Player 822679 — OGILVIE

Player 8226791B Fresno Grizzlies

Age — —/— A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .250 / .182

PA12

HR0

K%17

BB%8

BABIP300

ISO129

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	COL	—	84	75	18	3	2	1	6	8	0	1	1	240	296	373	670	133	254	10	7	298	88	-1	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	COL	—	84	73	21	4	3	1	8	6	0	1	1	288	358	466	824	178	299	7	10	350	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	COL	0%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		282	17	8	294	85	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	COL	—	96	86	20	3	2	1	7	10	0	1	1	233	290	349	639	116	250	10	7	297	87	-1	-0	+0	-2	+2	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	217	199	49	9	4	4	15	42	1	4	1	246	302	392	694	146	285	19	7	299	89	-3	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	343	314	76	14	5	6	24	67	2	7	2	242	300	376	676	134	285	20	7	302	90	-4	+1	+0	-6	+7	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	428	392	94	17	6	8	30	84	3	9	3	240	299	375	674	135	285	20	7	303	91	-4	+1	+0	-8	+9	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	485	445	107	19	7	10	34	95	3	10	4	240	299	382	681	142	285	20	7	304	92	-5	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	525	479	117	21	8	11	37	103	4	11	4	244	304	390	694	146	285	20	7	305	92	-5	+1	+0	-9	+11	-0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	552	504	123	22	8	12	39	108	4	11	4	244	303	391	694	147	285	20	7	305	93	-5	+1	+0	-10	+12	-0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	572	522	127	23	8	12	41	112	4	12	4	243	303	387	690	144	284	20	7	306	93	-5	+1	+0	-10	+12	-0.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	587	536	130	23	8	13	42	115	4	12	4	243	302	388	690	146	284	20	7	306	93	-5	+1	+0	-10	+13	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	315	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	317	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	304	—	—	319	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	320	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	320	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	321	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	321	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	302	—	—	321	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3721	3402	825	148	54	76	263	728	25	76	26	243	302	385	686	142	286	20	7	304	92	-35	+5	+0	-66	+81	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	144	26	9	13	46	127	4	13	5	242	301	382	683	140	287	20	7	304	92	-6	+1	+0	-12	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	4.1	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
/162	664	21	2	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.9	3,924	79	80	243	299	386	-44	+0	3.7	3.6
/162	664	13	14	-7.4	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 4
#6Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 822679 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	237/291/365	128	282	3	4	19%	7%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Racobaldo 2010 · A	25	50→48	44→45	49→50	45	245/299/362	117	302	11	9	22%	6%	87	+0.4	226/282/318	92	319	6	8	29%	7%	70	-0.8	219/278/301	82	318	4	6	30%	7%	63	-1.1
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	223/297/336	113	267	10	9	20%	7%	81	-0.1	246/327/353	107	315	8	14	23%	8%	96	+1.0	247/334/354	107	319	8	16	23%	8%	96	+0.5
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2011 · A	25	44→46	45→55	50	47	216/293/342	126	269	11	11	23%	8%	81	-0.1	211/268/374	163	269	17	10	27%	6%	79	-0.2	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	44→52	44→45	49→50	43	218/288/335	117	294	12	11	29%	7%	78	-0.3	241/313/376	135	292	15	10	22%	8%	96	+1.0	238/318/367	129	288	14	9	21%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→45	43→45	50	44	212/278/331	119	279	10	12	27%	7%	72	-0.7	231/289/332	101	313	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	234/293/322	88	321	6	7	27%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	45	45	48→50	43	224/290/348	124	291	13	11	27%	6%	81	-0.1	210/266/326	116	267	13	7	26%	5%	68	-1.0	191/245/302	111	237	14	5	25%	5%	51	-1.2
✕Matt Juengel 2015 · A	25	48→50	41→50	53→45	44	233/283/340	107	276	8	11	19%	5%	76	-0.4	220/263/346	126	258	12	6	20%	5%	70	-0.9	211/252/344	133	242	14	2	19%	4%	62	-0.9
✕Rolando Acosta 2008 · A	25	45→55	41→50	51→45	44	219/279/316	97	283	8	8	25%	7%	69	-0.9	252/301/349	97	306	6	17	19%	6%	84	+0.2	269/312/404	135	308	11	10	16%	4%	98	+0.6
✕Shane Justis 2008 · A	25	51→53	44→40	52→50	48	246/308/362	115	287	11	10	18%	7%	91	+0.6	244/302/333	89	287	5	10	16%	6%	81	-0.1	247/305/327	81	289	4	9	15%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Kody Hoese 2021 · A	24	47	45	50→40	46	230/289/352	123	282	12	6	23%	7%	82	-0.0	197/240/277	80	263	7	4	27%	5%	45	-2.7	224/281/350	127	280	13	1	24%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Issmael Salas 2007 · A	25	48→51	45→50	46→50	42	236/285/367	130	292	11	5	23%	5%	83	+0.1	246/291/343	97	275	8	8	13%	5%	79	-0.2	273/318/367	94	306	7	11	13%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Jerad Head 2008 · A	25	41→44	44→50	49→50	41	207/274/331	124	262	11	9	25%	5%	72	-0.7	222/279/361	139	277	13	10	24%	5%	80	-0.1	229/282/384	155	280	16	9	24%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Spencer Packard 2023 · A	25	45→52	46→45	49→40	48	223/295/352	129	265	14	7	21%	7%	84	+0.2	241/316/361	120	285	12	3	19%	8%	94	+0.9	241/322/353	112	283	11	1	18%	9%	91	+0.6
✕Jason Rogers 2013 · A	25	50→53	43→50	50→45	49	240/306/359	118	301	10	8	23%	8%	89	+0.5	247/306/393	146	295	16	6	21%	8%	97	+1.1	251/312/408	157	293	18	4	20%	8%	100	+1.1
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	42	47→50	52→55	42	211/281/355	143	283	14	15	30%	7%	80	-0.2	210/290/349	139	286	16	22	31%	8%	82	-0.0	203/288/338	135	274	17	27	31%	9%	77	-0.2
●Jonah Bride 2021 · A	25	46→50	42→50	50→45	42	221/289/326	105	298	10	5	28%	6%	76	-0.4	233/325/361	128	282	13	5	21%	10%	98	+1.2	244/343/391	147	285	16	3	19%	11%	108	+1.5
✕Jantzen Witte 2015 · A	25	50→54	44→45	47→45	44	243/296/375	131	313	10	5	25%	6%	88	+0.5	243/298/347	104	300	6	6	20%	6%	83	+0.1	244/294/361	116	313	12	6	25%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Aaron Mathews 2007 · A	25	50→53	42→45	48→45	45	242/285/356	113	285	9	9	19%	6%	80	-0.2	247/283/352	105	290	8	6	17%	5%	78	-0.3	251/289/354	103	286	9	4	15%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	44→42	42→45	47→50	47	211/303/316	105	285	9	10	27%	8%	80	-0.2	211/299/300	89	300	7	10	29%	9%	74	-0.5	171/289/188	17	273	0	6	32%	12%	44	-0.5
✕Kevin Nolan 2013 · A	25	51→49	42→45	47→50	49	245/305/357	112	296	7	10	19%	8%	88	+0.4	233/279/330	97	272	7	8	17%	6%	72	-0.7	228/270/315	87	261	6	7	15%	5%	62	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps