · A	23	43→53	45→60	53→50	42	214/271/349	135	274	12	14	26%	6%	74	-0.5	248/298/431	183	315	21	8	27%	6%	103	+1.6	252/303/436	184	318	22	6	27%	6%	104	+1.2
✕Dan Grovatt 2012 · A	23	47→48	40→45	50	47	226/284/319	93	285	6	12	22%	7%	72	-0.7	210/256/315	105	264	8	12	23%	5%	60	-1.6	196/231/306	110	246	8	14	23%	4%	46	-1.9
✕Cameron Flynn 2013 · A	23	48	38→45	53→50	45	225/289/315	90	308	4	8	27%	7%	72	-0.7	230/272/312	82	297	5	5	23%	5%	64	-1.3	217/257/285	68	281	4	6	23%	4%	49	-1.2
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A	23	42→51	43→50	56→55	43	208/262/325	118	265	9	16	25%	6%	65	-1.2	211/283/329	118	266	11	24	24%	8%	74	-0.5	240/304/385	144	304	14	21	24%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Yohendrick Pinango 2024 · A	22	45→54	41→50	50	43	218/262/310	92	269	8	11	22%	5%	61	-1.5	220/284/340	120	279	12	9	24%	8%	77	-0.3	223/292/355	132	284	14	7	25%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Tom Belza 2012 · A	23	45→55	43→45	54→45	39	222/263/338	116	299	10	8	29%	5%	68	-1.0	232/280/330	98	301	7	8	24%	6%	72	-0.7	240/291/331	91	309	6	8	23%	6%	74	-0.5
✕Bijan Rademacher 2014 · A	23	49	38→45	49→45	46	235/283/320	85	289	5	8	20%	6%	71	-0.8	237/303/349	112	303	9	6	23%	8%	86	+0.3	250/320/362	111	307	9	4	20%	9%	92	+0.5

Cort MacDonald

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps